Samsung Claims Mass Production on 14-Nanometers

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krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
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Not necessarily apples to apples speed.

Formel 1 cars is not the same.
The winner is the fastest car no matter why it was the fastest.
In business thats what counts.

But in a sense this shows the difference from prior times. Intel could dictate the rules. Now it cant. The bigger boys do.

We see reviews comparing dx to dx even though mantle is the obvious choice. That would never happen if apple was amd. It seems the big guy with the marketing muscle decides what an apple is
 

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
23,561
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Right, you know there's something to it when a certain element pulls the "not optimized right" card.
 

III-V

Senior member
Oct 12, 2014
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Right, you know there's something to it when a certain element pulls the "not optimized right" card.
This may be the case some of the time, but you seem to be using this as a hasty excuse to brush a potentially valid point aside.
 
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jdubs03

Senior member
Oct 1, 2013
377
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Very optimistic. Let's just pretend 20nm doesn't exist and no money has been spend developing the technology (). Let's also pretend is doesn't take more than half a year to get big volumes out of a new node into the market.

Samsung has paid a lot more attention to "14 nm" finfet than 20nm though. Intel would be best to make 10nm with iii-v.
 
Mar 10, 2006
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But who's gonna pay for $1000+ chips ?

10-20% yield is awful. I love how Intel was derided for its 14nm issues when its yields were probably north of 50% last year. Still not good enough for high volume at the margins Intel likes, but miles ahead of the foundries.
 
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Soulkeeper

Diamond Member
Nov 23, 2001
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Well it's a start. Is it just me or has GF floundered for lack of a better word since they became GlobalFoundries? Seems like they never have their **** together.

GlobalFloundries ? They did get wrecktor ruiz afterall, err hector
 

witeken

Diamond Member
Dec 25, 2013
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10-20% yield is awful. I love how Intel was derided for its 14nm issues when its yields were probably north of 50% last year. Still not good enough for high volume at the margins Intel likes, but miles ahead of the foundries.

It was probably closer to 80% than 50%.
 

Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
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Does anyone have actual sources for info on GF and Intel 14 nm yields, or are you just guessing?
 

witeken

Diamond Member
Dec 25, 2013
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Does anyone have actual sources for info on GF and Intel 14 nm yields, or are you just guessing?

GF: We haven't even seen their 20nm node, so why would it be better than Samsung's?

There is anticipation of some minor ramp that we’re aware of in the fourth quarter. There is capacity in place currently. We have equipment that has been relegated to the 14 and 16 nanometer note, primarily 14. And so at this time we have capacity in place to take care of that need as they begin to ramp slowly. So we don’t see a significant ramp in Q4 in FinFETs. We see that occurring later or in 2015 and it’s really hard to project when. The current anticipation is they’re all being overly optimistic as to when they’re going to solve their problems. But the yields on the major companies right now is in the 10% to 20%. And so it's not giving them much indication as to when they’ll grow that problem, that area. So it appears to me right now and the problems aren’t really consistent in one area. They vary in the processing and possibly design.

With the FinFET yield issue of 16/14 nanometers; it appears that this device design will be problematic for insertion in mobility products in 2015. Our current outlook for this product like is flat to slight growth in 2015. As to laser annealing, our latest information on the industry is that foundry producers are at best seeing yields in the low double-digits for logic devices. They are investigating if the problems are process or design related. Current ramp plans have been announced for early to mid-year 2015.

As for Intel's 14nm, they had to catch up to 22nm, which is their highest yielding node ever.



So I'd say it was around 80%.
 

krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
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Does anyone have actual sources for info on GF and Intel 14 nm yields, or are you just guessing?

Yield is damn secret. So ofcource nobody knows.

Until 10nm and euv mid node insertion you will hear this yield drum everyday.
At that time cost will be the melody every day.

Yield became the goalpost after euv is samsung-not intel-hans de vries whoopass day. Yield, yield, yield.

btw its not like i think witekens numbers is off but the goalshifting is crazy. As is the focus on one single part of a process in general.
 
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krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
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GF: We haven't even seen their 20nm node, so why would it be better than Samsung's?



As for Intel's 14nm, they had to catch up to 22nm, which is their highest yielding node ever.



So I'd say it was around 80%.

Well is ss process. Who says its better or worse? Nobody knows anything about ss 14nm yield.

As for Intel as they dont have any competition surely they will optimize for yield.
That can change and they can change their priorities if it suits them.

The graphs really illustrate how secret yield key numbers is.
What Intel was trying to communicate was that 14nm was controlled and on track. We know it was not that easy. No wonder with tech this complicated.
 
Mar 10, 2006
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Well is ss process. Who says its better or worse? Nobody knows anything about ss 14nm yield.

As for Intel as they dont have any competition surely they will optimize for yield.
That can change and they can change their priorities if it suits them.

The graphs really illustrate how secret yield key numbers is.
What Intel was trying to communicate was that 14nm was controlled and on track. We know it was not that easy. No wonder with tech this complicated.

They're not so secret when an equipment vendor is explaining to Wall Street why its customers haven't yet ordered tools to fill their factories for "mass production"

There is anticipation of some minor ramp that we’re aware of in the fourth quarter. There is capacity in place currently. We have equipment that has been relegated to the 14 and 16 nanometer note, primarily 14. And so at this time we have capacity in place to take care of that need as they begin to ramp slowly. So we don’t see a significant ramp in Q4 in FinFETs. We see that occurring later or in 2015 and it’s really hard to project when. The current anticipation is they’re all being overly optimistic as to when they’re going to solve their problems. But the yields on the major companies right now is in the 10% to 20%. And so it's not giving them much indication as to when they’ll grow that problem, that area. So it appears to me right now and the problems aren’t really consistent in one area. They vary in the processing and possibly design.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/259...-results-earnings-call-transcript?part=single

Hint: "Minor ramp" in the fourth quarter is your Samsung 14nm "mass production wafers." Samsung just wants to beat its chest and claim that it beat TSMC to FinFETs, IMO.
 

krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
1,595
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Samsung just wants to beat its chest and claim that it beat TSMC to FinFETs, IMO.

Sorry. But how stupid is that for a story??
Can we please burry this rambling nonsense.
Ss process can be anything (but 10-20% seems reasonable at this time imo).
But Samsung is not there to "beat its chest" make "claims" or "beat" to be first. Thats just projection of own feelings. Samsung are there to make a profit. Samsung is nothing but a money machine. Its vision is money. Its soul is money.
We could all be robots and Samsung wouldnt care.
I dont know how ss will earn on their process dev and would gladly know as asked before, but this is absolutely the most far out reason and nothing but a projection.
 

III-V

Senior member
Oct 12, 2014
678
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Sorry. But how stupid is that for a story??
The (likely) truth is stupid? Oh boy.
Can we please burry this rambling nonsense.
It's not nonsense -- it's just about only logical way to interpret Samsung's public statements that Arach was referring to (and you've not presented a logical alternative here). The only reason why you want it buried is because it disagrees with your preexisting biases.
Ss process can be anything (but 10-20% seems reasonable at this time imo).
But Samsung is not there to "beat its chest" make "claims" or "beat" to be first. Thats just projection of own feelings. Samsung are there to make a profit. Samsung is nothing but a money machine. Its vision is money. Its soul is money.
Not all too coincidentally, Samsung stands to benefit financially by downplaying their yield issues.
We could all be robots and Samsung wouldnt care.
I dont know how ss will earn on their process dev and would gladly know as asked before, but this is absolutely the most far out reason and nothing but a projection.
A very likely projection, that you are discarding simply because you don't want it to be true. This is intellectually dishonest, and you should hold yourself to higher standards.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intellectual_honesty
 

witeken

Diamond Member
Dec 25, 2013
3,899
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This makes me strongly doubt that Apple will use FinFETs in the next iPhone and iPad. Apple probably doesn't want to take a huge toll on margins, and the die will be massive (150mm² or so) since there's almost no density improvement, so I don't really see how tens of millions of those chips could be shipped to customers in 2015. Maybe TSMC wasn't lying when they said yields already matched 20nm and they will do a serious ramp in ~July?
 

krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
1,595
136
The (likely) truth is stupid? Oh boy.

It's not nonsense -- it's just about only logical way to interpret Samsung's public statements that Arach was referring to (and you've not presented a logical alternative here). The only reason why you want it buried is because it disagrees with your preexisting biases.

Not all too coincidentally, Samsung stands to benefit financially by downplaying their yield issues.

A very likely projection, that you are discarding simply because you don't want it to be true. This is intellectually dishonest, and you should hold yourself to higher standards.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intellectual_honesty

14nm is comming from the big players in h2 2015 big time.
And the big players is samsung and apple.
Samsung have said zero about their yields now.

This is all great news. Right? Not so dangerous so dont be scared. Enjoy!
 
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