- Feb 8, 2001
- 4,822
- 0
- 0
Originally posted by: halfpower
Originally posted by: PJABBER
Originally posted by: halfpower
Originally posted by: PJABBER
Scientific evidence now points to global cooling, contrary to U.N. alarmism
By: Kevin Mooney
Commentary Staff Writer
The Washington Examiner
08/04/09 3:51 PM EDT
...The shift away from a cooling cycle in 1945 triggered several decades of warming that ended in 1998, according to the study....
1998 was an anomalously warm year. The warming trend did not end in 1998. See
http://www.skepticalscience.co...ng-stopped-in-1998.htm
for a detailed explanation.
Thank you for that link to Skeptical Science. While I found the opinions expressed by the site's author, John Cook, to be interesting and well organized in his attempt to refute scientific research and opinion contrary to anthropogenic climate change, I was much more interested in reading all of the critical responses on the site.
Based on the commentary of the responding posters, there seems to be a site wide consensus that the Skeptical Science site author is himself attempting to manipulate the data, the statistical analysis and the graphical representation to reach his stated "science" conclusions. He is effectively challenged on all of the questions that I bothered to read.
Does this mean that he doesn't score some points? No, but as he himself is relying on a select subset of data and flawed statistical analysis it emphasizes that there are a substantial number of advocates of pre-established positions rather than impartial researchers in the review of science. As an advocate, the site is a fine attempt, but don't think they represent scientific consensus (which they also attempt to address, to the great hilarity of the responding posters.)
I thought the responding posters there were a lot more oriented toward discovering an objective "truth" that could be confirmed by logical and scientifically valid review of data than we are experiencing on this forum. A lot of the question responses are criticisms of analytical methodology and mechanisms of statistical analysis, which I can highly appreciate.
I'll share the last responding post on the question of "Consensus" by Tiranse at 05:16 AM on 3 August, 2009 -
"So where does the Scientific Method inject "consensus" into conclusion? Consensus, by definition, is a social and political construct that has no use in real science."
Priceless.
I'd hesitate to say that cook did any statistical analysis. I tend to look at these things more as spectral analysis, and 1998 does appear to be consistent with high frequency noise. The data points in general, are randomly distributed around some kind of average.
I am probably not clear enough in my commentary above, which was meant as an overview based on the number of "Arguments" and "Commentary" that I quickly reviewed on the site.
I did not want to dwell on the cited reference here as I thought the responding posters at SC did an adequate job in expressing their reservations pro and con, as they did for most of the referenced arguments, and my own response, which could only be a synthesis, would not reach the level of theirs.
Again, thanks go to halfpower for referencing the site. While it is not an exhaustive reference I would urge interested posters here to refer to the site for their own review of the Arguments for and against ACC and I highly urge anyone doing so to delve deeply into the Argument Commentary, which I found to be enlightening in many cases.