Senate down to Montana

[compuwiz1]

A democratic senate. How refreshing.

 

[ProfJohn]

In the latest update Burns jumped in votes, but the precinct count went down...
Strange....

5000 vote lead with 30% left to count, still close.

 

[Wreckem]

Originally posted by: senseamp
Burns closing in

Tester is still up by 7k. It looks like the remaining votes will split fairly evenly(based on which counties are still out).

 

[Wreckem]

Originally posted by: ProfJohn
In the latest update Burns jumped in votes, but the precinct count went down...
Strange....

5000 vote lead with 30% left to count, still close.

If the trends in Silver Bow continue Tester should win by 5-10k.

 

[CellarDoor]

Yeah. For some reason the counts on the networks just went down a bunch, so now the secretary of state website has more votes on it total.

http://sos.mt.gov/ELB/archives/2006/elections/general/ussenate/index.asp

 

[slash196]

Originally posted by: Wreckem

Originally posted by: Painman
Tester is up so far.

I still worry about the Joementum Factor, but he's sent out campaign lit to Dems promising to caucus with Dems. If he splits now and votes for <insert GOP senator here> as Majority Leader, he's political burnt toast.

As of now, a 1 seat Dem majority is definitely in the cards.

Joe holds all the cards. If the dems give him a sweet gig, theres not a chance in hell he will cacucus with the republicans.

He kinda earned his sweet gig. I don't like the guy, but for a guy to get b*tchslapped by his own party, run as an independent and then BEAT the guy the democrats chose instead of him...that's impressive

 

[Wreckem]

Originally posted by: CellarDoor
Yeah. For some reason the counts on the networks just went down a bunch, so now the secretary of state website has more votes on it total.

http://sos.mt.gov/ELB/archives/2006/elections/general/ussenate/index.asp

What Im not getting is the SoS doesnt have several counties reporting yet while CNN does.

I dunno.

 

[CellarDoor]

Originally posted by: Wreckem

Originally posted by: CellarDoor
Yeah. For some reason the counts on the networks just went down a bunch, so now the secretary of state website has more votes on it total.

http://sos.mt.gov/ELB/archives/2006/elections/general/ussenate/index.asp

What Im not getting is the SoS doesnt have several counties reporting yet while CNN does.

I dunno.

Yeah, it's very odd. Originally, the CNN count was much higher than the SoS count, not it isn't.

 

[Wreckem]

Originally posted by: CellarDoor

Originally posted by: Wreckem

Originally posted by: CellarDoor
Yeah. For some reason the counts on the networks just went down a bunch, so now the secretary of state website has more votes on it total.

http://sos.mt.gov/ELB/archives/2006/elections/general/ussenate/index.asp

What Im not getting is the SoS doesnt have several counties reporting yet while CNN does.

I dunno.

Yeah, it's very odd. Originally, the CNN count was much higher than the SoS count, not it isn't.

Yeah I swear when I checked CNN it was 75%, then it dropped back down to 70% and then jumped back up to 74%. I wonder whos wrong the SoS or CNN?

 

[OneOfTheseDays]

Originally posted by: slash196

Originally posted by: Wreckem

Originally posted by: Painman
Tester is up so far.

I still worry about the Joementum Factor, but he's sent out campaign lit to Dems promising to caucus with Dems. If he splits now and votes for <insert GOP senator here> as Majority Leader, he's political burnt toast.

As of now, a 1 seat Dem majority is definitely in the cards.

Joe holds all the cards. If the dems give him a sweet gig, theres not a chance in hell he will cacucus with the republicans.

He kinda earned his sweet gig. I don't like the guy, but for a guy to get b*tchslapped by his own party, run as an independent and then BEAT the guy the democrats chose instead of him...that's impressive

Complete BS. The Republican candidate was nonexistent and thus Lieberman had support of not only Democrats but Republicans as well. I'm surprised Lamont was even close.

 

[CellarDoor]

Something really weird is going on with these figures in Montana. The SoS website figures just went down like 10k votes.

 

[Wreckem]

Originally posted by: CellarDoor
Something really weird is going on with these figures in Montana. The SoS website figures just went down like 10k votes.

This race looks like it may end up closer than VA. 78% reporting Tester has a 6k lead.

 

[CellarDoor]

Originally posted by: Wreckem

Originally posted by: CellarDoor
Something really weird is going on with these figures in Montana. The SoS website figures just went down like 10k votes.

This race looks like it may end up closer than VA.

Well, it definitely could in terms of the difference, but Montana doesn't have that many people, so the percentages won't be as close. I noticed that the SoS website no longer has yellowstone county up, which leaned tester and had a lot of total votes. Wonder why they took it down.

 

[Wreckem]

Originally posted by: CellarDoor

Originally posted by: Wreckem

Originally posted by: CellarDoor
Something really weird is going on with these figures in Montana. The SoS website figures just went down like 10k votes.

This race looks like it may end up closer than VA.

Well, it definitely could in terms of the difference, but Montana doesn't have that many people, so the percentages won't be as close. I noticed that the SoS website no longer has yellowstone county up, which leaned tester and had a lot of total votes. Wonder why they took it down.

I dont know, it very well could drop down below 1%. There are a lot of Burns votes out there still. Granted there are a lot of tester votes out there too. Its possible the trends could hold and they split the remaining votes. There two strong counties still reporting for both. And several other counties for each where they have marginal leads. Then you have 4 or so that havent reported anything.

 

[CellarDoor]

Originally posted by: Wreckem

Originally posted by: CellarDoor

Originally posted by: Wreckem

Originally posted by: CellarDoor
Something really weird is going on with these figures in Montana. The SoS website figures just went down like 10k votes.

This race looks like it may end up closer than VA.

Well, it definitely could in terms of the difference, but Montana doesn't have that many people, so the percentages won't be as close. I noticed that the SoS website no longer has yellowstone county up, which leaned tester and had a lot of total votes. Wonder why they took it down.

I dont know, it very well could drop down below 1%. There are a lot of Burns votes out there still. Granted there are a lot of tester votes out there too. Its possible the trends could hold and they split the remaining votes. There two strong counties still reporting for both. And several other counties for each where they have marginal leads. Then you have 4 or so that havent reported anything.

Very true, we'll just have to see how it goes.

 

[Wreckem]

Originally posted by: CellarDoor

Originally posted by: Wreckem

Originally posted by: CellarDoor

Originally posted by: Wreckem

Originally posted by: CellarDoor
Something really weird is going on with these figures in Montana. The SoS website figures just went down like 10k votes.

This race looks like it may end up closer than VA.

Well, it definitely could in terms of the difference, but Montana doesn't have that many people, so the percentages won't be as close. I noticed that the SoS website no longer has yellowstone county up, which leaned tester and had a lot of total votes. Wonder why they took it down.

I dont know, it very well could drop down below 1%. There are a lot of Burns votes out there still. Granted there are a lot of tester votes out there too. Its possible the trends could hold and they split the remaining votes. There two strong counties still reporting for both. And several other counties for each where they have marginal leads. Then you have 4 or so that havent reported anything.

Very true, we'll just have to see how it goes.

If tester does win he needs to thank the Libertarian Candidate.

 

[CellarDoor]

They just said on msnbc that they are doing some recounting apparently.

 

[Wreckem]

Burns is closing in according to CNN hes ~4000 behind. A good thing for Testers is alot of the outstanding counties leaned dem in the last election.

 

[CellarDoor]

Originally posted by: Wreckem
Burns is closing in according to CNN hes ~4000 behind.

Ok, I figured out what's going on. Yellowstone is recounting. It originally had tester up about 3200. Now that they took it off and are recounting it's about 4000 like you said.

 

[Wreckem]

Originally posted by: CellarDoor

Originally posted by: Wreckem
Burns is closing in according to CNN hes ~4000 behind.

Ok, I figured out what's going on. Yellowstone is recounting. It originally had tester up about 3200. Now that they took it off and are recounting it's about 4000 like you said.

Yellowstone did lean dem in the last election. Meagher the other county yet to report anything leaned repub. I think its going to come down to these two counties. It's gonna be close and I smell a recount.

 

[Wreckem]

Well while the lead is down to 3300, the word is Montana is Tester is in pretty good shape to win, but due to mechnical difficulties its going to be a few more hours of vote counting.

 

[senseamp]

Why do you think Burns isn't going to win MT? I am looking on CNN that yellowstone county has 0% precincts reporting, and that county went 41000 to 25000 for Bush in 2004. Burns only down by 3000

 

[senseamp]

On the other hand, Yellowstone went 34000 to 30000 for Schweitzer in the governor race in 2004
If Tester is really up 4000 in Yellowstone, it's over

 

[CellarDoor]

Originally posted by: senseamp
Why do you think Burns isn't going to win MT? I am looking on CNN that yellowstone county has 0% precincts reporting, and that county went 41000 to 25000 for Bush in 2004. Burns only down by 3000

Yellowstone is being recounted. The initial counts for yellowstone had Tester up about 3200 I believe, and they are just recounting to make sure. It sounded like they didn't think the vote was going to change that much. You can't go by Bush's numbers because this isn't Kerry running in Montana. This guy has a freaking crew-cut.

 

[Wreckem]

Originally posted by: senseamp
Why do you think Burns isn't going to win MT? I am looking on CNN that yellowstone county has 0% precincts reporting, and that county went 41000 to 25000 for Bush in 2004. Burns only down by 3000

One its a midterm election so the turnout wont be that high. Two its not 2004. Im going with what they say on MSNBC/CNN/FOX and thats Tester looks good still.