So why did Hillary lose?

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ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
32,326
15,128
136
Ridiculous. I own nothing because I voted for Hillary in the strongest Hillary state. My vote probably counted less than yours, but I still cast it.

Trump went after the people that he said would vote for him, and he was right. Everyone dismissed him for this strategy, but it worked. There has been a real ignorance among the democrats and other gentried elites that certain sectors of demographics will be forever theirs if they just play them lip service. Well, that didn't happen this time and the aggravating thing is that this isn't the first time such districts flipped parties to vote for the "Great Promiser of things." Hillary completely abandoned Wisconsin after the primaries. She had it in the bag.

How the fuck can that be on anyone else but her and her team?

Because we can only be responsible for ourselves and our own actions.

And when I say, "you" I'm not necessarily referring to you personally.
 

Hayabusa Rider

Admin Emeritus & Elite Member
Jan 26, 2000
50,879
4,266
126
Agent's perspective that this outcome was about race is a partial truth. White resentment was one factor. Not the most important because as I said above, a chunk of swing voters elected Trump. Those pivotal voters were likely not very racist. They just didn't like Clinton, for reasons both real and perceived. Given that this was the case, it is pointless to speculate about the degree of racism among core Trump supporters, because they are partisan and would have voted for any GOP candidate, with or without Trump's aggressive anti-immigrant stance.

Out of curiosity, since you are one who is arguing that Clinton essentially ignored white working class voters, what do you think she could have done to appeal to them? The only thing I can think of is not saying "basket of deplorables." From a policy perspective, I can't think of a single thing. If white working class people think that conservative economic policies, like cutting taxes on the super rich, are to their benefit, there is nothing the democrats can do about that unless they want to become a conservative party instead of a liberal one. Liberals believe that the economic policies they favor benefit everyone but the super rich, not just minorities. So what specific positions should she have taken to win over the white working class voters?

What was lacking was a cogent and informed path to benefit whose in fear of losing what they have worked for and hoped to acquire at some point. Instead of relating to concerns she took the divisive path as did her opponent. Her girls are white and thats why they are secure would be one example. No they are children of the wealthy elite. Other people of her color and gender cannot say that with certainty.

And that's where she failed. What would she do that inspires hope? What changes would she make in "business as usual" and constructively reduce the wealth divide? Education? What good is that where everyone is subject to a decreasing pool of good jobs relative to flipping burgers?

When Wells Fargo didn't let their people go to the bathroom and yet management benefited by the millions, what was her solution?

Besides short term programs what did she offer to change the employment situation? What about creative taxation which benefits shareholders and employees alike. If infrastructure is brought into the US, or jobs which are good then lower taxes. If not then no loopholes and they go up.

Sooner or later the stockholders will get on the back of the Boards and they can no longer take their situation for granted. The stockholders benefit and the citizen as well. Naturally this has to go to everyone regardless of race, but based on merit. Those who are disadvantaged should be helped to realize their potential.

Everyone is uplifted.

Now you might come up with reasons this might not work, but it's something. It's a goal and an indication of goodwill.

We need a leader of Americans, not panderers cultivating more hate and despair. We need to try.
 

CptObvious

Platinum Member
Mar 5, 2004
2,500
1
76
I'm convinced presidential elections boil down to simple personality contests to the general public, not policy. Bill Clinton and GWB won 2 terms because they had a more appealing personality to the average Joe than their opponents. Obama was a much more captivating orator than McCain and Romney. And while Trump has the personality of a used car salesman, Hillary struggled to generate any real enthusiasm outside of her core base because she is a policy nerd at heart.

I think this election is the starkest example that policy is second place when it comes to getting elected. I don't remember an election when one candidate was so vague on specifics on policy as Trump was.

Basically, Bernie was the better pick for the Democrats this time around. I think Biden would also have beaten Trump. Next time around, I think the D's have to go with a blue collar personality magnet.
 

master_shake_

Diamond Member
May 22, 2012
6,430
291
121
I'm convinced presidential elections boil down to simple personality contests to the general public, not policy. Bill Clinton and GWB won 2 terms because they had a more appealing personality to the average Joe than their opponents. Obama was a much more captivating orator than McCain and Romney. And while Trump has the personality of a used car salesman, Hillary struggled to generate any real enthusiasm outside of her core base because she is a policy nerd at heart.

I think this election is the starkest example that policy is second place when it comes to getting elected. I don't remember an election when one candidate was so vague on specifics on policy as Trump was.

Basically, Bernie was the better pick for the Democrats this time around. I think Biden would also have beaten Trump. Next time around, I think the D's have to go with a blue collar personality magnet.

i agree with this.

obama was more appealing than get off my lawn mcain and get off my money romney.

gore was a robot and kerry was kerry.

hillary was like an antique that was dusted off and paraded around when company came over or when going going out on a sunday.
 

IGBT

Lifer
Jul 16, 2001
17,956
137
106
For Trump to win this big many minorities / women / democrats crossed the isle. It's the only explanation. The voters didn't buy into the typical "racist" drum beat so associated with the Prog's and liberals. In the end clinton has no credibility as a feminist due to her decades long enabler of Bill Clinton's sexual exploits and abuse of women. Hillary has no stand out / stand alone achievements in her professional and personal life. She is nothing more then a Washington Establishment insider who was rejected by a rainbow cross section of voters. Let the Clinton Investigations continue regardless of any pardon by the obama. Full Discovery of crimes and violations of Oath Of Office is necessary and prudent.
 

Pens1566

Lifer
Oct 11, 2005
11,843
8,431
136
At a high level it was shear turnout. Something like 6 million fewer D voted than in '12. It looks like Trump will even under-perform on Romney's totals. The reasons for that lack of turn out ... all of the above?
 

woolfe9998

Lifer
Apr 8, 2013
16,189
14,102
136
What was lacking was a cogent and informed path to benefit whose in fear of losing what they have worked for and hoped to acquire at some point. Instead of relating to concerns she took the divisive path as did her opponent. Her girls are white and thats why they are secure would be one example. No they are children of the wealthy elite. Other people of her color and gender cannot say that with certainty.

And that's where she failed. What would she do that inspires hope? What changes would she make in "business as usual" and constructively reduce the wealth divide? Education? What good is that where everyone is subject to a decreasing pool of good jobs relative to flipping burgers?

When Wells Fargo didn't let their people go to the bathroom and yet management benefited by the millions, what was her solution?

Besides short term programs what did she offer to change the employment situation? What about creative taxation which benefits shareholders and employees alike. If infrastructure is brought into the US, or jobs which are good then lower taxes. If not then no loopholes and they go up.

Sooner or later the stockholders will get on the back of the Boards and they can no longer take their situation for granted. The stockholders benefit and the citizen as well. Naturally this has to go to everyone regardless of race, but based on merit. Those who are disadvantaged should be helped to realize their potential.

Everyone is uplifted.

Now you might come up with reasons this might not work, but it's something. It's a goal and an indication of goodwill.

We need a leader of Americans, not panderers cultivating more hate and despair. We need to try.

I'm not going to criticize your ideas, only your view that Clinton had no ideas to create jobs. She supported investing in infrustructure, for example. Who said all those jobs would go to minorities?

This wasn't about job creating policies. If white working class people broke hard for Trump, it's that they perceived her as not being sympathetic to their plight. The key word being perceived. It was a matter of trust, personality and charisma (or lack thereof).

BTW, it's looking right now like Clinton may have actually won the popular vote, or lost by an incredibly tiny margin. Which brings into question the notion that this election was some kind of ground breaking demographic shift. This outcome turned on a small number of swing voters in certain states making what IMO was a terrible choice. Which is their right in a democracy. And as another poster has said, it was their choice, and they own the consequences.
 

blankslate

Diamond Member
Jun 16, 2008
8,659
491
126

It's a good article but doesn't cover everything that was going wrong for Clinton this cycle
Chris Mathews made a cogent observation (though he can be overly unfiltered at times)
http://www.mediaite.com/online/chri...heard-her-come-out-against-these-stupid-wars/

That is one thing that millennials faulted Clinton for afaik her seeming war-hawkishness a fault she seemingly shared with neocons


____________
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,810
29,564
146
I think this outcome had less to do with Trump and his "demographics" than it did with the right's 25+ year sliming of Clinton. Another dem who hadn't been slimed probably would have beaten Trump, "demographics" be damned. Sure, Trump had a coalition. So did Clinton. The difference between this outcome and what the polls predicted was about 4% or 1 in 22 Americans. Those swing voters were independents who broke for Trump or Bernie supporters who either voted for Trump or sat it out. They are who made that 4% difference. Trump's core base is and was always there, and was always going to vote for Trump, and would likely have voted for any other GOP candidate.

This election doesn't reflect a tectonic shift in the American electorate. It is, rather, testament to the power of effectively shift boating a candidate, something both parties do but which the GOP is much better at.

That certainly played into it, but you don't fight through that kind of slime by calling those people that would otherwise vote for you a "basket of deplorables." The Clintons navigated through those decades of mud-tossing pretty well, but all the while they were instrumental in re-shaping the party from a progressive, populist, working-class party to a more centrally elitist "big solution" party that stuck to high-minded think-tank socioeconomic experimentation to try and convince those working class stiffs to "learn to be like us!"--upward mobility (your job disappeared because that's what happens in societies; you are probably better off gaining new skills to make yourself competitive in interesting times--you just need to be a harvard-educated master of the universe like us and your life will be better!) rather than address the fact that these people really aren't going to be moving to different places and easily gaining new skills. This is the kind of thing I believe in (well, I don't think anyone can just easily be some harvard-educated MotU) and, to some degree think it's a workable practice if you instead treat people with respect and dignity, work with them in their world rather than tell them what they need to do to be more mobile and change their lives. This election was a kick in the ass for the modern democratic party and they really need to get back to those core values and learn how to talk to their historic base again.

None of this was reflected in the polling, but it is exactly what happened. Hillary could have probably survived that kind of nonsense had she spent more time talking to these people rather than preach at them from afar.

Dems have a legit problem here and it has been brewing for some time. The altright nutters have been saying it and no one listened to them. I don't find it difficult to admit how foolish we were on this because there really is no other way to look at it, when you consider the specific counties and demographics of obama and bernie "change" working class folks that roundly rejected her. These were also Bill people. You can argue all you want that their thinking Trump would fix them was irrational, but they still voted. Their problems are real and they do feel pain. They have repeatedly voted for the simplest message that promises to fix things for them. How hard is it to accept that several decades of these voters hearing hope and change and free trade, supporting it, then either having it bite them in the ass or the hope people just walk away from them once they got their vote, is going to cause real, visceral anger?

For all his faults and all his lies and blustering, Trump realized that and despite all advice he received to ignore them, he still went for them. And it worked. Conway and the Sp33dy's and LK's around here were constantly talking about this "silent, hidden Trump supporter base" lurking outside the polling. They were right. ..and these are democratic voters. That has to sting and I hope it does.

Remember how many hoped that Repubs would "learn from 2012" and become more inclusive, less radical, less racist and dismissive of poor people? Think they care about that anymore? Nope. Let's hope the dems, at least, absorb the primary lessons here and make attempts to restore their traditional base. Of course, that all assumes that Trump was just lying to them with empty promises as everyone before him. What if he wasn't? What if, even through dumb luck, these folks lot truly improves in the next couple of years?
 

agent00f

Lifer
Jun 9, 2016
12,203
1,242
86
And so if one did not support Hillary they have the "Uppity darkie" mentality? You disallow any other perspective or concern on the part of people.

People vote for many reasons and all are individuals with their lives and personal history. We've gotten into the "whites are ignorant and need to be punished" or "all that is a minority is a threat".

I'm just present the best available info on their aggregate beliefs. You seem to have trouble coming to terms with statistical thinking, so best to practice that some before applying it here. As one tip, a generally statement that's mostly true is going to have exceptions.

That's the way to destruction. As far as real poverty and squalor, what do you personally know of it? What suffering have you seen? I'm interested to know if you are operating from the theoretical or have first hand experience of poverty and the misery of others.

I really have no idea what this has to do with anything given most trump fan are hardly destitute in a first world country, but I grew up pretty poor.

If there is one thing I can give Trump credit for, it's the fact that he humiliated both Republicans and Democrats in this election. The Democrats became too selfish, greedy, and complacent in this election, and the Republicans have underestimated how popular Trump managed to become all due to the fact that he's not a politician.

To the contrary Trump really is a rather skilled/natural politician. I wrote a bit about it here: http://www.portvapes.co.uk/?id=Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps&exid=thread...-results-thread.2491368/page-46#post-38564916, and generally agree he sees the country for what it is more clearly than either party establishment.
 

IGBT

Lifer
Jul 16, 2001
17,956
137
106
Total repudiation of Liberalism and the Liberal Agenda / Democrat Party.
 

Hayabusa Rider

Admin Emeritus & Elite Member
Jan 26, 2000
50,879
4,266
126
I'm not going to criticize your ideas, only your view that Clinton had no ideas to create jobs. She supported investing in infrustructure, for example. Who said all those jobs would go to minorities?

This wasn't about job creating policies. If white working class people broke hard for Trump, it's that they perceived her as not being sympathetic to their plight. The key word being perceived. It was a matter of trust, personality and charisma (or lack thereof).

BTW, it's looking right now like Clinton may have actually won the popular vote, or lost by an incredibly tiny margin. Which brings into question the notion that this election was some kind of ground breaking demographic shift. This outcome turned on a small number of swing voters in certain states making what IMO was a terrible choice. Which is their right in a democracy. And as another poster has said, it was their choice, and they own the consequences.

Like I said before the election there cannot be a mandate. The reason I say this is that neither's acceptance was greater than their disfavorability ratings. We had no choice but to elect someone we disliked more than not.

So I agree, this is no great shift in terms of demographics, but maybe a call to self examination? Who can say?
 

NesuD

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
4,999
106
106
All my peers in macroeconomics class are laughing at how stupid and naive the average American is. Trump is a moron as are his followers. Let's hope you idiots don't start the next Great Depression or World War 3 and drag Australia and NZ with you, but I wouldn't put it past you guys seeing as how you elected a clown as your president...

A perfect example of what alienated enough eventual trump supporters to swing the election in his favor.
 

woolfe9998

Lifer
Apr 8, 2013
16,189
14,102
136
That certainly played into it, but you don't fight through that kind of slime by calling those people that would otherwise vote for you a "basket of deplorables." The Clintons navigated through those decades of mud-tossing pretty well, but all the while they were instrumental in re-shaping the party from a progressive, populist, working-class party to a more centrally elitist "big solution" party that stuck to high-minded think-tank socioeconomic experimentation to try and convince those working class stiffs to "learn to be like us!"--upward mobility (your job disappeared because that's what happens in societies; you are probably better off gaining new skills to make yourself competitive in interesting times--you just need to be a harvard-educated master of the universe like us and your life will be better!) rather than address the fact that these people really aren't going to be moving to different places and easily gaining new skills. This is the kind of thing I believe in (well, I don't think anyone can just easily be some harvard-educated MotU) and, to some degree think it's a workable practice if you instead treat people with respect and dignity, work with them in their world rather than tell them what they need to do to be more mobile and change their lives. This election was a kick in the ass for the modern democratic party and they really need to get back to those core values and learn how to talk to their historic base again.

None of this was reflected in the polling, but it is exactly what happened. Hillary could have probably survived that kind of nonsense had she spent more time talking to these people rather than preach at them from afar.

Dems have a legit problem here and it has been brewing for some time. The altright nutters have been saying it and no one listened to them. I don't find it difficult to admit how foolish we were on this because there really is no other way to look at it, when you consider the specific counties and demographics of obama and bernie "change" working class folks that roundly rejected her. These were also Bill people. You can argue all you want that their thinking Trump would fix them was irrational, but they still voted. Their problems are real and they do feel pain. They have repeatedly voted for the simplest message that promises to fix things for them. How hard is it to accept that several decades of these voters hearing hope and change and free trade, supporting it, then either having it bite them in the ass or the hope people just walk away from them once they got their vote, is going to cause real, visceral anger?

For all his faults and all his lies and blustering, Trump realized that and despite all advice he received to ignore them, he still went for them. And it worked. Conway and the Sp33dy's and LK's around here were constantly talking about this "silent, hidden Trump supporter base" lurking outside the polling. They were right. ..and these are democratic voters. That has to sting and I hope it does.

Remember how many hoped that Repubs would "learn from 2012" and become more inclusive, less radical, less racist and dismissive of poor people? Think they care about that anymore? Nope. Let's hope the dems, at least, absorb the primary lessons here and make attempts to restore their traditional base. Of course, that all assumes that Trump was just lying to them with empty promises as everyone before him. What if he wasn't? What if, even through dumb luck, these folks lot truly improves in the next couple of years?

Yeah, I don't agree with too much of this. You should check right now and note that Clinton retains a narrow lead in the popular vote. Which means that even if she ultimately loses the popular vote, it will be by a fraction of a percent. This outcome turned on a very narrow percentage of swing voters going for Trump or sitting it out when they normally would have voted democrat. What made the difference here was Clinton's e-mail and all the hacking. Given how narrow Trump's win actually was, I think there can be little doubt about it. If Trump had won by a larger margin, I'd be more inclined to accept these kinds of explanations but these largely phony "scandals" were more than enough to have cost Clinton all of 2 points nationally which would have changed the outcome entirely, in which case, no one would be arguing about white working class resentment or other such theories.
 
Last edited:

agent00f

Lifer
Jun 9, 2016
12,203
1,242
86
That certainly played into it, but you don't fight through that kind of slime by calling those people that would otherwise vote for you a "basket of deplorables." The Clintons navigated through those decades of mud-tossing pretty well, but all the while they were instrumental in re-shaping the party from a progressive, populist, working-class party to a more centrally elitist "big solution" party that stuck to high-minded think-tank socioeconomic experimentation to try and convince those working class stiffs to "learn to be like us!"--upward mobility (your job disappeared because that's what happens in societies; you are probably better off gaining new skills to make yourself competitive in interesting times--you just need to be a harvard-educated master of the universe like us and your life will be better!) rather than address the fact that these people really aren't going to be moving to different places and easily gaining new skills. This is the kind of thing I believe in (well, I don't think anyone can just easily be some harvard-educated MotU) and, to some degree think it's a workable practice if you instead treat people with respect and dignity, work with them in their world rather than tell them what they need to do to be more mobile and change their lives. This election was a kick in the ass for the modern democratic party and they really need to get back to those core values and learn how to talk to their historic base again.

None of this was reflected in the polling, but it is exactly what happened. Hillary could have probably survived that kind of nonsense had she spent more time talking to these people rather than preach at them from afar.

Dems have a legit problem here and it has been brewing for some time. The altright nutters have been saying it and no one listened to them. I don't find it difficult to admit how foolish we were on this because there really is no other way to look at it, when you consider the specific counties and demographics of obama and bernie "change" working class folks that roundly rejected her. These were also Bill people. You can argue all you want that their thinking Trump would fix them was irrational, but they still voted. Their problems are real and they do feel pain. They have repeatedly voted for the simplest message that promises to fix things for them. How hard is it to accept that several decades of these voters hearing hope and change and free trade, supporting it, then either having it bite them in the ass or the hope people just walk away from them once they got their vote, is going to cause real, visceral anger?

For all his faults and all his lies and blustering, Trump realized that and despite all advice he received to ignore them, he still went for them. And it worked. Conway and the Sp33dy's and LK's around here were constantly talking about this "silent, hidden Trump supporter base" lurking outside the polling. They were right. ..and these are democratic voters. That has to sting and I hope it does.

Remember how many hoped that Repubs would "learn from 2012" and become more inclusive, less radical, less racist and dismissive of poor people? Think they care about that anymore? Nope. Let's hope the dems, at least, absorb the primary lessons here and make attempts to restore their traditional base. Of course, that all assumes that Trump was just lying to them with empty promises as everyone before him. What if he wasn't? What if, even through dumb luck, these folks lot truly improves in the next couple of years?

The problem is a democrat/liberal simply can't compete with a trump figure who hammers on the key issue of racial resentment. They still have minority constituencies to worry about.

Fortunately it's still close enough and the demographics continue to slowly swing in such a way that a candidate without some of the personal flaws of clinton will likely overcome it anyway in the future.
 

woolfe9998

Lifer
Apr 8, 2013
16,189
14,102
136
Like I said before the election there cannot be a mandate. The reason I say this is that neither's acceptance was greater than their disfavorability ratings. We had no choice but to elect someone we disliked more than not.

So I agree, this is no great shift in terms of demographics, but maybe a call to self examination? Who can say?

My self-examination tells me to never again support a candidate who can be trashed the way the GOP did with Clinton. In hindsight, I now admit that Bernie would have been the better choice. Not because he speaks to the pain of average Americans or would have been a better president, but because he didn't have the baggage that Clinton had.
 

Svnla

Lifer
Nov 10, 2003
17,999
1,396
126
Oh, one of the news source (CBS News IIRC) said Hispanics/Latinos voted for Trump 29%. Look like the LEGALS did not care much for the ILLEGALS and all of the cryings "racist", "xenophobic" from the ILLEGAL loving crew.
 
Reactions: highland145

GagHalfrunt

Lifer
Apr 19, 2001
25,297
2,001
126
For Trump to win this big many minorities / women / democrats crossed the isle. It's the only explanation.

He didn't "win big". He lost the popular vote and if a few votes in Florida and Michigan went the other way it's President-elect Clinton today. Two battleground states won by razor-thin margins decided this.


The minorites/young democrats didn't cross the Aisle, they simply didn't vote at all. That's all it took. Hilary was so unlikable that minorities and young voters didn't even bother to show up when the alternative was Trump. They just shrugged and stayed in bed.
 
Reactions: ladyjd

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
Total repudiation of Liberalism and the Liberal Agenda / Democrat Party.

We already know the "Right Muricans" are fundamentally incompatible and hostile to liberalism. Its been that way since 1776, they have just been hiding it for a long time.
 

Hayabusa Rider

Admin Emeritus & Elite Member
Jan 26, 2000
50,879
4,266
126
My self-examination tells me to never again support a candidate who can be trashed the way the GOP did with Clinton. In hindsight, I now admit that Bernie would have been the better choice. Not because he speaks to the pain of average Americans or would have been a better president, but because he didn't have the baggage that Clinton had.

I've been following the polls (which are naturally limited in accuracy) for some time. A fascinating pattern appeared in the primaries and that was Hillary and Trump were among the least likely to win a general election. If this had been an occasional fluke then it wouldn't matter, but it was fairly consistent when there was a fair sized pack.

To me that shows a candidate who is fundamentally flawed as a choice. There were others who weren't so inflammatory if imperfect. A few Democratic governors might have won the day against Trump, but party dynamics forbade that matchup. A little more consideration and less getting behind the favored choice and pushing seems like it may have been a better play.

Bernie had one great advantage that neither Hillary nor Trump enjoyed and that was a large independent contingent who looked upon him favorably. In the primary polls he soundly bested Trump, far more than Hillary ever did.

Well it's all academic now I suppose.
 

Mursilis

Diamond Member
Mar 11, 2001
7,756
11
81
BTW, it's looking right now like Clinton may have actually won the popular vote, or lost by an incredibly tiny margin. Which brings into question the notion that this election was some kind of ground breaking demographic shift. This outcome turned on a small number of swing voters in certain states making what IMO was a terrible choice. Which is their right in a democracy. And as another poster has said, it was their choice, and they own the consequences.

I think what you're missing here is the fact that Clinton lost (at least in the electoral college) to TRUMP, arguably one of the weakest candidates any major party has run in the last 100 years. Obama (or Sanders or most any other Democrat) would've beat him like a drum. This was a guy most of his own party snubbed, and seemed to make every political mistake in the book, and he still WON. The GOP practically gift-wrapped this election for the Dems, and they still blew it. She should've won by a majro margin. This result is just huge, IMHO.
 
Reactions: highland145

Mursilis

Diamond Member
Mar 11, 2001
7,756
11
81
My self-examination tells me to never again support a candidate who can be trashed the way the GOP did with Clinton. In hindsight, I now admit that Bernie would have been the better choice. Not because he speaks to the pain of average Americans or would have been a better president, but because he didn't have the baggage that Clinton had.

That's exactly why Sanders would've been a better choice - Bernie "got it" in a way Hilary never did. But then, if you supported the white male, you were obviously sexist, of course.
 
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