Speculation: AMD's response to Intel's 8-core i9-9900K

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PeterScott

Platinum Member
Jul 7, 2017
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Not sure why would they charge more either. Upper bound is "professional" 8-core CPU in the form 7820x that has MSRP of $599. So quite easy to see that Intel will price consumer 8 core lower than that. MSRP of $499 sounds just right to me.

Or maybe Intel will decide to strike hard at AMD and price it @ $400, after all this same company was selling i7 920 for ~$300 when they felt they need to challenge AMD.

Core 2 had already surpassed AMD, and i7 920 for the bottom of the line quad core i7 at $300 does not look like value. Remember there was an 930, 940, 950, and 965 at $1000. So not the greatest example of a Intel offerring a value deal.

Intel could very well charge over $500 for it's top 8 core i7 Coffee Lake, but $500 does seem where they will reasonably enter the fray.
 

Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
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Not to get OT, so please don't run with it, but the price on the 8 core@ (several guesses)about $500 reminds me of when I first got pissed at Intel. Charging $500 for a 486 DX2/66 and then I could get the AMD equivalent for $250 or something like that. Thats what started me on AMD (and I was poor then). Since that day (circa 1990) I have flopped from AMD to Intel back and forth depending on price/performance. Mixed until about 2002, then AMD until about 2006, then Intel until till 2017 (Ryzen, but still a few Intel that year, the Xeon 2683's). Now pretty stuck on AMD for the moment.

Note: If I was a hard core gamer, I would have an 8700K today.
 

JoeRambo

Golden Member
Jun 13, 2013
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Core 2 had already surpassed AMD, and i7 920 for the bottom of the line quad core i7 at $300 does not look like value. Remember there was an 930, 940, 950, and 965 at $1000. So not the greatest example of a Intel offerring a value deal.

MSRP was ~280? That CPU offered well over 100% of top chip performance with OC and served people for years to come. In fact in year 2018 AMD is still struggling to clock Ryzens higher than golden D0 920 went.

How far we go with value estimation? Heck by the standards of this forum, inflation adjusted price of 300A Celeron looks bad.
 
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PeterScott

Platinum Member
Jul 7, 2017
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MSRP was ~280? That CPU offered well over 100% of top chip performance with OC and served people for years to come. In fact in year 2018 AMD is still struggling to clock Ryzens higher than golden D0 920 went.

How far we go with value estimation? Heck by the standards of this forum, inflation adjusted price of 300A Celeron looks bad.

So if we go back far enough, Intel chips were a deal before Overclock locking became a thing is really all that says. Well those days are long gone.

That is completely irrelevant to Intel offering low priced 8 core chip today, which is NOT going to happen.

Just look at the 8086K, $425 MSRP for binned 8700K.

I don't think there is a snowballs chance on Venus, that 9900K 8C CFL is less than $499.

8C CFL will be the top mainstream socket chip at EVERYTHING, and Intel knows it, and will be salivating at the margins it will pull.
 

LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
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So if we go back far enough, Intel chips were a deal before Overclock locking became a thing is really all that says. Well those days are long gone.

That is completely irrelevant to Intel offering low priced 8 core chip today, which is NOT going to happen.

Just look at the 8086K, $425 MSRP for binned 8700K.

I don't think there is a snowballs chance on Venus, that 9900K 8C CFL is less than $499.

8C CFL will be the top mainstream socket chip at EVERYTHING, and Intel knows it, and will be salivating at the margins it will pull.
I don't think you can base anything on the 8086K pricing, It was a short run one off special for the anniversary fan boys who would pay more for it.
It would have cost less if it were the 8750K, imo.
 

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
14,003
3,361
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I believe TR2 16C 32T will launch at $550-599, this could easily be a direct competitor to Core i7 9900K ($499-550??).

But if 9900K will launch in Q4 2018, then AMD will respond with 7nm ZEN 2 in 1H 2019.
 

PeterScott

Platinum Member
Jul 7, 2017
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I don't think you can base anything on the 8086K pricing, It was a short run one off special for the anniversary fan boys who would pay more for it.
It would have cost less if it were the 8750K, imo.

You criticize using the 8086K as any kind of basis, but have nothing against using the i7 920?
 

LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
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You criticize using the 8086K as any kind of basis, but have nothing against using the i7 920?
I don't know anything about the 920. I left PC building in the Prescott days, and came back in around Haswell, and pretty much left again without going past Haswell.
 

dlerious

Golden Member
Mar 4, 2004
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I believe TR2 16C 32T will launch at $550-599, this could easily be a direct competitor to Core i7 9900K ($499-550??).

But if 9900K will launch in Q4 2018, then AMD will respond with 7nm ZEN 2 in 1H 2019.
I don't think you'll see TR2 that low, 1st gen TR maybe. I'd guess $700-$750. I'd like to see a proper workstation board though.
 

StinkyPinky

Diamond Member
Jul 6, 2002
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Pedantic i know, but I don't think their 8 core will be called the 9900k. More like it will be their flagship 8000 series cpu. So i9-8800k or something like that.
 

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
14,003
3,361
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I don't think you'll see TR2 that low, 1st gen TR maybe. I'd guess $700-$750. I'd like to see a proper workstation board though.

Well perhaps not the 16C 32T but a 12C 24T TR2 could be launched at $499-550
 

PeterScott

Platinum Member
Jul 7, 2017
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Well perhaps not the 16C 32T but a 12C 24T TR2 could be launched at $499-550

Pages ago this was my possible suggestion of a bundle pricing of 12C TR1 and TR MB at a pricer "closer" to 9900K + MB.

I see this more like a short term move to both move old TR stock and steal a bit of Intel Thunder on 9900K launch.

Longer term I don't see AMD selling 12C TR2 that low. But marketing is all about the moments.

So this is exactly the move I would make if I were in control of AMD, a nice sale/promotion of TR1 12C right around 9900K launch, hopefully even getting some reviewers to compare 12C TR1 to where TR1 12C, would favorable dispose of 9900K in multithreaded use cases.

Triple benefit: Clear old TR1 stock, Highlight TR platform again, and stick it to Intel on their Launch.

IMO it's the best thing AMD can do without coming up with new CPU HW before the 9900K launch, and it should be obvious they won't be inventing new CPU HW before then.
 
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Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
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This is really comfy thread and sorry if this is OT, but wouldn't the perf/cost delta between the 2600/X and the i5 be quite a bit bigger this round and more significant. Could AMD work down and not up and release a cheaper 8 core there? (Assuming the 1700/1800X wouldn't suffice)

Don't know about the 2300X against the i3-9100 and Intel prob won't release an unlocked i3 for it.
Yes its OT
Markfw
AT Moderator
 

Shivansps

Diamond Member
Sep 11, 2013
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That doesn't make any sense, the 8 core amd processors were giving practically the same performance as a 1000$ 8 core i7 6900k...so 500$ was considered a bargain next to that.
If you didn't want to spend that much you could get virtually the same performance from a 1700x for around 370$...about the same price as Intel's top end 4 core consumer 7700k.
Of course 7700k had no equals in some applications (gaming) but the amd processors had no equals in other apps in that price range either..

Only problem for AMD was there was no need for 3 8 core SKUs with little performance difference between them when overclocked, you can blame the low power process for that.

Thats not the point, the 6900K was not a mainstream market product, the 1800X was, not to mention the whole point of a new tech is to offer better price/perf than an old tech.
The 1800X openned a new tier in price/perf on the mainstream product range, you can now expect both Intel and AMD to start selling the top products there, instead of the <$400...

So of Intel charges $500 for the new top CPU you can pretty much thank the 1800X for that. And i said this on DAY 1 that this may happen.

Not sure if there is a way back now.
 

PeterScott

Platinum Member
Jul 7, 2017
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Thats not the point, the 6900K was not a mainstream market product, the 1800X was, not to mention the whole point of a new tech is to offer better price/perf than an old tech.
The 1800X openned a new tier in price/perf on the mainstream product range, you can now expect both Intel and AMD to start selling the top products there, instead of the <$400...

So of Intel charges $500 for the new top CPU you can pretty much thank the 1800X for that. And i said this on DAY 1 that this may happen.

Not sure if there is a way back now.

9900K 8C will be a unique bigger die and likely carry an i9 or maybe even an Extreme moniker. The naming and positioning are all just marketing games. Intel can charge $500 or way above that, and it has absolutely NOTHING to do with what AMD priced the 1800X MSRP was. Intel didn't need AMD's permission to charge more.

Ultimately Intel will charge whatever they figure the market will bear for 9900K.

I don't think there is any doubt the market will support an 8C CFL based 9900K for $499, and Intel Loves fat margins, so there is little doubt in my mind they will get that for their 9900K.
 

french toast

Senior member
Feb 22, 2017
988
825
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Thats not the point, the 6900K was not a mainstream market product, the 1800X was, not to mention the whole point of a new tech is to offer better price/perf than an old tech.
The 1800X openned a new tier in price/perf on the mainstream product range, you can now expect both Intel and AMD to start selling the top products there, instead of the <$400...

So of Intel charges $500 for the new top CPU you can pretty much thank the 1800X for that. And i said this on DAY 1 that this may happen.

Not sure if there is a way back now.
That's not how it works, for a start 500$ chips are not mainstream, 1800x was not sold as such and is certainly not a mainstream product.
But I get what you mean, it is an SKU based on AMDs mainstream die, the pricing of it is dictated by the market, AMD saw a hole in the market for an 8 core premium product on its mainstream platform, this wouldn't have happened if intel had not kept holding technology improvements back.
The 1800x was a HEDT product with HEDT *lite performance on a mainstream socket, whilst such a product may launch again, it certainly is not mainstream.
Current market would lap up a 8 core coffeelake for 500$, that's because intel has much higher single threaded performance and better gaming performance...next year will be more equal on all fronts and so pricing will determine the top mainstream sku will fall below 400$ imo.
 

Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
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That's not how it works, for a start 500$ chips are not mainstream, 1800x was not sold as such and is certainly not a mainstream product.
But I get what you mean, it is an SKU based on AMDs mainstream die, the pricing of it is dictated by the market, AMD saw a hole in the market for an 8 core premium product on its mainstream platform, this wouldn't have happened if intel had not kept holding technology improvements back.
The 1800x was a HEDT product with HEDT *lite performance on a mainstream socket, whilst such a product may launch again, it certainly is not mainstream.
Current market would lap up a 8 core coffeelake for 500$, that's because intel has much higher single threaded performance and better gaming performance...next year will be more equal on all fronts and so pricing will determine the top mainstream sku will fall below 400$ imo.
Single threaded performance is less than 10%, thats NOT much higher. And gaming is now about 7% or less.
 
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PeterScott

Platinum Member
Jul 7, 2017
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Single threaded performance is less than 10%, thats NOT much higher. And gaming is now about 7% or less.

There are also intangibles like Mind-share. People already pay more for Intel's top 6 core than AMDs top 8 Core, when AMD 8 core beats Intel at most multi-threaded rendering type workloads.

When Intel comes out with it's 8 core that wins at all workloads, they will be able to command an even larger delta.
 
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Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
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There are also intangibles like Mind-share. People already pay more for Intel's top 6 core than AMDs top 8 Core, when AMD 8 core beats Intel at most multi-threaded rendering type workloads.

When Intel comes out with it's 8 core that wins at all workloads, they will be able to command an even larger delta.
Except.... AMD had the 16 core threadripper@$750 last week, and I think the 12 core was like 600 something. When Intel comes out with 8 cores, that do you think the 12 core will be priced at ? almost assuredly less than $600. And aside from single core performance, I think that 12 core would beat Intels 8 core. Its not like the last 10 years when it took 8 cores for AMD to beat Intels 4.

Lets wait and see what happens.
 
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PeterScott

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Except.... AMD had the 16 core threadripper@$750 last week, and I think the 12 core was like 600 something. When Intel comes out with 8 cores, that do you think the 12 core will be priced at ? almost assuredly less than $600. And aside from single core performance, I think that 12 core would beat Intels 8 core. Its not like the last 10 years when it took 8 cores for AMD to beat Intels 4.

Ummm read my post #188 above, and the couple of other times in this thread, that I said 12 Core TR is AMDs best answer to the 8C CFL.

While I expect great deals on 12C TR1, I don't think TR2 will be competing on cost with CFL for desktop. Even at $600 for TR, and another ~$300 for the MB, and the Intel will still be faster for gaming.

As I said it's a good option for AMD to blunt the marketing thunder of 9900K, but I really don't expect huge numbers of desktop buyers to make the switch to HEDT platforms, unless they have a serious NEED for big time rendering.
 

french toast

Senior member
Feb 22, 2017
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Single threaded performance is less than 10%, thats NOT much higher. And gaming is now about 7% or less.
Well Gaming is about 10-12% when both are overclocked..which having looked at a large bench suite of games and removing the outliers like CS:GO is very good for ryzen.
https://www.techspot.com/amp/review/1655-core-i7-8700k-vs-ryzen-7-2700x/page8.html
When not overclocked that pulls the results closer to 2700x, so yes it is not as bigger deal as I thought.

I remember reading a couple of reviews early on that must have shown 2700x in a bad light..as I thought it was closer to 20% average.
Still my point still stands that next year pricing will be close and likely under 400$ IF icelake appears to fight zen2...if not you could see 12 core castle peak 3800x at 500$ just like 1800x.
 
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JoeRambo

Golden Member
Jun 13, 2013
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I remember reading a couple of reviews early on that must have shown 2700x in a bad light..as I thought it was closer to 20% average.

It is 15-25% faster where it matters - in properly CPU bound scenarios. FPS tests do not represent all what matters in gaming ( and contrary to legends, not every 8700K is running CS/GO 24/7 either ).
There are plenty of games where fast CPU shines: simulators, turn based ones, Paradox games like EU4 or Stellaris or Hoi4 and so on.

Try playing something like Warhammer II Mortal empires campaign, and long turn times will make you think: "maybe a generation of gamers were right chasing ST performance dragon for 3-5% generational games, and there are forum guys who think it is okay give up 20-30% of CPU speed???".
 
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