Speculation: Ryzen 3000 series

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Topweasel

Diamond Member
Oct 19, 2000
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Shrink ratio of just under 0.7, clocks up between 12%-13% and power down approximately 10% (ranging between 20% and 5% depending on workload - c.f. Ananadtech with Techreport - could be driver induced variance?).

So without any architecture changes, and assuming no changes in bottlenecks/ceiling sources, AMD should be able to get Zen boost clocks up from 4.0 GHz (1800X) to 4.5 GHz while dropping power from from nominal TDP of 95W to 85W. Sounds alright to me - if not quite the paradigm shift that some were maybe hoping for.
But there is a ton of architecture changes and we don't know how the chiplets without all that IO affects AMD's ability to clock. Also even if people don't like him adores video after the EPYC reveal when talking about Yields. Intel can really wratchet up the clocks because the produce so many chips. The 8086k is a perfect example of the extreme end of that (and the 8400 the other end having specs that let it be a catch all for the lowest common denominator). A lot of AMD's limits on clocks (at least to 200-300mhz) has to do with volumes being low enough that there aren't enough chips to bin much higher. The increased count even if sales are equal of chiplets AMD will be producing should give them some wiggle room to offer models with clocks higher than what the process shrink with no other changes would normally allow.

That said I don't see 5ghz and honestly something like 4.7GHz seems high. Just wanted to comment that there is probably more fluidity in this compared to the Radeon 7 for example.
 

krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
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Shrink ratio of just under 0.7, clocks up between 12%-13% and power down approximately 10% (ranging between 20% and 5% depending on workload - c.f. Ananadtech with Techreport - could be driver induced variance?).

So without any architecture changes, and assuming no changes in bottlenecks/ceiling sources, AMD should be able to get Zen boost clocks up from 4.0 GHz (1800X) to 4.5 GHz while dropping power from from nominal TDP of 95W to 85W. Sounds alright to me - if not quite the paradigm shift that some were maybe hoping for.
We know there is serious changes. Twice as wide fpu units as huge change for a starter. Beefed up all over to feed it. 64 cores on server side. It's going to wreck Intel solutions to pieces at least for some workloads. Obliterate it. That's a certain. We don't know the cache and memory latency figures. And that's what is going to be interesting especially for gaming
 

Atari2600

Golden Member
Nov 22, 2016
1,409
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Yes, I know there are serious changes folks - but we've no barometer for them in this context.

AMD have said 4x the FP performance for EYPC Zen3 - we know half of that is from core count, half from FP width. Does that mean clocks stay the same so the changes are iso-power? To me that is an extrapolation too far as we know many applications don't use AVX - so boost clocks for the most part shouldn't be driven by the FP width change.

With the unknowns, its easier to just using Zen1 as a baseline. Of course, with I/O die etc, its a complete guess, but is it not unreasonable to expect they have not taken a large step backwards.
 

TheGiant

Senior member
Jun 12, 2017
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What making old GPU architecture on a new production node and then overclocking it does have in common with builing new CPU architecture on the same production node???? 7 nm technology is just a "building brick" and you can make anything with any parameters you wish using it.
that is nothing new
the "new" is that for me I have doubts atm that ryzen 3 at 7nm will perform and consume that much less with 7nm
my predictions are
4,5GHz all core boost (cinebench benchmark confirmed)
10% lower power (still around 110W)
difficult cooling (the die is smaller and 256bit wide units are the hot spots)

looking forward to exceeed those specs

I didn't buy the 9900K because of the cooling needed to achieve 10% 1-4Thread more performance than oced 6600K@4,4GHz, otherwise it is an excellent chip
current info about tsmc 7nm isn't that lets say sweet

maybe I am mistaken and the new r3xxxx will be fast as 9900K at 4,7GHz all core with 75W and in the case I am standing in front of the queue of buying it
 

Tuna-Fish

Golden Member
Mar 4, 2011
1,422
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Yes, I know there are serious changes folks - but we've no barometer for them in this context.

AMD have said 4x the FP performance for EYPC Zen3 - we know half of that is from core count, half from FP width. Does that mean clocks stay the same so the changes are iso-power? To me that is an extrapolation too far as we know many applications don't use AVX - so boost clocks for the most part shouldn't be driven by the FP width change.

I keep having to post this slide:

This means that running at the same power, you either get double the cores, or more clocks. Not both at the same time. For peak FP throughput, double the cores matters more than improved clocks, therefore peak throughput is 4x.

IMHO the big question I'm really interested in is clocks when running with =< 8 cores. I'd bet there is substantial improvement, but the exact amount will determine whether they beat Intel in all gaming or not.
 

krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
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I keep having to post this slide:

This means that running at the same power, you either get double the cores, or more clocks. Not both at the same time. For peak FP throughput, double the cores matters more than improved clocks, therefore peak throughput is 4x.

IMHO the big question I'm really interested in is clocks when running with =< 8 cores. I'd bet there is substantial improvement, but the exact amount will determine whether they beat Intel in all gaming or not.
What's your rough expectations for eg. fmax on the 8c model?

What's your expectations on the perf on the memory subsystem?
 

maddie

Diamond Member
Jul 18, 2010
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I keep having to post this slide:

This means that running at the same power, you either get double the cores, or more clocks. Not both at the same time. For peak FP throughput, double the cores matters more than improved clocks, therefore peak throughput is 4x.

IMHO the big question I'm really interested in is clocks when running with =< 8 cores. I'd bet there is substantial improvement, but the exact amount will determine whether they beat Intel in all gaming or not.
Which correlates very nicely with the 7nm GPU and even adding a few more % points increase due to the increased memory bandwidth.

I can't understand the statements that this GPU example portends poorly for Zen2.
 

DarthKyrie

Golden Member
Jul 11, 2016
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Which correlates very nicely with the 7nm GPU and even adding a few more % points increase due to the increased memory bandwidth.

I can't understand the statements that this GPU example portends poorly for Zen2.

They seem to think that a die shrunk GPU has a correlation to what to expect from a CPU designed from the start for 7nm.
 
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Topweasel

Diamond Member
Oct 19, 2000
5,436
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They seem to think that a die shrunk GPU has a correlation to what to expect from a CPU designed from the start for 7nm.

And the performance comparison's are a fallacy anyways because AMD removed 4CU's (64 CU units will be MI60's only). So you are losing 8% of the possible performance in front of the 25% performance uplift.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,167
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Perf/watt improvement of Radeon VII vs Vega 64 is 25-37% despite said lower CU count that give a slight advantage to Vega.

https://www.computerbase.de/2019-02/amd-radeon-vii-test/4/#diagramm-performance-pro-watt-3840-2160

For Zen 2 the numbers are cornered when accounting that the 7nm vs 14nm comparisons published by AMD are for 14LPP and not for the 12nm variant used for Pinnacle Ridge.

Given that a R7 1700 use about 60-65W at 3.2GHz all cores, and that the demoed sample was using 60W at most this point to 4GHz@60W, that is 25% higher perf at same power if it was the same design.

But if there s a MT throughput/Hz Improvement then the frequency is a little lower to cope with the inherently augmented power at same frequency, FI 15% higher throughput/Hz imply scaling down frequency by 5% to keep the same 60W power.

Those numbers imply that MT improvement in Cinebench and vs Pinnacle Ridge, should be within a 13-17% range, moreover due to the relatively high frequency that is probably not in the optimal part of the power curve, i mean that 60W@4GHz imply that the curve has no significant knee up to this frequency, numbers are the same for Epyc 2 despite a much more favourable frequency range.
 

Staples

Diamond Member
Oct 28, 2001
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Not going to read the 1900 replies. But I care for core performance increases. They can put 120 cores in it if they want but the Zen needs to improve on core performance per clock or the 9900K will continue to eat their lunch.
 
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Lovec1990

Member
Feb 6, 2017
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Not going to read the 1900 replies. But I care for core performance increases. They can put 120 cores in it if they want but the Zen needs to improve on core performance per clock or the 9900K will continue to eat their lunch.

well Test was shown that 8/16 ES Ryzen 3gen is almost equal too 9900K in Cinebench r15

https://i.redd.it/q65gpw17wf921.png
 

Topweasel

Diamond Member
Oct 19, 2000
5,436
1,655
136
When Does AMD launch a DDR5 platform? Is that how Ryzen 3000 gets to 16 cores with only 2 memory channels?
Eh I think that is mostly played out. There are some workloads that you should have a certain amount of bandwidth per core. But those aren't the markets AMD is aiming with the client platform. I don't see memory bandwidth holding AMD back from releasing a 16c CPU.
 

TheGiant

Senior member
Jun 12, 2017
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I am the only one seeing absolutely no problem running desktop (really desktop) workloads with 16C/32T pretty much without bottlenecks?
 

Atari2600

Golden Member
Nov 22, 2016
1,409
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I am the only one seeing absolutely no problem running desktop (really desktop) workloads with 16C/32T pretty much without bottlenecks?

No.

I believe >99% of desktop applications will have no problems running on a 16C32T machine and will not be adversely* affected by just 2 DDR4 channels.

*there may be *some* bottlenecking exhibited, but performance will still be a step above the equivalent 12C24T CPU.


[I'd only consider bottlenecking at the memory interface to be a problem if performance is flat or backwards on the next step down in core/threads.]
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,167
3,862
136
GDC
March 18-22, 2019
San Francisco, CA



"Join the AMD ISV Game Engineering team for an introduction to the AMD Ryzen™ family of processors followed by advanced optimization topics. Learn about the Ryzen line up of processors, profiling tools and techniques to understand optimization opportunities, and get a glimpse of the next generation of "Zen 2" x86 core architecture."


https://schedule.gdconf.com/session...software-optimization-presented-by-amd/864865
 

Veradun

Senior member
Jul 29, 2016
564
780
136
GDC
March 18-22, 2019
San Francisco, CA



"Join the AMD ISV Game Engineering team for an introduction to the AMD Ryzen™ family of processors followed by advanced optimization topics. Learn about the Ryzen line up of processors, profiling tools and techniques to understand optimization opportunities, and get a glimpse of the next generation of "Zen 2" x86 core architecture."


https://schedule.gdconf.com/session...software-optimization-presented-by-amd/864865

"glimpse"

I feel lonely on "May 1st" release bandwagon
 

Veradun

Senior member
Jul 29, 2016
564
780
136
Is that really when AMD will launch Matisse? As in, on store shelves?

I assume they want to "make some noise" on the company 50th birthday :>

What's better than a product launch, be it a limited edition SKU or a full lineup?

It could very well be the full disclose with later (the usual month?) availability if not an hard launch. The point is making a proper celebration of a big milestone for a semicon company
 

DrMrLordX

Lifer
Apr 27, 2000
21,805
11,161
136
I assume they want to "make some noise" on the company 50th birthday :>

I certainly hope you're right, but I don't want to get myself too psyched up like that. I'm still thinking June at this point. AMD did say mid 2019.
 
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