Discussion Speculation: Zen 4 (EPYC 4 "Genoa", Ryzen 7000, etc.)

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Vattila

Senior member
Oct 22, 2004
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Except for the details about the improvements in the microarchitecture, we now know pretty well what to expect with Zen 3.

The leaked presentation by AMD Senior Manager Martin Hilgeman shows that EPYC 3 "Milan" will, as promised and expected, reuse the current platform (SP3), and the system architecture and packaging looks to be the same, with the same 9-die chiplet design and the same maximum core and thread-count (no SMT-4, contrary to rumour). The biggest change revealed so far is the enlargement of the compute complex from 4 cores to 8 cores, all sharing a larger L3 cache ("32+ MB", likely to double to 64 MB, I think).

Hilgeman's slides did also show that EPYC 4 "Genoa" is in the definition phase (or was at the time of the presentation in September, at least), and will come with a new platform (SP5), with new memory support (likely DDR5).



What else do you think we will see with Zen 4? PCI-Express 5 support? Increased core-count? 4-way SMT? New packaging (interposer, 2.5D, 3D)? Integrated memory on package (HBM)?

Vote in the poll and share your thoughts!
 
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Exist50

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Markfw

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May 16, 2002
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I assumed it would have to be Bergamo, because Genoa doesn't match your claim. But I should know better by now than to humor them.

Oh, I guess you need to specify decimal places to make you happy. 1.6 times the performance at 0.7 the power for Genoa. Bergamo is the one that 2x and 2x. I mean when its a matter of 5-10% then decimals are required,. At 30-50% or more its kind of not even relevant.

But you will argue any point that does not match your agenda.

If you were a data center manager and bought a CPU/system that was almost 1/2 the performance at even 30%-40% more power, you would not be doing your company a service.
 
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Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
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Isn't it about revenue most of the times anyway?

Maybe Intel may change to units since that's the more favourable number for them.

Most market share reports from 3rd parties are for volume. Pretty sure the companies themselves care more about the revenue, just wanted to point out that what Lisa Su was talking about isn’t the same thing as what most market reports estimate.
 

Exist50

Platinum Member
Aug 18, 2016
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Oh, I guess you need to specify decimal places to make you happy. 1.6 times the performance at 0.7 the power for Genoa.
The 8490H 2P system scored 1027.21 at an average of 568.83W, vs the 9654 2P system with a score of 1580.79 at an average of 449.69W.

In other words, 1.54x the score, at 0.79x the power. So you claimed a 4x perf/watt difference, for what is really a 2.1x difference, and even your "correction" is wrong.

So tell me. Who has the agenda? The one lying about the data, or the one giving it? If you actually want to understand the market dynamics, you need to be working with real data, because that's what buyers use.

But as I said, I'm clearly wasting my time. This is not a new pattern from you.
 
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Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
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Isn't it about revenue most of the times anyway?

Maybe Intel may change to units since that's the more favourable number for them.

By stating that they sold 50% less in volume they just gave a hint of what is going on.

Since their DC revenue didnt shrink by 50% (-40% IIRC), and since AMD is taking marketshare mainly in the higher priced SKUs then this would had involved more than 50% lower DC revenue, yet their numbers are such that they seem to have an higher ASP since 50% lower volume reduced revenue by only 40%...

That s not logical at all, they should had seen way lower volumes in the segment where AMD is dominant, and eventually saved the day with lower priced SKUs, wich would had much reduced their ASP and induced way more than 40% lower DC revenue.

Methink that they flooded the market by selling their higher priced SKU at a big loss, say at -50%, but even at this slaughtered price this is still above their ASP, hence the revenue shrinking less than the volume %age wise.
 
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Abwx

Lifer
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The 8490H 2P system scored 1027.21 at an average of 568.83W, vs the 9654 2P system with a score of 1580.79 at an average of 449.69W.

In other words, 1.54x the score, at 0.79x the power. So you claimed a 4x perf/watt difference, for what is really a 2.1x difference, and even your "correction" is wrong.

So tell me. Who has the agenda? The one lying about the data, or the one giving it? If you actually want to understand the market dynamics, you need to be working with real data, because that's what buyers use.

But as I said, I'm clearly wasting my time. This is not a new pattern from you.

9754 scored 1895 at 385W, why not using this exemple.?.

That s not 4x the perf/Watt but still 2.72x, wich is considerable, dunno how there can be people buying 8490H set ups, have you a logical explanation.?

Because personaly i have none, at least one that would be technicaly motivated...
 
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scannall

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Jan 1, 2012
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Oh, and then comes your trusty OEM salesman and gets you a *nice price* on those new Intel models. "It's a deal, see ya next year".

Business is definitely not objective matter.
The thing is, that Intel sales person isn't selling parts. They are selling relationships. Same person goes to sell to the same company, and the same buyer. They talk about their families, maybe set up a fishing trip, how's life going. Looking good. Congrats on (insert achievement), oh and lets get this nasty 'ol paperwork out of the way. How many did you need again?
 

Thibsie

Senior member
Apr 25, 2017
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I have no evidence to support this, but I would guess he is talking about Intel virtually or literally giving away server CPU's to stop the loss of market share due to their server chips being so inferior at the moment. It is only logical, as AMD has proven in recent benchmarks to exceed Intel in performance by ~100% and use ~50% of the power in doing so. Why else would data centers keep buying CPUs that are inferior and cost them more to run, even at the same price !
You forgot idiocy.
AMD isn't even really compatible. Ya didn't that ?
 
Jul 27, 2020
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They are selling relationships. Same person goes to sell to the same company, and the same buyer. They talk about their families, maybe set up a fishing trip, how's life going. Looking good. Congrats on (insert achievement), oh and lets get this nasty 'ol paperwork out of the way. How many did you need again?
That's how the Sacklers became billionaires.
 

Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
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That's how the Sacklers became billionaires.
Even worse was done by the distributors. But as companies doing $100B US per year, even the justice department had to fold given the fleet of lawyer those companies would through at any court case. The USJD just didn't have the manpower to handle a case that large that would probably take 10 years to prosecute given the mountain of evidence and continuances, etc that would be thrown at them (even though they had a "smoking gun" memo).
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
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A few numbers at VDCZ for the iGPU less 7500F :

 

jpiniero

Lifer
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biostud

Lifer
Feb 27, 2003
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Ooh, Zen 4D might be coming to gaming laptops.
It would be weird if it didn’t at some point. It is low power and high performance.
 
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It would be weird if it didn’t at some point. It is low power and high performance.
The really weird thing is the deafening silence from Intel on their version of V-cache. What's the point of having their own fabs if they can't come up with a competing solution? Raptor Lake with even slower eDRAM would be better than nothing. They can sell BGA versions to their mobo partners with only P-cores and eDRAM and push them as gaming optimized solutions.
 
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eek2121

Diamond Member
Aug 2, 2005
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It would be weird if it didn’t at some point. It is low power and high performance.
I have a Cezanne based laptop, I would upgrade in a heartbeat if vendors can keep weight down while giving us a decent GPU with this X3D chip. My current laptop has a 3070 and is under 4 lbs (~1.8kg), but has a huge bulky charger. Get rid of the bulky charger (weighs probably almost as much as the laptop) and we will be in business.

Something like a 7945X3D/7900S with USB-PD charging and a high refresh rate 16” display would be awesome. Framework has the USB-PD situation under control, so I suspect other vendors will come around soon or maybe framework will step up the specs for their laptops.
 

biostud

Lifer
Feb 27, 2003
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The really weird thing is the deafening silence from Intel on their version of V-cache. What's the point of having their own fabs if they can't come up with a competing solution? Raptor Lake with even slower eDRAM would be better than nothing. They can sell BGA versions to their mobo partners with only P-cores and eDRAM and push them as gaming optimized solutions.
Maybe the benefit is less on the Intel platform?
 
Jul 27, 2020
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Maybe the benefit is less on the Intel platform?
Maybe but the eDRAM access time on Crystal Well was slightly lower than that of DDR3 yet there were gains to be seen.

Now the gap between eDRAM latency and DDR5 latency has widened. I suspect there's benefits to be had but Intel must have rid themselves of eDRAM manufacturing capacity, shortsightedly thinking it had no future use. One of the many brilliant decisions that got them into their current mess of a situation.
 
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Exist50

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Maybe but the eDRAM access time on Crystal Well was slightly lower than that of DDR3 yet there were gains to be seen.

Now the gap between eDRAM latency and DDR5 latency has widened. I suspect there's benefits to be had but Intel must have rid themselves of eDRAM manufacturing capacity, shortsightedly thinking it had no future use. One of the many brilliant decisions that got them into their current mess of a situation.
Crystal Well eDRAM was in the range of 60ns of latency. Better than DDR4/5, maybe, but far from AMD's V-cache. And probably even harder to retrofit into a standard SKU. Doubt we'll see any non-stacked expansion cache from here on. Shame if ADM got canceled.
 
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