Tesla Model Y

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ponyo

Lifer
Feb 14, 2002
19,689
2,811
126
Toyota already makes about 10 million vehicles a year, and their market cap is around 250 billion dollars. Tesla is valued around 700 billion dollars NOW, and currently ships less than a tenth of Toyota's volume. Even projecting ideal growth 10 years out, it's still hard to justify that value.
I give up. You're like talking to a brick wall. I'm the stupid one for even trying to help you.
 

manly

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
11,364
2,373
136
Toyota already makes about 10 million vehicles a year, and their market cap is around 250 billion dollars. Tesla is valued around 700 billion dollars NOW, and currently ships less than a tenth of Toyota's volume. Even projecting ideal growth 10 years out, it's still hard to justify that value.
Don't you get it? By the end of 2020, there will be a fleet of self-driving Tesla robotaxis on the roads minting money for their owners. Soon thereafter, Tesla can jack up the price of FSD to $50k or more and the profits will soar!

p.s. If it doesn't happen like that, don't take Elon literally. He's just lighting a fire under his employees' asses so that they will eventually accomplish his outlandish goals.
 
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Kaido

Elite Member & Kitchen Overlord
Feb 14, 2004
48,518
5,340
136
Not sure how to say it so here it goes. There is no competition because they don't have batteries. Plain and simple. Tesla has been getting ready to be a leader because amongst many things they took care of batteries. Tesla took care of this at many levels.

Now, Tesla did 500K cars during covid. They know what they want to scale up going forward.

All things aside, cars need to be made in great numbers. Every other wanna be competitor does not have enough of battery capacity to compete. Most don't make their own batteries. Those that do, will not be able to compete in terms of numbers of batteries needed.

And there is the Supercharging network, Full Self Driving and software.

I do get this that some folks prefer 120K Tycan because it has buttons and such. No problemo.

Nobody will compete with Tesla for a long time because they don't have batteries.

1, Battery access & production
2, Self-driving software availability
3, Supercharging network

The Model S has a 400-mile battery available in it right now, today, which is someone nobody else has. GM has SuperCruise, but that's limited to LIDAR-mapped stretches of highway. Absolutely nobody has a Supercharger network available, just a regular-charging network. Musk is smart because he took a cue from Bill Gates...Apple had a superior product back in the 80's, but Microsoft sewed up the business market with deals & the consumer market with affordability & everyone just got used to using computers that crashed all the time, because they could afford it, they were marketed at with it, and they used it at work. A huge number of Tesla owners have Enhanced Autopilot & limited Full Self-driving today, so they're already used to it. I suspect it's going to train users in the same way keyless entry trained users...nobody wants to go backwards lol.

I don't know how much higher Tesla's stock will go, but I think the Cybertruck is going to give Tesla a HUGE boost because (1) it's a truck & Americans love trucks, and (2) it's so unique, and people always want the latest cool thing - just look at the $$$ Apple Earpods. Making technology cool = huge sales = big profit! Plus the Semi will come out, which will be a game-changer, especially with the eventual convoy mode feature, and then the Roadster 2.0, which is "affordable" insanity (that thing should really be a million dollars+), and then the $25k Tesla car, which will make electric FSD affordable for the majority of new-car buyers.
 
Last edited:
Reactions: bigi

manly

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
11,364
2,373
136
Third row seat now available for the Y: ($3k option)
The real news isn't that legless midgets can soon ride in the third row.
It's that the previously canceled SR base model is now for sale.
 

Kaido

Elite Member & Kitchen Overlord
Feb 14, 2004
48,518
5,340
136
The real news isn't that legless midgets can soon ride in the third row.
It's that the previously canceled SR base model is now for sale.

I'd imagine common use is for visiting small children (i.e. if your kids brings their friends) or for pets. My buddy has a Model X & those rear seats are not comfortable to sit in as an adult lol. I would definitely want to check out the 3rd-row Model Y seats in person before making a decision. Although if they fold flat (curious to see what drawbacks it has to a 5-seater Y), it may be worth investing in just to have as an available option when needed, as a 7-seat SUV.
 
Dec 10, 2005
24,447
7,379
136
I'd imagine common use is for visiting small children (i.e. if your kids brings their friends) or for pets. My buddy has a Model X & those rear seats are not comfortable to sit in as an adult lol. I would definitely want to check out the 3rd-row Model Y seats in person before making a decision. Although if they fold flat (curious to see what drawbacks it has to a 5-seater Y), it may be worth investing in just to have as an available option when needed, as a 7-seat SUV.
If it can't fit normal-sized people, takes up space, and costs extra money, I don't see the point of getting the 3rd row for the very rare case you may need an extra seat or two.
 
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manly

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
11,364
2,373
136
If it can't fit normal-sized people, takes up space, and costs extra money, I don't see the point of getting the 3rd row for the very rare case you may need an extra seat or two.
From what we currently understand about geometry and the dimensions of the car, even children aren't going to want to sit back there. I'm not entirely joking when I say it's a $3,000 option to transport two legless midgets in row 3. But we'll have to wait until people receive the newly optioned cars to know if there's any utility back there. There's possibly some legroom, but it looks like a hassle to climb back there.

I can almost guarantee now that it won't fit normal-sized adults, certainly not average Americans.
 

Kaido

Elite Member & Kitchen Overlord
Feb 14, 2004
48,518
5,340
136
From what we currently understand about geometry and the dimensions of the car, even children aren't going to want to sit back there. I'm not entirely joking when I say it's a $3,000 option to transport two legless midgets in row 3. But we'll have to wait until people receive the newly optioned cars to know if there's any utility back there. There's possibly some legroom, but it looks like a hassle to climb back there.

I can almost guarantee now that it won't fit normal-sized adults, certainly not average Americans.

Well, if we're measuring the seat gap for the legs...

 

KentState

Diamond Member
Oct 19, 2001
8,397
393
126
Going by that picture, I folded my rear seats down and tried sitting where those cushions would be. To clear the roof, I had to crank my head to the side and my neck, shoulders still hit the glass. Even if it's lowered a few inches, you will be banging your head of the glass and the roof cross beam like a bouncy ball. A child in a booster seat will not fit and I would not be comfortable unless they wore a Hans device and a 5 point harness to hold them in the seat. That's even if they cleared.
 

bigi

Platinum Member
Aug 8, 2001
2,484
154
106
The real news isn't that legless midgets can soon ride in the third row.
It's that the previously canceled SR base model is now for sale.
Yes, you can finally ride there.

Same as with 99% of cars with 3rd row.
 

thecoolnessrune

Diamond Member
Jun 8, 2005
9,673
580
126
Yeah, actually useful 3rd row means Minivan (which is infinitely more useful than most of the vehicles puttering around on American highways), but Americans just can't handle that conversation.
 
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heymrdj

Diamond Member
May 28, 2007
3,999
63
91
I’ll be curious how much shoulder and leg room appear when they get measured in person. By pictures, it’s going to be by far the worst in the midsize segment. Even small midsize offer at least 29” of third row legroom and this appears to be half of that.

As for minivans, at least where we live, they are back in popular demand because SUVs are getting too expensive. I work with a lot of dealers around here and have a friend at every brand in the city, and for those companies that sell vans, they’ve seen sales go up. On a more personal note, when couples friends with kids got an SUV in 2015 (Chevrolet Traverse) they mentioned they were simply priced out of the minivan market. The only thing close to competitively priced was a Nissan Quest and a Kia Sedona. The Honda Toyota options were Spartan in terms of features, and with older kids, they didn’t see sliding doors as good enough of a reason to have a basic cloth interior and last decade head unit when they could get a leather equipped touch screen vehicle with AWD for the same price.
 

KentState

Diamond Member
Oct 19, 2001
8,397
393
126
I’ll be curious how much shoulder and leg room appear when they get measured in person. By pictures, it’s going to be by far the worst in the midsize segment. Even small midsize offer at least 29” of third row legroom and this appears to be half of that.

The problem with those measurements is that they are for a person that can sit directly in the seat. If this is meant just for children, you have to add either a full child seat or a booster. Both of which raise the kid up 6-8" and push them forward 6" or more. I had a booster seat in my '18 Camaro and the top of the seat was nearly at the roof and my daughter had to sit nearly cross legged if a passenger over 5'8" wanted to sit in the front seat. I tried the same seat in my Y where the 3rd row would be (going by the pictures) and any sane parent would not put their kid in that position. I will try to get some pictures this evening to show the fit.
 

heymrdj

Diamond Member
May 28, 2007
3,999
63
91
The problem with those measurements is that they are for a person that can sit directly in the seat. If this is meant just for children, you have to add either a full child seat or a booster. Both of which raise the kid up 6-8" and push them forward 6" or more. I had a booster seat in my '18 Camaro and the top of the seat was nearly at the roof and my daughter had to sit nearly cross legged if a passenger over 5'8" wanted to sit in the front seat. I tried the same seat in my Y where the 3rd row would be (going by the pictures) and any sane parent would not put their kid in that position. I will try to get some pictures this evening to show the fit.

Oh I know, my friends had a booster seat for the youngest for awhile and it went in the second row instead of the third. I’m still with the rear facing seat, so I have my own struggles there with our midsize, mainly if I’m in the passenger seat I have knees in the glovebox.
 

KentState

Diamond Member
Oct 19, 2001
8,397
393
126
Just tried out putting a car seat behind the second row. I realize that the folding seat will drop this by a few inches. However, the seatback was not all the way up and it was hitting the glass hatch. At this height, my daughter at age 4 would have not been able to fit in the seat without it raising up another 4". It also only leaves about 2" between where the seat back hits the glass and the cross member is.

 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,819
29,571
146
Considering worldwide demand is around 60 million annually right now & Toyota is leading with 8 million cars sold...maaaaaaaaaaaaybe lol. I think a few things are going to happen:

1. Competition is going to heat up over the next few years.

2. Other manufacturers are going to offer better stuff. The Model 3 doesn't even have a heated steering wheel, which is flat-out ridiculous for a $40,000 car. I think we'll see a big focus on luxury interiors to differentiate them from the spartan Tesla interiors. I've driven nearly every Tesla model (still looking for a Roaster 1.0 to test drive!) & while they're nice, they're super pared down compared to other cars. I'm mean, I'm a human being, and I like creature comforts. Plus, I'm a dude, and I like cool, unnecessary stuff lol - I mean, just check out the Porsche Taycan electric's interior vs. the Model 3's ultra-minimalist interior:

View attachment 36977

View attachment 36978

3. I think LIDAR is going to make a big splash. GM's Super Cruise will be on over 22 vehicles by 2023, which among other things uses LIDAR-mapped road systems, so whether it's used to power the service or used in the car, it's out there now:


The Sierra truck is getting it soon:


I really like how the steering wheel lights up green to let you visually KNOW you're in self-driving mode:

View attachment 36979

4. Tesla has a tremendous lead in self-driving cars. There are rumors Apple has something up their sleeve. Waymo...who knows. Honestly, I really like the current semi-automated but reliable systems quite a bit. I finally talked my mom into leasing this year, as she doesn't drive a ton of miles, and she got a Rogue that has some legitimately awesome self-driving stuff. I mean, I know Tesla will eventually beat it out, especially with city driving, but reliable adaptive cruise with lane-centering is pretty close to self-driving in practice! Plus the 360-degree camera system is DOPE! I wish Tesla had it (well, I wish Tesla had a HUD too, one can dream!). Ford doesn't have squat on their upcoming Mach-E SUV as far as anything serious self-driving related, given the capabilities. So there's going to be a few years of catch-up here.

My point here is the cost, however. Musk said he's confident they can deliver a $25k car in the next few years. If they can bundle in self-driving with a 300-mile battery for $25k, then yeah, they'll take over the world, because that would be like the new Civic or Corrolla - everyone on the planet would buy one. I'd imagine the current COVID-delivery economic will still be in place, so if they can get the robo-taxi thing going & you can rent out your car to Uber, Walmart, etc. for food & "stuff" deliveries, that would be pretty awesome! Pipe dream right now, but maybe! Haha.

I agree. And if it's not Elon with the Cybertruck or some other future model, I want a manufacturer to build me a car where the interior looks the part. Say, I want some Cyberpunk goodness:






(this is a rendering, I think, not from the game but quite possibly from some custom shop that claims that maybe they will do this for your car, lol)
 

thecoolnessrune

Diamond Member
Jun 8, 2005
9,673
580
126
There's so many rules around Driver Distractions in the US Market it's really hard for these pieces to change. Even in the MBUX reveal the other day for Mercedes' 3 screen, single glass panel dash going in their EQS, they noted how the passenger will be able to watch TV "in some markets". Even HUDs have a very careful balance before their use actually becomes worse, especially if you are already multi-tasking (and boy do we love multi-tasking while driving in America).
 
Dec 10, 2005
24,447
7,379
136
I’ll be curious how much shoulder and leg room appear when they get measured in person. By pictures, it’s going to be by far the worst in the midsize segment. Even small midsize offer at least 29” of third row legroom and this appears to be half of that.

As for minivans, at least where we live, they are back in popular demand because SUVs are getting too expensive. I work with a lot of dealers around here and have a friend at every brand in the city, and for those companies that sell vans, they’ve seen sales go up. On a more personal note, when couples friends with kids got an SUV in 2015 (Chevrolet Traverse) they mentioned they were simply priced out of the minivan market. The only thing close to competitively priced was a Nissan Quest and a Kia Sedona. The Honda Toyota options were Spartan in terms of features, and with older kids, they didn’t see sliding doors as good enough of a reason to have a basic cloth interior and last decade head unit when they could get a leather equipped touch screen vehicle with AWD for the same price.
Americans have largely been suckered into shelling out more to buy large vehicles for rare use cases. Most people don't need a land barge for 2 adults + 2 kids.
 

heymrdj

Diamond Member
May 28, 2007
3,999
63
91
Americans have largely been suckered into shelling out more to buy large vehicles for rare use cases. Most people don't need a land barge for 2 adults + 2 kids.

I think in America, there’s more long distance travel by car than there is in other countries. In my 2019 Terrain, I can fit the folding stroller and maybe two pieces of luggage beside it in the back. Which is better than the 2020 Malibu I tried to stuff the things in. Then I still need the diaper bag and all that. If I had two kids, one of them would be riding with the luggage, which isn’t always the safest if you get in an accident and the luggage flies.

But it does work better if you purposely get smaller items to work with you children and just make do with less. But around here, kids are always being shuttled from activity to activity and all that. I don’t even remember when I saw our friend’s Highlander not filled to the brim, but they have 3 kids.

I really think it comes down to how you travel with the car, but I see a lot of people load then down every day.
 

ponyo

Lifer
Feb 14, 2002
19,689
2,811
126
I knew the 7 seater was coming this year but I wasn't expecting the RWD standard range Y. That caught me off guard. I was expecting the RWD long range Y rather than the standard range. I wonder if Tesla is experiencing battery supply shortage and decided to do the standard range since that uses less battery and they can make more cars. Or maybe Elon figured they would get more sales by having cheaper standard range in the Y lineup.

I might go test drive Model Y next month or two. I'm still going to wait for the Cybertruck but I'm curious about the Y compared to the 3. I thought the 3 was fantastic when I test drove it.
 

sdifox

No Lifer
Sep 30, 2005
96,212
15,787
126
Just tried out putting a car seat behind the second row. I realize that the folding seat will drop this by a few inches. However, the seatback was not all the way up and it was hitting the glass hatch. At this height, my daughter at age 4 would have not been able to fit in the seat without it raising up another 4". It also only leaves about 2" between where the seat back hits the glass and the cross member is.

View attachment 37402
guaranteed ticket if you try that. That's how Goose died.
 

Kaido

Elite Member & Kitchen Overlord
Feb 14, 2004
48,518
5,340
136
I’ll be curious how much shoulder and leg room appear when they get measured in person. By pictures, it’s going to be by far the worst in the midsize segment. Even small midsize offer at least 29” of third row legroom and this appears to be half of that.

As for minivans, at least where we live, they are back in popular demand because SUVs are getting too expensive. I work with a lot of dealers around here and have a friend at every brand in the city, and for those companies that sell vans, they’ve seen sales go up. On a more personal note, when couples friends with kids got an SUV in 2015 (Chevrolet Traverse) they mentioned they were simply priced out of the minivan market. The only thing close to competitively priced was a Nissan Quest and a Kia Sedona. The Honda Toyota options were Spartan in terms of features, and with older kids, they didn’t see sliding doors as good enough of a reason to have a basic cloth interior and last decade head unit when they could get a leather equipped touch screen vehicle with AWD for the same price.

I really wish the Kia Sedona was available in AWD. I'd buy the upcoming 2022 redesign in a heartbeat if it did!







 

Kaido

Elite Member & Kitchen Overlord
Feb 14, 2004
48,518
5,340
136
Just tried out putting a car seat behind the second row. I realize that the folding seat will drop this by a few inches. However, the seatback was not all the way up and it was hitting the glass hatch. At this height, my daughter at age 4 would have not been able to fit in the seat without it raising up another 4". It also only leaves about 2" between where the seat back hits the glass and the cross member is.

View attachment 37402

2022 Kia Sedona minivan redesign:

 
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