Tesla Motors death watch

Page 19 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
Curious, why hasn't the OP created a death watch thread for Amazon? 20 years and it still barely makes a profit.

Not sure but the reasons why Amazon still gets investors despite bad financials is because Jeff Bezos and Amazon are promising to monopolize the distribution and selling industry through outcompeting rival businesses on cost and more than once they have the monopoly they plan on raising pricing on everything since they will own most of the commercial merchant industry.
 

OverVolt

Lifer
Aug 31, 2002
14,278
89
91
Not sure but the reasons why Amazon still gets investors despite bad financials is because Jeff Bezos and Amazon are promising to monopolize the distribution and selling industry through outcompeting rival businesses on cost and more than once they have the monopoly they plan on raising pricing on everything since they will own most of the commercial merchant industry.

The long game.

Or maybe Bezos is just a nice guy and likes doing everything nearly at cost.
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
And there battery production Tesla is bragging about will support the production of 500K (according to this thread) cars per year. Do you know how many tens of millions of passenger vehicles are sold every year around the world? If EVs are the future, the numbers say the future is not Tesla. They will remain a niche player.

Fail. If you can read then go back and see what he actually said about all of this shit.
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
The long game. Or maybe Bezos is just a nice guy and likes doing everything nearly at cost.

LOL

Take a look at how Bezos is working in the space industry. That is another long game with potential enormous profits that will meet or even pass the profits of the Earth oil industry. Lots of risk for individual companies but the industry overall is only going to grow and prosper with enormous size and operations by 2050. There is a lot of political push for granting businesses the right to own celestial property.
 

PricklyPete

Lifer
Sep 17, 2002
14,582
162
106
Regardless of what Tesla does, you people that made money off of them through nothing more than a mouse click, moving money around, are what is wrong with this country. Hard work is what is supposed to be what makes this the land of opportunity. Not random click at the right place at the right time. I know I am old fashioned in thinking you should actually work for a paycheck, but it was how I was raised.

Hopefully this whole thing comes crashing down on the lazy, but I guess there are plenty of baubles in the mean time.


You are not old fashioned, you are uninformed. People have been making money by risking their assets for 1000's of years. The creation of the stock markets didn't suddenly create an atmosphere where the rich got richer without lifting a finger. This has always existed.
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
You are not old fashioned, you are uninformed. People have been making money by risking their assets for 1000's of years. The creation of the stock markets didn't suddenly create an atmosphere where the rich got richer without lifting a finger. This has always existed.

Ignorance, contempt, and bias all work off each other and often those who are that way will go to amazing work just to keep thinking that way.
 

Capt Caveman

Lifer
Jan 30, 2005
34,543
651
126
Losing money at record speed?


I made about 400% return over the span of a month.


I'd love to hear more of your interesting theories about how to read financial statements. So far we've covered:
-Running a net loss every single year since inception is not a bad thing.
-Having negative free cash flow every single year since inception is not a bad thing.
-Relying on government handouts is a sustainable business model.
-Having 50% debt to assets is perfectly normal.

So far, you've proven that you can't read or interpret a financial statement. All of your interpretations above sound in line with a company like Tesla in their infancy stage. Of course, you forgot to leave out their increasing sales, supply that can't be demand thus the need to make large additional capital investments. And when you analyze a cash flow statement, you also need to analyze the P&L and what the company is using their money for.

I guess you've never followed many start-up companies like a start-up Pharma that takes 10+ years to develop a drug and during that whole time is losing billions of dollars, finally is able to commercialize on the drug and takes years to reach the black.. Based on how long Tesla has been in business and what they're doing, they could be losing money for the next several years but you're not intelligent enough to see the long term picture b/c you compare Tesla to McDonalds and other non-comparable companies.

Again, based on your P&N threads, you're laughable. This thread you just created in P&N - http://forums.anandtech.com/showthread.php?p=36917110#post36917110 tells us you must be related to McOwned. Again, high school or college? And yes, you made some great returns in your fake portfolio you have. How are those other stock picks in your fake portfolio doing?
:biggrin:
 
Last edited:

Brovane

Diamond Member
Dec 18, 2001
5,673
1,948
136
And there battery production Tesla is bragging about will support the production of 500K (according to this thread) cars per year. Do you know how many tens of millions of passenger vehicles are sold every year around the world?

If EVs are the future, the numbers say the future is not Tesla. They will remain a niche player.

What is your definition of a niche player? You are throwing that term around a lot. Just want to make sure I understand what sales numbers you are talking about.
 

ultimatebob

Lifer
Jul 1, 2001
25,134
2,446
126
500,000 cars a year puts them in the same range as the North American total annual sales for Kia or Subaru. It's also in the same range as the total North American sales for Audi and Volkswagen combined. Not a bad place for a new car company to be.

Companies like Jaguar and Land Rover would be envious of those sales numbers in the US.
 

rockyct

Diamond Member
Jun 23, 2001
6,656
32
91
I don't ever see myself owning one.

Give it to me for free, I'm selling it.

Electric cars simply limit your freedom. You are limited and the second anything is "unplanned" or out of ordinary happens.....you are screwed.

It still blows my mind that people buy NIssan Leaf too. Thing has about 45k of BTUs (that's less than 1/2 the energy of a gallon of gas). Second you hit traffic or go beyond 15-20 mile range.....good luck getting back.

Just silly.

But I say, more power to Nissan and TEsla for selling these things.
My dad has had a Leaf now for over three years and he still gets about a 60 mile range from the battery. Work is about 10 miles away so he can do an errand on the way home if he wants to. He kept his old 2002 G35 with about 120k miles on it if he needs to do a longer errand after work or the times he leaves town. The Leaf is a pretty nice car considering it's under $20,000 when including tax credits and in CA you get to drive in the HOV lanes. He would never buy it as his only car, but he kept his old car to supplement the Leaf.
 

Dari

Lifer
Oct 25, 2002
17,133
38
91
People are starting to ask questions about Tesla deliveries. The numbers are not adding up. Also, Porsche and Audi have both announced that they will make cars that compete directly with Tesla. I have a Tesla dealership near me on 25th Street and 10th Avenue. A block further west is a huge Porsche dealership. A bit south of that is a dealership that sells hypercars (Koenigsegg, Bugatti, Ferrari, Bentleys, etc...). From my time in those different dealerships, the types that buy a Tesla also buys these cars. For anyone that has sat in a Tesla, the luxury simply is not there. The seats are super thin, for one, and the creature comforts are lacking. The electric cars from porsche and Audi will be in another level, no doubt. Tesla has to step up or sink because the onslaught is coming. 2015 may not be so kind. If you have money in that firm, take it out and short it.
 

Brovane

Diamond Member
Dec 18, 2001
5,673
1,948
136
People are starting to ask questions about Tesla deliveries. The numbers are not adding up. Also, Porsche and Audi have both announced that they will make cars that compete directly with Tesla. I have a Tesla dealership near me on 25th Street and 10th Avenue. A block further west is a huge Porsche dealership. A bit south of that is a dealership that sells hypercars (Koenigsegg, Bugatti, Ferrari, Bentleys, etc...). From my time in those different dealerships, the types that buy a Tesla also buys these cars. For anyone that has sat in a Tesla, the luxury simply is not there. The seats are super thin, for one, and the creature comforts are lacking. The electric cars from porsche and Audi will be in another level, no doubt. Tesla has to step up or sink because the onslaught is coming. 2015 may not be so kind. If you have money in that firm, take it out and short it.

We will have to see what Porsche and Audi actually deliver to compete with the Model S. The proof will be once the production cars start to be delivered. As far as the Model S, yeah the interior isn't all that and it does lack creature comforts. From reviews the new AWD Model S will be having a improved interior. The big wild card that Tesla Motors has going for it is the Supercharging network. The network which is proprietary to Tesla allows people to take a Model S on long trips, beyond the normal EV range. Audi and Porsche don't have something like this for their EV's. I do agree that Tesla stock is over-valued. It doesn't have the fundamentals to justify it's current stock price.
 

Rebel44

Senior member
Jun 19, 2006
742
1
76
People are starting to ask questions about Tesla deliveries. The numbers are not adding up. Also, Porsche and Audi have both announced that they will make cars that compete directly with Tesla. I have a Tesla dealership near me on 25th Street and 10th Avenue. A block further west is a huge Porsche dealership. A bit south of that is a dealership that sells hypercars (Koenigsegg, Bugatti, Ferrari, Bentleys, etc...). From my time in those different dealerships, the types that buy a Tesla also buys these cars. For anyone that has sat in a Tesla, the luxury simply is not there. The seats are super thin, for one, and the creature comforts are lacking. The electric cars from porsche and Audi will be in another level, no doubt. Tesla has to step up or sink because the onslaught is coming. 2015 may not be so kind. If you have money in that firm, take it out and short it.

Wake me up, when they (Porsche, Audi etc.) deliver viable long range EV (which includes either building their own fast charging network or paying Tesla for access to superchargers). They didnt even shown us any prototype, so they are likely to be 3+ years from delivering cars to customers.

Talk is cheap.
 

1prophet

Diamond Member
Aug 17, 2005
5,313
534
126
Never seen so much hate for an American company, building a product in America, sourcing most components in America, employing American workers, while the big 3 are moving more and more of the subcomponents of their products if not the entire production and final assembly of the car itself outside America.

You want this to fail?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_lfxPI5ObM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TEReFPI4jSc

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YVqlZO7tHFE

and the reason the other automakers can't compete is not money or engineering talent but the bean counter, group-think corporate mentality, that holds them back making then vulnerable to disruptive innovation which is common throughout history and can take down even the biggest player.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disruptive_innovation#Practical_example_of_disruption

Regarding this evolving process of technology, Christensen said:
"The technological changes that damage established companies are usually not radically new or difficult from a technological point of view. They do, however, have two important characteristics: First, they typically present a different package of performance attributes—ones that, at least at the outset, are not valued by existing customers. Second, the performance attributes that existing customers do value improve at such a rapid rate that the new technology can later invade those established markets."[15]
Joseph Bower[16] explained the process of how disruptive technology, through its requisite support net, dramatically transforms a certain industry.
"When the technology that has the potential for revolutionizing an industry emerges, established companies typically see it as unattractive: it’s not something their mainstream customers want, and its projected profit margins aren’t sufficient to cover big-company cost structure. As a result, the new technology tends to get ignored in favor of what’s currently popular with the best customers. But then another company steps in to bring the innovation to a new market. Once the disruptive technology becomes established there, smaller-scale innovation rapidly raise the technology’s performance on attributes that mainstream customers’ value."[17]
The automobile was high technology with respect to the horse carriage; however, it evolved into technology and finally into appropriate technology with a stable, unchanging TSN. Main high-technology advance in the offing is some form of electric car – whether the energy source is the sun, hydrogen, water, air pressure or traditional charging outlet. Electric cars preceded the gasoline automobile by many decades and now it returns to people's life to replace the traditional gasoline automobile.
Milan Zeleny described the above phenomenon.[18] He also wrote that:
"Implementing high technology is often resisted. This resistance is well understood on the part of active participants in the requisite TSN. The electric car will be resisted by gas-station operators in the same way automated teller machines (ATMs) were resisted by bank tellers and automobiles by horsewhip makers. Technology does not qualitatively restructure the TSN and therefore will not be resisted and never has been resisted. Middle management resists business process reengineering because BPR represents a direct assault on the support net (coordinative hierarchy) they thrive on. Teamwork and multi-functionality is resisted by those whose TSN provides the comfort of narrow specialization and command-driven work."[19]
 

Drako

Lifer
Jun 9, 2007
10,697
161
106
Driving home tonight down 101 in San Jose, a car carrier truck was hauling 7 Model S down to somewhere. I see that pretty regularly these days. It sure seems like Tesla is doomed. :|
 

Brovane

Diamond Member
Dec 18, 2001
5,673
1,948
136
Never seen so much hate for an American company, building a product in America, sourcing most components in America, employing American workers, while the big 3 are moving more and more of the subcomponents of their products if not the entire production and final assembly of the car itself outside America.

I also don't understand this. There is so much hate against Tesla Motors. With Musk business practice of vertical manufacturing and building as much as possible in-house you would think people would be supportive.

and the reason the other automakers can't compete is not money or engineering talent but the bean counter, group-think corporate mentality, that holds them back making then vulnerable to disruptive innovation which is common throughout history and can take down even the biggest player.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disrupt..._of_disruption

It is funny you mention this. Musk's other company SpaceX has disrupted the launch market so much that European Space Agency is requesting more subsidies from it's member countries to compete with SpaceX. ULA is now discussing working on a entire new rocket design to bring down launch costs to compete with SpaceX. SpaceX doesn't even source rocket engines from Russia or even another US company, they build them in-house themselves which is fairly unique for a launch company. Yet because the US govt is a primary customer of SpaceX, they get criticized. Which is hilarious when you consider that ULA's sole customer is the US govt.



 

AznAnarchy99

Lifer
Dec 6, 2004
14,695
117
106
Never seen so much hate for an American company, building a product in America, sourcing most components in America, employing American workers, while the big 3 are moving more and more of the subcomponents of their products if not the entire production and final assembly of the car itself outside America.

You want this to fail?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_lfxPI5ObM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TEReFPI4jSc

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YVqlZO7tHFE

and the reason the other automakers can't compete is not money or engineering talent but the bean counter, group-think corporate mentality, that holds them back making then vulnerable to disruptive innovation which is common throughout history and can take down even the biggest player.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disruptive_innovation#Practical_example_of_disruption

People don't like change. Remember when the radio or TV was to be the death of us?
 
Dec 30, 2004
12,553
2
76
I think they and the electric might have enough brand recognition right now to float them through this storm.

I wish they should just roll over and put in 3 cylinder diesel for long trips. Unless they implement a battery-exchange subscription program where you drive up, unscrew, screw charged one on, and drive away; I don't see them going very far [over 300miles] from here with it.

Having an exchange program solves acute power demands while charging (1 megawatt) as they would be charged over night, and extends battery life significantly treating them gently.
 

Brovane

Diamond Member
Dec 18, 2001
5,673
1,948
136
I think they and the electric might have enough brand recognition right now to float them through this storm.

I wish they should just roll over and put in 3 cylinder diesel for long trips. Unless they implement a battery-exchange subscription program where you drive up, unscrew, screw charged one on, and drive away; I don't see them going very far [over 300miles] from here with it.

Having an exchange program solves acute power demands while charging (1 megawatt) as they would be charged over night, and extends battery life significantly treating them gently.

They don't need a exchange program when they have Supercharging station. Batteries life is negatively affected by 3 things overcharging, deep discharge and high temperatures. For high temperatures, Tesla has cooling built into the battery pack. For over-charging the computer cuts off charging as max capacity is meet.

What Tesla also does to maximize battery life is the car normally has two settings for battery charging, standard and max range. This means that normally people don't even charge the battery to maximum unless they specifically select it. With the supercharging station spacing you also don't have to charge to maximum unless you want. I don't see Supercharging negatively impacting battery capacity that much with the management tools that Tesla has implemented.
 

ultimatebob

Lifer
Jul 1, 2001
25,134
2,446
126
Sure, I'm going to fly Connecticut to New Jersey for a football game and fly back home. Because people who can afford $80K for a car do that all the time.

You expect people to rent cars to go to meetings? To visit somewhat distant relatives for a single day? For an out of town game? For a trip into the city to see a show?

I can see why you're a Tesla fan. It's a car that isn't built for the REAL world and you don't happen to live in the real world either.

Connecticut to New Jersey is a crummy example to use, as the I-95 corridor has a bunch of Supercharger stations now. You would have to be a moron to run out of power on that trip in a Model S.
 

OverVolt

Lifer
Aug 31, 2002
14,278
89
91
Connecticut to New Jersey is a crummy example to use, as the I-95 corridor has a bunch of Supercharger stations now. You would have to be a moron to run out of power on that trip in a Model S.

If the traffic gets bad enough you'd need a gas station and a super charger every other 2.5 miles for both regular and electric cars :awe:.
 

OverVolt

Lifer
Aug 31, 2002
14,278
89
91
Never seen so much hate for an American company, building a product in America, sourcing most components in America, employing American workers, while the big 3 are moving more and more of the subcomponents of their products if not the entire production and final assembly of the car itself outside America.

You want this to fail?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_lfxPI5ObM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TEReFPI4jSc

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YVqlZO7tHFE

and the reason the other automakers can't compete is not money or engineering talent but the bean counter, group-think corporate mentality, that holds them back making then vulnerable to disruptive innovation which is common throughout history and can take down even the biggest player.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disruptive_innovation#Practical_example_of_disruption

Probably all the investors throwing billions his way?
 

Dari

Lifer
Oct 25, 2002
17,133
38
91
Never seen so much hate for an American company, building a product in America, sourcing most components in America, employing American workers, while the big 3 are moving more and more of the subcomponents of their products if not the entire production and final assembly of the car itself outside America.

You want this to fail?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_lfxPI5ObM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TEReFPI4jSc

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YVqlZO7tHFE

and the reason the other automakers can't compete is not money or engineering talent but the bean counter, group-think corporate mentality, that holds them back making then vulnerable to disruptive innovation which is common throughout history and can take down even the biggest player.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disruptive_innovation#Practical_example_of_disruption

We are Americans. We are tough on each other. That's part of what makes us a great nation. Never, ever rest on your laurels.
 
sale-70-410-exam    | Exam-200-125-pdf    | we-sale-70-410-exam    | hot-sale-70-410-exam    | Latest-exam-700-603-Dumps    | Dumps-98-363-exams-date    | Certs-200-125-date    | Dumps-300-075-exams-date    | hot-sale-book-C8010-726-book    | Hot-Sale-200-310-Exam    | Exam-Description-200-310-dumps?    | hot-sale-book-200-125-book    | Latest-Updated-300-209-Exam    | Dumps-210-260-exams-date    | Download-200-125-Exam-PDF    | Exam-Description-300-101-dumps    | Certs-300-101-date    | Hot-Sale-300-075-Exam    | Latest-exam-200-125-Dumps    | Exam-Description-200-125-dumps    | Latest-Updated-300-075-Exam    | hot-sale-book-210-260-book    | Dumps-200-901-exams-date    | Certs-200-901-date    | Latest-exam-1Z0-062-Dumps    | Hot-Sale-1Z0-062-Exam    | Certs-CSSLP-date    | 100%-Pass-70-383-Exams    | Latest-JN0-360-real-exam-questions    | 100%-Pass-4A0-100-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-300-135-exams-date    | Passed-200-105-Tech-Exams    | Latest-Updated-200-310-Exam    | Download-300-070-Exam-PDF    | Hot-Sale-JN0-360-Exam    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Exams    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-JN0-360-exams-date    | Exam-Description-1Z0-876-dumps    | Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps    | Dumps-HPE0-Y53-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-HPE0-Y53-Exam    | 100%-Pass-HPE0-Y53-Real-Exam-Questions    | Pass-4A0-100-Exam    | Latest-4A0-100-Questions    | Dumps-98-365-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-98-365-Exam    | 100%-Pass-VCS-254-Exams    | 2017-Latest-VCS-273-Exam    | Dumps-200-355-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-300-320-Exam    | Pass-300-101-Exam    | 100%-Pass-300-115-Exams    |
http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    | http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    |