I’m going to say something shocking and controversial. I believe anyone with a 2600k or above will likely be fine for the next 3-4 years, assuming the system has 16+ GB of RAM and a 980 Ti or above. I’ll tell my upgrade plans a little later in this post, but I’m still skeptical that 6+ cores will be a hard requirement in this timeframe.
It took forever for games to fully take advantage of 4 cores and we are just seeing 6+ cores being used over the last couple of years. Even still, the 2600k and above are having no real issues with games at 1080P as long as the graphic card is a 900 series or above. I had this debate with someone earlier this year who insisted that PC sales would “explode” this year and all this new, hex core+ loving software would be pouring out of the orifices of every developer alive because of the renewed competition due to Ryzen. But let’s look at the facts: 1) PC sales are still declining; Gartner said we may see a single-digit overall increase in sales this year in the “PC” category, but they attribute that to corporate upgrades and mobile products. 2) Big, AAA games for the PC seem to be getting more rare. 3) We’ve had hex core CPUs since what, 2009 or 2010, and games taking advantage of the extra cores are still relatively rare. In terms of productivity, there are obviously more packages using more cores, but the big driver of what will be “standard” will be business refreshes in the next few years. Most businesses I see deploy i5 machines and I am not entirely convinced we will see 8 core i5s in 3 years and with i3s being beefed up, businesses may start deploying those instead.
As far as my plans go, I’ve got my 8-core machine (Ryzen 1700x), 12-core machine (dual Xeon 2620 server), and of course the legendary i7-2600k. For me, the 2600k can probably serve as my main machine for another 2-3 years. But at over 6 years old, with many of those years seeing 12-18 hours of daily usage with a 1 Ghz overclock, I wonder how much longer the hardware will actually survive unscathed. I’ve got an 8700k on preorder because I think I have to draw a line in the sand at some point after years of canceling upgrade plans. Yeah, I’d love an 8+ core i7 or i9, but the 8700k should handily outperform them in most games and I can get the CPU, board, and RAM for less than the cost of an i9. When I bought my 2600k in 2011, I thought 8-core CPUs would be mainstream by my next scheduled upgrade in 2014. Oh, how wrong I was!
Even still, there’s this little voice screaming in the back of my head to hold out a few more months to see if an 8-core CFL materializes.....