The Great American Single-Family Home Problem

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Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
That's true, the longest I lived in the same house was for 19 years.

As for my sympathy for grandma and grandpa, the idea that they are now forced to live in a box on the street corner is absolute laughable bullshit. Remember after all, the reason why their property taxes are going up so much as to send them into this imagined destitution is because their house has enormously increased in value. While my heart breaks for these people and like all good Americans I hate these evil hipsters (who have to live with 5 roommates because grandma and grandpa wouldn't let the city zone for greater density), I bet grandma and grandpa can salve their hurt feelings due to the enormity of the financial windfall that will by itself eclipse what most Americans spend a lifetime attempting to save.



Well I can't speak for other laws but I personally see little value in taxing someone less based on how long they've lived at their particular address. What that does is shift the tax burden from older residents who are (generally) better off financially onto younger, less wealthy residents. It's the opposite of what we should be doing.

Wealthy people tend to be older but seniors don't tend to be high income but rather fixed income. The key to being able to retire & get out of the way is low overhead. The problem is that cost increases over the years eat into that in no small way.

I'm still struggling to see the huge problem here. Those people are being 'taxed out of their homes' because something they bought for $50,000 is now worth $600,000 or more. Maybe the right answer is to say 'sorry you have to move, here's $600,000 as compensation.'

It'll cost them $600K to buy another in the same area.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,593
7,653
136
So NIMBY locals are eventually going to destroy their own home equity, but in the meantime they are raking it in.

But you're telling them to move out and demo their homes anyway... to make room for apartment buildings. Maybe they want to keep their homes regardless of equity.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
Wealthy people tend to be older but seniors don't tend to be high income but rather fixed income. The key to being able to retire & get out of the way is low overhead. The problem is that cost increases over the years eat into that in no small way.

And one of the keys in retirement is also having sufficient savings. $600,000 I’m additional capital goes a long way towards that.

It'll cost them $600K to buy another in the same area.

Darn, they might have to either rent in that area where the proceeds from their windfall will likely cover most or all of the costs of renting or they will have to buy somewhere else more reasonably priced and then have a larger retirement nest egg than the vast majority of Americans simply because of where they bought a house a few decades ago.

There is no magical eternal right to live in an area just because you bought a house there a few decades back. The idea that low or negative net worth people should have to subsidize high net worth people in order to prevent them from having to realize their extraordinary profits is ridiculous nonsense.

If simply wanting to live in the house is what they are after and it’s not to keep their inflated house price AND not pay taxes on it then I’ve got a great deal for people. Let’s repeal prop 13 and I’ll personally guarantee some elderly person that they won’t pay any more in property taxes than they do today. The caveat is that when they die I get their house. Since it’s not about money this should be fine, right?
 

IronWing

No Lifer
Jul 20, 2001
69,551
27,857
136
^ This is a ridiculous argument. People living in a nice area should just get out of the way of folks who want to make a quick buck trashing it. On this issue, you've gone through the looking glass. Your argument has gone from "these folks need to allow their neighborhoods to be trashed to make room for folks who can't afford to live there" to "If these folks can't afford to live there, they need to leave".


BTW, I think Prop 13 is horrible policy, but that is a different discussion.
 
Last edited:
Reactions: VirtualLarry
Dec 10, 2005
24,448
7,386
136
But you're telling them to move out and demo their homes anyway... to make room for apartment buildings. Maybe they want to keep their homes regardless of equity.
The bigger issue with NIMBYism is not people looking to demo their home for building a multifamily building. It comes into play mainly in the downtown areas near mass transit (think areas within walking distance to a commuter rail). Transit-centered building would encourage younger people to move out and allow for people of fewer means to live in areas within reasonable commute distances of their jobs.

Right now, municipalities are dragging their feet on these downtown rezoning projects and communities come up with all sorts of BS excuses to stop it. They want to keep the door shut after they've already moved in.

Historically, zoning laws against multifamily homes has also been a way to keep poorer and minority groups out of communities, perpetuating de facto segregation and systemic income inequality issues with respect to public services.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
^ This is a ridiculous argument. People living in a nice area should just get out of the way of folks who want to make a quick buck trashing it. On this issue, you've gone through the looking glass.

BTW, I think Prop 13 is horrible policy, but that is a different discussion.

You think it is a ridiculous argument that people should pay property taxes on the actual value of their property?

That is the argument in a nutshell. ‘I’ve lived here for awhile therefore my property taxes should be lower than yours for the same property.’
 

IronWing

No Lifer
Jul 20, 2001
69,551
27,857
136
You think it is a ridiculous argument that people should pay property taxes on the actual value of their property?

That is the argument in a nutshell. ‘I’ve lived here for awhile therefore my property taxes should be lower than yours for the same property.’
You're conflating two issues. One is equitable taxation where we are probably in agreement and the other is zoning where we disagree.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
Not necessarily. They could downsize, they could move to a neighboring community where prices aren't as high, etc...

They'll have to downsize to pay the moving expenses & the realtor fees along with the property taxes.

If we want places to build high density housing that are close in then we can exercise eminent domain over places like the Denver Country Club golf course.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
You're conflating two issues. One is equitable taxation where we are probably in agreement and the other is zoning where we disagree.

Well that’s good to hear at least as they both contribute to the housing crisis.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
They'll have to downsize to pay the moving expenses & the realtor fees along with the property taxes.

If we want places to build high density housing that are close in then we can exercise eminent domain over places like the Denver Country Club golf course.

Man, these poor people have really fallen on hard times now that they’ve been saddled with a 1200% return on their investment. Better tax people up to their eyes in student loans more to help them out.
 

FIVR

Diamond Member
Jun 1, 2016
3,753
911
106
Prop 13 indeed is pretty dumb. It will have to be changed eventually. The ridiculous lack of high density housing in the bay area is already causing issues for the companies that currently base their operations there.
 

Corn

Diamond Member
Nov 12, 1999
6,389
29
91
The article ignores any discussion of Prop 13 in CA. This law sets property taxes at 1% of the assessed value of the property at the time the law was passed in 1978. There is no reassessment until the home gets sold. People can pass their property on to their kids without triggering a reassessment. Today a typical home in the bay area will sell for ~$1.5 million. But the owner would be paying property taxes equal to 1% of say $90,000, the value of their home in 1978. $900 per year in property taxes for a property worth $1.5 million. Only in California.

Bottom line: no one wants to sell their homes here. They hold on to them as long as possible to keep the low tax rate, and many leave their homes to their kids. This shrinks supply in the housing market and keeps prices way up.

Why is it necessary to lie? There was no hard cap on taxable values, it was limited to inflation or 2% per year. No one in CA is paying property taxes on their homes at their 1978 assessment.
 
May 13, 2009
12,333
612
126
People need to quit having so many damn kids. We have reached the breaking point. The ecosystem is collapsing in on itself. Mass extinctions, global warming, traffic jams at nearly any hour, etc.. Won't be long until there are serious water and food shortages. All the while these inconsiderate people think they and their little runny nose kids are so special. So special they need 4 kids.
 
Reactions: FIVR

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,885
34,849
136
The bigger issue with NIMBYism is not people looking to demo their home for building a multifamily building. It comes into play mainly in the downtown areas near mass transit (think areas within walking distance to a commuter rail). Transit-centered building would encourage younger people to move out and allow for people of fewer means to live in areas within reasonable commute distances of their jobs.

Right now, municipalities are dragging their feet on these downtown rezoning projects and communities come up with all sorts of BS excuses to stop it. They want to keep the door shut after they've already moved in.

Historically, zoning laws against multifamily homes has also been a way to keep poorer and minority groups out of communities, perpetuating de facto segregation and systemic income inequality issues with respect to public services.

This.

Even big cities have been relatively slow to actually embrace transit oriented development (TOD) that reduce or eliminates parking minimums. My city dipped it's toe in a few years back and unleashed a bunch of pent up demand in under built/neglected areas next to heavy rail transit. There was a lot of skepticism but did it anyway and there have been few problems. They even expanded the radius a couple years ago because it's worked so well. Then again we're somewhat less resistant to some of these changes since the city has always been about change, including when the whole thing burned to the ground. Hell now you can even simply buy a FAR bonus from the city which would be unfathomable in any other place I can think of.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,885
34,849
136
People need to quit having so many damn kids. We have reached the breaking point. The ecosystem is collapsing in on itself. Mass extinctions, global warming, traffic jams at nearly any hour, etc.. Won't be long until there are serious water and food shortages. All the while these inconsiderate people think they and their little runny nose kids are so special. So special they need 4 kids.

US birth rate is below replacement now. Traffic is more about the move to urban/suburban areas and abandonment of rural America.
 
Reactions: pmv

FIVR

Diamond Member
Jun 1, 2016
3,753
911
106
People need to quit having so many damn kids. We have reached the breaking point. The ecosystem is collapsing in on itself. Mass extinctions, global warming, traffic jams at nearly any hour, etc.. Won't be long until there are serious water and food shortages. All the while these inconsiderate people think they and their little runny nose kids are so special. So special they need 4 kids.

This is true, but there is another option.


We need more wars. We are in a 30-year war drought and it's causing an overabundance of people. If we had more conflicts we could cull maybe 1-2 Billion people and afterwards everyone would be happier once they got over their PTSD.


People don't realize but WWII was probably the best thing that could've happened for the planet. It killed off millions of Nazis and all sorts of other people who otherwise would've lived on to produce tons of trash and we'd probably have been where we are now in the 80s in terms of crowding and pollution.
 

FIVR

Diamond Member
Jun 1, 2016
3,753
911
106
What is the saying - "Too many cooks spoil the stew"?


It should be "too many people spoil the planet"

I guess as an alternative to war, a Plague or two would fix things around here.
 

FIVR

Diamond Member
Jun 1, 2016
3,753
911
106
US birth rate is below replacement now. Traffic is more about the move to urban/suburban areas and abandonment of rural America.

We are already 150 Million people over where we should be. Replacement means things never get better.


We should look to Japan to guide us. They know exactly how to get their population to stop having children and start improving the environment around them.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
And one of the keys in retirement is also having sufficient savings. $600,000 I’m additional capital goes a long way towards that.



Darn, they might have to either rent in that area where the proceeds from their windfall will likely cover most or all of the costs of renting or they will have to buy somewhere else more reasonably priced and then have a larger retirement nest egg than the vast majority of Americans simply because of where they bought a house a few decades ago.

There is no magical eternal right to live in an area just because you bought a house there a few decades back. The idea that low or negative net worth people should have to subsidize high net worth people in order to prevent them from having to realize their extraordinary profits is ridiculous nonsense.

If simply wanting to live in the house is what they are after and it’s not to keep their inflated house price AND not pay taxes on it then I’ve got a great deal for people. Let’s repeal prop 13 and I’ll personally guarantee some elderly person that they won’t pay any more in property taxes than they do today. The caveat is that when they die I get their house. Since it’s not about money this should be fine, right?

You really don't get it. The value of the house doesn't matter if the mortgage is paid off & the owner has no desire to move. It's a nice place to live at a very low monthly price. Well, unless high property taxes drive you out as the value of your fixed income diminishes. That's why older seniors' homes deteriorate, because they can't afford the upkeep & can't really do it themselves. They end up taking out reverse mortgages to make ends meet every month, anyway. What looked like a decent retirement 20 years ago really isn't today.

All of which is peripheral to the OP, anyway, and the nimbyism described. From the description, the developer would actually improve the neighborhood. It won't change the neighborhood much at all unless the practice becomes widespread & even that will require decades.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,593
7,653
136

Someone here presented this to me once before. To what end, you want to argue that it's stable, or too small to matter?
This very topic suggests it matters a great deal to cause stress over resources, such as land.

And if you don't coach the numbers and hide them behind a tiny sounding statistic, they can speak for themselves.
It's a net gain of +100 million in my lifetime.

 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
Someone here presented this to me once before. To what end, you want to argue that it's stable, or too small to matter?
This very topic suggests it matters a great deal to cause stress over resources, such as land.

And if you don't coach the numbers and hide them behind a tiny sounding statistic, they can speak for themselves.
It's a net gain of +100 million in my lifetime.


Yes, population growth rate has been much greater in the past-



http://avondaleam.com/us-population-growth-rate/

We're currently not much above replacement rate. Given the high efficiency of modern capitalism the only way ordinary people get ahead is with growth. Otherwise they hoover the cash right out of us. Even then we come out on the hind teat. 90% of the fruits of growth go to the top 1%.
 
Reactions: pmv
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