The Hurricane Rita Thread

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Aug 23, 2000
15,509
1
81
If this thing hits NO then all that will be left is Burboun Street. They can still have Mardi Gras since it is one of the few places in the city that is above sea level.
 

Ikonomi

Diamond Member
Dec 19, 2003
6,056
1
0
Originally posted by: Viper0329
Hey guys.

I've had enough of this hurricane season. It's crazy that I'm directly affected by both Katrina and Rita. I go to school in Covington, Louisiana, and we where hit really hard by Katrina and have just gotten life quasi back to normal. Just when I think it's over, Rita is going to hit my home town (Lake Charles, LA) really hard. My family is attempting to evacuate here to Covington, but traffic isn't moving. The school has opened up an empty dorm for my family and other people. Keep us in your thoughts and prayers as the next few days go on. I'd really just like to have a normal life right now, and I pray I still have a house this weekend.

Jeff

Hey, I'm from Lake Charles, too. Looks like you guys are going to get the bad side of the storm now.
 

Viper0329

Platinum Member
Oct 12, 2000
2,769
1
0
Originally posted by: Ikonomi
Originally posted by: Viper0329
Hey guys.

I've had enough of this hurricane season. It's crazy that I'm directly affected by both Katrina and Rita. I go to school in Covington, Louisiana, and we where hit really hard by Katrina and have just gotten life quasi back to normal. Just when I think it's over, Rita is going to hit my home town (Lake Charles, LA) really hard. My family is attempting to evacuate here to Covington, but traffic isn't moving. The school has opened up an empty dorm for my family and other people. Keep us in your thoughts and prayers as the next few days go on. I'd really just like to have a normal life right now, and I pray I still have a house this weekend.

Jeff

Hey, I'm from Lake Charles, too. Looks like you guys are going to get the bad side of the storm now.


Yeah, that's what I'm afraid of. I have some friends' families that are probably going to ride out the storm. I just wish I could persuade them to leave. It's not the hurricane itself that I'm worried about, but it's the 3 and 4 days after it that make life so tough. If there's a hole in a roof, there's no place to buy tarps. If you need medicine or emergency services, there are none. No phones, no way to buy food or anything else, etc. etc. etc. It's just not a good idea. This I learned from Katrina just 3 weeks ago. Life wasn't exactly a walk in the park the week following that storm.
 

Ikonomi

Diamond Member
Dec 19, 2003
6,056
1
0
Originally posted by: Viper0329
Originally posted by: Ikonomi
Originally posted by: Viper0329
Hey guys.

I've had enough of this hurricane season. It's crazy that I'm directly affected by both Katrina and Rita. I go to school in Covington, Louisiana, and we where hit really hard by Katrina and have just gotten life quasi back to normal. Just when I think it's over, Rita is going to hit my home town (Lake Charles, LA) really hard. My family is attempting to evacuate here to Covington, but traffic isn't moving. The school has opened up an empty dorm for my family and other people. Keep us in your thoughts and prayers as the next few days go on. I'd really just like to have a normal life right now, and I pray I still have a house this weekend.

Jeff

Hey, I'm from Lake Charles, too. Looks like you guys are going to get the bad side of the storm now.


Yeah, that's what I'm afraid of. I have some friends' families that are probably going to ride out the storm. I just wish I could persuade them to leave. It's not the hurricane itself that I'm worried about, but it's the 3 and 4 days after it that make life so tough. If there's a hole in a roof, there's no place to buy tarps. If you need medicine or emergency services, there are none. No phones, no way to buy food or anything else, etc. etc. etc. It's just not a good idea. This I learned from Katrina just 3 weeks ago. Life wasn't exactly a walk in the park the week following that storm.

Do you know anything about the evacuation situation around Lake Charles and the western part of Louisiana? The projections didn't show the hurricane going near LA until last night... Have a lot of people already evacuated over there? Or are most planning to ride it out?

At least it's weakening.
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
Houston airport is backing up. Too few screeners left. Guess the rest have evacuated.

Rita weakens to a Cat 4 (150mph winds)

AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.2 WEST OR ABOUT 435 MILES...700
KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 430 MILES...695 KM...
SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.

DATA FROM A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR... WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS NOW A STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS BUT RITA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AN EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS HURRICANE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER
PLANE WAS 915 MB...27.01 INCHES.



No new updates on the 3-day projection cone.
 

Mermaidman

Diamond Member
Sep 4, 2003
7,987
93
91
Originally posted by: Jamie571

Originally posted by: jndietz
if you ask me, it looks like its going to go into new orleans.

view this:
oh snap

Ya know thats the best place for it to hit, I mean the city is already evacuated and most structures are destoryed. It just seems like it would be the less costly in loss of life and propery damage.
That's an interesting perspective. Good point.
 

Cuda1447

Lifer
Jul 26, 2002
11,757
0
71
Originally posted by: ViRGE
Originally posted by: Nik
What is the theoretical maximum? Are we talking, like, Jupiter's giant tornado potential?
For an Atlantic hurricane, the practical maximum is going to be around 890mb and 180mph winds sustained, and this is only for a short period of time. The Atlantic can't support anything bigger.

When you say the atlantic can't support anything bigger... what do you mean exactly? Is it that there is not enough heat to fuel it to go any faster? Or is it something completely different?
 

digitalsm

Diamond Member
Jul 11, 2003
5,253
0
0
Originally posted by: conjur
Houston airport is backing up. Too few screeners left. Guess the rest have evacuated.

Rita weakens to a Cat 4 (150mph winds)

AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.2 WEST OR ABOUT 435 MILES...700
KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 430 MILES...695 KM...
SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.

DATA FROM A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR... WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS NOW A STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS BUT RITA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AN EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS HURRICANE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER
PLANE WAS 915 MB...27.01 INCHES.



No new updates on the 3-day projection cone.

Its weakening because its in the process of rebuilding its eye wall. The thought is it will make landfall before completing the cycle. If it completes the cycle before landfall, the pressure is there were it could easily become a cat 5 again.
 

Sukhoi

Elite Member
Dec 5, 1999
15,332
95
91
Question here...why is everyone on the freeways? Why not take the county roads, or even smaller roads? I'd certainly rather go 45 MPH on a country road for a few hours than 5-10 MPH in bumper-to-bumper freeway traffic. Or are the evacuees just that stupid?
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
5PM Eastern update...further weakening...ending an ERC?


AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST OR ABOUT 405 MILES...
650 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 390 MILES... 630
KM...SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF RITA WILL BE APPROACHING THE
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST LATE FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. RITA IS A EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 205 MILES...335 KM. ANYTROPICAL STROM FORCE WINDS IN THE NEW
ORLEANS AREA ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO A FEW SQUALLS
ASSOCIATED WITH QUICKLY MOVING RAINBANDS. AT 3 PM CDT...A NOAA BUOY
REPORTED A 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND OF 89 MPH...143 KM/HR WITH A GUST
TO 112 MPH...180 KM/HR.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS
913 MB...26.96 INCHES.



Shifting further up the coast. Houston in the clear, relatively speaking?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/204626.shtml?3day?large



Looks like an ERC is ending and there's some shear on the far northern side (from that high-pressure above)?

Something tells me this time tomorrow, she'll be back to near Cat 5 strength.
 

ViRGE

Elite Member, Moderator Emeritus
Oct 9, 1999
31,516
167
106
Originally posted by: conjur
Something tells me this time tomorrow, she'll be back to near Cat 5 strength.
Ya, with the end of the cycle and the improvement in organization(not to mention the low pressure), it seems highly unlikely she'll stay at 145mph for the next 12 hours.
 

JohnCU

Banned
Dec 9, 2000
16,528
4
0
I want some more info from the person who said the max that the atlantic could support is 890mb.

also,watch this

I swear it looks like it keeps going a little more north each update.
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
Originally posted by: JohnCU
I want some more info from the person who said the max that the atlantic could support is 890mb.

also,watch this

I swear it looks like it keeps going a little more north each update.
Looks like the ERC is near completion.
 

ViRGE

Elite Member, Moderator Emeritus
Oct 9, 1999
31,516
167
106
Originally posted by: JohnCU
I want some more info from the person who said the max that the atlantic could support is 890mb.
890ish is simply all it can support according to all past records. The lowest recorded hurricane is 888mb(and that was 70 years ago), and the lowest recorded in modern times is 892. Hurricanes that drop below 900 have never been able to hold that kind of pressure for over a day anyhow, ergo 890 is the floor of what the Atlantic is considered to be capable of supporting. The fact that the water required to sustain sub-900 pressures is in the relatively small gulf/Caribbean also prevents growth by limiting the size of a storm.
 

NikPreviousAcct

No Lifer
Aug 15, 2000
52,763
1
0
SH|T. My coworker is sitting on the tarmac in Houston right now and the pilot's trying to get clearance and having a hard time. Pilot doesn't know whether he'll be allowed to take off or not. I was just talking to her and the pilot came over the PA saying that if they aren't allowed to leave, they'll put everybody up in hotels. I didn't think the hurricane was close to hitting houston yet, though maybe it's some other weird reason.
 
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