The Rise and Fall of AMD.

Page 9 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

Puppies04

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2011
5,909
17
76
Intel doesnt have to force amd out of the large segments of the market. AMD has managed to do that to itself with poor performance at the mid range and high end, and pretty much forced itself out of the most profitable market (servers) with poor performance per watt, even though their flagship chip was supposed to be great for servers.

One could argue that intel had a hand in AMDs decline although looking at how things have progressed I doubt they would be in a much better position if things had progressed in a more "natural" way.
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
3,974
0
76
Look at the root of the issue. If they had a well-priced, decent-performing more powerful option for a standard 15'' laptop, partners would not be looking to stuff a Brazos in there to begin with.

Exactly, they don't. And until they have an escape route they must make money to pay the bills. And while selling Brazos is damaging to the brand, not selling Brazos is far more damaging. Selling Brazos damages the brand, not selling Brazos puts in danger the very survival of the company
 

exar333

Diamond Member
Feb 7, 2004
8,518
8
91
Exactly, they don't. And until they have an escape route they must make money to pay the bills. And while selling Brazos is damaging to the brand, not selling Brazos is far more damaging. Selling Brazos damages the brand, not selling Brazos puts in danger the very survival of the company

They have their over-priced mobile APUs.
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
3,974
0
76
They have their over-priced mobile APUs.

What do you mean by over-priced? They are at 38% gross margins for GPU + CPU, probably 35% for CPU only, they can't go any lower. Quite the opposite, they need higher prices.
 

Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
21,118
59
91
What do you mean by over-priced? They are at 38% gross margins for GPU + CPU, probably 35% for CPU only, they can't go any lower. Quite the opposite, they need higher prices.

Pretty sure he means over-priced with respect to performance and the competition's price/performance.

From a business operation perspective, yes the price is already too low. Don't bring an expensive knife to a gun battle.
 

Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,106
136
AMD now selling assets to lease back. Trading increased operating costs to raise cash.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012...feedType=RSS&feedName=financialsSector&rpc=43

Well, that's what they need to do, get cash to bankroll ongoing development so that they don't come to a standstill in R&D, because they are dead if they do. If AMD can manage to whether the bad economy till it picks up again, they have a slim chance at building their business back up again, maybe even x86. It's a big ask right now, but at least they are giving it the old college try and not just burying their heads in the sand and waving a white flag.
 

IntelUser2000

Elite Member
Oct 14, 2003
8,686
3,785
136
For those that argue that because performance doesn't matter AMD has little to worry about:

-AMD marketing is horrible. They can't communicate to the consumers well enough about their products.
-Absolute performance lead can be translated into little less performance for more performance/watt. AMD does not have that on the high end
-Their research and development is getting behind, prohibiting them into getting into rapidly increasing low power segments. While Jaguar seems to be good for absolute performance, the TDP level is still too high for Tablet and is stuck with power management techniques of current PCs. The now available-Clover Trail, and upcoming Intel Core Haswell, will greatly improve it, with idle power comparable with ARM Tablets.

AMD doesn't have money to burn, nor do they have cutting edge process like Intel. They don't have current or near-term tech that can compete in low power either. In a sense they have weaknesses of ARM AND Intel, with zero advantages of both.
 
Last edited:

Torn Mind

Lifer
Nov 25, 2012
11,782
2,685
136
I know it's really counter-intuitive but if there is someone pushing prices down in the CPU market it is Intel, not AMD. But what bothers me more is how the fanboys come here and drop things like "I'm gonna pay 900USD for a Celeron" with such a straight face.

Let's give a better look at the assumptions here:

1) "AMD cares for the consumer, it keeps Intel honest and they are the driving force behind low prices!!! Save AMD please!"

No. AMD is having operating losses and their margins are in the toilet. and their strategy is entirely dependent on high ASPS, as only with with higher ASPs 246mm^2 APUs and 315mm^2 mainstream chips become viable. AMD isn't really dictating price as their product isn't the benchmark for anything, so they must follow Intel pricing. In the same marketing environment in which Intel makes 60%+ gross margins, AMD slumped to 38%, and this with dGPU included. Numbers can be a lot worse if not for dGPU, around 35%. So if there is a company hoping for a window to increase its prices it is AMD, not Intel.

2) "But still, they are relevant for the bottom market!"

No. The bottom market is all about price/performance (a price leverage) from the consumer side, and price/area (cost leverage) from the manufacturer side. There is no differentiation here. AMD is already trailing Intel on both disciplines. To make things worse, AMD has only 16% share in the x86 market and about a third of that is Brazos, almost a category on itself, so even if AMD had price or cost leverage they would not have the capacity to meaningfully impact prices. To make an analogy, not only AMD stick is very weak, it isn't big enough to the task at hand.

3) "But but... once AMD is gone Intel will gouge on prices"

Not really. Intel will aim not maximum margins but maximum returns, which will need a certain volumes for their fabs and the right quantity of demand out there, and to get to those points the price may be higher, but also lower than they are now. As we saw in 2), AMD is already irrelevant for price formation, I don't think that the maximum return price is too far above or below current levels.
Truth.

If anything, AMD's MSRPs on Vishera reflect paying attention to the market, and the market says that if the FX processor costs more than the Intel proc it's competing against, it will not sell well. FX-8150s were retailed at 245 compared to the i5 2500k's retail price of $216. FX-8350 has an MSRP of 194. Deep down, AMD sure wants to charge more, but they can't because consumers do not feel there is a reason to pay a premium for an underwhelming product after the Bulldozer debacle.

Intel does have the absolute bottom of the desktop market cornered. DIYs can get a Celeron G5xx for 45 bucks and OEM budget desktops from Dell and others can net you a Pentium system for about 300 to 350 dollars.

AMD's A-series fill a particular niche of folks who tax the GPU more than the CPU, but their FX is competitive based solely on purchase price, and those purchase prices are set well below what they seemed to want when Bulldozer initially came out.
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
3,974
0
76
If AMD can manage to whether the bad economy till it picks up again, they have a slim chance at building their business back up again, maybe even x86.

Assuming that they R&D projects pay off, and that's not exactly clear by now.

From what we hear they are killing the big core line and focusing on Kabini and ARM. Kabini is likely to pay off, or at least give them a shot against 22nm Atom, but here they have problems too as the 22nm Atom is just the first step. By 2014/2015 they will have to contend with a 14nm Atom and Broadwell, and this is where things might go bad.


And what about ARM? Do you really see a chance for them among the sharks of the ARM market? I don't.
 

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
14,003
3,361
136
Is Al-Sahhaf your relative or something like that?


AtenRa
Location : Athens Greece

It seams that you have no knowledge of geography and History at all. My 2500+ year old family tree doesn't have any relatives from Persia/Babylon etc
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
3,974
0
76
AtenRa
Location : Athens Greece

It seams that you have no knowledge of geography and History at all. My 2500+ year old family tree doesn't have any relatives from Persia/Babylon etc

I have, much more than you will ever have of economics and financial analysis.

But I asked about Al-Sahhaf because of this guy:

http://www.ministerofdisinformation.com/images/iim_open.gif

You know, bringing a very cautiously optmistic statement from Rory Read (a CEO that missed *ALL* his forecasts until now) as some good news for AMD, it borders the delusional.

Btw, Al-Sahhaf is Arab, not Persian, Babylonic, etc.
 

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
14,003
3,361
136
Btw, Al-Sahhaf is Arab, not Persian, Babylonic, etc.

Persian and Babylonian empires occupied the area of what is today's Iraq, Iran, Saudi Arabia etc. It was meant to highlight that area 2500 years ago
 

Keysplayr

Elite Member
Jan 16, 2003
21,209
50
91
Last edited:

kleinkinstein

Senior member
Aug 16, 2012
823
0
0
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/11/27/us-amd-blackfriday-idUSBRE8AQ12I20121127

AMD is trying to sell its Austin campus and with a lease back option to free some cash.

WTF! This is just azz backwards. You're based out of California, home of the most over taxed and over regulated companies in America. People are leaving California for a state with less taxes, to places - first and foremost - like Texas and Florida even. Companies are more likely to profit in other states than California, where the fiscal strain is very high. So, why in the heell would you shut down in Texas, to stay in California? Who's brainchild was that?
 

Ferzerp

Diamond Member
Oct 12, 1999
6,438
107
106
I swear, the stock ticker for AMD should be labeled DUH.

Now that AMD has failed in tackling Intel on the x86 CPU front, they feel they need to take on the SSD world against the likes of OCZ, Crucial, Sandisk to name a few.

Seems legit and well thought out.

I guess at this point though, they'll try to throw crap on a wall and see what sticks best.


Like I mentioned before. Apparently their reaction to financial trouble is try *all the things*

 
sale-70-410-exam    | Exam-200-125-pdf    | we-sale-70-410-exam    | hot-sale-70-410-exam    | Latest-exam-700-603-Dumps    | Dumps-98-363-exams-date    | Certs-200-125-date    | Dumps-300-075-exams-date    | hot-sale-book-C8010-726-book    | Hot-Sale-200-310-Exam    | Exam-Description-200-310-dumps?    | hot-sale-book-200-125-book    | Latest-Updated-300-209-Exam    | Dumps-210-260-exams-date    | Download-200-125-Exam-PDF    | Exam-Description-300-101-dumps    | Certs-300-101-date    | Hot-Sale-300-075-Exam    | Latest-exam-200-125-Dumps    | Exam-Description-200-125-dumps    | Latest-Updated-300-075-Exam    | hot-sale-book-210-260-book    | Dumps-200-901-exams-date    | Certs-200-901-date    | Latest-exam-1Z0-062-Dumps    | Hot-Sale-1Z0-062-Exam    | Certs-CSSLP-date    | 100%-Pass-70-383-Exams    | Latest-JN0-360-real-exam-questions    | 100%-Pass-4A0-100-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-300-135-exams-date    | Passed-200-105-Tech-Exams    | Latest-Updated-200-310-Exam    | Download-300-070-Exam-PDF    | Hot-Sale-JN0-360-Exam    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Exams    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-JN0-360-exams-date    | Exam-Description-1Z0-876-dumps    | Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps    | Dumps-HPE0-Y53-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-HPE0-Y53-Exam    | 100%-Pass-HPE0-Y53-Real-Exam-Questions    | Pass-4A0-100-Exam    | Latest-4A0-100-Questions    | Dumps-98-365-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-98-365-Exam    | 100%-Pass-VCS-254-Exams    | 2017-Latest-VCS-273-Exam    | Dumps-200-355-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-300-320-Exam    | Pass-300-101-Exam    | 100%-Pass-300-115-Exams    |
http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    | http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    |