This was basically inevitable. Its predominantly right wingers that believe this nutjob's bullshit these days. All of his push has come from right wingers (Musk, Rogan, GOP donors, etc). There's still some liberals, but he was never going to get anywhere with modern Democrats and I think that finally became apparent to him. I think they legit thought they could split Dems over this guy but its all conspiracy nutters on the right buying his more recent shit (which has, unsurprisingly pivoted to right wing conspiracy nuttery), which is why he's floundering by having all the alt-right parasites glomb onto him.
I think its more likely he splits Republican voters by getting some of them to vote for him (unless he either drops out to make sure they vote for Turmp, which is possible). Even if Turmp goes to prison and barred from office, so DeSanties basically wins by default, I could see Turmp throw support behind RFK Jr, either out of spite or anger that Republicans didn't save him, which will just split the Turmp base off from Republicans. That would likely be the best outcome for Democrats.
Looks like Junior is going to shove a torpedo right up Biden's ass.
How so? I might be mistaken but I think even amongst the friends of his wife (C-list celeb) I don't see them supporting him that much politically even if they might push some of his nonsense. Because its clear the dude is off his rocker in a lot of ways that aren't palatable for them (he's basically starting to push anti-Jewish rehtoric that the right is because the right is pushing him) and that's getting worse by the day, and this dude is too old to realize what's going on. Maybe he will at some point, but I doubt it. He's getting all the fame he desperately needed (which in his mind is finally validating the decades of nuttery he's built his life around, so to him he thinks it finally worked and his ideals are hitting critical mass because of the right wing echo chamber).
He's straight up targeting Turmp's demographic. That's not going to scare off any Biden voters unless its bullshit ones that were not going to vote for Biden anyway unless they were "anyone but Turmp" ones but since this guy targets the same base as Turmp I don't know that even makes sense. I guess maybe if they're of the might decide to either not vote if Turmp isn't involved, or vote out of spite like they did in 2016 for Turmp. But for someone else thinking their vote doesn't matter anyway or they think it does and just want to cause chaos which is what a lot of "undecided" asswipes that just started voting relatively recently did (they voted for Obama, got pissed that he didn't magically fix everything because they're idiots that don't understand how governance works, and so just decided to say fuck it and try to fuck things up, also too stupid to realize there's ramifications for how you vote if you act like a petulant child), but RFK will struggle with the Meidas Touch and other "moderate" Republican voters.
I expect he'll bend over for Turmp once its shown he can't win the Turmp base away from Turmp. They'll go hard to try to win Dem voters but its very apparent what's up. Most Democrats know these 3rd parties are all funded by the crazier right wingers, and this guy has been spouting crazier and crazier stuff. And I guarantee he'll have a major faux pas at some point, and he doesn't have Turmp's psychopathy which gives him the ability to just spew so much diarrhetoric that it gets lost in the deluge.
The interesting thing will be if Turmp ends up in prison (and they enact the articles banning him from running for office) if he'll push people to this guy and what that will mean for Republican voters. Will the relatively sane ones vote Republican, will they vote Democrat just to keep this guy as Turmp surrogate from office? Guarantee whomever Turmp endorses carries quid pro quo agreement to attempt to get him out.
If he runs Indy .... I am thinking that Kennedy will be getting significant donations from Republican sources. Because obtaining enough signatures for swing state ballot access is hard.
It will be interesting to see which states the RFK campaign works the hardest for ballot access. If he’s working all 50 he’s an actual candidate. If he’s working only the marginal swing states, he’s an R stooge where the R’s have a plan to try to use him to apply just enough battle damage to Biden to make Trump the winner in those states, and the EC as a whole.
As to whether this candidacy will help Republicans, I’m on the fence. The “use Kanye West to strip off the Black American vote” strategy, that went absolutely nowhere - with any luck, this will be just as “successful”. If he’s running as an independent, it seems like a waste of money to donate to a stunt candidate. May as well spend on your preferred GOP candidate. It’s one thing if you think he can make it into the Dem primary and debates. It’s another if he’s just trying to get on state ballots. At least RFK Jr has the stellar guidance of Kucinich hot off the successes of his own presidential campaigns ... lol.
That's almost entirely where his campaign finance is coming from already. Him going from some bumbling fringe crackpot on the left to right wing media darling is entirely because right wing machine, which has in turn pushed him to the right in the stuff he says.
There is no Dem primary or debate so I don't even know what you're thinking there. There's some pushing for Dems to do primary/debate but that honestly seems to be the Bernie supporters that are still convinced Bernie somehow is the best foil against Turmp. Well actually that shit started with the right wingers trying to push RFK Jr to harm Democrats/Biden, but that failed (as it obviously was going to because Dem party was never going to challenge their incumbent and certainly not for a crackpot that spews right wing nuttery). Some others (sour grape Bernie Bros, the further left liberals, centrists, undecided voters desperately trying to be given a reason to keep their broken brains from voting for Turmp again) have tried making the case for various reasons, but outside of a situation like Sinema, where your incumbent basically is no longer actually part of your party, you don't primary and challenge. That literally plays right into the hands of Republicans.
The challenge for Democrats is deciding if they forego their ideals (women and minorities) and replace Harris to appease people worried about Biden's age/health, which means it'll almost certainly have to be a white dude.