Tony Gwynn Dead at 54

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rsutoratosu

Platinum Member
Feb 18, 2011
2,716
4
81
Oh that sucks.. all I remember about Tony was that he video tape his at bats to study his swings to better himself.
 

momeNt

Diamond Member
Jan 26, 2011
9,297
352
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I don't think anyone's discounting those facts. Yet Tony could have chose to be a power hitter, just like he chose against signing with another club for more money.

In fact, Ted Williams chided Gwynn as a "big man" for his underutilized ability to hit for way more power. In fact, when Ted named his top twenty hitters list, Tony was the only currently active player invited.

Yet Tony was more satisfied being the ultimate role/team player and the average HOF WAR accompanying it.

What some are trying to explain is how Gwynn was one of the purest hitters in the game. I personally think he's is one of the few players who transcend WAR as a measurement, by choice.

Just listen to what Ted Williams had to say about/to Tony reaching .400.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K3hLiyNSISQ

That makes LITERALLY no sense. Are you saying he purposely lowered his value to the team because he wanted to.....? Hit for batting average?

I understand that he played during a time before there was a real understanding of how offense worked in baseball, but just because he could have hit more home runs doesn't mean his offensive production would have gone up. Base hits do eventually add up to the value of a home run, and depending on how much he was sacrificing for that power, he could have ended up a worse offensive player.
 

dbk

Lifer
Apr 23, 2004
17,694
10
81
I can't believe he only struck out 434 times in 20 yrs... and that he batted .302 on 0-2 counts.. WOWOWOW
 

bradley

Diamond Member
Jan 9, 2000
3,671
2
81
I can't believe he only struck out 434 times in 20 yrs... and that he batted .302 on 0-2 counts.. WOWOWOW

And the next best in baseball history at 0-2 is .260. Just to give you an idea, Barry Bonds was .190 on 0-2, the average hitter at .166. Double Wow.

Also no hitter born after 1900 ever reached 3000 hits faster, in fact only Cobb and Lajoie ultimately did. He also won eight batting titles of which only Cobb won more.

For 19 straight season Tony batted above .300, only Cobb bested him in baseball history. For a five year period, Tony batted above .368, not even bested by Ted Williams.

Just to give you an idea, Tony would have needed to go 0 for 1,183 to get his average to fall below .300.

Yet for some reason, baseball choose to make PEDmen their ambassadors (based on juiced HR titles) and not the rightful heir (after Ted Williams) in one Tony Gwynn. The end.
 

dbk

Lifer
Apr 23, 2004
17,694
10
81
Also how was he not the Padres hitting coach? Such a no brainer..
 

cubby1223

Lifer
May 24, 2004
13,518
42
86
This is what makes Tony Gwynn a remarkable hitter - the big power hitters of the game strike out when the pitcher hits his pitch they prey on the mistakes. Gwynn was capable of taking any pitcher's best stuff and putting it into play. He didn't rack up the power numbers, but to be so adaptable to all pitchers, pitches, speeds, etc., for so long, and that opposing pitchers never found a weak spot against him ever, that was remarkable.

There have been many players who came up to the majors, hit a ton their first season or two, then fell off a cliff as the league found his weak spot and exploited it. To never have a weak spot in twenty seasons, I don't know if that's ever been matched by another.
 

JDawg1536

Golden Member
Apr 27, 2006
1,275
0
76
What defines a pure hitter? Making contact often? Or producing metrics that translate into runs and hence wins? I understand all the love coming his way because he was a great person, very friendly, and loyal to San Diego, but his real production at the plate is not in the same league as a lot of players of his era.

Real production being what?

He was the greatest hitter of his generation. No doubt.

"Hit .415 with no strikeouts in 94 at-bats against Greg Maddux and .444 with one strikeout in 72 at-bats against John Smoltz. The only pitcher to strike him out more than six times was Nolan Ryan, and he still hit .302 (with nine strikeouts) in 63 at-bats against him"

He also won 5 gold gloves.
 

bradley

Diamond Member
Jan 9, 2000
3,671
2
81
Not only that Tony also stole 319 bases during his career.

Also the Padres always played in the number one best pitcher's parks in baseball. Petco is also currently number one.

San Diego's Petco 2014:
multi-year: Batting - 96, Pitching - 96 · one-year: Batting - 93, Pitching - 92

San Diego's Qualcomm 2001
multi-year: Batting - 91, Pitching - 91 · one-year: Batting - 89, Pitching - 89

Yankee Stadium 2001:
multi-year: Batting - 101, Pitching - 100 · one-year: Batting - 103, Pitching - 101

San Diego's Jack Murphy 1996:
multi-year: Batting - 94, Pitching - 94 · one-year: Batting - 98, Pitching - 97

Yankee Stadium 1996:
multi-year: Batting - 101, Pitching - 100 · one-year: Batting - 102, Pitching - 101

Tony could have *easily* signed with the Yanks and racked up way more runs, RBIs and HRs with that short porch in right field. In 1996, Tony started to pull the ball with authority (based on comments from Ted Williams) and hit his HR peak of 17HRs @ 37yo.

On the Padres, Tony had a 1989 season with 203 hits + 56 walks and only an embarrassing 82 runs scored. Meanwhile Bernie Williams (a comparable WAR player) only had two seasons above 200 hits, but 8 seasons with over 100 runs scored.

According to WAR, Jeter is a WAY better player than Tony Gwynn. As much love as I have for Jeter, also a class act, don't think so.
 
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cubby1223

Lifer
May 24, 2004
13,518
42
86
According to WAR, Jeter is a WAY better player than Tony Gwynn. As much love as I have for Jeter, also a class act, don't think so.

WAR = Wins Above Replacement. It is far easier to replace a corner outfielder with an offensive juggernaut, than it is to find one who can play the shortstop position. That's why Gwynn gets knocked down heavily on that stat.
 
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bradley

Diamond Member
Jan 9, 2000
3,671
2
81
WAR = Wins Above Replacement. It is far easier to replace a corner outfielder with an offensive juggernaut, than it is to find one who can play the shortstop position. That's why Gwynn gets knocked down on that stat.

That's why I have yet to find a perfect metric to measure the value of a baseball player. It's easy to be a great player surrounded by great teammates in an overenthusiastic NY baseball town. Now try doing it on the sleepy Padres for twenty years.

BTW, Gwynn is a way more athletic player then he's given credit. He was actually a point guard in college for San Diego State and was named to the all-Western Athletic Conference team twice. Could he have played a more important infield position early in his career? Perhaps. He merely fell into the positions that were open.
 

bradley

Diamond Member
Jan 9, 2000
3,671
2
81
I just found this information, "Gwynn is still seen as one of the best hoops players in school history. He had 18 assists in a game against UNLV on Feb. 3, 1980, an Aztecs record that still stands, and he has the three best single-game assist outputs at SDSU. His 221 assists in 1979-80 (8.2 APG) and 590 career dimes for SDSU (5.5 per game) are still school records. He's seventh all-time in steals in basketball, and had 35 swipes on the bases in college."

 

cubby1223

Lifer
May 24, 2004
13,518
42
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Gwynn's main problem was that he threw left-handed, meaning he was automatically excluded from playing 2b, 3b, or ss. If he could have played an infield position, absolutely the Padres would have put him there so they could sign on a juggernaut in corner outfield.

WAR is the best stat out there to determine how valuable a player is to the team he is on. How irreplaceable he is.

And you mentioned above about how much of a pitcher's park Petco & Qualcomm are, they are pitchers parks because the fences are far back making homeruns more difficult - but as a consequence singles become easier to obtain, which was Gwynn's specialty, as the outfielders are spread out wider to cover the greater area

Tony Gwynn was an amazing ball player very much deserving of being in the Hall of Fame. Just leave it at that.
 
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bradley

Diamond Member
Jan 9, 2000
3,671
2
81
Let's not forget the tacky argument or who started it. Again, it was implored (by me) that Gwynn was the best pure hitter since Ted Williams. Tony was also the last batter to hit at or near .400 since Williams.

Let's face it, there are many more baseball fans who currently underappreciate this type of player and prefer a more showy ostentatious HR guy.

Again, here's my favorite stat though: Tony Gwynn (.302) is the only player to hit over .300 in 2-strike counts. Next best: .262 by Boggs. He's better on the hardest count in baseball than any other player in baseball history by a *wide* margin. Let that one sink in for a while, truly.
 
Nov 29, 2006
15,661
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Damn. 6 straight seasons (8 total) of 20 of fewer strike outs. That is insane how little he struck out. Lots of guys will strike out more than 20 times this month alone.
 

SP33Demon

Lifer
Jun 22, 2001
27,929
142
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I'm talking about at bats that on a statistically averaged out basis, turn into runs.

weighted on base average, weight runs created, offensive WAR.

Here's a quick breakdown using statistical averages of the run production value of a few at-bat outcomes.

source: http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/btf/scholars/visiting/articles/RPA_explanation.htm

This is part of the reason why Tony Gwynn has such a low WAR despite being a very good hitter. To call him the best hitter of an era is overweighting his offensive production at the plate. His at bats turned into runs scored for his team far less than other players, even discounting dirty roids players.

Low WAR? WTF are you talking about?
http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/jaws_RF.shtml

JAWS takes every player's 7 year WAR prime and averages it with their total WAR. Tony ranks as the 12th best right fielder of all time, i.e. only 11 HOFers are ahead of him:
Hank Aaron
Babe Ruth
Stan Musial
Mel Ott
Frank Robinson
Clemente
Kaline
Reggie Jackson
Harry Heilmann
Paul Waner
Sam Crawford
Tony Gwynn

HOF and possible future HOF players he's ahead of in JAWS WAR ranking:
Ichiro
Sosa
Dave Winfield
Vlad Guerrero
Sheffield
10+ other HOFers including Willie Keeler and Enos Slaughter

Ichiro, Sosa, Winfield, Vlad and Sheff (steroids or not) were some of the most feared hitters of their respective eras and Gwynn's JAWS WAR rating is higher than all of them.

Additionally, Gwynn, even with his subpar power (almost all of the HOFers beat him, and he's 99th on the JAWS list sorted by SLG) still posts a remarkable OPS+ (On base + SLG adjusted) that is even higher than Roberto Clemente and Dave Winfield, 132 to 130. What this means is that Gwynn made up for his power with his OBP.

Furthermore, a lot of Tony's career WAR was hurt by his glove. In fact, he lost 8+ WAR because of his glove. If we look at strictly offensive WAR, Tony is 68th all time with more than big names like Piazza, Fisk, Bench, McGwire, Miggy Cabrera (for now), Stargell, Beltran, Shoeless Joe, Rhyne Sandberg, Ernie Banks, Vlad, Yogi Berra, McGriff, Dawson, Ralph Kiner, etc.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/WAR_off_career.shtml

Conclusion: Gwynn's offensive output was among the greats, even without power which he made up for by getting on base.
 
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momeNt

Diamond Member
Jan 26, 2011
9,297
352
126
Conclusion: Gwynn's offensive output was among the greats, even without power which he made up for by getting on base.

He is among the greats, but to just come out and call him the greatest hitter of an era, is not fair to a lot of the current living players that played in the same era. Just because he died doesn't mean we have to get nostalgic with the stats.

He was a great player, he was hard to get out, and a really great person and was a loyal fan favorite in a market that shouldn't have ever been able to keep him save for his loyalty to San Diego.
 

bigrash

Lifer
Feb 20, 2001
17,653
28
91
To me he is similar to Tim Duncan. Arguably one of the best (and classiest) to ever play his sport. But because he wasn't flashy or out-spoken, because he didn't give soundbites or kept his private life (*gasp*) private, he was never a poster child for the league because he wasn't marketable and the press had no way to sell him.

Completely agree.
 

BUTCH1

Lifer
Jul 15, 2000
20,433
1,769
126
I'll just leave this here.

90's offensive production


80's offensive production


There are a lot of players that a pitcher would rather not face if given the option between them and Tony Gwynn. The only time a pitcher might not want to face him, is if he is going for a strikeout record. But overall, his offensive production (how else should you measure a hitter?) is in the top 30-50 of his era.

It's not about pure stat's, sure, TG was never much of a HR threat but at #2 lifetime average what shows is his tenacity at the plate, the ability to use the entire field and consistent performance year in, year out. He was also a very humble man and a very genuine one, he would grant an interview anytime for anyone. I think baseball showed him the respect due by having him be the first to meet Ted Williams at the all star game at Fenway. I remember Pedro Martinez was unhittable, striking out 5 of the first 6 batters he faced in an awesome performance, many say he somewhat subpar finish following the AS game was due to him throwing so hard he injured himself.
 

SP33Demon

Lifer
Jun 22, 2001
27,929
142
106
He is among the greats, but to just come out and call him the greatest hitter of an era, is not fair to a lot of the current living players that played in the same era. Just because he died doesn't mean we have to get nostalgic with the stats.

He was a great player, he was hard to get out, and a really great person and was a loyal fan favorite in a market that shouldn't have ever been able to keep him save for his loyalty to San Diego.

He was the best offensive hitter at his position (right field) in his era, and even arguably outfielder. You could debate that Larry Walker had a higher JAWS WAR rating but there are a lot of question marks regarding Walker - and obviously ones that will keep him out of the Hall of Fame.

If you want to expand it to all outfielders, Gwynn was still the best of the 80's (82-89). Out of all position players, Schmidt and maybe Tim Raines were probably only more feared. Maybe even Rhyno (even though Gwynn's lifetime OPS+ kills Rhyno and he has more offensive WAR).

1990 - 2001, of course Barry Bonds. Bagwell. McGwire, Vlad, Piazza even though Gwynn beats those 3 in career WAR.

What I'm getting at is outside of steroids, there weren't any greater overall hitters than Gwynn aside from Mike Schmidt from an offensive WAR standpoint.

If you follow baseball, you know what the 5 tools are. Hitting for average is one of the 5 tools and defines a "pure hitter". There really wasn't a better pure hitter in the history of baseball other than maybe Ted Williams, Stan Musial, Hornsby, Cobb, Keeler, Gehrig, Hamilton, Sisler, Speaker, and Honus Wagner and I would bet that if Tony played in those eras, his numbers would have been on par with them as well from a pure average and hits standpoint (weak pitching). It may not be glamorous, but hitting for average is the engine of baseball and players don't last long if they can't tread water above the .200 mark, even with power. Tony and the aforementioned took that tool to a whole other level that is rarely appreciated as much as the Hitting for Power tool, but it's just as important because even sluggers have to hit for average on a very basic level.
 
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momeNt

Diamond Member
Jan 26, 2011
9,297
352
126
He was the best offensive hitter at his position (right field) in his era, and even arguably outfielder. You could debate that Larry Walker had a higher JAWS WAR rating but there are a lot of question marks regarding Walker - and obviously ones that will keep him out of the Hall of Fame.

If you want to expand it to all outfielders, Gwynn was still the best of the 80's (82-89). Out of all position players, Schmidt and maybe Tim Raines were probably only more feared. Maybe even Rhyno (even though Gwynn's lifetime OPS+ kills Rhyno and he has more offensive WAR).

1990 - 2001, of course Barry Bonds. Bagwell. McGwire, Vlad, Piazza even though Gwynn beats those 3 in career WAR.

If you follow baseball, you know what the 5 tools are. Hitting for average is one of the 5 tools and defines a "pure hitter". There really wasn't a better pure hitter in the history of baseball other than maybe Ted Williams, Stan Musial, Hornsby, Cobb, Keeler, Gehrig, Hamilton, Sisler, Speaker, and Honus Wagner and I would bet that if Tony played in those eras, his numbers would have been on par with them as well from a pure average and hits standpoint. It may not be glamorous, but hitting for average is the engine of baseball and players don't last long if they can't survive the .200 mark, even with power.

What are the top 5 bats you want during Gwynn's era? Here's mine.

1. Frank Thomas
2. Rickey Henderson
3. George Brett
4. Wade Boggs
5. Tony Gwynn

Removing a lot of steroid users from this list obviously.

I have him above Molitor, Griffey Jr. and McGriff. Whom i don't think have much steroid allegations surrounding them so they would qualify on the list.

edit: using an "era" of careers that fell between late 70s and 2000. Since gwynn was 1982 to 2001.
 
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