Trump administration mulling plan that would accept North Korea as a nuclear power

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Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
Yeah North Korea is like the perfect country for someone like @Jhhnn it has none of the billionaires he hates and Income inequality is very low.

Heh. Trump appears to like them a lot more than I ever have. I mean, it's great, huh? He's trying to declare peace on a rogue state armed with nuclear weapons & start a war with a country who demonstrably forswore their production. Go figure.
 
Reactions: DarthKyrie

trenchfoot

Lifer
Aug 5, 2000
14,674
7,170
136
Trump whoring himself to the world's despots really is a sight to behold.

Democrats on the other hand, better not even think of doing this because only Trump has the smarts, the people skills and the experience at making deals like he has clearly shown with Putin and Kim. /s

Oh, and LOLOLOL.
 

SMOGZINN

Lifer
Jun 17, 2005
14,218
4,446
136
Look who are war hawks all of a sudden.

No one is calling for war. We are calling for diplomacy. You don't do diplomacy by giving them what they want for nothing in return. Trump's method of diplomacy is to talk big, and when they call his bluff just fold. It might, on occasion, work if it was not his only strategy. When you bluff every hand no one is fooled for long. Trump has so far bluffed at every single negotiation, been called at most of them and folded.
 

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
23,534
13,107
136
THIS IS AWESOME.
Now, all autocracies has to do to get gut....is to get the a bomb... and threaten to set it off.
NORTH KOREA Has shown the way.
Let there be CELEBRATIONS...
 

dainthomas

Lifer
Dec 7, 2004
14,612
3,458
136
Things which look like safe assumptions at this point:

1. NK will work on nukes no matter what "agreement" we make on them.
2. With the exception of some isolated incidents (e.g. a few ad hoc kidnapping the citizens of other countries) NK is not externally aggressive and will continue not to be.
3. There is little advantage to the US or rest of world in maintaining the "armistice" status quo that wouldn't also apply to a formal peace deal officially ending the war.
4. NK has basically nothing of value to in trade to us or the rest of the world absent nuke technology or maybe some low-value commodity products.

Therefore throwing off the "well we've been hostile with them since the 1950s" paradigm, I'm not sure a reasonable deal that actually supports our long-term strategic interests wouldn't consist of something like what's in this story. Combined with a formal peace deal it recognizes reality as it is, not as we wish it would be. We acknowledge NK nukes will be produced no matter what, despite if there's a deal. We acknowledge the regime, while a humanitarian disaster to its own people, doesn't represent a huge global security threat as NK isn't attacking SK or anything else directly anytime soon. And we acknowledge the bigger threat is NK giving nukes to others less concerned about self-preservation than they are (insert terrorist group, or bitter ethnic/tribal rivalry group here) so that's what we should be working on stopping.

Of course, Trump is the worst possible POTUS to execute the stuff I just said above.

Picture Hannity if the black president did all the stuff you just said is NBD.
 
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glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
Picture Hannity if the black president did all the stuff you just said is NBD.

IMHO "what does Hannity think" is the least important metric of all time. And I didn't claim it was NBD, attempting a modal change to how we deal with NK is a big deal indeed and certainly not simple. It would likely prove challenging even to a POTUS well gifted in foreign policy transitions to pull off (IMHO George HW Bush would have been ideal considering how deftly he handled the end of the Cold War). But the benefits would be large, and it would be a more stable end-state that what we have now. I have basically zero confidence that Trump can pull it off for obvious reasons, but that's a different issue than whether maintaining the 1950s-2000s policy on NK is something we should do.
 

dainthomas

Lifer
Dec 7, 2004
14,612
3,458
136
IMHO "what does Hannity think" is the least important metric of all time. And I didn't claim it was NBD, attempting a modal change to how we deal with NK is a big deal indeed and certainly not simple. It would likely prove challenging even to a POTUS well gifted in foreign policy transitions to pull off (IMHO George HW Bush would have been ideal considering how deftly he handled the end of the Cold War). But the benefits would be large, and it would be a more stable end-state that what we have now. I have basically zero confidence that Trump can pull it off for obvious reasons, but that's a different issue than whether maintaining the 1950s-2000s policy on NK is something we should do.

If Obama had done what you say should be done, Trump would have gotten rid of it just because Obama. Just look at the Iran deal. That was far more effective and handled much better overall and Trump trashed that.
 
Reactions: DarthKyrie

Greenman

Lifer
Oct 15, 1999
20,632
5,315
136
No one is calling for war. We are calling for diplomacy. You don't do diplomacy by giving them what they want for nothing in return. Trump's method of diplomacy is to talk big, and when they call his bluff just fold. It might, on occasion, work if it was not his only strategy. When you bluff every hand no one is fooled for long. Trump has so far bluffed at every single negotiation, been called at most of them and folded.
Simple reality is that diplomacy hasn't worked in the 66 years since the cessation of hostility's. Maybe they just haven't tried hard enough, or the folks doing it weren't all that good at it. Regardless, NK is now a nuclear power. It seems to me that we're at the point where we accept that reality, or launch a preemptive strike to decapitate command and control. There is the third option that seems to be the most popular based on history, that being kick the can down the road and let the next administration deal with it. But that one doesn't seem to produce the result we want.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
If Obama had done what you say should be done, Trump would have gotten rid of it just because Obama. Just look at the Iran deal. That was far more effective and handled much better overall and Trump trashed that.

Again my argument was a theoretical one. I’m well aware Trump’s super power is the ability to ruin anything he touches.
 
Reactions: cytg111

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
Remember the time when the Bush Admin announced that the DPRK confessed to having nukes way back when so they could kill the long delayed reactor deal, and were believed? As if any DPRK negotiator would ever be so stupid.

They double dog dared the DPRK to do it, and here we are... I gotta admit, the DPRK makes a much better boogieman with nukes than without, huh? It means we can't invade. First use on their part would be suicidal & the primary goal of all authoritarian regimes is survival.
 

HomerJS

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
36,282
28,141
136
IMHO "what does Hannity think" is the least important metric of all time. And I didn't claim it was NBD, attempting a modal change to how we deal with NK is a big deal indeed and certainly not simple. It would likely prove challenging even to a POTUS well gifted in foreign policy transitions to pull off (IMHO George HW Bush would have been ideal considering how deftly he handled the end of the Cold War). But the benefits would be large, and it would be a more stable end-state that what we have now. I have basically zero confidence that Trump can pull it off for obvious reasons, but that's a different issue than whether maintaining the 1950s-2000s policy on NK is something we should do.
Hey stupid, since Trump gets advice from him might be worth knowing.
 

pcgeek11

Lifer
Jun 12, 2005
21,512
4,607
136
Remember the time when the Bush Admin announced that the DPRK confessed to having nukes way back when so they could kill the long delayed reactor deal, and were believed? As if any DPRK negotiator would ever be so stupid.

They double dog dared the DPRK to do it, and here we are... I gotta admit, the DPRK makes a much better boogieman with nukes than without, huh? It means we can't invade. First use on their part would be suicidal & the primary goal of all authoritarian regimes is survival.


To be honest about it they were and are a pretty big boogieman without nukes. Looking at all the underground explosive power they have aimed at South Korea is very daunting. You aren't going to invade NK without a huge loss of life in SK nukes or not.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,570
7,631
136
North Korea has nuclear weapons.
North Korea has China as their staunch supporter, to deny any and all efforts to oppose them. Militarily or otherwise.

The only reasonable path forward is to butter them up, and fixate on human rights in exchange for trade incentives. Truly test whether we are capable of reforming humanity to make even the worst despot !@#$hole no longer a blight on human existence. For if the world's Super Power, China, is backing such a nation, what hope does humanity have if we cannot find a non violent resolution?
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,824
34,762
136
North Korea has nuclear weapons.
North Korea has China as their staunch supporter, to deny any and all efforts to oppose them. Militarily or otherwise.

The only reasonable path forward is to butter them up, and fixate on human rights in exchange for trade incentives. Truly test whether we are capable of reforming humanity to make even the worst despot !@#$hole no longer a blight on human existence. For if the world's Super Power, China, is backing such a nation, what hope does humanity have if we cannot find a non violent resolution?

I mean this is what every reasonable human being said when this all started. NK is never giving up the nukes no matter what Trump promised us. He has however managed to give NK a free huge boost of legitimacy and erase any reasons for China to actually pressure NK to make concessions.
 

blankslate

Diamond Member
Jun 16, 2008
8,656
491
126
I don't see them going to war to destroy North Korea's nuclear capability.

Do you want us to?

Considering that an attack on NK would be an unmitigated disaster to say the least.

The unfortunate truth is that diplomatic talks with NK and accepting their possession of nuclear weapons is the least bad path. Trump would have to deftly maneuver through a minefield including the fact the North Korea will not give up nukes (thanks Bush for including them in your "Axis of Evil"), South Korea will not like it and Japan will also not like it given their history as the only country attacked with a nuclear weapon (twice).

I suppose the best result could be lift sanctions in return for NK freezing its research on missiles. No much comfort for South Korea or Japan but considering fairly recent history I believe NK is now definitely unwilling to give up Nuclear Weapons after seeing the fates of Hussein and Qaddafi (he gave up nukes thinking he was garnering better relations with the west only to have a prominent person laugh after making a joke about his brutal execution in 2011) a missile research freeze pretty much the most we can expect from them.

I'm very doubtful of President Trump's capacity to do this task without screwing it up. So I am in the uncomfortable position of hoping that I have underestimated Trump's abilities in this case.


______________
 

khon

Golden Member
Jun 8, 2010
1,319
124
106
Good, I would agree with such a plan.

North Korea is a nuclear power, and the sooner we accept that, the better it will be for people in Korea.

You can laugh at Donald Trump for failing on his ridiculous boasts if you want, but I care more about the end result, and this is an end result I like. Peace over endless war.
 

hal2kilo

Lifer
Feb 24, 2009
23,651
10,514
136
THIS IS AWESOME.
Now, all autocracies has to do to get gut....is to get the a bomb... and threaten to set it off.
NORTH KOREA Has shown the way.
Let there be CELEBRATIONS...
You forgot lovely ass kissing letters, by Dear Leader X. X=pick a despot.
 
Reactions: cytg111
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