The economy is about the only thing propping him up at this point. Fortunately for him we never have downturns, bigly.
My thought is #2. The failure of Obamacare repeal means that the people who hated you for trying to repeal it still hate you and the people who wanted you to repeal it now don't like you because you're ineffective.
I was recently at a town hall for my congressman. Note: this is just one local town hall for just one congressman. So take this anecdotal story with a grain of salt. His town halls used to be at most ~50 people attending. This one was standing room only in a large room (I guess over a thousand people). Just about every single person who spoke and just about every person who clapped was unhappy with the repeal bill. Democrats were unhappy that they tried to repeal it rather than make it better or replace it with single payer. Republicans were unhappy that the repeal that was promised for years turned out to be just a political stunt.The paradox there is that people when polled didn't seem to be in favor of repeal, so that would make you think they'd be happy that the bill(s) failed.
I was recently at a town hall for my congressman. Note: this is just one local town hall for just one congressman. So take this anecdotal story with a grain of salt. His town halls used to be at most ~50 people attending. This one was standing room only in a large room (I guess over a thousand people). Just about every single person who spoke and just about every person who clapped was unhappy with the repeal bill. Democrats were unhappy that they tried to repeal it rather than make it better or replace it with single payer. Republicans were unhappy that the repeal that was promised for years turned out to be just a political stunt.
So, no people aren't happy that the bill failed. The bill itself was a bad political move with no possibility of making people happy. It was a lose-lose situation. Lose democrats for trying it and lose republicans for not succeeding.
It was like proposing a vote in your family to (a) jump off a cliff or (b) take a poison pill. That type of vote just should never come up as it can't turn out well.
Yep, he finally broke through the glass floor of 38% on Fivethirtyeight, is down to 37%. 39% approval from Rasmussen is atrocious given the poll's lean.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Also, his approve/disapprove delta is now a whopping 20.4%. Ouch.
one day later and wow...
37% approval and 57.5% disapproval
I suspect if you ask these people each question in a vacuum then ask the same questions as a group in the context of Trump answers would change. Its like The ACA. They love each piece. Change it to Obamacare then they hate it.The question you have to ask is what does it suggest if 35% of the folks are happy with his performance ? Does it mean they are uninformed; or they actually agree with this agenda. If they agree what specifically do they agree with and why ? Do they feel that affirmative action has gone too far ? Do they feel that health care is bad for america (or taxes on the rich to fund it) ? Do they feel that immigration destroys the country ? That a good education system is destroying 'their' values ? There are too many regulations to protect the environment and corporate America would do the 'right' thing if given a chance without regulation ? Perhaps they like being told that their out-dated un-healty coal mining jobs are the way of the future and jobs will be available for their children and their grand-children in the mines.
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Obviously they don't agree (if they are actually informed) with each topic on Trump agenda but it would be interesting to do a deep dive on what specifically he is doing that makes him popular. Or maybe it is none of the above and I'm being way too analytical. Maybe the dog and pony show makes them feel good and they could care less about his actual agenda. Some good old fashion shove it in your face approach appeals to them.
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Obviously my view of his agenda is warped but I've never seen so much hate being pushed from the top. It seems to just radiate in waves or maybe that is just 'fake news'.
Friendly reminder that there has been no crisis yet to test this administration, and he's already tanking from just self inflicted wounds.
If past practice is future policy then he'll revert back to the Bush days.I'm almost cringing at the thought of how the Trump administration will mishandle a natural disaster
Who ya gonna call?diplomatic crisis or (hopefully not) terrorist attack.
The one thing President Trump has had, through thick and thin, is his base. And amid signs that it was beginning to waver, Trump assured us Monday that it was “stronger than ever.”
Then came more polls that drive home how untrue that is.
A CNN poll and an Investor's Business Daily poll, both released late Monday, show somewhat different pictures of Trump's overall approval. The CNN poll pegs it at 38 percent — around where it has been in other polling for a while — while the IBD poll shows it at a painfully low 32 percent. That's the lowest of any high-quality poll in Trump's entire presidency.
But both polls actually reinforce the idea that Trump's support among the base is in decline.
The IBD poll shows Trump's decline even more acutely, with 71 percent of Republicans approving of him. That's down from 83 percent just a month ago.
The CNN poll shows it in a more nuanced way. While 83 percent of Republicans in that poll still approve of Trump, the number who strongly approve of him has declined from 73 percent in February to 59 percent today.
These polls come on the heels of a Quinnipiac University poll last week that also showed Trump's strong approval among Republicans dropping off. In that poll, just 53 percent of Republicans strongly approved of the president — down from a previous low of 62 percent.
Another common thread running through these polls is Trump's decline among the working-class voters who were so key to his win in the 2016 election. The Q poll last week showed them disapproving of Trump more than they approved of him for the first time. The IBD poll shows Trump's biggest decline coming among those making between $30,000 and $50,000 per year; 40 percent of this group approved of Trump last month, but it's down to 27 percent today. Another of the biggest declines was among high school-educated voters, among whom Trump's approval dropped by 11 points. The CNN poll shows Trump's strong approval among those without college degrees declining from 47 percent in February to 35 percent today.
The question you have to ask is what does it suggest if 35% of the folks are happy with his performance ? Does it mean they are uninformed; or they actually agree with this agenda. If they agree what specifically do they agree with and why ? Do they feel that affirmative action has gone too far ? Do they feel that health care is bad for america (or taxes on the rich to fund it) ? Do they feel that immigration destroys the country ? That a good education system is destroying 'their' values ? There are too many regulations to protect the environment and corporate America would do the 'right' thing if given a chance without regulation ? Perhaps they like being told that their out-dated un-healty coal mining jobs are the way of the future and jobs will be available for their children and their grand-children in the mines.
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Obviously they don't agree (if they are actually informed) with each topic on Trump agenda but it would be interesting to do a deep dive on what specifically he is doing that makes him popular. Or maybe it is none of the above and I'm being way too analytical. Maybe the dog and pony show makes them feel good and they could care less about his actual agenda. Some good old fashion shove it in your face approach appeals to them.
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Friendly reminder that there has been no crisis yet to test this administration, and he's already tanking from just self inflicted wounds.
Based on what? Your imagination?Remember New Orleans during Bush administration. Billions wasted; junk yards full of trailers FEMA purchased for the disaster and never used. Trump administration makes Bush administration look good.
Based on what? Your imagination?
thanks. the reminder does wonders for my sleep.
Not my problem if you are uninformed ....; wouldn't be so bad if you would take 30 seconds check the facts before barking:
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=92183909
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/04/13/AR2006041302159.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/06/27/washington/27katrina.html