I echo a post or article I read elsewhere (can't remember where).
He and his lawyers know he's screwed legally.
They are quite literally going to try to goad this judge into throwing Trump in jail. Both he and his lawyers have already been flapping their gums in a very odd manner for people in their position. One of two things will happen:
- He won't be thrown in jail, so now he looks strong for defying and trolling the government
- He IS thrown in jail, so now he looks persecuted and he hopes this will let him cruise to victory in the election. And he might not be wrong. After that, he pardons himself.
I doubt anyone involved (including Trump) is dumb enough to think Jan 6 style suburban irregulars are going to come bust him out. Now, maybe he hopes he can incite a military or police coup in his name. That is the only scenario I can see where he gets out by force, and if things have gone that far, we are basically all fucked.