Trump NY indictment thread

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manly

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
11,345
2,361
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Apparently Chubb underwrote the bond. Its unlikely they did so without substantial verifiable collateral.
According to Forbes, DJT's net worth is just over $2B. So he's got plenty of RE collateral to pledge to the bonding company. I don't know why some people have claimed only those willing to lose $500M in exchange for future political favors would lie down with Trump. Such favors are essentially nil if he loses in November.

Now we know how Trump is with debt, so I'm not saying it's a good idea for Chubb or anyone else. But their lawyers have no doubt looked at this very closely and must feel the lucrative fee is worth it.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,859
34,806
136
According to Forbes, DJT's net worth is just over $2B. So he's got plenty of RE collateral to pledge to the bonding company. I don't know why some people have claimed only those willing to lose $500M in exchange for future political favors would lie down with Trump. Such favors are essentially nil if he loses in November.

Now we know how Trump is with debt, so I'm not saying it's a good idea for Chubb or anyone else. But their lawyers have no doubt looked at this very closely and must feel the lucrative fee is worth it.

There are a lot of variables here that we can't see like what amount of his assets are already leveraged and can't be for the purposes of securing bond.
 
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eelw

Diamond Member
Dec 4, 1999
9,382
4,628
136
Now how much time did he buy himself for this appeal? 2 or 3 months? And once he loses, he’ll have no choice but to fork over the cash.
 
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Dave_5k

Golden Member
May 23, 2017
1,663
3,221
136
Good. Watch the bond holder get fucked when he loses his appeal. Presumably they had to post significant collateral.
Chubb, the insurance broker providing the bond, is on the hook for paying up to the $92 million if Trump loses the appeal, what we don't know is if Chubb got any collateral from Trump for repayment (presumably! or the CEO is going to be looking for a new job), nor the amount of the non-refundable fee Trump paid to get the bond (likely at least 1-2% fee, even given an insane-MAGA friend discount backed by hard collateral)
 

manly

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
11,345
2,361
136
There are a lot of variables here that we can't see like what amount of his assets are already leveraged and can't be for the purposes of securing bond.
According to a Forbes article from yesterday, he's way more leveraged than I thought. So we know and understand why winning the presidency is such an existential concern for both DJT and the Trump Org.

One of his plum holdings, a 30% share of 555 California in SF's FiDi is already mortgaged to the hilt it seems:

In May 2021, JPMorgan Chase helped Vornado and Trump secure a $1.2 billion, variable-rate loan, allowing them to extract more than $600 million out of the building. But inflation was already creeping upwards. So Steven Roth, the CEO of Vornado, protected his firm by executing a three-year swap, replacing the variable rate on his firm’s $840 million portion of the loan with a fixed 2.26% rate. Trump, however, didn’t, allowing the interest expenses to fluctuate on his $360 million share. As of May 2023, he was contending with an estimated 5.93% rate at the property, putting him on track to hand over $21 million of annual interest expenses–$13 million more than he would have if he had followed Roth’s lead.
 

BoomerD

No Lifer
Feb 26, 2006
63,380
11,738
136
Now how much time did he buy himself for this appeal? 2 or 3 months? And once he loses, he’ll have no choice but to fork over the cash.
Once he (hopefully) loses his appeal, he will sppeal it to his Supreme Court...which, as we sll know, is just another "Donald J. Trump Enterprise."
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,807
49,496
136
Once he (hopefully) loses his appeal, he will sppeal it to his Supreme Court...which, as we sll know, is just another "Donald J. Trump Enterprise."
You never know for sure with this court but it would be a truly incredible act of Calvinball and judicial power grabbing for SCOTUS to seize control of a state's application of state laws without any federal conflict.
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,807
49,496
136
The big money, including the Kochs, tried to finance his adversaries.

No, they're not in the room with me. They're too busy buying politicians.
I think they would prefer him gone but not at the expense of electing Democrats.

This isn’t so different than how Hitler came to power. The rich old conservatives despised him, they just despised the leftists more so they came to an accommodation with the Nazis.

In retrospect this turned out to be a bad idea!
 

outriding

Diamond Member
Feb 20, 2002
3,218
2,332
136
Odds Trump sooner or later ends up in court again for defaming her close to 100%. You'd think a 100M tab would be enough of a lesson but he's a slow learner.


Well technically he is sort of right. He doesn’t know… remember he said she was one of his ex wives…

He should take Carroll to court… he said she defamed him… would love to see how that turns out
 

JTsyo

Lifer
Nov 18, 2007
11,774
919
126
According to a Forbes article from yesterday, he's way more leveraged than I thought. So we know and understand why winning the presidency is such an existential concern for both DJT and the Trump Org.

One of his plum holdings, a 30% share of 555 California in SF's FiDi is already mortgaged to the hilt it seems:
So does this mean that he didn't enrich himself during his Presidency? If he did where did all that money go?
 

hal2kilo

Lifer
Feb 24, 2009
23,651
10,515
136
Odds Trump sooner or later ends up in court again for defaming her close to 100%. You'd think a 100M tab would be enough of a lesson but he's a slow learner.

Yea, I posted about this in the Bat Shit Crazy thread. He is really close to cracking. He obviously, has no self control, so I expect him to become completely unbound once the failure to raise the half billion bond goes south. It will be epic huge!
 
Last edited:

manly

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
11,345
2,361
136
So does this mean that he didn't enrich himself during his Presidency? If he did where did all that money go?
The evidence shows that he's a bad businessman. The NYT reported that his dad basically dodged estate taxes by transferring vast RE holdings to his children, including Donald. Trump's businesses have filed for bankruptcy 6 times, refused to pay numerous subcontractors, and paid very little in federal income taxes over a twenty year period. U.S. capitalism is extremely friendly to millionaires and billionaires; successful RE moguls do not need to cheat the government and other private citizens to get theirs.

Looking at his top three properties alone is pretty telling. Trump Tower is mortgaged for about $100M. He has minority stakes in two skyscrapers with Vornado, and he didn't even want to buy these properties to begin with (dispute with other other partners). He's got large debts on both buildings as well. So he's got tons of debt to refinance, and we're currently in a high interest rate environment.

In short, he's been highly successful at putting on a facade of being successful (some of this has to do with The Apprentice). Many of his current businesses are his namesake golf courses, and these are basically bleeding him dry. If he's truly worth $2B, then the civil penalties shouldn't literally bankrupt him. But $455M penalties in the fraud case, IF it ultimately holds up, would effectively force him to divest his top holdings.
 
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zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,810
29,564
146
I think it really depends on the level of corruption here. If this is a normal transaction then he almost certainly had to put up significant assets as collateral. If this is a bet by the bond company that favorable treatment from the president is worth $80 million then maybe not.

this. it's pure quid pro quo. nothing more.
 

eelw

Diamond Member
Dec 4, 1999
9,382
4,628
136
Aww so sad. But it's dumb then that he blew away the $90 million last week. All efforts should have been put towards this appeal. Considering James will seize assets immediately.
 

Dave_5k

Golden Member
May 23, 2017
1,663
3,221
136
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