Trump ordered military strike on Iran, but reversed at last second

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Feb 4, 2009
34,703
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Gee, I wonder why Iran may not like us

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran_Air_Flight_655?wprov=sfla1

For reference, I was 7 when this happened, never heard about it until a few years ago.

This was a pretty big event in the news at the time.
Our hands are not clean, the commander of the ship was more aggressive than he should have been.
Iran also has dirty hands for testing the navy so much and not identifying (poor word choice but there was some system that sorted out commercial flights from everything else and Iran decided to mix all its air travel *this is an enormous over simplification*) flights. This is all from memory
 

ch33zw1z

Lifer
Nov 4, 2004
37,995
18,344
146
This was a pretty big event in the news at the time.
Our hands are not clean, the commander of the ship was more aggressive than he should have been.
Iran also has dirty hands for testing the navy so much and not identifying (poor word choice but there was some system that sorted out commercial flights from everything else and Iran decided to mix all its air travel *this is an enormous over simplification*) flights. This is all from memory

When I read through the wiki, if I understood correctly, the Navy's systems reported the jet as not military. I haven't read the entire wiki yet, so I haven't come across where the mix up would have been.
 

pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
13,275
8,200
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That's just more frosting on the shit cake we've been serving Iran for a long time. In a saner world we would sit down with them and settle this once and for all. Of course that would require us to admit that we were the assholes in overthrowing their democratically elected government and installing Reza Pavlavi to put the boot to their necks so our (and Britain's) oil companies could prosper at the expense of the Iranian people. Post-WWII Iran was adopting western ways and doing quite well in getting their country in order. Everything was fine until they decided to nationalize the oil industry. Decades later the murderous Shah of Iran gets sick, comes to the U.S. for treatment and Iran's government is overthrown. Think about how weak that government was that just his leaving the country was enough for it to topple. We refuse to return Shah, they take hostages. Carter has military try to rescue them and they fail. Hostages eventually returned. We blow plane out of the sky and so on...

We started this fight and we need to end it, once and for all.

Agreed, but your final sentence is disconcertingly ambiguous.

Also you could throw in the joint US/Russia occupation of Iran during WW2. The Iranians (not just the government but the general culture) seem quite fond of conspiracy theories, and one reason for that is how much they've been conspired against (probably similar to how it sometimes plays out with some African Americans - wild theories about AIDS are not entirely surprising after things like the tuskegee experiment).
 
Feb 4, 2009
34,703
15,951
136
When I read through the wiki, if I understood correctly, the Navy's systems reported the jet as not military. I haven't read the entire wiki yet, so I haven't come across where the mix up would have been.

I remember 60 minutes had a good piece on it.
 

KMFJD

Lifer
Aug 11, 2005
29,682
43,943
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This was a pretty big event in the news at the time.
Our hands are not clean, the commander of the ship was more aggressive than he should have been.
Iran also has dirty hands for testing the navy so much and not identifying (poor word choice but there was some system that sorted out commercial flights from everything else and Iran decided to mix all its air travel *this is an enormous over simplification*) flights. This is all from memory
No, that was pretty much all on the USA and their trigger happy captain, shoot they even gave him a medal after it was all set and done.
 
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HomerJS

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
36,289
28,144
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I am somewhat shocked to say this but if there is one thing Trump has been remarkably consistent on, its been his unwillingness to initiate new military conflicts overseas.

There might be a point where some truly unspeakable act of aggression goes totally unanswered by Trump, and it could be a problem then, but thus far Trump has done well keeping the US away from red lines.

I don't believe this comes from any deep, principled position on the dignity of life (Trump has certainly not flinched at giving the military carte blanch in escalating drone strikes, Saudia Arabia in its war in Yemen, Russia in its treatment of Ukraine, etc) but perhaps from squeamishness over the idea of being responsible for something where it becomes difficult to rewrite a loss into a win.

Maybe it comes from a position where he does not see a way to personally make money on war or in that he believes it is more profitable to cozy up to those who we might otherwise bomb back to the stone age.

Regardless, I would rather Trump continue doing the right things for the wrong reasons, than doing the wrong things for the wrong reasons.
While you are correct this is one of his few consistent positions, he is responsible for the escalating tensions in the gulf. We had a working JCPOA, Trump broke the word of the US and backed Iran into a corner. Now the hardliners there are emboldened.
 

Hayabusa Rider

Admin Emeritus & Elite Member
Jan 26, 2000
50,879
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I think you guys are giving Trump too much credit imagining he has logic and rational analysis guiding his decisions. I think Trump is afraid of initiating armed conflicts because he can imagine being the direct target of them, e.g. nuclear war.

I agree which is why I remain skeptical although I don't know about fearing a physical threat. The real danger is to how he thinks he is perceived. Right now it's a negative in his mind which may change at a moment's notice. Trump isn't that hard to manipulate if you look at him the right way.
 

Hayabusa Rider

Admin Emeritus & Elite Member
Jan 26, 2000
50,879
4,266
126
While you are correct this is one of his few consistent positions, he is responsible for the escalating tensions in the gulf. We had a working JCPOA, Trump broke the word of the US and backed Iran into a corner. Now the hardliners there are emboldened.

No one could have seen that coming! /s
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,812
49,498
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I can't believe I'm saying this but every once in a while its good that trump doesn't listen to his advisers, apparently

While I agree it’s good he didn’t listen to them he also could have, you know, not hired crazy people to begin with. It’s not like John Bolton’s insanity isn’t well known.

And let’s not forget that all of this is a direct outgrowth of our decision to pull out of the Iran nuclear deal. Maybe that deal isn’t looking so bad after all.
 

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
23,546
13,114
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What do you think should be done in response to the drone shooting? I don't think we should just ignore it.
As per your own witness, Russia has been much more agressive with human lives since forever, in air, on ground and under water... probably space too... Oh and that election thing too... I am thinking, since you are not respondig to that at ALL, maybe a little drone shootdown warrents ABSOLUTLY no response, what so ever.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,812
49,498
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I agree that IF it was in their airspace nothing should be done.

From all I've read and seen the flight plans of it was over international waters.

I would believe Centcom over Irans leadership anyday.

Generally I would believe our government over Iran as well, but as the last several years have shown the current administration lies about EVERYTHING. Even things there’s no need to lie about. Their credibility is zero.

I don’t believe Iran either but Trump demolished any benefit of the doubt for the US and it’s not just me saying this. It’s clear our allies don’t believe us anymore either.
 

HomerJS

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
36,289
28,144
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BTW - Remember all you Trumptards when he was pissing on our allies and nations were losing respect for the US around the world, you were saying "who cares what the world thinks"

Guess what, that bill is now due. With a legitimate purpose we would be forming a coalition. Other nations will be loath to side with this country now and I don't blame them.
 

UglyCasanova

Lifer
Mar 25, 2001
19,275
1,361
126
What do you think should be done in response to the drone shooting? I don't think we should just ignore it.


Diplomacy. And if that doesn’t work the use of force will always be on the table.

They shot down a drone, given the map below I wonder why. I think Iran (the government anyways) is terrible but the fact remains they are a sovereign nation. One who mustn’t be allowed to gain nuclear weapons but a sovereign nation nonetheless. Our presence surrounding them is very antagonistic and honestly I’m surprised it hasn’t escalated more before now.


 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,812
49,498
136
Diplomacy. And if that doesn’t work the use of force will always be on the table.

They shot down a drone, given the map below I wonder why. I think Iran (the government anyways) is terrible but the fact remains they are a sovereign nation. One who mustn’t be allowed to gain nuclear weapons but a sovereign nation nonetheless. Our presence surrounding them is very antagonistic and honestly I’m surprised it hasn’t escalated more before now.



Also, would we be fighting them because it’s in the United States’ interest to fight them or because it is in Saudi Arabia and Israel’s interest for us to fight them.
 

Sinsear

Diamond Member
Jan 13, 2007
6,439
80
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Disappointed in his reversal of decision. Iran has needed to be beat down for awhile now.
 

VRAMdemon

Diamond Member
Aug 16, 2012
6,572
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OK...Who leaked this and why? To send a message to Iran, "Don't mess with this guy, he's crazy"? I don't think that's what Tehran is hearing, though.

The bigger question is; what was airing on Fox News when he changed his mind? Plausibly, it was a quasi-official leak, to warn Iran.

It might be a leak from Bolton (or another Hawk), angry that his attack was called off by Trump and wanting to make him look weak, so he wouldn't want to back down again.

It might be a leak from someone who suspects that Trump has compromising factors that limit his ability to go ahead with certain policies, and making him look like a wimp makes it harder for him to back down again in the future.

Or it was someone who was pissed off that the attack was called off.

Curious as to whether it was an internal person who is concerned with what is going on and leaked it without permission or whether this is an internal person who was told to leak this in order to send some message to someone. It matters who leaked it to frame the story.

And, our national burden took credit for calling off the strike because it would kill too many people. Why that information was not taken into account BEFORE ordering the strike is unclear. But, seems to follow the similar pattern of screwing something up, fixing the screw up and then begging for credit for solving the problem.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,812
49,498
136
OK...Who leaked this and why? To send a message to Iran, "Don't mess with this guy, he's crazy"? I don't think that's what Tehran is hearing, though.

The bigger question is; what was airing on Fox News when he changed his mind? Plausibly, it was a quasi-official leak, to warn Iran.

It might be a leak from Bolton (or another Hawk), angry that his attack was called off by Trump and wanting to make him look weak, so he wouldn't want to back down again.

It might be a leak from someone who suspects that Trump has compromising factors that limit his ability to go ahead with certain policies, and making him look like a wimp makes it harder for him to back down again in the future.

Or it was someone who was pissed off that the attack was called off.

Curious as to whether it was an internal person who is concerned with what is going on and leaked it without permission or whether this is an internal person who was told to leak this in order to send some message to someone. It matters who leaked it to frame the story.

And, this morning, our national burden took credit for calling off the strike because it would kill too many people. Why that information was not taken into account BEFORE ordering the strike is unclear. But, seems to follow the similar pattern of screwing something up, fixing the screw up and then begging for credit for solving the problem.

The fact that the Times said no military official asked them to delay their reporting indicates it was on purpose.

The thing is, apparently Trump contacted the Iranians ahead of the planned strike and told them it was imminent and that they should negotiate. When they blew him off he cancelled the strike anyway. It appears he tried to bluff them and they called it.

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-m...led-for-talks-iranian-officials-idUKKCN1TM0AQ

To be fair though Iranian officials are denying this account publicly so it could be wrong.
 
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