Trump to enact $50 billion in tariffs against China, threatening $100b more

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Ns1

No Lifer
Jun 17, 2001
55,414
1,574
126
Dude we have a $357 BILLION trade gap with them. They are strangling us in our bed. That is not their fault, they are acting in their own self interest. This has not been mutually beneficial relationship.

All the cheap shit that I buy that's made in China would beg to differ.
 

nickqt

Diamond Member
Jan 15, 2015
7,596
7,850
136
Who benefitted? The rapid devaluation of labor by outsourcing to a country with a complete disregard for human rights just so we can fill landfills with plastic crap.

It used to be that quality and value would always win. My Sony Walkman still sounds better than a G1 iPod, and unlike my G1 iPod, my Walkman still works.
Who benefited?

The rich received tax cuts so that instead of being forced to re-invest in their own equipment and human resources if they wanted to keep the profits, could pocket the money instead. Then "free trade" allowed them to mothball their factories, laying off US workers and cutting human resources costs, along with having to comply with environmental regulations. Just move the factory to Mexico, China, Thailand, wherever. Those countries allow slave labor and don't care if the water, air and soil are poisoned. Then the rich gave their money to Wall St. criminals to inflate bubbles, for a nice ROI. And if/when the market crashes, they then buy up valuable assets for pennies on the dollar, and either load those assets with debt before cashing out, or sell the assets for scrap.

Rinse, repeat. For the past 40 years. Both here, and in the UK. Thatcher first, then St. Ronald of Reagan.

The same class of people who benefit by being wealthy and using their wealth to maintain/increase their power have benefited. Time and time again.

This is voodoo economics, without the voodoo of rising tides lifting all boats. The rich get richer. The middle class struggles to stay where they are without borrowing against the future. And the poor, well, they stay poor, because that's what poor people are for. And then the people who voted for these policies get pissed that poor people have a smart phone, which is both cheap because the rich want them to be cheap, and necessary in our 1st world service-based economy (because manufacturing was scrapped...by the rich, who can earn much more if they use foreign slave labor).

Tariffs are essentially closing the barn door after the horses were purposefully sold to China to be turned to horse meat, and resold to the serfs working the farm...paid for with company scrip.

Voodoo economics was designed to create the very economy we have today. Full stop.

Everything is a feature, and not a bug. Oligarchs want serfs working on their estate. And slowly but surely they're getting it.
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
126
Who benefited?

The rich received tax cuts so that instead of being forced to re-invest in their own equipment and human resources if they wanted to keep the profits, could pocket the money instead. Then "free trade" allowed them to mothball their factories, laying off US workers and cutting human resources costs, along with having to comply with environmental regulations. Just move the factory to Mexico, China, Thailand, wherever. Those countries allow slave labor and don't care if the water, air and soil are poisoned. Then the rich gave their money to Wall St. criminals to inflate bubbles, for a nice ROI. And if/when the market crashes, they then buy up valuable assets for pennies on the dollar, and either load those assets with debt before cashing out, or sell the assets for scrap.

That is what I love about this board, so many smart people making cogent arguments. Well done sir.
 
Reactions: nickqt

JSt0rm

Lifer
Sep 5, 2000
27,399
3,947
126
Who benefited?

The rich received tax cuts so that instead of being forced to re-invest in their own equipment and human resources if they wanted to keep the profits, could pocket the money instead. Then "free trade" allowed them to mothball their factories, laying off US workers and cutting human resources costs, along with having to comply with environmental regulations. Just move the factory to Mexico, China, Thailand, wherever. Those countries allow slave labor and don't care if the water, air and soil are poisoned. Then the rich gave their money to Wall St. criminals to inflate bubbles, for a nice ROI. And if/when the market crashes, they then buy up valuable assets for pennies on the dollar, and either load those assets with debt before cashing out, or sell the assets for scrap.

Rinse, repeat. For the past 40 years. Both here, and in the UK. Thatcher first, then St. Ronald of Reagan.

The same class of people who benefit by being wealthy and using their wealth to maintain/increase their power have benefited. Time and time again.

This is voodoo economics, without the voodoo of rising tides lifting all boats. The rich get richer. The middle class struggles to stay where they are without borrowing against the future. And the poor, well, they stay poor, because that's what poor people are for. And then the people who voted for these policies get pissed that poor people have a smart phone, which is both cheap because the rich want them to be cheap, and necessary in our 1st world service-based economy (because manufacturing was scrapped...by the rich, who can earn much more if they use foreign slave labor).

Tariffs are essentially closing the barn door after the horses were purposefully sold to China to be turned to horse meat, and resold to the serfs working the farm...paid for with company scrip.

Voodoo economics was designed to create the very economy we have today. Full stop.

Everything is a feature, and not a bug. Oligarchs want serfs working on their estate. And slowly but surely they're getting it.

All correct but whats the smartest way to fix it? Tax cuts for the rich and tariffs?
 

nickqt

Diamond Member
Jan 15, 2015
7,596
7,850
136
All correct but whats the smartest way to fix it? Tax cuts for the rich and tariffs?
Well, shit.

Fixing the designed catastrophe of the past 40 years isn't going to be easy, and will require a lot of work. There are plenty of options that can be tried out, but of course the people who've been destroying this country internally for the past 40 years for profit will use the typical conjuring words to scare their base voters into hiding behind the warm glow of Fox news in-between going to the voting booth to vote for the continued destruction of the country. The conjuring words work well because they stroke the notion of the base that they are the "true Americans", and that what they're voting for is freedom. It's tribal identity, multiplied by maintaining the current social order that they may not be at the top of, but hey, at least they are the favored tribe.

One thing that is for certain is that right-wing authoritarians are absolutely brilliant at p̶r̶o̶p̶a̶g̶a̶n̶d̶a̶ marketing their conjuring phrases and getting them repeated enough that they're the first things thought of by the people that its designed to control. Whether it's "civilians" such as Master Limbaugh and Master Jones, public "servants" like Master Gingrich, or the men behind curtains, such as Frank Luntz, the Handlers use well-researched concepts and repeated phrases to indoctrinate their base voters with instant talking points for instant cognitive dissonance, while at the same time they profess that their base voters are "true Americans".

So, the first thing that needs to happen is to stop electing people to office who want to continue selling the country off to the lowest bidder/highest campaign contributor. That'd be great.

Until then, it's up to society and culture outside of government to change fast enough that the people destroying the country have to fight tooth-and-nail to continue the destruction of the country...which we're starting to see, right now.
 

OWR88

Senior member
Oct 27, 2013
231
73
101
Idiots voted in an idiot. What did you all expect?

Same idiots crying about losing their manufacturing jobs are the ones hoarding made in China junk at self storage units. Now they want to impose tariff on the same Chinese goods they are addictive to.

Funny thing is, the Chinese have been extremely pro US goods. Anything USA is upper class and sought after. We are shooting ourselves in the foot because the younger generations are changing their attitude and moving towards Australia, Europe and Russia. They don't even hate the Japanese like the older generation. At some point all this China hating jealousy is going to leave USA behind isolated as Trump would love. That is a losing strategy in a global economy.
 

Fenixgoon

Lifer
Jun 30, 2003
31,812
10,346
136
What happens when China asks us to start repaying our dept? Dumb moves like this don't help.

i think the logic is (not that i necessarily agree with it):

if i owe the bank $1000, that's my problem.
if i owe the bank $1,000,000, that's the bank's problem.
 

Mai72

Lifer
Sep 12, 2012
11,578
1,741
126
That is what I love about this board, so many smart people making cogent arguments. Well done sir.

You just like his statement because you agree with it. Don't get it twisted. His view is just one of many.
 

Starbuck1975

Lifer
Jan 6, 2005
14,698
1,909
126
Rinse, repeat. For the past 40 years. Both here, and in the UK. Thatcher first, then St. Ronald of Reagan.

The same class of people who benefit by being wealthy and using their wealth to maintain/increase their power have benefited. Time and time again.

Oligarchs want serfs working on their estate.
I don’t disagree. Who signed NAFTA and opened China to trade? Reagan may have set voodoo economics in motion, but I haven’t seen any President since do much to reverse that trend, and if anything, they have collectively made it worse.

Also, I see the tech oligarchs of today being as bad if not worse than their industrial predecessors. Just because they preach the religion of disruption and automation doesn’t make them any less greedy or blind to the working class.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,812
49,499
136
What happens when China asks us to start repaying our dept? Dumb moves like this don't help.

How would they do that? China purchases US debt through treasuries that have set maturation dates. If they asked us to repay it more quickly we would just say no.

The real threat here is if China decides to go full in on a trade war, banking that its people are more willing to endure suffering than ours. Whether that turns out to be right or wrong it’s not good for anyone.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,867
34,814
136

I've seen conflicting reporting that this is just in response to the steel and aluminum tariffs that I think are supposed to go into effect today.

We've got a month plus before the stuff Trump just announced can go into effect, 45 days or something like that. Reportedly Trump wants more action next week on investment restrictions, visa prohibitions, etc so who knows what will happen when as far as Chinese retaliation.
 

dullard

Elite Member
May 21, 2001
25,214
3,627
126
Dude we have a $357 BILLION trade gap with them. They are strangling us in our bed.
There is a fundamental definition difficulty here. We aren't even defining the actual problem that we can all agree upon.

Suppose I go to your home, take every single thing you have, and in exchange I leave a $10 bill. So, you have a $10 trade surplus, and I have a $10 trade deficit. Now, who was the one who was strangled in their bed? You were, and you were the one with the trade surplus in this example.

Trade deficits, when taken alone, are great. I'd love to have the US print a bunch of money, send that worthless money to China, and have China give us all their stuff. Lets keep doing that forever and I'd be thrilled. The trade deficit is great as long as it lasts. The problem is when does that end? When will China stop accepting printed US dollars in exchange for their physical goods? When will they demand something in return? Are we prepared for that occurrence? Those are the problems that we need to address.

Putting a feel-good tax on a few items does not address those real questions and real problems.
 

realibrad

Lifer
Oct 18, 2013
12,337
898
126
- Standard of living much higher than other places.
- Cost of production thus lower in those other places.
- Free trade.
- Closed borders.

The west does not want to compete with countries that have a much lower standard of living. People in other countries are happy to earn far less because a shit $3/week is better than working in the fields. You cant stop outsourcing. So, let in the people that are willing to come and work. That will put pressure on wages at first, but it will increase demand and make us all better off. We are pricing ourselves out of the market.
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
126
There is a fundamental definition difficulty here. We aren't even defining the actual problem that we can all agree upon.

Suppose I go to your home, take every single thing you have, and in exchange I leave a $10 bill. So, you have a $10 trade surplus, and I have a $10 trade deficit. Now, who was the one who was strangled in their bed? You were, and you were the one with the trade surplus in this example.

Trade deficits, when taken alone, are great. I'd love to have the US print a bunch of money, send that worthless money to China, and have China give us all their stuff. Lets keep doing that forever and I'd be thrilled. The trade deficit is great as long as it lasts. The problem is when does that end? When will China stop accepting printed US dollars in exchange for their physical goods? When will they demand something in return? Are we prepared for that occurrence? Those are the problems that we need to address.

Putting a feel-good tax on a few items does not address those real questions and real problems.

I do agree that it is too late to do anything about China via tariffs. They have surpassed America in most metrics and are pulling away at a breathtaking rate. People do not realize how much more powerful China is gong to be than America. In twenty years their economy could easily be twice the size of Americas. Their people have more faith in their government, are more motivated, are more intelligent and their government's actions are all about improving China The kind of power that China will eventually wield will surpass America at it's zenith.

But there’s good reason to think that China will overcome at least some of these obstacles. Economists Randall Morck and Bernard Yeung have a new paper comparing the histories of Japan and South Korea -- both of which climbed out of poverty to achieve rich-country status -- with the recent rise of China. They find that China’s institutions are, broadly speaking, developing along the same path followed by its successful neighbors.

In other words, not only is China already the world’s largest economy, the gap between it and the U.S. can be expected to grow even wider. This continues to be borne out in the growth statistics -- though China has slowed in recent years, its economy continues to expand at a rate of more than 6 percent, while the U.S. is at just over 2 percent. If that disparity persists, China’s economy will be double that of the U.S. in less than two decades.

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-10-18/who-has-the-world-s-no-1-economy-not-the-u-s
 
Reactions: Ns1

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,812
49,499
136
I do agree that it is too late to do anything about China via tariffs. They have surpassed America in most metrics and are pulling away at a breathtaking rate. People do not realize how much more powerful China is gong to be than America. In twenty years their economy could easily be twice the size of Americas. Their people have more faith in their government, are more motivated, are more intelligent and their government's actions are all about improving China The kind of power that China will eventually wield will surpass America at it's zenith.

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-10-18/who-has-the-world-s-no-1-economy-not-the-u-s

That article is very misleading. They claim market rate size is misleading but for international economic power comparisons it’s the one that matters. China’s economy is not close to ours in size.

PPP is good for comparing relative standards of living. For example, a hair cut in China costs a fraction of what it does in the US for the same thing. In that case PPP does a good job of correcting for those disparities. If you’re competing for goods or services on the world market though that doesn’t matter because someone selling you a BMW doesn’t give a shit what your haircuts cost. They want to know who will give them the most money. That’s the US by a long shot.

That being said, China will eventually surpass the US in market power as well but that’s hardly surprising. They have three times our population. I do agree that currently the US is facing a governance crisis though and I think this will badly harm us going forward.
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
126
That article is very misleading. They claim market rate size is misleading but for international economic power comparisons it’s the one that matters. China’s economy is not close to ours in size.

PPP is good for comparing relative standards of living. For example, a hair cut in China costs a fraction of what it does in the US for the same thing. In that case PPP does a good job of correcting for those disparities. If you’re competing for goods or services on the world market though that doesn’t matter because someone selling you a BMW doesn’t give a shit what your haircuts cost. They want to know who will give them the most money. That’s the US by a long shot.

That being said, China will eventually surpass the US in market power as well but that’s hardly surprising. They have three times our population. I do agree that currently the US is facing a governance crisis though and I think this will badly harm us going forward.

I am curious as to your views of Chinese foreign policy. I view Chinese actions on the world stage as far less pernicious than Americas and believe they would be a better world leader than America. However I recognize that I have strong and perhaps irrational hatred of American foreign policy. You lack my bias and thus your perspective would be interesting to me.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,812
49,499
136
I am curious as to your views of Chinese foreign policy. I view Chinese actions on the world stage as far less pernicious than Americas and believe they would be a better world leader than America. However I recognize that I have strong and perhaps irrational hatred of American foreign policy. You lack my bias and thus your perspective would be interesting to me.

I think China has lacked an aggressive foreign policy because they lack the means to do otherwise. They are building those means though, so we will see. I think it’s very telling that China’s neighbors would rather align themselves with the US than with China. Imagine if Mexico and Canada chose to ally themselves with Russia to gain protection from the US, what would that say?

I think US foreign policy since 2001 has been erratic and poorly thought out, especially under GWB and Trump. I imagine as this continues we will see countries in China’s orbit rethink their alignment with the US as we are no longer reliable.
 

pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
13,277
8,201
136
Tariffs seem a very bad idea for all the reasons already given. And surely the real problem is Americans consuming more than they can really pay for?

Another problem with the idea of a trade war, is that the Chinese regime's contract with its population is dependent on continuing to deliver increasing prosperity and economic growth. If that growth falters it surely won't go well? And if things go wrong politically in China it surely is going to have a major effect on the global economy. In a serious economic conflict between China and the US, I don't think either side can afford to win, it will be a Pyrrhic victory.

But what bugs me is that while there's a (strong) argument that says more economic entanglement and interdependence makes conflict less likely, it doesn't quite seem to be working out like that. People get angry all the same.
 
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