Trump Will Win Re-election for 2020 (Personal Prediction)

[s0me0nesmind1]

My suspicion is that this election resembles 2018 much more than 2016. Trump has a built in EC advantage but it’s looking dicey.

Amazingly any half baked GOP incumbent from years past that managed not to drool on themselves should have been running away with this election. Instead Trump can’t close national or state polling and has to duke it out in Texas and Georgia. Regardless of the outcome that’s not a sign the candidate is very good at the politics thing.

How exactly would you equate this to 2018?

2018 didn't have a re-election of Trump.

When people showed up to vote for Trump in 2016 - they were there for Trump.... not for the establishment.

 

[brycejones]

Have you considered that dunking on him is fun and we should do more of it?

I mean come on, there aren’t many easier targets on here then him.

Yeah, but the fun is kind of removed when the dunkee doesn't realize he has been dunked on.

 

[brycejones]

How exactly would you equate this to 2018?

2018 didn't have a re-election of Trump.

When people showed up to vote for Trump in 2016 - they were there for Trump.... not for the establishment.

Insert excessive haha here.

Serious question what do you think the big drivers of the 2018 election where?

 

[K1052]

How exactly would you equate this to 2018?

2018 didn't have a re-election of Trump.

When people showed up to vote for Trump in 2016 - they were there for Trump.... not for the establishment.

Race polling is pretty steady. Certainly compared to 2016. Generic ballot numbers not moving much in the major surveys. Few undecideds. Likely vastly lower 3rd party vote. None of this reminds me of the last presidential election.

 

[K1052]

Insert excessive haha here.

Serious question what do you think the big drivers of the 2018 election where?

As a referendum on Trump does he exceed 46% from 2016. Possible but the data doesn’t support that.

 

[dank69]

If Trump wins it will be because millions of "independents" like the OP spend all of their free time desperately searching for any information that tells them what they already believe: that Democrats are as bad as Republicans.

Anyone that doesn't already believe that they are as bad would never come to that conclusion logically, not in a million years. It's pure motivated reasoning. Nothing more, nothing less.

I see it every day with disenfranchised conservatives. Can't deny Republicans are garbage, but my daddy told me liberals hate America as soon as I could talk. Plus they literally eat babies. At least Trump doesn't eat babies.

So watch what the polls do as we approach November. Millions of people will succumb to the cognitive dissonance as the the possibility of voting for a baby eating Democrat becomes more of a reality, and Biden will fall into a dead heat with Trump.

Take the OP for example: he heartily agrees with the notion that the reason we don't hear from Biden is because there is a huge effort to hide his waning competence. Never mind the fact that Trump can't read, can't speak, can't follow a train of thought, and that was before he suffered a series of mini-strokes. Oh but those strokes never happened. Just more conspiracy against him. No proof. Need proof for accusations against Trump. But Biden, heh, he'll accept that Biden is retarded with no proof. But I digress...

"No, Biden must be just as bad, because I need to believe he is just as bad, because if he wasn't I'd have to not just vote for him, but feel good about voting for him. And I'd rather kill us all."

Of course, if Biden did more talking, and was talking coherently, OP would be right here telling us how divisive Biden is being.

 

[Jhhnn]

How exactly would you equate this to 2018?

2018 didn't have a re-election of Trump.

When people showed up to vote for Trump in 2016 - they were there for Trump.... not for the establishment.

We'd have thrown him out in 2018 given the opportunity. Expect Democratic turnout to be huge, which is all it will take to win. Just vote.

 

[s0me0nesmind1]

If Trump wins it will be because millions of "independents" like the OP spend all of their free time desperately searching for any information that tells them what they already believe: that Democrats are as bad as Republicans.

Anyone that doesn't already believe that they are as bad would never come to that conclusion logically, not in a million years. It's pure motivated reasoning. Nothing more, nothing less.

I'm voting blue no matter what. I've stated this numerous times.

I'm telling you why you're still going to lose... As I've stated this numerous times....

 

[dank69]

I'm voting blue no matter what. I've stated this numerous times.

I'm telling you why you're still going to lose... As I've stated this numerous times....

I know you are, I've seen you post it numerous times. But you don't want to like it.

 

[pete6032]

If Biden loses it will be because his campaign spent too much time attacking Trump’s character and not campaigning on a platform other than "we aren't Trump." Everyone knows Trump is an asshole and most people who vote for him don't care about his character, yet that's what Democrats keep pointing to.

 

[HomerJS]

Allow me to retort...

Trump's gaffe compilations are just has bad. I won't post because it's been done (airports during the Revolutionary War).

Violence in the streets. Trump is using the ever increasing violence that is happening on his watch that he is doing nothing about as a reason to elect him Trump also assumes people are too stupid to realize, it wasn't happening during Obama/Biden.

Defund the police - Biden opposes.

Of course the OP equates BLM to rioters. Doing the work of racists and Russia

Racism is a division. Right wingers don't believes it exists.

Having said all this the OP would pick Trump over Obama despite Trump being completely unfit for office. Of course the OP would never admit that because of his agenda.


I'm not super confident of Biden winning for other reasons...

White identity politics. Trump is a master at exploiting. The latest trying to end government diversity training.

Voter suppression - sabotaging the post office, trying to limit access to intelligence of Russian interference in the election. Trump tying up polling locations. Sending minions to over whelm polling locations when they already voted.

Trump, Fox and other right wing outlets continuing to use Russian propaganda against Biden

 

[HomerJS]

If Biden loses it will be because his campaign spent too much time attacking Trump’s character and not campaigning on a platform other than "we aren't Trump." Everyone knows Trump is an asshole and most people who vote for him don't care about his character, yet that's what Democrats keep pointing to.

They also don't care Trump mishandling COVID resulted in 10's of thousands dying that didn't have to. Can't really explain that one.

 

[dank69]

If Biden loses it will be because his campaign spent too much time attacking Trump’s character and not campaigning on a platform other than "we aren't Trump." Everyone knows Trump is an asshole and most people who vote for him don't care about his character, yet that's what Democrats keep pointing to.

Yes, Democrats should stop being so divisive.

 

[s0me0nesmind1]

I know you are, I've seen you post it numerous times. But you don't want to like it.

Of course I don't. Because I'm not partisan. I vote based on what I believe is the best for the American people... Not based on what cult I feel represents me best.

 

[dank69]

Of course I don't. Because I'm not partisan. I vote based on what I believe is the best for the American people... Not based on what cult I feel represents me best.

That isn't what I mean by liking it. I'm talking about your need to believe Democrats are actually bad for America, too. The best you will ever believe is that they aren't quite as bad as Trump.

 

[s0me0nesmind1]

That isn't what I mean by liking it. I'm talking about your need to believe Democrats are actually bad for America, too. The best you will ever believe is that they aren't quite as bad as Trump.

After seeing what Pelosi believes in (...takes deep breath....)

Do you feel the Democrats have what you feel at heart?

While she is busy condemning going out in public - she is busy getting hair appontments without a mask. The ol' classic - do as I say, not as I do.... because I am above you. I can do this because I'm a class above you.... you see?

While she is busy advocating calling in a congressional emergency for the postal service - which has been debunked as far as helping Trump - she continues to find it low priority for stimulus checks, unemployment, and eviction protection to be passed... But for some reason, you partisanly think that her actions there are reasonable.... why? why do you continue to stand beside a GIANT piece of human shit that continues to take a dump on the middle-class and the homeless that encompass her shit city?

 

[Fourth Planet]

I think Biden has a chance and I hope that he does win but he has two major issues that might sway the election towards Trump:

1. His being seen as senile or starting to have dementia. Both candidates are far too old for my liking (for the most important job in the world why are our options two guys approaching 80? How in touch are they with the modern world?) but people are worrying about Biden’s mental capacity rightly or wrongly and if he has dementia and he has to disprove that. Personally I don’t think he does, I just think he’s 77 and like most people that age isn’t as quick and sharp as they used to be. Trumps loud mouth seems to overcome that hurdle for him although he may be suffering the same we just don’t see it, but Biden absolutely has to prove that his age isn’t an issue.

2. The riots and "peaceful protests". He’s been delicately dancing around the issue but every night there’s pictures of people burning down buildings, teargas, hurling rocks, guys shooting people vigilante style, CHAZ, the idea of defunding the police, and just general chaos. This doesn’t help Biden, the center will move towards Trump (which is odd because Trump more than anyone else throws fuel on that fire) the more this keeps occurring. Biden will need to reassure voters that when elected he can somehow help to resolve this and get things back to being peaceful.

I have no idea if he can convince voters (and the center in particular) on these two. To do so he’ll have to be seen though and right now his campaign seems to be drowned out by other events happening. The biggest stage to do so will be debating Trump. If he backs out of that for any reason it will be a death knell on his campaign and all but assured 4 more years of Trump.

 

[zinfamous]

How exactly would you equate this to 2018?

2018 didn't have a re-election of Trump.

When people showed up to vote for Trump in 2016 - they were there for Trump.... not for the establishment.

If you don't think "Trump" was on the ballot in 2018 then you've been ingesting more drugs than I know existed.

 

[ivwshane]

I think Biden has a chance and I hope that he does win but he has two major issues that might sway the election towards Trump:

1. His being seen as senile or starting to have dementia. Both candidates are far too old for my liking (for the most important job in the world why are our options two guys approaching 80? How in touch are they with the modern world?) but people are worrying about Biden’s mental capacity rightly or wrongly and if he has dementia and he has to disprove that. Personally I don’t think he does, I just think he’s 77 and like most people that age isn’t as quick and sharp as they used to be. Trumps loud mouth seems to overcome that hurdle for him although he may be suffering the same we just don’t see it, but Biden absolutely has to prove that his age isn’t an issue.

2. The riots and "peaceful protests". He’s been delicately dancing around the issue but every night there’s pictures of people burning down buildings, teargas, hurling rocks, guys shooting people vigilante style, CHAZ, the idea of defunding the police, and just general chaos. This doesn’t help Biden, the center will move towards Trump (which is odd because Trump more than anyone else throws fuel on that fire) the more this keeps occurring. Biden will need to reassure voters that when elected he can somehow help to resolve this and get things back to being peaceful.

I have no idea if he can convince voters (and the center in particular) on these two. To do so he’ll have to be seen though and right now his campaign seems to be drowned out by other events happening. The biggest stage to do so will be debating Trump. If he backs out of that for any reason it will be a death knell on his campaign and all but assured 4 more years of Trump.

Thanks for the Russian propaganda, account that was recently created./eyeroll

 

[ivwshane]

If you don't think "Trump" was on the ballot in 2018 then you've been ingesting more drugs than I know existed.

Nah, he's just that ignorant. He literally said that the 2018 election comparison wasn't more apt because trump wasn't running for re-election... Because in 2016 trump was running for re-election apparently.

 

[Fourth Planet]

Thanks for the Russian propaganda, account that was recently created./eyeroll

It’s not propaganda, what part do you disagree with? Those are the two things that I think could hurt Biden the most and that he needs to address, just my opinion. And I’ve lurked for a while but oddly enough felt the need to register to give some love advice to a 26 year old who hasn’t had sex yet but had questions about it, for some reason I felt like offering my advice.

 

[MrSquished]

After seeing what Pelosi believes in (...takes deep breath....)

Do you feel the Democrats have what you feel at heart?

While she is busy condemning going out in public - she is busy getting hair appontments without a mask. The ol' classic - do as I say, not as I do.... because I am above you. I can do this because I'm a class above you.... you see?

While she is busy advocating calling in a congressional emergency for the postal service - which has been debunked as far as helping Trump - she continues to find it low priority for stimulus checks, unemployment, and eviction protection to be passed... But for some reason, you partisanly think that her actions there are reasonable.... why? why do you continue to stand beside a GIANT piece of human shit that continues to take a dump on the middle-class and the homeless that encompass her shit city?

You spout a lot of right wing propaganda for a so called moderate. Pelosi did her job on legislation to assist those in need. Republicans in the Senate shot them down. Dems offered to meet halfway, Republicans shot that down to. It's because Trump doesn't want any aid to go to blue states and cities. How does he get away with this? Because ignoramuses like you say shit like this.

I love how a city with some of the highest price per square foot real estate in the country is all shit. Because that's what people pay top dollar for. Seriously. I hear this all the time about new york. Pre Covid. Has its problems, but to call one of the most dynamic cities with some of the most coveted real estate in the world as basically a shithole screams right wing ignorant propaganda as well.

 

[Jhhnn]

How exactly would you equate this to 2018?

2018 didn't have a re-election of Trump.

When people showed up to vote for Trump in 2016 - they were there for Trump.... not for the establishment.

They thought he was different. And then he revealed himself as just another corrupt Republican.

 

[s0me0nesmind1]

It’s not propaganda, what part do you disagree with? Those are the two things that I think could hurt Biden the most and that he needs to address, just my opinion. And I’ve lurked for a while but oddly enough felt the need to register to give some love advice to a 26 year old who hasn’t had sex yet but had questions about it, for some reason I felt like offering my advice.

Welcome to P&N

Where you are seen as an EVIL ALT RIGHT CONSPIRACY THEORIST or a snowflake cuck leftist. Also there is no one left on the right, just a couple centrists. Enjoy your stay

 

[Fourth Planet]

I love how a city with some of the highest price per square foot tall estate in the country is all shit. Because that's what people pay top dollar for. Seriously. I hear this all the time about new york

Yeah I’ve never understood the argument that SF or NYC are "shitholes". They are two of the most desirable places in the world to live and like you said has problems but so does literally every other place. And I don’t get the hate on Chicago either and people saying that it’s so dangerous. Per capita it’s definitely not the most dangerous city in America but people love to advertise any time there’s a shooting there and say "see!" but they ignore the shootings in their own backyard.