Trump Will Win Re-election for 2020 (Personal Prediction)

[Paratus]

So here’s where the top several battleground states stand per 538 today:

State / % chance to win / Trending up/down

• TX: T 72% B 28% T down
• IA: T 68% B 32% T down slightly
• GA: T 68% B 32% steady
• OH: T 57% B 43% T down sharply
• NC: T 48% B 52% B up
• FL: T 45% B 55% B down
• AZ: T 39% B 61% B up
• PA: T 31% B 69% steady
• MN: T 23% B 77% B up
• WI: T 22% B 78% B up

Biden is currently winning in the Electoral College

For Trump to win he currently has to take NC, FL, AZ, & PA. He’s improving in FL while Biden is threatening in OH and improving his lead in several states he currently holds. Trump can’t lose anything he currently has.

 

[vi edit]

I believe nothing out of ohio, pa, wi, mn or pa right now. FL will continue to be a perennial dumpster fire.

 

[K1052]

Welp Biden over 50% in all three PA polls this morning. Lowest margin +4.

If Biden is cleaning Trump out like this in the suburbs of states like PA he's got real problems.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1303645058118410241

 

[zinfamous]

College kids on the campuses across America have adopted the term, "F... BIDEN". They won't vote for him, they do not take Biden seriously, they don't even want to talk about Joe Biden, and should anyone try, they will get that "F... BIDEN" back in their face. It's probably a face mask thing because most college kids do not want to wear a mask and more so to be told to wear a face mask. Masks and campus parties just don't seem to mix. And I've noticed some of that same Hillary hate being directed at Joe Biden. The college youth did not like Hillary because Hillary came off as an authority figure, and now the same goes for Joe. The youth won't allow some old fart to boss them around or tell them what they can or cannot do. On the plus side, college kids don't vote. And while they may hate grandpa Joe, they are too lazy to bother voting for Donald Trump.

wut?

 

[dank69]

Disclaimer: Not a republican or a democrat, but like to get people thinking on both sides of the fence.

Have you considered how uniformed your statement appears? Did it occur to you that perhaps you are ill-informed? Could it be that the people most knowledgible on immigration reform and it's adverse impacts are those affected by it? Your "roaches for Raid" comment reveals your vanity and arrogance. Why not let those who are Hispanic decide for themselves what they agree with and what they don't? There are many non-native Americans that see the current immigration movement as a great thing.

That is called FYGM and since they are fond of fucking over other people, they can all go fuck themselves.

 

[Paratus]

View attachment 29451

So here’s where the top several battleground states stand per 538 today:

State / % chance to win / Trending up/down

• TX: T 72% B 28% T down
• IA: T 68% B 32% T down slightly
• GA: T 68% B 32% steady
• OH: T 57% B 43% T down sharply
• NC: T 48% B 52% B up
• FL: T 45% B 55% B down
• AZ: T 39% B 61% B up
• PA: T 31% B 69% steady
• MN: T 23% B 77% B up
• WI: T 22% B 78% B up

Biden is currently winning in the Electoral College

For Trump to win he currently has to take NC, FL, AZ, & PA. He’s improving in FL while Biden is threatening in OH and improving his lead in several states he currently holds. Trump can’t lose anything he currently has.

So things have changed since yesterday.
State / % chance to win / Trending up/down from my last post

• TX: T 70% B 30% T down 2%
• IA: T 66% B 34% T down 2%
• GA: T 67% B 33% T down 1%
• OH: T 56% B 44% T down 1%
• NC: T 46% B 54% B up 2%
• FL: T 42% B 58% B up 3%
• AZ: T 35% B 65% B up 4%
• PA: T 26% B 74% B up 5%
• MN: T 22% B 78% B up 1%
• WI: T 22% B 78% steady

Biden is currently winning the Electoral College 326 to 212, Pop Vote 52.7% to 46.0%, % Chance of Winning 74% to 26%

So over all the latest 538 averaging and weighting of polls has improved Bidens position today.

 

[Fanatical Meat]

I believe nothing out of ohio, pa, wi, mn or pa right now. FL will continue to be a perennial dumpster fire.

This

 

[compuwiz1]

The problem Democrats are getting out of polling data is none of my conservative friends participate in surveys or polls. We are silent...we don't talk to pollsters. We speak at the voting booth. Nobody is alarmed at polls that show Biden with any lead, just of no concern at all.
~ later

 

[fskimospy]

The problem Democrats are getting out of polling data is none of my conservative friends participate in surveys or polls. We are silent...we don't talk to pollsters. We speak at the voting booth. Nobody is alarmed at polls that show Biden with any lead, just of no concern at all.
~ later

You said the exact same thing in 2018 and were wrong. Why didn’t you learn anything?

 

[ivwshane]

The problem Democrats are getting out of polling data is none of my conservative friends participate in surveys or polls. We are silent...we don't talk to pollsters. We speak at the voting booth. Nobody is alarmed at polls that show Biden with any lead, just of no concern at all.
~ later

That’s complete bullshit! You don’t have friends because no one wants to be your friend.

 

[brycejones]

You said the exact same thing in 2018 and were wrong. Why didn’t you learn anything?

Learning is a liberal mindset he don’t need none of that.

 

[ecogen]

The problem Democrats are getting out of polling data is none of my conservative friends participate in surveys or polls. We are silent...we don't talk to pollsters. We speak at the voting booth. Nobody is alarmed at polls that show Biden with any lead, just of no concern at all.
~ later

Satire? How this obviously scientifically illiterate person was ever an admin on a tech forum is mindboggling. Did people not get taught at least the basics of statistics in the old days or what?

 

[fskimospy]

Satire? How this obviously scientifically illiterate person was ever an admin on a tech forum is mindboggling. Did people not get taught at least the basics of statistics in the old days or what?

I’m serious, he posted something basically identical to this in 2018, like a day before the Republicans got blown out.

Page 4 - Election prediction thread

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forums.anandtech.com

 

[Commodus]

The problem Democrats are getting out of polling data is none of my conservative friends participate in surveys or polls. We are silent...we don't talk to pollsters. We speak at the voting booth. Nobody is alarmed at polls that show Biden with any lead, just of no concern at all.
~ later

I'm perpetually amused at how modern American conservatives will insist they're the "silent majority" when all evidence shows they're the minority and shrinking.

Also, even the conservative-leaning pollsters at Rasmussen currently have Biden winning numerous battleground states and the general election. What's your excuse there?

 

[Fanatical Meat]

I’m serious, he posted something basically identical to this in 2018, like a day before the Republicans got blown out.

Page 4 - Election prediction thread

Page 4 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

forums.anandtech.com

Haha he was wrong....

 

[ecogen]

I’m serious, he posted something basically identical to this in 2018, like a day before the Republicans got blown out.

Page 4 - Election prediction thread

Page 4 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

forums.anandtech.com

And I'm guessing post election results he was never seen again in that thread.

 

[Jhhnn]

The problem Democrats are getting out of polling data is none of my conservative friends participate in surveys or polls. We are silent...we don't talk to pollsters. We speak at the voting booth. Nobody is alarmed at polls that show Biden with any lead, just of no concern at all.
~ later

Yeh, it went from "What have you got to lose?" to "What else have you got to lose, Chump?" and nobody changed their mind.

 

[MtnMan]

The OP is a Trumpanzee, proving that their reasoning process is totally FUBAR, so why pay any attention to his rants about his predictions? The musings of a fool are not worthy of debate.

 

[zzyzxroad]

The OP is a Trumpanzee, proving that their reasoning process is totally FUBAR, so why pay any attention to his rants about his predictions? The musings of a fool are not worthy of debate.

Are you sure? I thought he claimed he wasn't? Must be one of those silent majority folks i keep hearing about. Probably too ashamed to admit being a cult member.

 

[s0me0nesmind1]

Are you sure? I thought he claimed he wasn't? Must be one of those silent majority folks i keep hearing about. Probably too ashamed to admit being a cult member.

I've stated numerous times here that I will be voting blue. Not third party.... blue....

That doesn't mean I don't have a prediction of how things will go.

 

[SMOGZINN]

I'm perpetually amused at how modern American conservatives will insist they're the "silent majority" when all evidence shows they're the minority and shrinking.

What I like is how loudly they scream about how silent they are.

 

[kage69]

My prediction is we see the highest voter turnout ever with the White House receiving the enema it so desperately needs. A real ass kicking.

Biden and Harris turn around the covid19 response, but conservative leaning areas of the country will still suffer from the even more serious infection of TDS.

 

[ivwshane]

What I like is how loudly they scream about how silent they are.

Seriously, they love to tell you how pro trump they are. It doesn’t matter what’s going on they are itching to tell someone, anyone, their opinion. I had some old man tell me a joke just so he could get some pro trump statement in.

Of all the types of people in the world it seems to be the trump supporter who won’t shut up about their politics.

 

[ivwshane]

My prediction is we see the highest voter turnout ever with the White House receiving the enema it so desperately needs. A real ass kicking.

Biden and Harris turn around the covid19 response, but conservative leaning areas of the country will still suffer from the even more serious infection of TDS.

I agree. The question though, is do they take the senate or do we get a repeat of the Obama administration with unprecedented republican obstruction?

 

[zzyzxroad]

I've stated numerous times here that I will be voting blue. Not third party.... blue....

That doesn't mean I don't have a prediction of how things will go.

Yeah i was questioning him calling you a Trumpanzee. Just because you bash the left constantly and side with the wacko far right in almost every thread doesn't mean you are going to vote for trump.

Only an absolute moron would vote for trump.