Trump Will Win Re-election for 2020 (Personal Prediction)

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K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,884
34,847
136
Marist dropping national polls today with Biden +7 to +10 depending on likely/registered voters and 3rd party. It was +11 two way in August.

Stable race is stable.
 
Nov 8, 2012
20,828
4,777
146




Ol' Joe still thinks he can pander to a group in an effort to say "Hey I'm just like you! You like dis song right!?"
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
View attachment 30225



Ol' Joe still thinks he can pander to a group in an effort to say "Hey I'm just like you! You like dis song right!?"
Well he is...you know...winning, so he seems to be doing something right.

Getting close to 80% chance of victory and climbing on 538. Hope you’ve made your bets to cash in on Trump’s inevitable victory!
 

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
23,561
13,122
136
Well he is...you know...winning, so he seems to be doing something right.

Getting close to 80% chance of victory and climbing on 538. Hope you’ve made your bets to cash in on Trump’s inevitable victory!

That just means he's gotta cheat and steal his way into that 20% sweet spot.
 

Aegeon

Golden Member
Nov 2, 2004
1,809
125
106
Wait, I thought it was Obama who gave them federal pay raises in 2017 and it was Trump who cut future pay raises. Am I removing wrong or is trump lying yet again?
That is certainly the case, and the Trump administration has actually repeatedly advocated policy changes which would effectively measurably cut the pay of most federal employees.

(Even if the final budget bills did not include those measures and did include pay raises, those were basically due to the Democratic members in Congress.)
 

ch33zw1z

Lifer
Nov 4, 2004
38,003
18,350
146
^^ says the guy who derided executive orders, lol. Ez marks vote for trump, oh...and racists.
 

PlanetJosh

Golden Member
May 6, 2013
1,815
143
106
The polls in swing states look promising for Biden which I'm glad about. But don't know if I can trust the polls in this case after what happened in 2016. So did the polls for swing states get a remake, a reconstruction, or an overhaul as a response to the 2016 election predictions?

I'd like to be encouraged by articles or any evidence from here or anywhere that those swing state polls are accurate this time.
 

uclaLabrat

Diamond Member
Aug 2, 2007
5,578
2,913
136
The polls in swing states look promising for Biden which I'm glad about. But don't know if I can trust the polls in this case after what happened in 2016. So did the polls for swing states get a remake, a reconstruction, or an overhaul as a response to the 2016 election predictions?

I'd like to be encouraged by articles or any evidence from here or anywhere that those swing state polls are accurate this time.
Yes, short answer in 2016 is that most pollsters weren't careful enough to accurately weight by white people with no college degree, who were disproportionately pro-trump. Likewise, whites with degree were disproportionately pro-clinton.

Also it seems this time around theyre not merely relying on national polls and are instead doing a better job actually polling swing states more frequently.

 

ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
32,345
15,156
136
Yes, short answer in 2016 is that most pollsters weren't careful enough to accurately weight by white people with no college degree, who were disproportionately pro-trump. Likewise, whites with degree were disproportionately pro-clinton.

Also it seems this time around theyre not merely relying on national polls and are instead doing a better job actually polling swing states more frequently.


That really was the issue, a lack of state level polls. I don’t know how they are doing this year on that front but hopefully they’ve learned their lesson.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
Yes, short answer in 2016 is that most pollsters weren't careful enough to accurately weight by white people with no college degree, who were disproportionately pro-trump. Likewise, whites with degree were disproportionately pro-clinton.

Also it seems this time around theyre not merely relying on national polls and are instead doing a better job actually polling swing states more frequently.


It's all in the turnout, something Clinton didn't get. Dems are united this time with a single purpose, to kick Trump's ass. No bullshit. No distractions. No bitterness between us. No "She's gonna win anyway".
 

snoopy7548

Diamond Member
Jan 1, 2005
8,090
5,086
146
I don't understand why OP keeps seeking out faults with the person he said he is going to vote for. All it serves to do is invalidate his decision, which is self-destructive behavior.
 
Reactions: dank69

ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
32,345
15,156
136
I don't understand why OP keeps seeking out faults with the person he said he is going to vote for. All it serves to do is invalidate his decision, which is self-destructive behavior.

Because he’s a useful idiot who, like thousands of other people (if not more), have fallen for Russian propaganda which is designed to make potential voters give up and stay home. It worked against Clinton and it’s worked against many other democracies because it’s a cheap and easy tactic and one in which the US and countless other countries have engaged in.
 
Reactions: dawp and TheVrolok
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