Turkey Shoots Down Russian Warplane Near Border With Syria

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sportage

Lifer
Feb 1, 2008
11,493
3,159
136
CNN headlines reports "Russian Missiles Near Turkey", and another headline "Obama Pardons Turkey". Are we talking about the same turkey?
 

shady28

Platinum Member
Apr 11, 2004
2,520
397
126
Tell that to the Israeli`s......

Israel was flying against Syrian SAMs designed and built in the late 1950s - early 1970s. We aren't talking about some decrepit 40+ year old air force here. Syria used home made 'barrel bombs' because it couldn't afford real bombs. Their Mig-21s, 23s, and 25s are from the 60s and 70s.

Source


Israel recently did an about-face on the F-35, deciding to buy them. The main reason was the high probability of Syria getting the much more capable S-300 SAM system, which is highly regarded and already proven capable of knocking down ballistic missiles. If you research it, new S-300 systems are regarded to be at least as capable as generation 3 (new) Patriot systems. It's a game-changer for Israel in that Generation 3-4+ fighters like the F-16, F-15 are what the S-300 is designed to kill.

At the 91, 92 and 93, various versions of the S-300 had successfully destroyed ballistic missiles and other objects in real exercises, with a high success rate(90% or more if you use 1 missile interceptor).[59][60][61][62][63] In 1995, it was the first system in the world to successfully destroy a R-17 Scud missile in the air.[62]


Source


Thanks to Erdogan the game has changed yet again. The S-400 is a different animal from the S-300. It was designed not only as an ABM / SAM system but also to counter threats including the B-2 Stealth Bomber. It has much longer range than the S-300. It was introduced in 2007.

No one publicly knows if S-400 can detect and shoot down stealth aircraft, but that is a distinct possibility.

Russia is firing hundreds of cruise missiles including 'stealth' model cruise missiles. They've deployed a brand new long range SAM system that may be able to detect stealth aircraft. That missile cruiser they deployed (Moskva) has upgraded S-300 type missiles. There are a lot of unknowns but equating Syrian capabilities with Russia is a fools errand.

Go educate yourself on what has changed in the last 20 years.
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
Every stealth aircraft is more or less detectable by low-frequency radar, but that only detects and locates the aircraft, and does not identify it or provide sufficient tracking to actually target the aircraft.
 

shady28

Platinum Member
Apr 11, 2004
2,520
397
126
Every stealth aircraft is more or less detectable by low-frequency radar, but that only detects and locates the aircraft, and does not identify it or provide sufficient tracking to actually target the aircraft.

Some folks would disagree as to if the S-400 can or cannot detect, track, and shoot down stealth aircraft. In reality you do not know, right? No one knows.

The only studies indicate that the S-400 can engage a stealth aircraft at 50% of normal engagement range. That's 125km. But again, no-one knows.


http://www.ausairpower.net/APA-S-400-Triumf.html

Lemanskiy et al state that definition of the S-400 design was performed jointly by the designers and the Russian MoD, with specific capability foci in:
Defeating threats at low and very low flight altitudes;
Dealing with the overall reduction of target signatures resulting from the pervasive use of stealth technology;
Dealing with the increase in target quantities resulting from the widspread use of UAVs;
Applying all means to defeat advanced jammers employed by opponents;
Surviving in an environment where PGMs are used widely;
Accommodating an environment where an increasing number of nations are deploying TBMs and IRBMs.

The authors did state that increased radar power-aperture product performance in both the 92N6E Grave Stone and 91N6E Big Bird increases the capability of the S-400 Triumf to engage low signature or stealth targets, but their cryptic claim of 50 percent of the engagement range remains difficult to interpret.

"Stealth dilemma: debates heats up over F-35’s radar-evading tech

http://www.airforce-technology.com/...ats-up-over-f-35s-radar-evading-tech-4332950/

"F-35’s Stealth, EW Not Enough, So JSF And Navy Need Growlers; Boeing Says 50-100 More

http://breakingdefense.com/2014/04/...d-navy-need-growlers-boeing-says-50-100-more/

I reported back in 2009 that the F-35 is the only US aircraft built to the requirement that it be able to defeat the most advanced air defense systems, such as the Russian’s S-400s. But the industry source said that the F-35 would be vulnerable to sophisticated ground-based systems — unless accompanied by Growlers, who would be able to use their powerful wide-frequency emitters to blanket a wider spectrum of threats.
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
I think we need to use electronic warfare more, although the EA-18G Growler is not a stealth aircraft. There are some semistealth Super Hornet upgrades being promoted by Boeing. Maybe you could add those onto the EA-18G Growler. But why not just make a F-35 EW variant, or even make a F-15SE EW variant? Although the EA-18G Growler would be able to operate from aircraft carriers in cooperation with the F-35B and F-35C, while the F-15SE would have to operate from land. A F-35 EW variant based off the F-35B or F-35C could operate from aircraft carriers, or in the case of F-35B and any F-35B derived EW variant, they could even operate from amphibious warfare ships.
 
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norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
No way in the 9 levels of Trumpistan does Byzantium belong to Muscovy. Not even Rus. And that from a Viking.
 

Pocatello

Diamond Member
Oct 11, 1999
9,754
2
76
I wonder what Putin's strategy in Syria is. It's certainly not to end the civil war there. I'm seeing Turkey getting more involve, supplying more arms to the rebels, especially ground weapons to take out Russian jet fighters, bombers, and helicopters parking on the ground in the future. This war will escalate further in the future. The rebels have too many people backing them from the outside. Too many nations are acting in their own interest, not in the interest of ending this war, whether it's Turkey, the USA, Russia, Saudi Arabia or Iran. The Syrians are caught up in this.
 

shady28

Platinum Member
Apr 11, 2004
2,520
397
126
I think we need to use electronic warfare more, although the EA-18G Growler is not a stealth aircraft. There are some semistealth Super Hornet upgrades being promoted by Boeing. Maybe you could add those onto the EA-18G Growler. But why not just make a F-35 EW variant, or even make a F-15SE EW variant? Although the EA-18G Growler would be able to operate from aircraft carriers in cooperation with the F-35B and F-35C, while the F-15SE would have to operate from land. A F-35 EW variant based off the F-35B or F-35C could operate from aircraft carriers, or in the case of F-35B and any F-35B derived EW variant, they could even operate from amphibious warfare ships.

It gets off topic I think, my main point is that what Israel / Turkey etc in the area has doesn't appear to have a chance against the S-400. The articles linked indicate the S-400 can defeat HARM missiles, and the EW of a lone F-35 (hence the need for the Growlers).

I have faith that the latest US weapons / EW and aircraft could defeat an S-400. But Turkey and Israel aren't the USA.
 

shady28

Platinum Member
Apr 11, 2004
2,520
397
126
I wonder what Putin's strategy in Syria is. It's certainly not to end the civil war there. I'm seeing Turkey getting more involve, supplying more arms to the rebels, especially ground weapons to take out Russian jet fighters, bombers, and helicopters parking on the ground in the future. This war will escalate further in the future. The rebels have too many people backing them from the outside. Too many nations are acting in their own interest, not in the interest of ending this war, whether it's Turkey, the USA, Russia, Saudi Arabia or Iran. The Syrians are caught up in this.

Better question is what the US' strategy is.

I think it comes down to strengthening the petrodollar via larger markets for Saudi Arabia using a pipeline across Syria. To do that requires a pro-US Syria.

Understanding the Petrodollar and how it affects our ability to deficit spend and run trade deficits is the key to understanding what Washington keeps doing mucking around in the ME.

Putin I think is trying to defend his existing turf. A pipeline from Saudi Arabia to Europe would hurt Russia enormously.

But it's just my thought, no one on either side will ever come out and say any of that.
 

pauldun170

Diamond Member
Sep 26, 2011
9,139
5,074
136
"Stealth dilemma: debates heats up over F-35’s radar-evading tech

http://www.airforce-technology.com/...ats-up-over-f-35s-radar-evading-tech-4332950/

"F-35’s Stealth, EW Not Enough, So JSF And Navy Need Growlers; Boeing Says 50-100 More

http://breakingdefense.com/2014/04/...d-navy-need-growlers-boeing-says-50-100-more/


This looks like the usual blogger nonsense jumping on the anti-F-35 bandwagon.

The reasons behind the Growler buy have to do with Adm. Manazir, probably with a healthy dose of Boeing lobbyists talking points trying to make sure the Super Hornet lines stay open while the Navy waits on delivery of the F-35 Block 3F.

The F-35 doesn't need the Growler...at all.
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
The F-35 doesn't need the Growler...at all.

Regardless a world where the only American military aircraft company is Lockheed is a world that America can not survive.

Some limited runs of upgraded aircraft currently offered by Boeing is a good choice for America.
 

shady28

Platinum Member
Apr 11, 2004
2,520
397
126
This looks like the usual blogger nonsense jumping on the anti-F-35 bandwagon.

The reasons behind the Growler buy have to do with Adm. Manazir, probably with a healthy dose of Boeing lobbyists talking points trying to make sure the Super Hornet lines stay open while the Navy waits on delivery of the F-35 Block 3F.

The F-35 doesn't need the Growler...at all.

You could just click on the 'about us' link on their site and see that it is not a blogger site.

I'm sure you can provide concrete references to your assertions, right?

The F-35 is highly controversial as to if it is measuring up to its touted capabilities. That's a fact.
 

pauldun170

Diamond Member
Sep 26, 2011
9,139
5,074
136
I think we need to use electronic warfare more, although the EA-18G Growler is not a stealth aircraft. There are some semistealth Super Hornet upgrades being promoted by Boeing. Maybe you could add those onto the EA-18G Growler. But why not just make a F-35 EW variant, or even make a F-15SE EW variant? Although the EA-18G Growler would be able to operate from aircraft carriers in cooperation with the F-35B and F-35C, while the F-15SE would have to operate from land. A F-35 EW variant based off the F-35B or F-35C could operate from aircraft carriers, or in the case of F-35B and any F-35B derived EW variant, they could even operate from amphibious warfare ships.

EA-18G Growler are ok right now (equivalent to the old EA6 Prowlers) and as they implement the new pods they will still be relevant and useful.

The F-15 is pretty atrocious from a RCS standpoint. Even that Silent eagle they are trying to sell to foreign customers is pretty bad from an RCS standpoint. To expand it capability (F15SE) to include EW would probably turn a now 150 million aircraft into 170 million dollar aircraft on an old platform. Just doesn't seem like a good investment considering budgets

F-35 is already proving itself to be a powerful EW platform, with that's with early blocks.
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
From what I understand the EA6 Prowlers were more capable than the EA-18G Growler, and they probably will be in at least some ways over the F-35. Would probably be very hard to do with a 1 or 2 man fighter-derived aircraft what you used to do with a 4 man dedicated electronic warfare aircraft.
 

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
14,003
3,361
136
I wonder what Putin's strategy in Syria is. It's certainly not to end the civil war there. I'm seeing Turkey getting more involve, supplying more arms to the rebels, especially ground weapons to take out Russian jet fighters, bombers, and helicopters parking on the ground in the future. This war will escalate further in the future. The rebels have too many people backing them from the outside. Too many nations are acting in their own interest, not in the interest of ending this war, whether it's Turkey, the USA, Russia, Saudi Arabia or Iran. The Syrians are caught up in this.

Its very simple actually,

1. Russia will not let Syria out of its Influence.
2. Syria is Russia's Mediterranean harbor.

So Russia will do everything to keep Syria and its current leadership. That is, they will help Assad against the rebels, they will target Turkish convoys supplying the Turkman rebels. Russia will also attack ISIS and they will target any convoy crossing to and from Turkey carrying black market oil/weapons etc.

That is what Turkey wants to avoid and why they shoot down the SU-24. Francois Hollande trying to make the western leaders, including Russia, to attack ISIS coordinately in Syria and that is what Turkey wants to avoid.

Turkey has an eye in to Syria territory through the Turkmen minority and they want to eliminate the Kurdish of northern Syria. ISIS is attacking the Kurds so Turkey doesnt want anyone attacking ISIS. There are also reports of black market oil transfer from ISIS to Turkey. So that could also be another reason for Turkey trying to avoid Russia or anyone else attacking ISIS.
 

Pocatello

Diamond Member
Oct 11, 1999
9,754
2
76
Its very simple actually,

1. Russia will not let Syria out of its Influence.
2. Syria is Russia's Mediterranean harbor.

So Russia will do everything to keep Syria and its current leadership. That is, they will help Assad against the rebels, they will target Turkish convoys supplying the Turkman rebels. Russia will also attack ISIS and they will target any convoy crossing to and from Turkey carrying black market oil/weapons etc.

That is what Turkey wants to avoid and why they shoot down the SU-24. Francois Hollande trying to make the western leaders, including Russia, to attack ISIS coordinately in Syria and that is what Turkey wants to avoid.

Turkey has an eye in to Syria territory through the Turkmen minority and they want to eliminate the Kurdish of northern Syria. ISIS is attacking the Kurds so Turkey doesnt want anyone attacking ISIS. There are also reports of black market oil transfer from ISIS to Turkey. So that could also be another reason for Turkey trying to avoid Russia or anyone else attacking ISIS.

Turkey isn't the only country buying oil from ISIS, even the Assad regime is buying oil from ISIS, not by choice, but by necessity. Russia can try to stop the pipeline going into and out of rebel controlled territory. But the number of Russian force in the region won't stop anybody.
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
The further away a SAM is fired the more time a pilot has to react. One of the most common defeat strategies is to fly right at the missile then break right/left/up/down at the last second. But, if launched from a closer distance the pilot has less time to react and the kill ratio is higher.

The S-400 will be based near Latakia and that's about 100 miles from where the incident happened. That's well within the range of the SAM but far enough that a pilot can react. Now if the S-400 was within 20 miles I'd be inclined to avoid flying that close.


Brian

Don't they generally fire more than one missile right after another to make that maneuver much harder? I mean if they fire it at it's max range the pilots can simply turn around and outrun the thing but not sure about intermediate ranges and multiple SAMs.
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
Just to put what you are claiming into perspective.....Israel has time and time again invaded Syrian skies without Russia`s permission! Russia does not have the technology to enforce a no fly zone!

Even if what you say is true, which from everything I think I know about Russian .mil/technology I don't believe is true, they can damn sure make it very dangerous for the Turks to fly in Syrian airspace.
 

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
14,003
3,361
136
Don't they generally fire more than one missile right after another to make that maneuver much harder? I mean if they fire it at it's max range the pilots can simply turn around and outrun the thing but not sure about intermediate ranges and multiple SAMs.

Latakia is not 100miles form where the SU-24 was shoot down. Its only 28 miles.

Also, you dont go straight to the missile. You are trying to go as far away from the missile, increase your altitude making rapid turns (left and right) in order to make the Missile to exhaust its fuel and its kinetic energy before it will reach you.

edit: There are also other techniques you do to brake radar lock and using ECMs etc.
 
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MongGrel

Lifer
Dec 3, 2013
38,751
3,068
121
EA-18G Growler are ok right now (equivalent to the old EA6 Prowlers) and as they implement the new pods they will still be relevant and useful.

The F-15 is pretty atrocious from a RCS standpoint. Even that Silent eagle they are trying to sell to foreign customers is pretty bad from an RCS standpoint. To expand it capability (F15SE) to include EW would probably turn a now 150 million aircraft into 170 million dollar aircraft on an old platform. Just doesn't seem like a good investment considering budgets

F-35 is already proving itself to be a powerful EW platform, with that's with early blocks.

From what I understand the EA6 Prowlers were more capable than the EA-18G Growler, and they probably will be in at least some ways over the F-35. Would probably be very hard to do with a 1 or 2 man fighter-derived aircraft what you used to do with a 4 man dedicated electronic warfare aircraft.

The Pentagon's Flying Decoy Super Weapon Is About To Get Much Deadlier

http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/first-f-16v-flies-but-its-new-features-wont-show-up-on-1737987465

"With seemingly every egg in the F-35’s basket, the tactical relevancy of the backbone of the USAF’s fighter force for the foreseeable future is just another sacrifice that has been made at the Joint Strike Fighter’s alter."

http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/the-usafs-deadliest-f-16-viper-pilot-on-women-combat-1603954525
 
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