U.S. Energy Loan Program Has Wiped Out Losses

Newell Steamer

Diamond Member
Jan 27, 2014
6,894
8
0
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/11/13/us-doe-loans-idUSKCN0IX0A120141113?irpc=932

Yup,.. another unfulfilled Doomsday prophecy.

According to a report by the Department of Energy, interest payments to the government from projects funded by the Loan Programs Office were $810 million as of September - higher than the $780 million in losses from loans it sustained from startups including Fisker Automotive, Abound Solar and Solyndra, which went bankrupt after receiving large government loans intended to help them bring their advanced green technologies to market.

The report's findings are more of a political victory than a financial one. It took the program three years to break even after Solyndra's failure, while during that same time the Standard & Poor's 500 index increased 67 percent.

Still, the federal loans program is a success for taxpayers, judging by the numbers in the new report, the DOE said. After Solyndra's 2011 collapse, the program was sharply criticized by Republican lawmakers as a waste of public money and a fountain of cronyism. The outcries mounted as others in the program failed, and the DOE issued no new loans between late 2011 and this year.

This year, DOE began lending money again. They have programs in the works that will support both renewable energy and fossil fuel projects. In February it approved $6.5 billion in loan guarantees to build two nuclear reactors in Georgia, and it issued a conditional $150 million commitment to help build a wind project off the coast of Cape Cod, Massachusetts.

Good to see it's back on track - enjoy it haters.
 

PokerGuy

Lifer
Jul 2, 2005
13,650
201
101
So... we invest money in projects that break even after a 3 year period (and one has to wonder what creative accounting is being applied there), when we could have had a 67% return on that same investment by simply putting it into an index fund. Sounds like the taxpayers got hosed..... and you count that as some sort of great accomplishment??

Lets see if any of those investments actually bare long term fruit that helps the country as a whole, but at this point it's essentially been a waste.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,823
49,521
136
So... we invest money in projects that break even after a 3 year period (and one has to wonder what creative accounting is being applied there), when we could have had a 67% return on that same investment by simply putting it into an index fund. Sounds like the taxpayers got hosed..... and you count that as some sort of great accomplishment??

Lets see if any of those investments actually bare long term fruit that helps the country as a whole, but at this point it's essentially been a waste.

By that logic we should invest the entire federal budget in the stock market! WE WILL BE RICH.

The purpose of the program was to facilitate new energy projects. If this article is correct that means we were able to encourage new energy products that weren't able to secure loans otherwise at no cost to the taxpayer.

How can anyone complain about this?
 

Newell Steamer

Diamond Member
Jan 27, 2014
6,894
8
0
So... we invest money in projects that break even after a 3 year period (and one has to wonder what creative accounting is being applied there), when we could have had a 67% return on that same investment by simply putting it into an index fund. Sounds like the taxpayers got hosed..... and you count that as some sort of great accomplishment??

Lets see if any of those investments actually bare long term fruit that helps the country as a whole, but at this point it's essentially been a waste.

Let's do this together.

#1
,... interest payments to the government from projects funded by the Loan Programs Office were $810 million as of September,...

#2
higher than the $780 million in losses from loans it sustained

So, that is $810 - $780 = $30.

We made $30 in profit. Specifically, $30 million dollars.

Now, I know what you are thinking; Must be some liberal devil magic,....

Don't be scared friend, it's real and legit.

Here are some additional links to back that 30 number you may think I yanked out of thin air;

http://mediamatters.org/blog/2014/11/13/solyndra-scandal-mongering-hasnt-stopped-the-en/201551
On November 13, NPR reported that the DOE loan program, designed to "accelerate the domestic commercial deployment of innovative and advanced clean energy technologies," is now turning a profit exceeding $30 million after collecting $810 million in interest payments.


http://www.npr.org/2014/11/13/363572151/after-solyndra-loss-u-s-energy-loan-program-turning-a-profit
The agency also has collected $810 million in interest payments, putting the program $30 million in the black.

Now, I would also argue, that we would have made far more, had the Republicans not demanded the program stop loaning out money. But, hey, they wanted to be cautious, since there were failures - makes sense.
 

PokerGuy

Lifer
Jul 2, 2005
13,650
201
101
Let's do this together.

#1


#2


So, that is $810 - $780 = $30.

We made $30 in profit. Specifically, $30 million dollars.

Now, I know what you are thinking; Must be some liberal devil magic,....

Don't be scared friend, it's real and legit.

Here are some additional links to back that 30 number you may think I yanked out of thin air;

http://mediamatters.org/blog/2014/11/13/solyndra-scandal-mongering-hasnt-stopped-the-en/201551



http://www.npr.org/2014/11/13/363572151/after-solyndra-loss-u-s-energy-loan-program-turning-a-profit


Now, I would also argue, that we would have made far more, had the Republicans not demanded the program stop loaning out money. But, hey, they wanted to be cautious, since there were failures - makes sense.

Awww, how cute, someone who has no grasp of finance or accounting trying to interpret numbers.... and failing miserably.

A net gain of $30 million sounds wonderful, until you realize that the taxpayer could have made more than $400 million by throwing the money into a simple index fund. So basically the taxpayer lost at least $400 million in opportunity cost, unless the projects funded with this money bare long term gain, which we don't know yet.
 

PokerGuy

Lifer
Jul 2, 2005
13,650
201
101
By that logic we should invest the entire federal budget in the stock market! WE WILL BE RICH.

Derp derp. Reductio ad absurdum ring a bell?

The purpose of the program was to facilitate new energy projects. If this article is correct that means we were able to encourage new energy products that weren't able to secure loans otherwise at no cost to the taxpayer.

How can anyone complain about this?

At no cost to the taxpayer? No opportunity cost?

Either way, I wasn't the one complaining about it, but OP's conclusion that this is some sort of massive success because of a $30 million gain is simply unsupported and absurd.

Whether the investments are successful or not depends on the long term outcome of the investments. Does it spur some new developments or technology or sector etc etc? If so, then it was money well spent. If not, it was money wasted. We simply don't know that yet.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,823
49,521
136
Awww, how cute, someone who has no grasp of finance or accounting trying to interpret numbers.... and failing miserably.

A net gain of $30 million sounds wonderful, until you realize that the taxpayer could have made more than $400 million by throwing the money into a simple index fund. So basically the taxpayer lost at least $400 million in opportunity cost, unless the projects funded with this money bare long term gain, which we don't know yet.

That seriously doesn't make any sense. The goal of the government isn't to make money, it's to fund alternative energy.

By your logic we should fund the entire government by investing all federal expenditures into the stock market and then use the proceeds to pay things out. Why pay buy a fighter jet? We could have invested that money in the stock market, earned a huge return, then bought a fighter jet. This would of course lead to an unmitigated catastrophe.

The government dumping billions and billions into the stock market would cause massive disruption and distortion all over the market and it wouldn't serve any larger purpose. Not to mention you would then end up with the federal government owning large portions of many publicly traded companies. Do you want that?
 

sandorski

No Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
70,130
5,658
126
Derp derp. Reductio ad absurdum ring a bell?



At no cost to the taxpayer? No opportunity cost?

Either way, I wasn't the one complaining about it, but OP's conclusion that this is some sort of massive success because of a $30 million gain is simply unsupported and absurd.

Whether the investments are successful or not depends on the long term outcome of the investments. Does it spur some new developments or technology or sector etc etc? If so, then it was money well spent. If not, it was money wasted. We simply don't know that yet.

How is it "Reductio ad absurdum" when that's basically what you are suggesting? Investing in the Stock Market is not something Governments do. Developing Technology and Opportunity is something Governments do regularly. This Fund is well within the Norm.

Not only is the Fund recovering its' investment, but Jobs and Tax Revenues are also improved.
 

PokerGuy

Lifer
Jul 2, 2005
13,650
201
101
That seriously doesn't make any sense. The goal of the government isn't to make money, it's to fund alternative energy.

By your logic we should fund the entire government by investing all federal expenditures into the stock market and then use the proceeds to pay things out. Why pay buy a fighter jet? We could have invested that money in the stock market, earned a huge return, then bought a fighter jet. This would of course lead to an unmitigated catastrophe.

Again, reductio ad absurdum. What if, for example, they could have invested that same money into a nuclear research project that brings forth some groundbreaking new energy source opportunity, but didn't? Would you still think this was a good investment? Obviously not. The point is, the government has finite resources to do things, and saying this course of action was good because of a net break even is absurd. Break even or not is not meaningful, unless you factor in the opportunity cost.

What matters is the long term benefits gained from the investment, not the short term break-even (or lack thereof).

To be clear, if they had lost $100 million on the same investment, I wouldn't conclude it was a lousy one because of that either. It's simply one thing to consider, it's not the determining factor of success.
 

Newell Steamer

Diamond Member
Jan 27, 2014
6,894
8
0
Awww, how cute, someone who has no grasp of finance or accounting trying to interpret numbers.... and failing miserably.

A net gain of $30 million sounds wonderful, until you realize that the taxpayer could have made more than $400 million by throwing the money into a simple index fund. So basically the taxpayer lost at least $400 million in opportunity cost, unless the projects funded with this money bare long term gain, which we don't know yet.

The US Energy Loan Program is to fund alternative / green energy. I am not sure why you are even bothering with bringing up index funds,.. do you even know what that is? Or, did one of the other smarter posters PM you this "point"?

Also, Here is their link; http://energy.gov/lpo/loan-programs-office
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,823
49,521
136
Again, reductio ad absurdum. What if, for example, they could have invested that same money into a nuclear research project that brings forth some groundbreaking new energy source opportunity, but didn't? Would you still think this was a good investment? Obviously not. The point is, the government has finite resources to do things, and saying this course of action was good because of a net break even is absurd.

No, it's the only rational assumption you could come to given the evidence.

The argument that because there might possibly have been a better investment for that money somewhere, therefore a government program that was able to develop alternative energy technologies at no cost to the taxpayer was not good is what is actually absurd.

If you applied this standard to private industry it would be virtually impossible to say that any investment *ever* was actually good. There's basically always something better that could be done.

We got new tech and new viable businesses (presumably) and it didn't cost us any money. That's a good day for me.
 

PokerGuy

Lifer
Jul 2, 2005
13,650
201
101
How is it "Reductio ad absurdum" when that's basically what you are suggesting?

I am not suggesting that at all.

Investing in the Stock Market is not something Governments do. Developing Technology and Opportunity is something Governments do regularly. This Fund is well within the Norm.

Sigh. The concept of opportunity cost goes above your head apparently?

I was just providing an easy illustration of that opportunity cost, and how the $30 million is not a meaningful measure of the success or failure of the investment.
 

Newell Steamer

Diamond Member
Jan 27, 2014
6,894
8
0
BTW, here is their mission statement;
The mission of the Energy Department is to ensure America’s security and prosperity by addressing its energy, environmental and nuclear challenges through transformative science and technology solutions.

,.. I don't see anything in there about the stock market,..
 

PokerGuy

Lifer
Jul 2, 2005
13,650
201
101
No, it's the only rational assumption you could come to given the evidence.

The argument that because there might possibly have been a better investment for that money somewhere, therefore a government program that was able to develop alternative energy technologies at no cost to the taxpayer was not good is what is actually absurd.

If you applied this standard to private industry it would be virtually impossible to say that any investment *ever* was actually good. There's basically always something better that could be done.

We got new tech and new viable businesses (presumably) and it didn't cost us any money. That's a good day for me.

You clearly don't work in the private sector, because this kind of analysis is EXACTLY what is done on a daily basis on all sorts of projects and investments. I should know because I do it for a living.

The difference is that for a private company, you can measure the return of something against a concrete measuring stick, like "the cost of capital" or "my desired ROI" or something like that. For government, the measures are not the same.
 

sandorski

No Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
70,130
5,658
126
I am not suggesting that at all.



Sigh. The concept of opportunity cost goes above your head apparently?

I was just providing an easy illustration of that opportunity cost, and how the $30 million is not a meaningful measure of the success or failure of the investment.

You brought up the Index Fund, you indeed suggested it. The only difference was that Eski said the whole Federal Budget. Governments do not Invest in Stocks or Markets, because that is not their task.
 

yllus

Elite Member & Lifer
Aug 20, 2000
20,577
432
126
It is me or is the point of the entire loan program a bit misunderstood anyways? It sounds like what they're looking to do is give the high risk, high reward types of projects/technologies a try in the way that only governments can (with less concern about immediate profits than overall effect). To me this is more of a failure of communication.
 

Ophir

Golden Member
Mar 29, 2001
1,211
4
81
You clearly don't work in the private sector, because this kind of analysis is EXACTLY what is done on a daily basis on all sorts of projects and investments. I should know because I do it for a living.

The difference is that for a private company, you can measure the return of something against a concrete measuring stick, like "the cost of capital" or "my desired ROI" or something like that. For government, the measures are not the same.
Stop it. Just stop. You do not do it for a living.

If you do, you are either doing it wrong, work for a financial firm (where the rules of the game are much different than for, say, manufacturing or governments), or for a mom and pop shop (which doesn't apply).

You are telling me that your company would kill a project that had a 5 year IRR of 14% and 3 year payback because it doesn't compare to a nearly unprecedented S&P 500 run? You're seriously implying that your company would instead invest that money in the market? How quickly did you guys go bankrupt in 2008? Did you work for Lehman Bros?

Do you even understand risk analysis, market volatility, or fundamentals to project business cases? Any moron knows that it is absurd to use high risk investments as a basis for calculating opportunity cost. A sound financial path is to choose investments that outperform your revenue growth targets, which for any large company are nowhere near 22% YOY, generally closer to 5-10%.

Go away.
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
You clearly don't work in the private sector, because this kind of analysis is EXACTLY what is done on a daily basis on all sorts of projects and investments. I should know because I do it for a living.

The difference is that for a private company, you can measure the return of something against a concrete measuring stick, like "the cost of capital" or "my desired ROI" or something like that. For government, the measures are not the same.

It depends on the goal of the investment. There are "green" funds out there, socially responsible funds, and every single fund and SMA has investment guidelines that limit what they can and cannot invest in. Your simplistic viewpoint clearly points out that you're limited in your real world viewpoints and experience.

The role of the government, at least as far as current policy goes, is to support big projects that have more societal benefit than simple investment that only the Federal government can support. Both sides do this, such as PPP, or any number of big public works projects. The societal benefit cannot be measured in just financial return, nor should it.

And I *DO* manage a huge portfolio of investments.
 

Thebobo

Lifer
Jun 19, 2006
18,592
7,673
136
This is good news. Bring on more solar, wind and nuclear investment.

Exactly. Imagine if Reagan had never gotten rid of the solar tax break back in the early eighties where we might be now. We had all sorts of Solar industry upstarts in the DC area back then and then they poofed overnight.
 

Zorkorist

Diamond Member
Apr 17, 2007
6,861
3
76
You brought up the Index Fund, you indeed suggested it. The only difference was that Eski said the whole Federal Budget. Governments do not Invest in Stocks or Markets, because that is not their task.
It's also not their task to fund research and development.

It's their task to Govern.

Everything else is corruption, waste, socialism, etc.

-John
 

Zorkorist

Diamond Member
Apr 17, 2007
6,861
3
76
Exactly. Imagine if Reagan had never gotten rid of the solar tax break back in the early eighties where we might be now. We had all sorts of Solar industry upstarts in the DC area back then and then they poofed overnight.
Reagan also got rid of energy subsidies for "oil shale liquefaction." ie fracking.

A booming segment of energy today.

-John
 

Zorkorist

Diamond Member
Apr 17, 2007
6,861
3
76
One of these things makes economic sense, the other is just pandering to liberals.

-John
 
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