US and Mexico reach a trade deal, paving the way to replace NAFTA

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
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There is no NAFTA deal without Canada regardless of what US-Mex agreed to between themselves (and a number of important issues appear to be outstanding from this "agreement"). Mexico doesn't look to be interested in making this bilateral as Trump is claiming if Canada can't come to terms. Trump wants to use the announcement to strong-arm Trudeau into agreeing...I'm unsure that works on the compressed timetable Mexico is looking for before AMLO assumes power.

Kind of a mess really.

Usual warning applies of always be wary when Trump proclaims deals.

Edit: Also if I understand the auto rule changes get ready to pay even more for cars on top of what the metals tariffs are going to do
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,867
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ok dokie now Mexico is saying that they will do a bilateral deal but the agreement they negotiated with the US included a lot of trilateral stuff agreed to without (apparently) Canada's input so they basically have a week to take it or leave it.
 
Nov 8, 2012
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ok dokie now Mexico is saying that they will do a bilateral deal but the agreement they negotiated with the US included a lot of trilateral stuff agreed to without (apparently) Canada's input so they basically have a week to take it or leave it.

The reason is because Canada literally stepped out of the negotiations and said the equivalent of "You guys settle what issues you have - and we will come back in when you're done". So yes - of course they were writing it under the presumption that Canada would agree as well.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
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The reason is because Canada literally stepped out of the negotiations and said the equivalent of "You guys settle what issues you have - and we will come back in when you're done". So yes - of course they were writing it under the presumption that Canada would agree as well.

The US was making escalating demands on Canada so the real conversations basically stopped. US continued with Mex who is under the gun to sign before the new admin comes in there and upends anything. Based on what I'm seeing there is no such presumption that Canada has agreed to anything that's in the US-Mex bilateral.
 
Nov 8, 2012
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The US was making escalating demands on Canada so the real conversations basically stopped. US continued with Mex who is under the gun to sign before the new admin comes in there and upends anything. Based on what I'm seeing there is no such presumption that Canada has agreed to anything that's in the US-Mex bilateral.

Oh no - by all means - I have no presumption that Canada will agree either.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
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Also unclear is what happens if Trump submits a US-Mex pact to congress. Authority might not exist for it to supplant NAFTA. Also congress will have to pass law to conform in addition to the Senate ratification which before the end of the year seems like a rather tall task.
 

Homerboy

Lifer
Mar 1, 2000
30,856
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Prediction: Mexico or Canada bails out. Trump says "I tried... everyone wants to keep screwing us over! #MAGA!"

This will go along with the "great deal" and peace he brokered with North Korea
#artofthedealmyass
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,812
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Sasse so far not a fan:



Well he’s right about one thing - having a trade deal with an assumed expiration date is incredibly stupid. Who is going to make investments when those investments could be ruined a few years later?

One of the primary purposes of any trade avrrrment is to provide stability so that people can invest with confidence. What a bunch of dummies.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,867
34,814
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Well he’s right about one thing - having a trade deal with an assumed expiration date is incredibly stupid. Who is going to make investments when those investments could be ruined a few years later?

One of the primary purposes of any trade avrrrment is to provide stability so that people can invest with confidence. What a bunch of dummies.

It's even a major retreat from the 5 year automatic sunset that Trump demanded and Mexico/Canada said no way to. I think any expiration date mandatory or not is going to be unpopular with a lot of politicians given the headaches it could cause down the road.
 

MooseNSquirrel

Platinum Member
Feb 26, 2009
2,587
318
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Hehe Canada is playing Trump like the idiot man child that he is.

Check out where they have applied tariffs on US goods. Trudeau is no genius, but he's fricking Mensa compared to Trump. And Trump is making it more likely Trudeau will get reelected. Its also interesting that Canadians in general have made the tariffs thing about Trump, not Americans. SO Canadian.
 
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