US and Mexico reach a trade deal, paving the way to replace NAFTA

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Fenixgoon

Lifer
Jun 30, 2003
31,822
10,361
136
let me guess...it will be called TAFTA; it will have a few word changes that make it entirely equivalent to NAFTA in every aspect; and Trump will say he deserves credit for negotiating a tough new trade deal (tm)
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
let me guess...it will be called TAFTA; it will have a few word changes that make it entirely equivalent to NAFTA in every aspect; and Trump will say he deserves credit for negotiating a tough new trade deal (tm)
How'd you guess?
 

blackangst1

Lifer
Feb 23, 2005
22,914
2,359
126
Agree to disagree how? Can anyone articulate to me how this helps the average American?

Again, I can see how it helps you if your job is building cars. I fail to see how it helps the rest of us and it in fact hurts us because we foot the bill.

I see it as the pong game. I said this recently but Ill say it again. If we can do something for a country that is responsible for the largest amount of illegal immigrants into our country that might curtail that, that benefits us.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
That was a yes or question.
And a dishonest one in the context of this discussion. I'm not against working people everywhere getting higher wages. OTOH, this is Trump, the flimflam man, so I'd rate the chances of anybody getting higher wages (particularly Mexicans) as mere fluffery.
 

blackangst1

Lifer
Feb 23, 2005
22,914
2,359
126
And a dishonest one in the context of this discussion. I'm not against working people everywhere getting higher wages. OTOH, this is Trump, the flimflam man, so I'd rate the chances of anybody getting higher wages (particularly Mexicans) as mere fluffery.

So you dismiss even the attempt?

Not surprised,
 

trenchfoot

Lifer
Aug 5, 2000
14,685
7,186
136
let me guess...it will be called TAFTA; it will have a few word changes that make it entirely equivalent to NAFTA in every aspect; and Trump will say he deserves credit for negotiating a tough new trade deal (tm)

That was my first impression too. Trump creates a big mess to draw attention to himself, takes a slice out of the total NAFTA agreement, leaves the rest of it intact and re-brands it under the Trump banner while proclaiming the big mess he made was already a mess he set out to fix and............Voila!
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
I see it as the pong game. I said this recently but Ill say it again. If we can do something for a country that is responsible for the largest amount of illegal immigrants into our country that might curtail that, that benefits us.

You keep talking like this measure is designed to help Mexico. In reality it is intended to hurt Mexico by removing some of its competitive advantage when it comes to wages.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,885
34,850
136
I see it as the pong game. I said this recently but Ill say it again. If we can do something for a country that is responsible for the largest amount of illegal immigrants into our country that might curtail that, that benefits us.

Illegal immigration of Mexican nationals basically fell off a cliff after 2008 and people retiring have reduced their share of illegals residing in the US substantially. A lot of what we're seeing now is people from Central America.

Yes some Mex auto workers will see higher wages and that's good for them but that's a drop in the bucket compared to the massive security, violence, and political problems the US drug war has caused which is the true big driver of immigrants from this part of the world.
 
Jan 25, 2011
16,634
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Can someone tell me what the purpose of this announcement was? I mean at all? Was this just another effort to get attention onto himself by making big claims against something completely insignificant?
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,885
34,850
136
Can someone tell me what the purpose of this announcement was? I mean at all? Was this just another effort to get attention onto himself by making big claims against something completely insignificant?

He's trying to pressure Trudeau into a deal and quickly. Also for personal attention because the news channels are wall to wall McCain.
 
Reactions: ch33zw1z and Vic
Jan 25, 2011
16,634
8,778
146
He's trying to pressure Trudeau into a deal and quickly. Also for personal attention because the news channels are wall to wall McCain.
It's not like world leaders are as stupid as his supporters though. We know Mexico won't proceed without Canada. They've said as much. It's just hollow.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
Illegal immigration of Mexican nationals basically fell off a cliff after 2008 and people retiring have reduced their share of illegals residing in the US substantially. A lot of what we're seeing now is people from Central America.

Yes some Mex auto workers will see higher wages and that's good for them but that's a drop in the bucket compared to the massive security, violence, and political problems the US drug war has caused which is the true big driver of immigrants from this part of the world.

Also the idea that Mexico benefits from this is bonkers as international trade is one of the areas where conservative complaints about the minimum wage are actually fairly accurate.

In the US most minimum wage jobs are local service jobs that aren’t subject to foreign competition. (China can’t export baristas) That’s one of the reasons why local wage floors have such a limited effect on overall employment. That’s not true in this case.

This is an explicit attempt to shift manufacturing back to the US by making current supply chains inefficient on purpose. Apparently conservatives don’t mind paying taxes so long as they exist to prop up uncompetitive US industries. Hey wait a minute, wasn’t that their complaint against solar and wind subsidies? Interesting how when the issue is preventing an ecological catastrophe the free market is sacrosanct but when it comes to propping up the car industry subsidies are just fine.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,885
34,850
136
It's not like world leaders are as stupid as his supporters though. We know Mexico won't proceed without Canada. They've said as much. It's just hollow.

I think Trump convinced EPN's people to try bluffing Canada into it and this is the result. AMLO appears to have a different take. Regardless I'm skeptical Trudeau is going to take the bait when waiting Trump out is probably the better move. A number of major items of interest to Canada remained untouched in the Us-Mex agreement that Canada considers very much at issue (metals tariffs as one big example).
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,885
34,850
136
This is an explicit attempt to shift manufacturing back to the US by making current supply chains inefficient on purpose.

A very bad attempt at that since it's not going to work...like at all.

I'm sure Dump Truck will try selling it as a bigly win for American manufacturing jobs when it doesn't look anything like that in actuality.
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,415
14,307
136
Because the rest of the world maybe is following the United States left's push last several years of a $15/hr minimum wage. Which it seems most people support.

Why is driving up wages for workers bad?
Why have Republicans staunchly opposed a $15/hr minimum wage in every US city where that has been proposed or implemented?
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,415
14,307
136
let me guess...it will be called TAFTA; it will have a few word changes that make it entirely equivalent to NAFTA in every aspect; and Trump will say he deserves credit for negotiating a tough new trade deal (tm)
Thus far, what is being proposed is exactly like NAFTA, except for a few items Trump is touting right now that almost certainly won't be in the final revision.
This isn't a new trade agreement, it's a re-branding of the existing one.
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,415
14,307
136
Also the idea that Mexico benefits from this is bonkers as international trade is one of the areas where conservative complaints about the minimum wage are actually fairly accurate.

In the US most minimum wage jobs are local service jobs that aren’t subject to foreign competition. (China can’t export baristas) That’s one of the reasons why local wage floors have such a limited effect on overall employment. That’s not true in this case.

This is an explicit attempt to shift manufacturing back to the US by making current supply chains inefficient on purpose. Apparently conservatives don’t mind paying taxes so long as they exist to prop up uncompetitive US industries. Hey wait a minute, wasn’t that their complaint against solar and wind subsidies? Interesting how when the issue is preventing an ecological catastrophe the free market is sacrosanct but when it comes to propping up the car industry subsidies are just fine.

To conservatives, it all depends on which way the perceived beneficiaries of the subsidies vote.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,885
34,850
136
Reading that R senators don't seem to think that Trump can legally submit a US-Mex pact under the notification he gave to Congress about renegotiating NAFTA. He can give a new notification on a bilateral pact but he'd have to wait 180 days before any agreement can be signed.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,885
34,850
136
Thus far the Canadians don't seem to be biting and reiterated their position on ag protection.

Also Trump just claimed Mexico is paying for the wall.





Unraveling in record time really...
 
Last edited:
Feb 4, 2009
34,703
15,951
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Heard a brief overview
Tightened terms that qualify as “made in America” for cars
Big one was Mexico now has to comply with US Eviormental laws/rules, companies that pollute can no longer move to Mexico to continue polluting
$16 minimum wage for Mexican auto workers, not average but minimum.

So far I’ll say our Useful Idiot has done something good on its surface.

I can’t wait till our Libertarian & Conservative AT members start saying how great the deal is with Environmental protections & a minimum wage. Then try to pivot why that’s bad for the US.

Such weird ass fucking times we live in.
 
Feb 4, 2009
34,703
15,951
136
Reading that R senators don't seem to think that Trump can legally submit a US-Mex pact under the notification he gave to Congress about renegotiating NAFTA. He can give a new notification on a bilateral pact but he'd have to wait 180 days before any agreement can be signed.

Read post #72, I bet those items have something to do with it.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,885
34,850
136
$16 minimum wage for Mexican auto workers, not average but minimum.

Not exactly...40% of components would have to be made by workers exceeding $16/hr. Not exactly a blanket minimum wage. Good for some Mexican workers though no doubt though.
 

Engineer

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
39,234
701
126
Not exactly...40% of components would have to be made by workers exceeding $16/hr. Not exactly a blanket minimum wage. Good for some Mexican workers though no doubt though.

Again, does that mean the 40-45% have to be made in Mexico at $16 per hour or anywhere (i.e. made in the US and Canada and shipped to Mexico)? The devil is in the details on that one.
 
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