Vega/Navi Rumors (Updated)

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Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
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The biggest issue with AMD is that they forego the lucrative and expensive markets like servers and professional graphics and compute, which allowed Intel and Nvidia to swoop in and uncontested get all that money.

They can't gain any sort of significant profits with low and mid range cpu's and gpu's, which is what they've been doing for the past 4-5 years with garbage APU's for ultra low end, ultra low cost potato mashers.

I mean even though the Fury and Nano series weren't the best in terms of performance, it still gave them big profit boosts because of how expensive they were. The Nano for the niche market, Fury X with water cooling from start, it was something that enthusiasts and niche markets took to.
AMD was foregoing the lucrative server market because they misjudged the types of workloads required when they designed bulldozer. Not being power and performance competitive doesn't get you many sales

They actually had a nice chunk of the server market back before Intel launched the Core series. The old Athalon 64 killed the P4 derived crap.

That being said Ryzen should put them back into the server game.
 

IEC

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Jun 10, 2004
14,440
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So we might get some information, or this is another "quality" piece of news from that site.

If it's anything like previous years' events, expect no new information that we would care about, i.e. prepare to be disappointed.
 
Mar 10, 2006
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.vodka

Golden Member
Dec 5, 2014
1,203
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Which is why I refer to them as WTTFtech.

For me it doesn't mean anything. Anyway, it's related so it's worth posting I guess.


If it's anything like previous years' events, expect no new information that we would care about, i.e. prepare to be disappointed.

I'm not expecting anything to begin with. If something is said at that event, well, that's a plus.
 

T1beriu

Member
Mar 3, 2017
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AMD Radeon RX Vega Rumors: Part 1 by Videocardz

1. There will be 16,000 Vega units at launch

2. There are three Radeon RX Vega graphics cards

3. More at Videocardz
 
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raghu78

Diamond Member
Aug 23, 2012
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the various rumours about Vega are not good. Poor performance, HBM2 shortage and low initial product volume are all pointing towards a repeat of the Fiji disaster. AMD's revenue increase forecast for the 2017 financial year is also not so good. I think AMD's financial turnaround is looking like it will take a lot more time. AMD would need atleast 2-3 generations of very competitive CPU and GPUs to get back to much higher revenues and sustainable profits. imo AMD need to design their upcoming GPUs to utilise simpler, easier to manufacture and available in higher volume memory technologies like GDDR5X and the upcoming GDDR6. Anyway as every day passes by Vega is looking more and more like too little too late.
 

Crumpet

Senior member
Jan 15, 2017
745
539
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the various rumours about Vega are not good. Poor performance, HBM2 shortage and low initial product volume are all pointing towards a repeat of the Fiji disaster. AMD's revenue increase forecast for the 2017 financial year is also not so good. I think AMD's financial turnaround is looking like it will take a lot more time. AMD would need atleast 2-3 generations of very competitive CPU and GPUs to get back to much higher revenues and sustainable profits. imo AMD need to design their upcoming GPUs to utilise simpler, easier to manufacture and available in higher volume memory technologies like GDDR5X and the upcoming GDDR6. Anyway as every day passes by Vega is looking more and more like too little too late.

Got anything positive to say?

Vega is looking to provide us with direct competitors for the GTX 1070 (the future budget card), The GTX 1080 and hopefully the GTX 1080ti

It's giving the consumers access to HBM2 memory to experience.

It's following a very successful Ryzen launch.

Do I wish it would come earlier, yes, do I think the sky is falling? Lolno.
 

raghu78

Diamond Member
Aug 23, 2012
4,093
1,475
136
Got anything positive to say?

Vega is looking to provide us with direct competitors for the GTX 1070 (the future budget card), The GTX 1080 and hopefully the GTX 1080ti

It's giving the consumers access to HBM2 memory to experience.

It's following a very successful Ryzen launch.

Do I wish it would come earlier, yes, do I think the sky is falling? Lolno.

Right now there is a lot of unanswered questions about Vega performance, price and volume availability. imo unless AMD has a GDDR5 based small Vega ( Vega 11 ) which addresses the USD 300 - USD 400 price point and competes with the GTX 1070 / GTX 1080 they are not going to take meaningful market share. More importantly is what kind of performance, price and more importantly product volume availability are we going to see with big Vega (Vega 10).
 

Crumpet

Senior member
Jan 15, 2017
745
539
96
Right now there is a lot of unanswered questions about Vega performance, price and volume availability. imo unless AMD has a GDDR5 based small Vega ( Vega 11 ) which addresses the USD 300 - USD 400 price point and competes with the GTX 1070 / GTX 1080 they are not going to take meaningful market share. More importantly is what kind of performance, price and more importantly product volume availability are we going to see with big Vega (Vega 10).

I've got a great idea, why don't we wait and find out.
 

guachi

Senior member
Nov 16, 2010
761
415
136
16,000 seems awfully low for number of cards. At about $500 per card that's only $8,000,000 in retail sales.
 

Head1985

Golden Member
Jul 8, 2014
1,867
699
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Remember that vega 10 is around 500mm2.if vega10 competes only with crippled GP104 alias GTX1070 then its epic fail.GTX1070 have 33% GPU disabled(1GPC disabled) + its only 314mm2.
This is pretty much worse situation than in 4870 vs GTX280 days.GTX280 was atleast faster than 4870.

AMD need small vega +- 350mm2 to compete with GTX1070 and 1080.Vega10 should beat 1080TI because its bigger than FULL GP102 and 1080TI is not even full GP102.
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
17,121
14,489
146
Remember that vega 10 is around 500mm2.if vega10 competes only with crippled GP104 alias GTX1070 then its epic fail.GTX1070 have 33% GPU disabled(1GPC disabled) + its only 314mm2.
This is pretty much worse situation than in 4870 vs GTX280 days.GTX280 was atleast faster than 4870.

AMD need small vega +- 350mm2 to compete with GTX1070 and 1080.Vega10 should beat 1080TI because its bigger than FULL GP102 and 1080TI is not even full GP102.
According to TPU Fury X is within 2% of the 1070 at 4K.

What are the odds that Vega, with ~50% more transistors and improved clock speeds is no faster than Fury?
 
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Qwertilot

Golden Member
Nov 28, 2013
1,604
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who really thinks nvidia sold way over 16k 1080tis in its first month(s)?

They might have done - NV appear to have a genuinely big, 'instant upgrader' market. No chance of Vega having the same of course, especially with it launching a fair way behind in terms of time.

Definitely positive if they've got that many more than they had with Fury.
 

Crumpet

Senior member
Jan 15, 2017
745
539
96
They might have done - NV appear to have a genuinely big, 'instant upgrader' market. No chance of Vega having the same of course, especially with it launching a fair way behind in terms of time.

Definitely positive if they've got that many more than they had with Fury.

Could be the reason for the "delays", stockpiling.
 

amenx

Diamond Member
Dec 17, 2004
4,107
2,376
136
Could be the reason for the "delays", stockpiling.
Very much doubt that. If they have a good product and is already being manufactured, we would see reviews by now. Better to release with limited stocks than create doubt by delays which easily pushes potential buyers towards Nvidia.
 

Despoiler

Golden Member
Nov 10, 2007
1,967
772
136
Very much doubt that. If they have a good product and is already being manufactured, we would see reviews by now. Better to release with limited stocks than create doubt by delays which easily pushes potential buyers towards Nvidia.

That's not the way product launches work for any company.
 
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Samwell

Senior member
May 10, 2015
225
47
101
who really thinks nvidia sold way over 16k 1080tis in its first month(s)?

Don't underestimate the sales of high end gpus. There's this one german shop which publishes sales numbers and there the 1080Ti sold already 2300 times. It's a big shop, but far from the biggest ones. So there're pretty sure over 16k sold in just one country. Worldwide you should be somewhere in the >100k region after two month. Therefore 16k would be quite small. But i don't believe in TTs numbers. There was so much time for HBM to become available. I can understand a high price, but avalability should be ok. Hynix should know month before when amd will need it.
 

Gikaseixas

Platinum Member
Jul 1, 2004
2,836
218
106
Very much doubt that. If they have a good product and is already being manufactured, we would see reviews by now. Better to release with limited stocks than create doubt by delays which easily pushes potential buyers towards Nvidia.
They could be attempting to make a decent release for a change you know? One with enough cards for initial demand, one with proper (mature) drivers and what not. I believe that even early adopters would appreciate.
 

Magic Hate Ball

Senior member
Feb 2, 2017
290
250
96
They could be attempting to make a decent release for a change you know? One with enough cards for initial demand, one with proper (mature) drivers and what not. I believe that even early adopters would appreciate.

Yeah. The longer they wait the more stock they should have AND the more mature the drivers. It's basically a win/win in terms of first impressions when the device lands.

If Ryzen had been delayed a month half the motherboards would not have had the RAM compatibility issues we saw in the initial reviews....
 
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