Vega/Navi Rumors (Updated)

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tamz_msc

Diamond Member
Jan 5, 2017
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I would recommend tightening your glasses
It's FP32 theoretical peak throughput, you can't cut it artificially in any way to differentiate products.

Two things:
  1. We don't know if the flagship Vega card for consumers will have the same clocks as the MI25. Hence the TFLOP value is uncertain.
  2. AMD cards always had strong compute performance, so the CompuBench and Sandra leaks don't say much about gaming performance.
 

Headfoot

Diamond Member
Feb 28, 2008
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This whole thread is devoted to speculation. We can make reasonable inferences from AMD's slides and public statements, and from the gains that Nvidia obtained by implementing similar technology.

AMD told Anandtech that the MI25 Vega accelerator is going to have ~12.5 TFlops of single-precision performance. We know, on every GPU ever released in the modern era from both AMD and Nvidia, the formula for calculating TFlops. It's a simple function of (shaders x MHz x 2) / 1,000,000. Thus, if the flagship Vega chip has 4096 shaders (and all the information we've seen from multiple leaks so far indicate it does), then it has to run at ~1525 MHz to hit the TFlop goal. We also know based on past experience that professional cards almost never run higher clocks than consumer-grade cards; if anything, they run lower. From all this we can reasonably infer that the flagship consumer Vega card will run no slower than 1500 MHz, and quite possibly faster.

As for "IPC" - as used here, most people really mean something like "DX11 gaming performance per TFlop". Whether that is what AMD means in its architectural slides is not clear. And you're right that they didn't give specific numbers. However, again, we can make inferences from what we do know. AMD is implementing tiled rendering, so how much will that gain them? The closest comparison I can find is Nvidia's GTX 650 Ti (Kepler) to GTX 750 Ti (1st-generation Maxwell). Delta color compression (which both AMD and Nvidia now have), was, as far as I know, introduced only with 2nd-generation Maxwell (900 series), so using 1st-generation Maxwell as a baseline should mostly isolate the gains from tiled rendering. On 1080p gaming, GTX 750 Ti did about 22% better than GTX 650 Ti. This was despite the fact that the Maxwell card had only about 91.5% the raw TFlops of the Kepler card. In other words, Maxwell 1st generation had about 33% better DX11 gaming performance per TFlop than Kepler. (1.22 / 0.915) We can therefore reasonably infer that tiled rendering should provide significant gains for AMD in Vega, likely over 30% better DX11 gaming performance per TFlop. This is assuming no other significant bottlenecks - and we know from the slides that Vega does remove at least one major bottleneck, the 4-shader-engine limitation, which was one of the primary reasons that Fiji was so underwhelming.

These, then, are my predictions based on what we do know: clock speed for the flagship card of no lower than 1500 MHz (except perhaps in Furmark and other extreme TDP-constrained scenarios), and improvements in DX11 gaming performance per TFlop of no less than 30% over Polaris. We will see in a couple months whether I am right or wrong.

This assumes each CU is the same in terms of execution resources as prior iterations of GCN. Given how much they're talking about next gen CUs, I dont think we can assume the shaders are equal to prior versions of GCN. People keep making this implicit assumption. If that patent about having varying width execution units rolled into a single greater unit are true, then whatever is in the 64 CUs possibly (and likely, in my mind) wont put out the same number of FLOPS per clock. Thus dividing tflops by shaders to get frequency is flawed because we can't make that assumption vis a vis the shaders.
 

Headfoot

Diamond Member
Feb 28, 2008
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They're somewhat separate I think. Polaris was an Optimization of GCN 3 (or GCN 1.2 if you use that system), kind of like how Pascal isn't a truly new design either. Vega does have a lot more architectural changes than Polaris did. Polaris was the more conservative design to get the 14 nm process at GF worked out.

I don't know if the architecture itself clocks better, though I expect its something AMD will have worked on since the previous versions of GCN weren't the best at scaling to higher speeds. However, I think that one reason that Vega is so late is that AMD realized that the GF LPP process wouldn't let them hit the higher clock speeds (this should be blatantly obvious after looking at how quickly Ryzen OC falls off. Also Apple made their A9 using both TSMC's 16 nm and Samsung's 14 nm process, but the A9X which was clocked higher was only made at TSMC which adds further support to that notion) necessary so they shifted to using Samsung's newer LPU, which is supposed to be targeted for high performance. My guess is wwe get both an architecture and fab process that will enable Vega to hit higher clock speeds.
Do we know what process it will be on yet? Vega being on TMSC would be pretty promising news
 

crisium

Platinum Member
Aug 19, 2001
2,643
615
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Enjoying the discussion.

But I wanted to chime in. Remember, AMD uses different names than most of the tech media. Polaris is GCN 4. Vega is NCU. They consider this a big enough change to internally no longer refer to it as GCN.

But I view this with cautious enthusiasm. We should get higher clocks. We have the potential for higher performance-per-TFLOP. But with a new architecture I expect a lot of this potential left on the table with initial drivers and current games.

But anyway, it's fun to see the Vega-expectations-o-meter go from ~1080, to >1080 Ti, to somewhere in between based on who is posting. Once we get closer it'd be fun to have a Vega poll with where people think it will land. Not anonymous, of course.
 

CatMerc

Golden Member
Jul 16, 2016
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This assumes each CU is the same in terms of execution resources as prior iterations of GCN. Given how much they're talking about next gen CUs, I dont think we can assume the shaders are equal to prior versions of GCN. People keep making this implicit assumption. If that patent about having varying width execution units rolled into a single greater unit are true, then whatever is in the 64 CUs possibly (and likely, in my mind) wont put out the same number of FLOPS per clock. Thus dividing tflops by shaders to get frequency is flawed because we can't make that assumption vis a vis the shaders.

Exactly the same FP32 op count per CU as with every GCN before it.

Enjoying the discussion.

But I wanted to chime in. Remember, AMD uses different names than most of the tech media. Polaris is GCN 4. Vega is NCU. They consider this a big enough change to internally no longer refer to it as GCN.

But I view this with cautious enthusiasm. We should get higher clocks. We have the potential for higher performance-per-TFLOP. But with a new architecture I expect a lot of this potential left on the table with initial drivers and current games.

But anyway, it's fun to see the Vega-expectations-o-meter go from ~1080, to >1080 Ti, to somewhere in between based on who is posting. Once we get closer it'd be fun to have a Vega poll with where people think it will land. Not anonymous, of course.
GCN is the name of of the uArch family. CU and NCU are the names of the shader array building blocks. NCU is not replacing the name GCN.
 
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Headfoot

Diamond Member
Feb 28, 2008
4,444
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Exactly the same FP32 op count per CU as with every GCN before it.
Assuming that the GPU can't break ops apart or downgrade ops to a lower bit width opportunistically, or to be directed to do so in some capacity either by drivers or game code. If you could break some percentage of ops into smaller ones you could punch higher than your weight by increasing utilization

The patent folks dug up earlier had some rumblings along those lines, if that truly makes it way into Vega at all. All I'm saying is we do not have all the details yet, especially when they are talking about a lot of deeply seated changes to the architecture
 

crisium

Platinum Member
Aug 19, 2001
2,643
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Exactly the same FP32 op count per CU as with every GCN before it.


GCN is the name of of the uArch family. CU and NCU are the names of the shader array building blocks. NCU is not replacing the name GCN.

You may be right, but do you have an official AMD source calling Vega GCN? They call Vega its own architecture in press releases. It's undoubtedly a bigger change than any previous iteration.

Maybe it's best to call it the Vega architecture, as AMD themselves do. We don't call Maxwell "Kepler 1.1". GCN as a name is dead.
 
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Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
5,765
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Vega is such big departure from GCN, that for compatibility Linux driver developers in 2015, were saying that the GPU would have to have abstraction layer, to create backwards compatibility with GCN GPUs. Vega requires completely fresh, and specific drivers for this architecture.

I think this will be apparent after the GPU launches.
 

CatMerc

Golden Member
Jul 16, 2016
1,114
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Vega is such big departure from GCN, that for compatibility Linux driver developers in 2015, were saying that the GPU would have to have abstraction layer, to create backwards compatibility with GCN GPUs. Vega requires completely fresh, and specific drivers for this architecture.

I think this will be apparent after the GPU launches.
Source?
I don't doubt that Vega is a big departure, but I haven't seen such comments from the Linux driver developers.

You may be right, but do you have an official AMD source calling Vega GCN? They call Vega its own architecture in press releases. It's undoubtedly a bigger change than any previous iteration.

Maybe it's best to call it the Vega architecture, as AMD themselves do. We don't call Maxwell "Kepler 1.1". GCN as a name is dead.
I'm not saying GCN the name isn't dead, just that NCU isn't the replacement for it.
 

.vodka

Golden Member
Dec 5, 2014
1,203
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An interesting post at SA forums:



While this does give some hope, it's also possible that utilisation isn't being reported properly, or that Vega has serious utilisation problems that aren't intentional sandbagging.

Good catch!





If true.... if it's doing 4k60 on a 3 out of 8 scale....



could be either good or bad, as you say, or simply AMD isn't using those LEDs as a power/usage meter anymore. I mean, there was the "Poor Volta" thing hidden in the "make some noise" Vega video...



We'll see tomorrow what AMD has prepared for Vega. I'll watch that live stream if I can.




So it IS a usage meter just like on Fury X....

Interesting.
 

Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
5,765
4,671
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Source?
I don't doubt that Vega is a big departure, but I haven't seen such comments from the Linux driver developers.


I'm not saying GCN the name isn't dead, just that NCU isn't the replacement for it.
Im sorry I will not find this post this year. So you can take this still with a grain of salt.
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,024
6,489
136
Do we know what process it will be on yet? Vega being on TMSC would be pretty promising news

No we don't, though I suspect it's being made at Samsung or Global Foundries (which is just using Samsung's process anyways) but I suspect that it might be using a newer generation of Samsung's 14 nm process that would allow for higher clock speeds beyond just what architectural improvements would provide.
 
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Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,024
6,489
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Source?
I don't doubt that Vega is a big departure, but I haven't seen such comments from the Linux driver developers.


I'm not saying GCN the name isn't dead, just that NCU isn't the replacement for it.

Doesn't the implication of the move to NCU suggest a fairly large departure. We're obviously not going to see a completely new radical design for a GPU, but it seems like between this and their HBCC they've done more than just the usual incremental improvement. Regardless of what they call it, it seems like a big difference compared to the previous generation.
 

CatMerc

Golden Member
Jul 16, 2016
1,114
1,153
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Doesn't the implication of the move to NCU suggest a fairly large departure. We're obviously not going to see a completely new radical design for a GPU, but it seems like between this and their HBCC they've done more than just the usual incremental improvement. Regardless of what they call it, it seems like a big difference compared to the previous generation.
I don't doubt that Vega is a big departure, but I haven't seen such comments from the Linux driver developers.
I already know that, and made the same arguments in the past. I'm just curious about the linux driver team stating anything of the sort.
 

w3rd

Senior member
Mar 1, 2017
255
62
101
He said none of these things and it is clear that you are blind to everyone's comments. You are a pure troll, and it astonishes me that you keep posting this nonsense.

What is astonishing, is you lying to everyone in this this whole thread, suggesting He didn't say those things (in which he clearly has), then calling me a troll for pointing his bias out.

What does that say about you..?



He has repeatedly suggested, there is not enough information out there, therefore AMD sucks. He has said, he can't even speculate (or imagine) that AMD tech could be better? And is backing up his remarks by further suggesting, someone to knock on his door & hand him proof (Because Nvidia Yo..)

Instead of connecting the dots and understanding the backstory to Vega.
 

Glo.

Diamond Member
Apr 25, 2015
5,765
4,671
136
What is astonishing, is you lying to everyone in this this whole thread, suggesting He didn't say those things (in which he clearly has), then calling me a troll for pointing his bias out.

What does that say about you..?



He has repeatedly suggested, there is not enough information out there, therefore AMD sucks. He has said, he can't even speculate (or imagine) that AMD tech could be better? And is backing up his remarks by further suggesting, someone to knock on his door & hand him proof (Because Nvidia Yo..)

Instead of connecting the dots and understanding the backstory to Vega.
You want to know what is astonishing? Your inability to read with understanding of what people are writing, and your projection of your perception on others words.

Nobody have here said that AMD sucks, it is your perception of anyone, who is not agreeing with your point of view on world.

Stop projecting, then come back to any discussion with people.
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,821
29,576
146
What is astonishing, is you lying to everyone in this this whole thread, suggesting He didn't say those things (in which he clearly has), then calling me a troll for pointing his bias out.

What does that say about you..?



He has repeatedly suggested, there is not enough information out there, therefore AMD sucks. He has said, he can't even speculate (or imagine) that AMD tech could be better? And is backing up his remarks by further suggesting, someone to knock on his door & hand him proof (Because Nvidia Yo..)

Instead of connecting the dots and understanding the backstory to Vega.

stop trolling. seriously, dude.
 

w3rd

Senior member
Mar 1, 2017
255
62
101
Sorry, I am capable of understanding and engaging.
What is funny, is when people engage me (attack me?), then don't show a logical reasoning behind their anti-AMD rebuttal.

I call those moments; Nvidia Yo...



And Glo.. I really don't care what anybody has to say about AMD, I am not a fanboi of any Company. But what kills me, is when they do speak about AMD, the do so with ignorance and dismissive nature. Because they are not interested, or concerned with GPU tech, but with holding a torch on a forum.

That is why Zinfamous (& You) are attacking me, instead of the person I quoted. Who should be able to defend themselves, and their words and their own actions. You both are defending a person who is feigning ignorance, because they don't want to learn. And who has repeatedly said AMD tech is dismissive, because we have no facts. Therefore suggesting, we can't even have a conversation about AMD future, because they don't like it, because (again) nobody knocked on their door and handed them a packet of info..

That is Nvidia Yo...



I played a game with their own logic, and suggest their line of reasoning applies to Volta too. That it can't possibly be better than Pascal, because it comes afterwards and has no specs. Which kinda illustrated the ignorance & bias in this thread.

Now the talking heads are off topic & attacking me, instead of refuting my w3rds. Which are, that Vega is more powerful than Pascal and the Radeon RX Vega is more powerful than the 1 year old 1080ti. And cheaper...

You can disagree, but you'd have to explain your reasons using logic, not emotion. (ie: try fab process, wafer yields, news, memory structure, patents, etc.)
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,821
29,576
146
You have provided zero tangible data to back up your speculations. You are angry that we explain how your assumptions are more or less baseless at this point, and rather than provide real data and real gaming benchmarks to back this up, you call us nVidia shills. I get an infractions every time I say something like that. I'm assuming you must have about five of those now, right?

We've explained every reason that we disagree: there is exactly no single data point that supports anything you have said. You respond by calling us shills, then say that we aren't explaining anything and just attacking you.

That is it. There is nothing more to be said to you, because you are coming here like some 7th grader that just stumbled into a discussion way over his head. There is no reason for anyone to continue feeding your nonsense.
 
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w3rd

Senior member
Mar 1, 2017
255
62
101
I am not here attacking people. I am laying down ideas and connecting the dots. If you do not see the difference, it speaks loudly of who/what/why you are here.

Topic: "Vega/Navi Rumors"




Cue Irony:
Once again, your post is about me! You are off topic and creating noise, instead of trying to refute that "Vega is more powerful than Pascal" comments, that seem to have many people in an uproar. You in no way wish to discuss the topic, & seems like you are only here trying to distract people.

Some advice, @79K posts.. <-- it is more than obvious, that YOUR ego has a lot at stake, so you are acting irrational/emotional. But I am quite certain, I am not the one with diarrhea of the mouth.
 

96Firebird

Diamond Member
Nov 8, 2010
5,712
316
126
Guys, just ignore the troll. There is no reason to even entertain their asinine statements, ignore and hope they fade away into oblivion like so many of their fallen brothers have before.

Or, worse case, we have a good laugh as they are proven wrong and try to hold on to that last shred of pride with excuses.
 
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