Vega/Navi Rumors (Updated)

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lobz

Platinum Member
Feb 10, 2017
2,057
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I think a very real possibility is that dual Vega is 2 complexes connected together similar to Zepplin. We know Vega has Infinity Fabric incorporated and so it makes sense that they are meant to connect to each other.
That would still be a >1000mm2 die, so it's not gonna happen Zeppelin-like. MCM, of course, is a possibility, let's see if they're gonna try it before Navi exciting times indeed!



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OatisCampbell

Senior member
Jun 26, 2013
302
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If you mean Dual GPU in the traditional sense, then sounds like a terrible Idea.
I understand dual GPU support is falling, but dx12 is still only a handful of games and I'm going on assumption that Vega does not beat 1080 ti.

AMD needs a halo part, and this would give them the fastest card on games that support CF and the talking point "We have the fastest GPU".

The real money for them is going to come from the $500 part, and the halo part will drive sales of that. It would obviously be better if AMD is launching a Volta competitor, but I don't think they have that.

I'm taking a " show me" stance on infinity fabric at this time.
 

Valantar

Golden Member
Aug 26, 2014
1,792
508
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I understand dual GPU support is falling, but dx12 is still only a handful of games and I'm going on assumption that Vega does not beat 1080 ti.

AMD needs a halo part, and this would give them the fastest card on games that support CF and the talking point "We have the fastest GPU".

The real money for them is going to come from the $500 part, and the halo part will drive sales of that. It would obviously be better if AMD is launching a Volta competitor, but I don't think they have that.

I'm taking a " show me" stance on infinity fabric at this time.
The talking point of "we have the fastest GPU" isn't worth much if the rest of that sentence is "but it is 2x the die size of the competition, guzzles power, and in ~50% of titles it only performs half as well as it theoretically can." Which is why a dual GPU card in the traditional sense is a horrible idea for a flagship in 2017. We've seen for years and years how multi-GPU support is hit-or-miss at best, while single GPUs have become powerful enough to deliver all the performance we want (and more). Remember back in the day, when pretty much nobody could play a game at 1024x768 with settings maxed out, or more recently, at 1080p 60fps maxed out? These days, even with far more demanding current titles, a $200 GPU gives you that. 1080p Ultra @60Hz has become the new baseline for low-to-midrange cards (RX 480, 580, 1060). Which is flippin' crazy, but we're there. Heck, most reviewers these days refuse to lower graphics settings, as if that's some sort of sacrilege. Even 4-5 years ago, playing any game maxed out at any respectable resolution was a privilege only a few could afford. As such, we don't need single-card multi-GPU solutions any more. Even $70 motherboards support CF, and multiple cards have the benefits of cooling far better, giving you an upgrade path, and just generally being far more practical. Oh, and not sounding like a jet engine.
 

antihelten

Golden Member
Feb 2, 2012
1,764
274
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Hmm, JFK's new frontiers... Does anyone have a clue what exactly they meant by this?

JFK, The New Frontier Speech
Davy Crockett, King of the Wild Frontier
Frontier Airlines
Vega, something something Frontier?

I'm guessing it's just an allusion to the fact that the word "Frontier" will somehow be part of the naming/marketing scheme for Vega.

If you want to read something more into it, then I suppose the fact that Frontier Airlines is a low-cost airline might be a hint. However that doesn't really match up to any other rumours about Vega (I think even the most pessimistic of rumours still has it as at least midrange/mid-cost), and it would be weird for only one of the three clues to hold a deeper meaning and not all three (at least I can't see any possible deeper meaning in Davy Crockett or the JFK speech).
 

OatisCampbell

Senior member
Jun 26, 2013
302
83
101
The talking point of "we have the fastest GPU" isn't worth much if the rest of that sentence is "but it is 2x the die size of the competition, guzzles power, and in ~50% of titles it only performs half as well as it theoretically can." Which is why a dual GPU card in the traditional sense is a horrible idea for a flagship in 2017. We've seen for years and years how multi-GPU support is hit-or-miss at best, while single GPUs have become powerful enough to deliver all the performance we want (and more). Remember back in the day, when pretty much nobody could play a game at 1024x768 with settings maxed out, or more recently, at 1080p 60fps maxed out? These days, even with far more demanding current titles, a $200 GPU gives you that. 1080p Ultra @60Hz has become the new baseline for low-to-midrange cards (RX 480, 580, 1060). Which is flippin' crazy, but we're there. Heck, most reviewers these days refuse to lower graphics settings, as if that's some sort of sacrilege. Even 4-5 years ago, playing any game maxed out at any respectable resolution was a privilege only a few could afford. As such, we don't need single-card multi-GPU solutions any more. Even $70 motherboards support CF, and multiple cards have the benefits of cooling far better, giving you an upgrade path, and just generally being far more practical. Oh, and not sounding like a jet engine.

I wasn't aware we had GPUs that were putting out 100fps at 4K Ultra settings, must have missed that.

In my opinion, 1080p at 60Hz doesn't even bear mentioning on an enthusiast graphics forum, how many people posting here even care about that? And if they do, what's the point of discussing? Buy any $200 card and you're there.

People with 4K , Eyefinity, and 3440 X 1440 monitors with high refresh rates still find use for multi GPU. Video cards that cost $800 and up are a niche market for people with niche market monitors.

While I agree on the "half the games" assessment, what would be better for AMD?

To have a card that is faster than NVIDIA's best card in half the games and costs significantly less?

Or to have a card that is slower than the 1080Ti, the first Titan Xp, and the second Titan Xp?

Having a "halo product" that is as fast as your competitor's third best part sort of re-defines "halo part" doesn't it?
 

casiofx

Senior member
Mar 24, 2015
369
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If we look at these numbers and the supposed 12.5 TFLOPS; one could expect Vega to land close to the Titan xp. But there's still the chance that even if, given optimal scenario, vega could outperform 1080Ti -we might not see it in practice that often. Perhaps either due to limitations in DX11(majority of game titles) or games being optimized for Nvidia in specific.

For instance lets say the consumer Vega can vastly outperform Pascal in FP16. All Nvidia has to do is to make sure upcoming games don't heavily rely on FP16 and Vega runs underutilized. In fact they don't even have to explicitly take any action since anyone who wants their games to run well on Pascal will have to avoid FP16 anyway. Hopefully Volta will be an improvement in that regard.

All that aside I for one am willing to assume that Vega can theoretically outperform 1080Ti, but at the same time I wouldn't be surprised if what we see in practice is performance that is "only" around 1080 level more often than not. Personally I would be fine with that(if the price is right), but it would also mean they aren't ready to take on Volta and they would end up making fools of themselves with the whole "poor volta" thing..
1080Ti has 11.3 TFLOPS at 1582Mhz. One can easily get 1950Mhz from 1080Ti custom cards, which translates to around 14TFLOPS, that's higher than stock Vega, and based on past polaris results, theres not much overclocking for Vega probably.
 

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
23,537
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1080Ti has 11.3 TFLOPS at 1582Mhz. One can easily get 1950Mhz from 1080Ti custom cards, which translates to around 14TFLOPS, that's higher than stock Vega, and based on past polaris results, theres not much overclocking for Vega probably.

Assuming linear scaling perf->core clock, dont you need memory to scale accordingly to make that call? Also we know jack right now, speculating in an overclocked ti vs a stock vega that cant overclock cause reasons is... very very crystal ballish
 
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Valantar

Golden Member
Aug 26, 2014
1,792
508
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I wasn't aware we had GPUs that were putting out 100fps at 4K Ultra settings, must have missed that.

In my opinion, 1080p at 60Hz doesn't even bear mentioning on an enthusiast graphics forum, how many people posting here even care about that? And if they do, what's the point of discussing? Buy any $200 card and you're there.

People with 4K , Eyefinity, and 3440 X 1440 monitors with high refresh rates still find use for multi GPU. Video cards that cost $800 and up are a niche market for people with niche market monitors.

While I agree on the "half the games" assessment, what would be better for AMD?

To have a card that is faster than NVIDIA's best card in half the games and costs significantly less?

Or to have a card that is slower than the 1080Ti, the first Titan Xp, and the second Titan Xp?

Having a "halo product" that is as fast as your competitor's third best part sort of re-defines "halo part" doesn't it?
While the Steam Hardware Survey is hardly representative of forum users here, the vast majority even on this forum (although probably not the most active users) are using 1080p or 1440p monitors at 60Hz. 4K60 is gaining popularity, albeit slowly (the monitor upgrade cycle is 5-6 years if not more for most users), while high refresh rates at lower resolutions are only slightly ahead of this. And I'd say video cards that cost $400 and up are a niche market, not $800 and up, even if Nvidia probably sells 10x as many 1070s as 1080s (not to mention 1080Tis). And who here is talking about AMD having a "halo product" as fast as the 1080? I certainly don't expect that. Besides, CF and SLI scaling is bad enough that for it to make sense even in games that make use of it, your GPU budget needs to be significantly above the price of a 1080Ti - otherwise, a single card will perform better in the vast majority of cases. This wasn't the case just a few years ago.

This is also entirely disregarding all the idiots with more money than sense out there, that buy $1000 dual GPU card without actually knowing what they're buying - and then whining about it when there's no SLI/CF profile and their $1000 card performs worse than something half the price.

The gist of it: dual GPU cards only make sense as a barely-advertised .0001% niche product for people who specifically know what they're getting into. In any other case, it's a recipe for customer dissatisfaction and bad press.
 

ryzenmaster

Member
Mar 19, 2017
40
89
61
Trying to extrapolate meaningful performance estimations for stock Vega is already difficult enough. I wouldn't want to speculate on that front any further than it probably clocks higher than Polaris.

My new Ryzen build accompanied with my new 1440p freesync monitor wont be complete without Vega, and I'll probably be getting one regardless. But.. it's difficult to see it consistently beat even a stock 1080Ti let alone an overclocked one. Of course I'll rather be pleasantly surprised than set the goalpost too high and be disappointed.
 

mohit9206

Golden Member
Jul 2, 2013
1,381
511
136
Vega needs to launch with a few free games because even if it disappoints in terms of pricing, it can make that up with free games.
 

CatMerc

Golden Member
Jul 16, 2016
1,114
1,153
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If...

All we know from the drivers is the number of compute cluster or what they are called at 64. And since in previous AMD design this always had 64 SPs we land at 4096. But it's a new uArch. And number of SP per cluster is one thing that changed from Kepler to maxwell for example. We also know that each core/SP was optimized (eg. the image with the large truck and smaller truck). Anyway each SP will be IMHO significantly smaller but also a bit slower than old SPs. Important part being more efficient (power and die size). So each cluster will have more slower SPs. I would guess 96 per cluster at 64 clusters that would be 6144 SP. That would also explain why 2xtimes polaris 10 doesn't add up with die size and transistor count. It then should not be 500mm2+. But if it actually has more SPs but smaller ones, that then totally makes sense.
We know from the Vega preview slides that each CU has the same amount of SP's, so we can rule this out.

As for TMU's and ROPs, the Linux patches more or less tell us everything at this point.
 

antihelten

Golden Member
Feb 2, 2012
1,764
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Well, but can't current GCN CUs do "only" 64 single precision MADD per clock?

4x 16-lane wide SIMDs per CU - each line can do one 32-bit operation per clock

GCN Whitepaper:



IEEE 754-2008 FLOATING-POINT ARITHMETIC IN AMD'S GRAPHICS CORE NEXT ARCHITECTURE:



So, that means that FP32 throughput is doubled in NCU, correct?

GCN (and VLIW4 for that matter) do FMA, which is counted as two operations in a single cycle.
 
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Jackie60

Member
Aug 11, 2006
118
46
101
Assuming linear scaling perf->core clock, dont you need memory to scale accordingly to make that call? Also we know jack right now, speculating in an overclocked ti vs a stock vega that cant overclock cause reasons is... very very crystal ballish

I agree to a point but I'm pretty sure all 1080tis can sustain 1900mhz or more consistently with a slightly noisy fan setting. Both my Titan XPs and my 1080TI were/are able to run consistently at 1950-1980 ('FE' all of them). I do really hope Vega kicks all their a$$es though.
 

Krteq

Senior member
May 22, 2015
993
672
136
Just a question to CatMerc and antihelten:

In that case, what they meant by this slide? Are they referring to SP ops/sec throughput with or without FMA?


End notes:


Isn't that what I just described?
 

Magic Hate Ball

Senior member
Feb 2, 2017
290
250
96
Damn... SK Hynix seems to be the global failuries of the memory industries with countless over the top promises and yet certain let downs. Why can't AMD just steer away of those useless "partners" that make proper competition to be impossible.

One simple answer, $$$$$.
 

antihelten

Golden Member
Feb 2, 2012
1,764
274
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TX for reply. Can you please point me to some materials for study?

The easiest way to confirm this would probably just be to look up any of the GCN Firepro cards and look at their advertised peak FLOPS rate, and compare this to the number of CUs and clock rate, from there it should be obvious that a factor of 2 is necessary to reach the advertised FLOPS number (said factor of 2 coming from FMA).

Just a question to CatMerc and antihelten:

In that case, what they meant by this slide? Are they referring to SP ops/sec throughput with or without FMA?


End notes:


Isn't that what I just described?

The first slide here is talking about packed math instructions (and increased clock speeds), which is basically packing two FP16 instructions into an FP32 SP. Such an instruction can be an FMA instruction which is equal to two FLOPS, so in other words you then get a total of 4 FP16 FLOPS. NCU does indeed have double the FLOPS rate of GCN when it comes to FP16, but not for FP32 FLOPS

For the second slide take a look at their number for the 7970 (or any of the other GCN cards). They list 3.79 TFLOPS here. The 7970 has 32 CUs and is clocked at 925MHz, without FMA this would equal 1.894 TFLOPS (32 CUs * 64 SP per CU * 0.925 GHz), with FMA it equals 3.789 TFLOPS (1.894 TFLOPS * 2).
 
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Karnak

Senior member
Jan 5, 2017
399
767
136
Damn... SK Hynix seems to be the global failuries of the memory industries with countless over the top promises and yet certain let downs. Why can't AMD just steer away of those useless "partners" that make proper competition to be impossible.
What's the problem? A Memory catalog means absolutely nothing, especially for customers like AMD and nvidia.

Just look at samsung and nvidia, Samsung's memory catalog doesn't even contain HBM2 at all. How is it possible for nvidia to use HBM2 since last year?
 
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