Vega/Navi Rumors (Updated)

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Det0x

Golden Member
Sep 11, 2014
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All we've seen of Vega is an ES card with 6+8-pin power running ~10% faster than a 1080 (non-Ti) in a single game that's known to be pretty friendly to AMD's architectures. You must then be assuming either that the ES is massively over-engineered in terms of power delivery, that high-end Vega will need more than 300W of power, or that they somehow will manage to cut power draw by 30-50% or more between Engineering Samples and production cards.

Third option:
  1. The printed circuit board (PCB) is designed for a 225w card.
  2. Official early showcase had the engineering sample GPU running at lowish clocks, i would guesstimate/hope ~1000mhz.
  3. More recent leaks show ES cards running at 1200mhz.
  4. Finalized (read non-ES) cards could be running at 1500+mhz once released in one and a half months. (and finally using all the available power (225w))

Above could be just as plausible as your lowballing. And I have no problem believing big daddy Vega could be 50% faster then a 1080 in a "AMD friendly game" as you put it.

This should be quite telling for whats going on..


Do you remember what clockspeed the Ryzen engineering samples was running at. ?
 
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Aristotelian

Golden Member
Jan 30, 2010
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Just playing a bit of catch-up here. So we've seen an engineering sample that seemed to beat a GTX1080, but we are not sure whether or not that engineering sample is the highest level Vega card, and therefore we're unsure how the entire product stack will line up against Nvidia's offerings. Am I understanding things right? We are certain that the flagship Vega (that would theoretically compete with the 1080ti) will be released in 2017 right?
 

Valantar

Golden Member
Aug 26, 2014
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Third option:
  1. The printed circuit board (PCB) is designed for a 225w card.
  2. Official early showcase had the engineering sample GPU running at lowish clocks, i would guesstimate/hope ~1000mhz.
  3. More recent leaks show ES cards running at 1200mhz.
  4. Finalized (read non-ES) cards could be running at 1500+mhz once released in one and a half months. (and finally using all the available power (225w))

Above could be just as plausible as your lowballing.
Ps. This should be quite telling for whats going on..

Do you remember what clockspeed the Ryzen engineering samples was running at, compared to what it was boosting to once release.. ?

We ended up almost +1ghz above predicted (at one point) clockspeed.
That's possible. The parallel you're indicating between Ryzen ES clocks and Vega ones is false though - raw GHz numbers don't matter in this context, but relative clock difference does. After all, maximum possible clocks are dependent on architecture, even on the same process - otherwise, we'd have 4GHz GPUs by now. Ryzen ES went from ~2.8-3.4GHz (depending on which leaks were real and which weren't) to 4.0GHz two-core turbo (and 3.7 ACT). Depending on the ES in question, that's a 42-17% increase in clock speeds. The 3.4 leaks (and official benchmarks) happened a few months before launch, so it's reasonable to believe they'd had those kinds of speeds running for at least a little while internally, with 2.8 probably being a few months earlier. Going from a 1000MHz Vega ES, given a similar time span before their respectie launches for the 2.8 Zen leaks and 1GHz Vega numbers, let's call that comparable. From that alone, you could extrapolate Vega boost clocks of around 1500MHz, sure. The only problem is, extrapolation like this is pretty much impossible, as clock speed scaling between architectures is essentially incomparable, and we don't have any hard numbers that we're actually sure of to begin with. Nor do we know anything about the voltage scaling of Vega, or really anything else. As such, while not impossible and possibly not even improbable, it's too far into the realm of conjecture for me to be comfortable with, at least.
 

Valantar

Golden Member
Aug 26, 2014
1,792
508
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Just playing a bit of catch-up here. So we've seen an engineering sample that seemed to beat a GTX1080, but we are not sure whether or not that engineering sample is the highest level Vega card, and therefore we're unsure how the entire product stack will line up against Nvidia's offerings. Am I understanding things right? We are certain that the flagship Vega (that would theoretically compete with the 1080ti) will be released in 2017 right?
More or less.

What we know, and have seen:
  • AMD has a Vega card that is at least roughly 10% faster than a 1080 in SW:BF running from an 8+6-pin power connector, cooled by a standard-looking 2-slot blower
  • That the Vega cards will be named RX Vega
  • That Vega is a big architectural difference from previous GCN chips
  • That the new memory controller, the HBCC, has some intriguing implications for low-memory GPUs and large dataset computing, but is as of now an unknown for high end ganing
What's been leaked, but not verified:
  • That there are Vega ES samples in circulation with clock speeds up to 1200MHz
  • That 'big Vega' has 64CUs, same as the Fury X (although we don't know what's in these CUs, as AMD calls the Vega CU 'NCU' as it's reportedly quite different from before
What's rumored:
  • That there will be two Vega dice (codenamed 10 and 11)
  • That Vega will catch up to Pascal efficiency-wise
  • That Vega will clock to or beyond 1500MHz
What w3rd believes to be true:
  • That the aforementioned 'GTX 1080+10%' Vega card is 'small Vega'
  • That because Vega is newer than Pascal, it must be more efficient (regardless that the two chips are made by entirely different companies with radically different architectures and that AMD as of now is well behind Nvidia for efficiency)
  • That there will be a dual-GPU Vega card on the future, despite the huge challenges cooling a 300W+ card and the simple fact that two GPUs are always less efficient and usually perform worse than one with the same specs.
Now, all three points above might of course be true. We simply have no idea at this point.
 
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Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,106
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More or less.

What we know, and have seen:
  • AMD has a Vega card that is at least roughly 10% faster than a 1080 in SW:BF running from an 8+6-pin power connector, cooled by a standard-looking 2-slot blower
  • That the Vega cards will be named RX Vega
  • That Vega is a big architectural difference from previous GCN chips
  • That the new memory controller, the HBCC, has some intriguing implications for low-memory GPUs and large dataset computing, but is as of now an unknown for high end ganing
What's been leaked, but not verified:
  • That there are Vega ES samples in circulation with clock speeds up to 1200MHz
  • That 'big Vega' has 64CUs, same as the Fury X (although we don't know what's in these CUs, as AMD calls the Vega CU 'NCU' as it's reportedly quite different from before
What's rumored:
  • That there will be two Vega dice (codenamed 10 and 11)
  • That Vega will catch up to Pascal efficiency-wise
  • That Vega will clock to or beyond 1500MHz

My guess is that Vega will need to hit =>1500 MHz to challenge Nvidia's 1080Ti, but if it does so for $100 less, we all win
Based on early rumors (probably because of the 1200 MHz clock), I thought Vega would be between 1070 and 1080 performance.
Interesting times ahead. Competition is CPUs and now GPUs - I hope AMD delivers!
 

Det0x

Golden Member
Sep 11, 2014
1,063
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https://videocardz.com/67524/amd-linux-drivers-lists-seven-vega-10-ids

There are seven Vega 10 SKUs

According to Phoronix, first 100 patches were released to provide initial support for Vega, based on GFX9 architecture, which is more complex than Polaris (GFX8). New architecture required roughly 40 thousand lines of code, which brought support for “new video BIOS interface, new hardware intellectual property, support for video decode using UVD (UVD 7.0), support for video encode using VCE (VCE 4.0), support for 3D via RadeonSI, power management, full display support using DC, and support for SR-IOV virtualization”.

New patches include seven Vega IDs. For comparison, the same file lists only two Fiji IDs. That being said, we are looking at many new models, including those based on Radeon RX, Radeon PRO and Radeon Instinct. It’s worth noting that the list does not include revisions (C1, C3 etc.).

At the same time, seven Polaris 12 IDs were also included, but there is still no trace of Vega 11.

Vega 10 device support:

{0x1002, 0x6860, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_VEGA10},
{0x1002, 0x6861, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_VEGA10},
{0x1002, 0x6862, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_VEGA10},
{0x1002, 0x6863, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_VEGA10},
{0x1002, 0x6867, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_VEGA10},
{0x1002, 0x686c, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_VEGA10},
{0x1002, 0x687f, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_VEGA10},

Polaris 12 device support:

{0x1002, 0x6980, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_POLARIS12},
{0x1002, 0x6981, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_POLARIS12},
{0x1002, 0x6985, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_POLARIS12},
{0x1002, 0x6986, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_POLARIS12},
{0x1002, 0x6987, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_POLARIS12},
{0x1002, 0x6995, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_POLARIS12},
{0x1002, 0x699F, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_POLARIS12},

 
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Valantar

Golden Member
Aug 26, 2014
1,792
508
136
https://videocardz.com/67524/amd-linux-drivers-lists-seven-vega-10-ids

There are seven Vega 10 SKUs

According to Phoronix, first 100 patches were released to provide initial support for Vega, based on GFX9 architecture, which is more complex than Polaris (GFX8). New architecture required roughly 40 thousand lines of code, which brought support for “new video BIOS interface, new hardware intellectual property, support for video decode using UVD (UVD 7.0), support for video encode using VCE (VCE 4.0), support for 3D via RadeonSI, power management, full display support using DC, and support for SR-IOV virtualization”.

New patches include seven Vega IDs. For comparison, the same file lists only two Fiji IDs. That being said, we are looking at many new models, including those based on Radeon RX, Radeon PRO and Radeon Instinct. It’s worth noting that the list does not include revisions (C1, C3 etc.).

At the same time, seven Polaris 12 IDs were also included, but there is still no trace of Vega 11.

Vega 10 device support:

{0x1002, 0x6860, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_VEGA10},
{0x1002, 0x6861, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_VEGA10},
{0x1002, 0x6862, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_VEGA10},
{0x1002, 0x6863, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_VEGA10},
{0x1002, 0x6867, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_VEGA10},
{0x1002, 0x686c, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_VEGA10},
{0x1002, 0x687f, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_VEGA10},

Polaris 12 device support:

{0x1002, 0x6980, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_POLARIS12},
{0x1002, 0x6981, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_POLARIS12},
{0x1002, 0x6985, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_POLARIS12},
{0x1002, 0x6986, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_POLARIS12},
{0x1002, 0x6987, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_POLARIS12},
{0x1002, 0x6995, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_POLARIS12},
{0x1002, 0x699F, PCI_ANY_ID, PCI_ANY_ID, 0, 0, CHIP_POLARIS12},
That's... intriguing. But seven Polaris 12 SKUs as well? Let's see: full and cut-down(?) for desktop, full and cut-down Pro for MacBook Pros, full and cut-down for mobile. What more can there be? There's definitely not room for more than one cut-down size.

Also, only two IDs for Fiji? When the GPU was in three separate SKUs (Fury, X and Nano)? That's odd. Could this indicate that these IDs don't point to actual SKUs? Do you know anything about other previous AMD GPUs?
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,011
6,459
136
AMD hasn't said a lot about it, but isn't there also a smaller Vega chip (Vega 11) that was talked about at one point? I think that most of what they've been talking about is the big chip that's the Fury replacement. Unless that got scrapped, it seems like we'll be in a really weird place as they said that Vega will be called Vega, so what are they going to do in order to differentiate the big and little Vega chips in terms of naming. Unless they drop RX and just go with Vega, so Vega 590, Vega 590, Vega Fury, etc. or something along those lines.

I'd be pretty happy if small Vega became the 580/590 tier chip with Polaris being relegated to the 570 and below tier cards. That would seem to make it feel like an actual generational bump instead of Polaris 10 rebrands with better clock speeds.
 

JDG1980

Golden Member
Jul 18, 2013
1,663
570
136
AMD hasn't said a lot about it, but isn't there also a smaller Vega chip (Vega 11) that was talked about at one point? I think that most of what they've been talking about is the big chip that's the Fury replacement. Unless that got scrapped, it seems like we'll be in a really weird place as they said that Vega will be called Vega, so what are they going to do in order to differentiate the big and little Vega chips in terms of naming. Unless they drop RX and just go with Vega, so Vega 590, Vega 590, Vega Fury, etc. or something along those lines.

I'm expecting the "RX" portion to be dropped, and a naming scheme similar to Ryzen to be used. Just as we have Ryzen R7, R5, and R3, it would not be surprising if we see a naming scheme something like Vega V8, V6, and V4 (the latter reserved for iGPUs).
 

Valantar

Golden Member
Aug 26, 2014
1,792
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I'm expecting the "RX" portion to be dropped, and a naming scheme similar to Ryzen to be used. Just as we have Ryzen R7, R5, and R3, it would not be surprising if we see a naming scheme something like Vega V8, V6, and V4 (the latter reserved for iGPUs).
Vega cards are confirmed by AMD to be named "RX Vega". Considering that the RX naming scheme is pretty much brand-new (and has been quite successful), abandoning it would be odd. What we don't know is what further denominations they'll use.

Will the full names be as simple as "AMD Radeon RX Vega/Vega X"? If so, how do they fit in more than one Vega die (as each die will more than likely be used in at least two SKUs)? Or will they be "AMD Radeon RX Vega 680/680X/690/690X"? (If so: god, that's horrible. Please don't, AMD.) (Yes, I'm assuming 2 SKUs for 2 dies = 4 SKUs here, but this is pure speculation, of course.) If so, won't that immediately make the updated Polaris cards look outdated? ("Why buy a 580? The 680's already out, and it's much faster!") Could they integrate them into the 5XX series? They could easily do this by pushing the Polaris cards one tier down (480 refresh = 570, and so on), which seems natural in terms of expected performance increases per generation, but this goes against current rumors. They could also solve this by naming "small Vega" RX 590/590X, and "big Vega" RX Vega/Vega X. Of course, this conflicts with current leaks/rumors as well, and the latter solution somewhat goes against the statement from AMD, further muddling things. I think the best thing to do is simply wait this one out
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,810
29,564
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Nope, only the Vega 10 SKUs. This is list of 7 variants of Vega 10, only.

yeah I was wondering about lack of "Vega 11" on that list. Is it simply meant to debut a month or so after Vega 10, or do we just not know what "Vega 11" is actually supposed to be?

Is it possible that they've gone all screwy and that every discreet Vega card starts at a full 10 die, then with various cut down versions, some of which will be called Vega 11?
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,011
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Nope, only the Vega 10 SKUs. This is list of 7 variants of Vega 10, only.

I saw some speculation that some of these are also the professional versions of the cards, so it's unlikely we see 7 actual consumer GPUs come of this. Probably 3 at most if they do something like Fury, Fury X, Fury Nano which seems reasonable.
 

Valantar

Golden Member
Aug 26, 2014
1,792
508
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I saw some speculation that some of these are also the professional versions of the cards, so it's unlikely we see 7 actual consumer GPUs come of this. Probably 3 at most if they do something like Fury, Fury X, Fury Nano which seems reasonable.
That + two tiers each of Radeon Pro and Radeon Instinct would make 7 SKUs and quite a bit of sense in my head. Seems reasonable.

This just leaves the question of Vega 11: what is it, and where is it. If it's smaller than V10, could it be a mobile-oriented chip, and thus launch later (and thus avoiding the mess of more than two RX Vega SKUs)? Or are they simply pushing designs out as quick as they can do them, launch scheduling be damned? Or is V11 bigger, badder, and simply waiting out its time to pounce on GP102?
 
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w3rd

Senior member
Mar 1, 2017
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After the coming Polaris respin, how cheaply do you think AMD can sell the "tuned" up Radeon RX480 for..? Are the yields there, where AMD can go lower on the price for the 480/580..?

$149 bucks..? (-$50).
Taking on the 1080p & 1440p consumers. Leaving Radeon RX Vega brand for VR & 4k.
 

Qwertilot

Golden Member
Nov 28, 2013
1,604
257
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Or are they simply pushing designs out as quick as they can do them, launch scheduling be damned?

Almost certainly this, but of course as quick as they can is rather slow just now! Their launch schedule for the past several years makes no objective sense otherwise.
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,011
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That + two tiers each of Radeon Pro and Radeon Instinct would make 7 SKUs and quite a bit of sense in my head. Seems reasonable.

This just leaves the question of Vega 11: what is it, and where is it. If it's smaller than V10, could it be a mobile-oriented chip, and thus launch later (and thus avoiding the mess of more than two RX Vega SKUs)? Or are they simply pushing designs out as quick as they can do them, launch scheduling be damned? Or is V11 bigger, badder, and simply waiting out its time to pounce on GP102?

From all previous rumors and reports, Vega 11 is a smaller die, but no one knows much else about it. I don't think it's mobile-oriented either, at least not outside of possibly high-end gaming notebooks or desktop replacement portable workstations as both of those markets are incredibly small. I'd like to think it's something that can slot into the $300 - $425 market segment as it seems unlikely big Vega fills in there. If it (or some version of it) is better than the 1080 it will sell for $500 at the very least, and as large as the die is it really needs to be closer to the 1080 Ti in terms of top-end chip.

AMD needs something to hit the $300 spot, because right now its wide open and as the 970 proved that's a price point where you can sell a lot of cards, but still make a tidy sum of money while doing so. Vega 11 would almost require a different memory controller to use GDDR5(X) memory though as HBM2 and the interpose are probably too costly still for them to hit $300 at the kind of margins that they'd want to have.

I'll assume that the smaller Vega is probably a 48 CU design, but beyond that I have no idea if it would also use HBM2 memory or how else it might differ.
 
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Samwell

Senior member
May 10, 2015
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This just leaves the question of Vega 11: what is it, and where is it. If it's smaller than V10, could it be a mobile-oriented chip, and thus launch later (and thus avoiding the mess of more than two RX Vega SKUs)? Or are they simply pushing designs out as quick as they can do them, launch scheduling be damned? Or is V11 bigger, badder, and simply waiting out its time to pounce on GP102?

Vega11 will be smaller, Vega10 is already 500mm² big. There is no space for a bigger chip, but P10 is 230mm². Vega11 should be in the 300-350mm² region to fill the hole between P10 and V10.
 
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