I've been reading the news about Barecelona (K10, K8L, Phenom, whatever you want), and have seen lots of news about a) It only getting up to 2Ghz initially, b) It being delayed considerably, but c) Having anywhere from a 1x to a 1.5x clock-for-clock over Intel
Best case scenario:3GHz Phenom FX readily availible on the desktop Q4, 1.5x C-for-C, demolishing Intel with a $500 effectively 4.5GHz vs Intel's 3.33GHz.
Worst case scenario: 2.2Ghz Phenom X4 in short supply even in December, 1x C-for-C with Intel.
My prediction: 2.5Ghz Phenom X4 readily availible late Q4, 1.2x C-for-C with Intel
leading to a 3.0Ghz in late Q1 2008 which matches a future 3.66Ghz Penryn.
Do you think this is reasonable? Have you seen any evidence toi support best- or worst-case scenarios?
Best case scenario:3GHz Phenom FX readily availible on the desktop Q4, 1.5x C-for-C, demolishing Intel with a $500 effectively 4.5GHz vs Intel's 3.33GHz.
Worst case scenario: 2.2Ghz Phenom X4 in short supply even in December, 1x C-for-C with Intel.
My prediction: 2.5Ghz Phenom X4 readily availible late Q4, 1.2x C-for-C with Intel
leading to a 3.0Ghz in late Q1 2008 which matches a future 3.66Ghz Penryn.
Do you think this is reasonable? Have you seen any evidence toi support best- or worst-case scenarios?