Chance, not odds, yet again. Odds for a lottery is calculated from the pick of the numbers, not the amount of tickets. All you have done is make your chance be the inverse of your odds, quite expensively I might add.
except YOUR odds (you the fucking person in possession of the tickets) is 175,711,535 in 175,711,536 each ticket is a separate event yes, however they are all brought together by you the singular owner making YOUR odds almost 100% of winning, each individual ticket wont get increased odds you as a person do.
But then the odds are getting to where someone else is going to pick the same combination.
But then the odds are getting to where someone else is going to pick the same combination.
Doesn't change your odds of winning. Gamblers fallacy.
Obviously he doesn't. He's conflating increasing your odds of winning in a single lottery drawing to continually buying lottery tickets to different drawings since "I've lost the last 300 drawings, so this week, I've GOT to win!" The latter is the gambler's fallacy; the former is just poor math from someone who doesn't realize that 175 million to 1,000 is not significantly better than 175 million to 1.Do you know what Gambler's Fallacy actually is?
Obviously he doesn't. He's conflating increasing your odds of winning in a single lottery drawing to continually buying lottery tickets to different drawings since "I've lost the last 300 drawings, so this week, I've GOT to win!" The latter is the gambler's fallacy; the former is just poor math from someone who doesn't realize that 175 million to 1,000 is not significantly better than 175 million to 1.
Yup. Anything where you find yourself saying "it didn't happen last time, so I'm due." Which is not the same as spending more money to increase your odds in a single contest.Isn't it also: "I play the same number every time, because each time it doesn't win, there is a better chance that it will win the next draw."
Yup. Anything where you find yourself saying "it didn't happen last time, so I'm due." Which is not the same as spending more money to increase your odds in a single contest.
Which is exactly what you are doing here. "I can't win on one ticket, but I perhaps could win with 10 tickets." Nope, sorry, you still only won with the one ticket so the other 9 were pointless. Each ticket consists of a single wager. Nine more wagers doesn't make all 10 anymore likely to win.
xBiffx, doubling down on the stupid.
Obviously he doesn't. He's conflating increasing your odds of winning in a single lottery drawing to continually buying lottery tickets to different drawings since "I've lost the last 300 drawings, so this week, I've GOT to win!" The latter is the gambler's fallacy; the former is just poor math from someone who doesn't realize that 175 million to 1,000 is not significantly better than 175 million to 1.
Which is exactly what you are doing here. "I can't win on one ticket, but I perhaps could win with 10 tickets." Nope, sorry, you still only won with the one ticket so the other 9 were pointless. Each ticket consists of a single wager. Nine more wagers doesn't make all 10 anymore likely to win.
-Snip
If you roll a six sided die what are the odds of rolling a 2? 1 in 6 right. Now lets say that you now have 1-5 as your numbers. What are the odds of rolling a 2 now? You are all saying 5 in 6 but you odds are still 1 in 6. You have an 83% chance of hitting your number but the odds are still 1 in 6 that its going to be that 2 that you need. Betting on 4 more numbers didn't change the odds of a 2 happening.
If you roll a six sided die what are the odds of rolling a 2? 1 in 6 right. Now lets say that you now have 1-5 as your numbers. What are the odds of rolling a 2 now? You are all saying 5 in 6 but you odds are still 1 in 6. You have an 83% chance of hitting your number but the odds are still 1 in 6 that its going to be that 2 that you need. Betting on 4 more numbers didn't change the odds of a 2 happening.
Yep you are correct, your chance of winning goes up. The odds of hitting the number are the exact same however. You are using chance correctly. Others were using odds incorrectly.
You are all saying 5 in 6 but you odds are still 1 in 6. You have an 83% chance of hitting your number but the odds are still 1 in 6 that its going to be that 2 that you need.
Yep you are correct, your chance of winning goes up. The odds of hitting the number are the exact same however. You are using chance correctly. Others were using odds incorrectly.