Why Biden is pulling the US -- and NATO -- out of Afghanistan

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ondma

Platinum Member
Mar 18, 2018
2,995
1,513
136
So the Taliban are taking over as we withdraw. The country will likely be under their control within weeks after final withdrawal.


Which raises the question, if this was always going to happen, then why didn't we get out long ago. Also WTF have we been doing there training their military and police this whole time. Because clearly after 20 years it didn't take.
Yea, too bad it didnt happen under Trump. Then he and the Repubs could have taken the political fallout. The Republicans are going to have a political field day with this, not withstanding that Trump proposed the same thing, but was simply too inept to do it.
 

Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,109
136
So the Taliban are taking over as we withdraw. The country will likely be under their control within weeks after final withdrawal.


Which raises the question, if this was always going to happen, then why didn't we get out long ago. Also WTF have we been doing there training their military and police this whole time. Because clearly after 20 years it didn't take.
This was always going to happen. It just took us a couple $T to figure that out. Funny/not funny quote from the article
nor the troops and air-power to counter the Taliban's bad faith.
Uh, did someone actually believe that the Taliban was going to act in good faith??? At least this stupidity is coming to an end.
 

ch33zw1z

Lifer
Nov 4, 2004
38,129
18,602
146
Drug cocktails for PTSD??
Military contractors had their big sad after we pulled out of Iraq (mostly).

That area of the world generates a large portion of opium products. We've spent the last 15 years kicking out the Taliban and trying to get farmers to farm food instead. When we leave an area, the Taliban comes back and makes the farmers switch back. Russia being on the border has a huge problem with opium addiction. Opium is a huge cash crop for that area. Some of that opium makes it to our side of the world, affecting profits on drug makers.
 
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pcgeek11

Lifer
Jun 12, 2005
21,595
4,666
136
The country is basically collapsing. Women have zero rights, the Taliban are brutes, they are likely to kill all the people who cooperated with Americans there if they aren't granted visas to get out, which appears uncertain. Seems that it's going to get worse and worse. It's one of a handful of the most pathetically deteriorated countries in the world. It's not like it was ever much better, AFAIK. I think the geography has something to do with it.


Sometimes you have to let the train run off the tracks. We should have been out a decade or more ago. The place is a dump and always will be.
 
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woolfe9998

Lifer
Apr 8, 2013
16,189
14,114
136
The country is basically collapsing. Women have zero rights, the Taliban are brutes, they are likely to kill all the people who cooperated with Americans there if they aren't granted visas to get out, which appears uncertain. Seems that it's going to get worse and worse. It's one of a handful of the most pathetically deteriorated countries in the world. It's not like it was ever much better, AFAIK. I think the geography has something to do with it.

I think it's pathetic, and rather infuriating that we spent 20 yrs and tons of America taxpayer $$ and the country will collapse within weeks of our final departure.

Even in Vietnam, it took the NVA and VC almost 2 years to take over the south after we left.

What a waste of lives and money.
 
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SMOGZINN

Lifer
Jun 17, 2005
14,221
4,452
136
I think it's pathetic, and rather infuriating that we spent 20 yrs and tons of America taxpayer $$ and the country will collapse within weeks of our final departure.

Even in Vietnam, it took the NVA and VC almost 2 years to take over the south after we left.

What a waste of lives and money.
Won every battle and lost the war. Just another in the long line of America fighting a war without knowing what we are trying to accomplish. Talk about the sunk cost fallacy.
It is best that we are pulling out now instead of keep pumping more and more money and blood into it.
 
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woolfe9998

Lifer
Apr 8, 2013
16,189
14,114
136
Won every battle and lost the war. Just another in the long line of America fighting a war without knowing what we are trying to accomplish. Talk about the sunk cost fallacy.
It is best that we are pulling out now instead of keep pumping more and more money and blood into it.

We should never have had much of a sunk cost. The plan straight off should have been that we were on a search and destroy mission for AQ and the Taliban, not some ill fated and ill advised nation building project.

We should have gone in much heavier and done a more thorough job of eliminating AQ and the Taliban, then stuck around for maybe 6 months to ensure a transition to a new regime. Then GTFO. Our presence there is what allowed the Taliban to rebuild after our initial incursion. The country might even be better off now had we left early. It certainly wouldn't be any more screwed than it is now, and we would have saved trillions of $ and many, many lives.

Various people will try putting some blame on Obama, Trump or Biden but the truth is that the Bush admin screwed the pooch on its entire strategy there and everything else is a legacy of that.
 
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SMOGZINN

Lifer
Jun 17, 2005
14,221
4,452
136
Various people will try putting some blame on Obama, Trump or Biden but the truth is that the Bush admin screwed the pooch on its entire strategy there and everything else is a legacy of that.
They all deserve the blame. Biden is the only one that gets a pass, and that is if he manages to finish pulling us out.
The truth is we all deserve the blame. We became complacent about war. We let it not have much in the way of political repercussions for those we elect, it became easier to just let it go then to do something about it.
We should have been demanding that they answer some hard questions about what was going on and what out strategy was, and then vote their asses out (or better yet don't vote them in) if they can't or won't answer, or if their answers don't match their actions. We let it slide. It was just so much easier to forget that we were waging wars then to do something about it.
And the damn thing is, it is not likely to change. So we will keep doing this. Waging war forever, because no one cares enough to question why.
 
Feb 4, 2009
35,151
16,553
136
They all deserve the blame. Biden is the only one that gets a pass, and that is if he manages to finish pulling us out.
The truth is we all deserve the blame. We became complacent about war. We let it not have much in the way of political repercussions for those we elect, it became easier to just let it go then to do something about it.
We should have been demanding that they answer some hard questions about what was going on and what out strategy was, and then vote their asses out (or better yet don't vote them in) if they can't or won't answer, or if their answers don't match their actions. We let it slide. It was just so much easier to forget that we were waging wars then to do something about it.
And the damn thing is, it is not likely to change. So we will keep doing this. Waging war forever, because no one cares enough to question why.

I am giving the former President & Biden each a partial pass.
the former President set the timeline to my understanding and Biden followed it.
Former President would get a full pass if the timeline was quicker.

Edit: I’ll accept my blame, while I never thought we’d see a free Afghanistan I did think it would be possible to eliminate the Taliban. Which it sort of was done but the problem is it fragments into different things in different places. I didn’t make this a priority while voting until 2016 give or take.
 

maluckey1

Senior member
Mar 15, 2018
331
144
86
As a former combat soldier, and one of the few on this forum that was in combat in the region during the peak of it all, I'm happy that we're leaving. Should never have been there after intel said OBL was in Pakistan (sometime after Jan 2002), and we should never have gone into Iraq at all (what was the point again?).

It's obvious that not many people care about the region in any meaningful way. Sure, we sent contractors to sow money like seeding a field of hay; we sent relief to everyone (deserving or not) who often as not, spent it like drunken sailors. No different than any other place I suppose, but without any oversight, giving money is always a stupid idea. Leveraging money to attempt to change people only makes them dependent on the money....not any wiser, more humanitarian or generally better off.

It sure made a lot of contractors and manufacturers rich. More than a few locals skimmed their share as well. I guess they'll be forever grateful, but not so much the rest though.

Perhaps next time try invading with farmers, veterinarians, scientists, doctors, business entrepreneurs and engineers instead of money and bullets. It might work better. At least when your done they can feed themselves, and they likely won't hate you for it.
 
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pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
13,570
8,469
136
Still, at least some people made a lot of money out of it. Not really sure who - as I understand it an awful lot of funds intended for nation-building just disappeared.
 

maluckey1

Senior member
Mar 15, 2018
331
144
86
Still, at least some people made a lot of money out of it. Not really sure who - as I understand it an awful lot of funds intended for nation-building just disappeared.

Very true.

The recipients could easily spout POG and CA talking points, then would take the CA/(sometimes PRT) project assistance. Later some of the projects would sometimes be destroyed by "radicals". Local contractors didn't care (more work=more pay), nor did the locals that profited (local officials often got kickbacks). I also saw police stations paying police that didn't actually work, but were still on the books.

The worst offenders of pay-and-pray were often the ones actually trying to help (International, OGA, NGO, CA, PRT). As is often the case when the prominent social constructs are dissimilar, where ordinary folk may fail, the bad-seeds will still find a way to make money. They always do.

I was amused when reports of organized crime surfaced. Gangsters were protecting their own neighborhood....of course....for a small insurance fee. Funny thing was that the locals were happy to pay to play. They got better security than from the police or the local govt. Too bad the traditionalists kyboshed the situation. Imaging the Amazon series "Lilyhammer"...in the middle east!! Not sayin it was a good thing, but better that ISIL or The Taliban for sure.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
47,874
36,865
136
It is hard to escape the conclusion that several administrations and the military drastically oversold the progress being made over the last 20 years. The Taliban was just kept suppressed though US might but not meaningfully degraded and the Afghan government/military overall isn't up to the task.

The options really were either perpetual US occupation or this. I think Biden is probably surprised how quickly it is all collapsing but not that is was going to.
Probably best to step up the evac of Afghans who helped the US given the likely outcome. Fly them to Guam like we did after Vietnam to await security checks.

 
Feb 4, 2009
35,151
16,553
136
It is hard to escape the conclusion that several administrations and the military drastically oversold the progress being made over the last 20 years. The Taliban was just kept suppressed though US might but not meaningfully degraded and the Afghan government/military overall isn't up to the task.

The options really were either perpetual US occupation or this. I think Biden is probably surprised how quickly it is all collapsing but not that is was going to.
Probably best to step up the evac of Afghans who helped the US given the likely outcome. Fly them to Guam like we did after Vietnam to await security checks.


Yeah I’ve been thinking about this. Afghanistan has been a hot bed of corruption. Hard to get anything meaningful done with 8 dozen people need a payoff and a cut of the action.
If I were a competent cop or security guy working for the current afghan government my number one priority right now would be getting my kids, wife and family out of Afghanistan ASAP. Wouldn’t matter where just anywhere but where they are. We all know when the Afghan Government falls all leadership will fly or drive or run off somewhere safe and give zero fucks about who and what is left behind. All the stragglers can expect a beheading or some brutal death. All the families of them can expect a similar death or at best absolutely cruel punishment.
Zero reason for anyone who is competent at what they do to stay behind.
 

Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,109
136
It is hard to escape the conclusion that several administrations and the military drastically oversold the progress being made over the last 20 years. The Taliban was just kept suppressed though US might but not meaningfully degraded and the Afghan government/military overall isn't up to the task.

The options really were either perpetual US occupation or this. I think Biden is probably surprised how quickly it is all collapsing but not that is was going to.
Probably best to step up the evac of Afghans who helped the US given the likely outcome. Fly them to Guam like we did after Vietnam to await security checks.

It's really hard to understand how Biden could not have known how badly this was going to go. Did we have absolutely intelligence over the past year?? The Taliban has been getting ready for America's departure and has bought up (or been given) some serious weaponry in advance (well, by third world standards). Anyway, the Taliban are back to killings, forcing young women into marriage, etc., etc. They have also begun killing ex-Afghan 'soldiers' who surrendered - shocking . Somehow someone thought that the Taliban wasn't going to act like the Taliban, WTH?

As you noted, it was either a 100 years of military support or this. Personally, even though the suffering will be horrific, I'm glad we are nearly out. Too much American blood has been shed for nothing. Too much American treasure has been spent to no effect. I really wish we would learn our lesson. If you want to punish a Podunk country for harm to the US, and the military is the only useful option - go in, kick ass and leave.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
47,874
36,865
136
It's really hard to understand how Biden could not have known how badly this was going to go. Did we have absolutely intelligence over the past year?? The Taliban has been getting ready for America's departure and has bought up (or been given) some serious weaponry in advance (well, by third world standards). Anyway, the Taliban are back to killings, forcing young women into marriage, etc., etc. They have also begun killing ex-Afghan 'soldiers' who surrendered - shocking . Somehow someone thought that the Taliban wasn't going to act like the Taliban, WTH?

As you noted, it was either a 100 years of military support or this. Personally, even though the suffering will be horrific, I'm glad we are nearly out. Too much American blood has been shed for nothing. Too much American treasure has been spent to no effect. I really wish we would learn our lesson. If you want to punish a Podunk country for harm to the US, and the military is the only useful option - go in, kick ass and leave.

I'm inclined to think the military oversold the abilities of the Afghan forces/gov and undersold the capability of the Taliban in their assessments.
 
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Roger Wilco

Diamond Member
Mar 20, 2017
4,105
6,134
136
2,300 American troops dead. 65,000 Afghan troops dead. At least 47,000 Afghan civilians dead. Trillions spent. Ludacris amounts of CO2 pumped.

Wtf.
 

uallas5

Golden Member
Jun 3, 2005
1,469
1,632
136
It is hard to escape the conclusion that several administrations and the military drastically oversold the progress being made over the last 20 years. The Taliban was just kept suppressed though US might but not meaningfully degraded and the Afghan government/military overall isn't up to the task.

The options really were either perpetual US occupation or this. I think Biden is probably surprised how quickly it is all collapsing but not that is was going to.
Probably best to step up the evac of Afghans who helped the US given the likely outcome. Fly them to Guam like we did after Vietnam to await security checks.

That's the thing. For the last 15 years, military advisers and trainers were always saying the NEXT YEAR or maybe in TWO years, the Afghan forces will be able to stand on their own, but time and time again that's been shown not to be true. I'm sure all the trainers were hoping that at some point they could leave with confidence but they must have seen the hopelessness of their position. I'm sure plenty of those Afghan forces meant well too and have tried their best, but when everything at the top is being held together with corruption and bribes, it's bound to collapse. Vietnam showed us that decades ago. I can't find the article now, but a number of US military senior officers are pissed because they instructed the Afghan commanders on where to put their troops and how to use their airpower because they knew this could be the scenario and none of their recommendations were carried out.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
47,874
36,865
136
That's the thing. For the last 15 years, military advisers and trainers were always saying the NEXT YEAR or maybe in TWO years, the Afghan forces will be able to stand on their own, but time and time again that's been shown not to be true. I'm sure all the trainers were hoping that at some point they could leave with confidence but they must have seen the hopelessness of their position. I'm sure plenty of those Afghan forces meant well too and have tried their best, but when everything at the top is being held together with corruption and bribes, it's bound to collapse. Vietnam showed us that decades ago. I can't find the article now, but a number of US military senior officers are pissed because they instructed the Afghan commanders on where to put their troops and how to use their airpower because they knew this could be the scenario and none of their recommendations were carried out.

Yeah, this has a real end of Vietnam vibe going on. Probably culminating with something similar to Saigon in April of 75.
 
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maluckey1

Senior member
Mar 15, 2018
331
144
86
It is hard to escape the conclusion that several administrations and the military drastically oversold the progress being made over the last 20 years. The Taliban was just kept suppressed though US might but not meaningfully degraded and the Afghan government/military overall isn't up to the task.

The options really were either perpetual US occupation or this. I think Biden is probably surprised how quickly it is all collapsing but not that is was going to.
Probably best to step up the evac of Afghans who helped the US given the likely outcome. Fly them to Guam like we did after Vietnam to await security checks.

It's not that everyone was overselling. On the ground, and in actual meetings with locals, they all reported being better off, and it was to an extent. The United States was funding virtually everything, and SOME of that money helped a few people.

One issue is most Americans don't speak more than a few phrases of Pashto or Dari. Another is the arrogance of the American forces being almost breathtaking at times. They (not me)assumed that personal freedoms and living standards should be what they would be in Ohio, not a third-world nation. I was generally happy if the cops actually tried to arrest a bad guy, and was generally pleased if local authorities acted a bit less like douche nozzles. Small victories add up quick.

It would be rather easy for an Italian mob-like rule to set up under the Taliban. ANY rules that can bring stability and predictability are generally welcomed by the majority of inner-city Afghans.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
47,874
36,865
136
It's not that everyone was overselling. On the ground, and in actual meetings with locals, they all reported being better off, and it was to an extent. The United States was funding virtually everything, and SOME of that money helped a few people.

One issue is most Americans don't speak more than a few phrases of Pashto or Dari. Another is the arrogance of the American forces being almost breathtaking at times. They (not me)assumed that personal freedoms and living standards should be what they would be in Ohio, not a third-world nation. I was generally happy if the cops actually tried to arrest a bad guy, and was generally pleased if local authorities acted a bit less like douche nozzles. Small victories add up quick.

It would be rather easy for an Italian mob-like rule to set up under the Taliban. ANY rules that can bring stability and predictability are generally welcomed by the majority of inner-city Afghans.

I don't think the idea that conditions for some Afghans genuinely improved is mutually exclusive with the probability that a too rosy view of what would happen after us forces/money were withdrawn was promoted by the guys higher up the chain of command. The gains just did not seem to be realistically durable without that support.
 

Muse

Lifer
Jul 11, 2001
38,305
8,623
136
So, how will things go after the withdrawal? Taliban take over? Heroin the main export and huge? Repression, women under men's thumbs completely? Hotbed of terrorism? I mean that's the worst case scenario, right? Is that where it's heading?
 

Roger Wilco

Diamond Member
Mar 20, 2017
4,105
6,134
136
In addition, Afghanistan is currently 0.6% fully vaccinated, with a whopping 2% receiving a single shot.
 
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