Why did Microsoft fail with smartphones?

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Roland00Address

Platinum Member
Dec 17, 2008
2,196
260
126
Ben Thompson of Stratechery has a good article about why microsoft failed in smartphones, and why Apple may have some problems in the future. It is due to culture, but what you think of culture is not how many people understand it, but it is actually from a scientific perspective the more likely way human behavior organizes. I am going to link the article now but read my comments first please.

https://stratechery.com/2016/the-curse-of-culture/

Ben Thompson is using the ideas of Edgar Schein’s bookOrganizational Culture and Leadership. This book first published in the 1980s has had 4 editions and has greatly influenced business schools (Edgar Schien until he retired was a professor at MIT's school of business)

Human beings have 3 ways of organizing yourself with others.



1) Visually as well as things you can touch which Schein calls artifacts

And in business stuff like logos, t-shirts, flag-pins, other ways to identify you are part of the group

2) Words which Schein calls espoused values, how you talk about yourself and others, how do you compare yourself to others. Say things like I am pro consumer, or pro privacy, or I am for freedom, etc.

3) Unconscious assumptions and beliefs which are both A) individual which we learn from our own personal experience, B) some of our inherent personality, C) Push back from other people in society and this is self reinforcing. this is culture. Do understand that the push back from society is their own unconscious assumptions and beliefs.

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Well whenever you do your thinking you do not always respond rationally, you find the argument that suits your core unconscious beliefs and you advance that argument and discount other arguments that are contrary to those beliefs. Some tech nerds in jest call this reality distortion field and the reality distortion field can be both individual unconscious assumptions but also cultural of the group and the groups unconscious biases based off past success.

Well one thing about these unconscious assumptions and beliefs is that when you are founding a company it is one of the key figures on whether a company thrives or it fails or becomes a small niche company. Culture is advanced and enhanced by the contribution of others creating a form of group thinking when individuals make a lot of early success and these success are largely due to talent and unconscious assumptions of that person on how they view the world and the economy and so on. And this is how you get Corporate Culture (but also social culture), this is how you get mission statements, this is how you get pieces of flair.

And when the initial assumptions of the market are right for this time in history and this current facts on the ground, than the power of culture is amazing for its self reinforcing. But when the facts change, when technology changes, the curse of culture can actually seal a companies destruction for they do not adapt, they do not see the grim reaper coming, they rationalize it away. Both the individual leader whose beliefs are not up to date but also the initial corporate culture which promotes "yes men" without even realizing it, are also the same people who doomed the company.

Unless the leader has enough leadership to realize he is wrong and to try to change the culture before this effect. Now sometimes it is not just one leader and you need a group of leaders to cause this change. And creating a 2nd generation culture and how it unites to the first one but then abandons the first one helps creating companies that can adapt to the changing circumstances.

I am done explaining all of this, now what does that have to do with windows, ibm, apple, nokia, etc

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Ben Thompson of Stratechery identifies examples in various tech companies with their leaders and how culture helped them, and how it also hurt them. One of the best examples illustrates how Jobs and the Apple culture help lead to the success of the 1980s apple, yet in 1993 Apple was still doing mostly fine, but in 1997 Apple was 3 months away from bankruptcy when Jobs took over again as CEO. 1 month in his tenure he gets booed for he is allowing Microsoft to make word for the mac, and that Microsoft bought 150 million dollars of stock and arguably that kept the lights on until Jobs returned Apple to profitability. Yet the corporate culture was against him in 1997, everything Jobs was saying in 1997 was against the culture of the 1980s Apple that Jobs helped founded, make peace with microsoft, blasphemous.

Thompson then goes into the failings of windows in the year 2007 when the iphone came out and how they did not take the iphone seriously until years later and they started windows 7 phone but by then it was already over. It was the own internal biases of the company where they judge future performance based off past performance but they did not notice how technology has fundamentally change the game for technology now allows a computer in your pocket, and some of the business decisions they made prevented them from building on this key insights.

Thompson then identifies various blind spots of Apple and how possibly in the future things can change and unless apple heads these changes off years in advance than Apple will lose its authority as being the industry leader and profitability leader, and that is just because their culture, or put another way reality distortion field is too strong they did not see the change coming.

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Another good book on this subject is Thinking, Fast and Slow:written by Daniel Kahneman, a PhD who due to his research in unconscious priming influencing economic decisions got him the Noble Memorial Prize in Economics.
 

senseamp

Lifer
Feb 5, 2006
35,787
6,195
126
Complacency, and also just outright weirdness of things like Zune and Kin. Microsoft was trying to be hip and cool while Android was basically doing in mobile what MS did with Windows in PC space, which is bring Apple like products to a wide audience in an open way.
 

Commodus

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2004
9,215
6,818
136
I do think Apple has to stay on its toes to avoid a similar fate... with that said, it's much better-positioned than Microsoft is or was.

Microsoft had two closely linked organizational problems: its leadership's obsession with protecting/worshipping the Windows cash cow, and a culture that encouraged infighting over cooperation. Ballmer was not only convinced that desktop Windows would continue to be a gravy train for all eternity, but that everyone loves Windows exactly as much as he does. No, Steve, most people settle for Windows based on budget and the apps they need to run. We saw how quickly Microsoft lost its influence in mobile when Apple and Google promised better experiences for similar money.

And the infighting? Well, Microsoft teams were practically encouraged to take each other down. The Windows Mobile team ruined the Kin because it was Not Windows. The Office team couldn't do a tablet-friendly version of its apps because that would take away from the desktop. And so on.

Apple, on the other hand, has a culture that openly encourages changing focus and cannibalizing products. While Microsoft hasn't really been willing to make mobile its top priority, Apple had no problems shifting focus from the Mac to the iPhone. It doesn't mind if you buy an iPad Pro instead of a Mac, or an iPhone instead of an iPad -- it just wants to sell you something. It's a company that's willing to reinvent itself (however slowly) where Microsoft has frequently let tradition and stubborn pride get in the way.
 

joutlaw

Golden Member
Feb 18, 2008
1,108
2
81
A few things stand out:
Windows Mobile devices typically had a physical keyboard and a stylus for use on resistive touch screen displays.
The iPhone came out with a capacitive touchscreen and virtual keyboard.

Microsoft and Blackberry grossly underestimated the acceptance of virtual keyboard. Some Windows Mobile devices released with capacitive touch screen displays, but the UI itself was not touch friendly.

Apple introduced the App Store concept. Microsoft was still using .cab files that could be downloaded anywhere. The App Store proved very successful while creating a new industry of mobile app development. Android also had the Marketplace concept that proved successful as well.


.
 

Roland00Address

Platinum Member
Dec 17, 2008
2,196
260
126
I do think Apple has to stay on its toes to avoid a similar fate... with that said, it's much better-positioned than Microsoft is or was.

Microsoft had two closely linked organizational problems: its leadership's obsession with protecting/worshipping the Windows cash cow, and a culture that encouraged infighting over cooperation. Ballmer was not only convinced that desktop Windows would continue to be a gravy train for all eternity, but that everyone loves Windows exactly as much as he does. No, Steve, most people settle for Windows based on budget and the apps they need to run. We saw how quickly Microsoft lost its influence in mobile when Apple and Google promised better experiences for similar money.

And the infighting? Well, Microsoft teams were practically encouraged to take each other down. The Windows Mobile team ruined the Kin because it was Not Windows. The Office team couldn't do a tablet-friendly version of its apps because that would take away from the desktop. And so on.

Apple, on the other hand, has a culture that openly encourages changing focus and cannibalizing products. While Microsoft hasn't really been willing to make mobile its top priority, Apple had no problems shifting focus from the Mac to the iPhone. It doesn't mind if you buy an iPad Pro instead of a Mac, or an iPhone instead of an iPad -- it just wants to sell you something. It's a company that's willing to reinvent itself (however slowly) where Microsoft has frequently let tradition and stubborn pride get in the way.

I agree with almost everything you wrote with my whole heart and brain, but let me add to it.

The same website, same guy I linked to before has a couple articles this week on the pros and cons of these various organizational structure.

https://stratechery.com/

If you wanted a 1 OS for all types of computers you had to run it like Apple, and the way Microsoft did it only encouraged failure. It encourages and fighting, it encourages departments to not coordinate and work together at the same speed to couple features, etc.

Yet the way Microsoft did things in the early 2000s makes sense when you are selling software and services, and that these software and services do not compete with each other. By making each department kinda of their own thing it encourages new idea creation and taking more chances, and finding ways to make the business cooperations happy.

But this structure is antithetical to making a device that seemly operates and "just works." Put another way, software is constantly being updated even if the main version number is the same. You can't do a recall of your entire iphone line if you do something more stupid than the antenna problems of the iphone 4.

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Neither are inherently bad organizational structures, but how they are implemented in daily life can make a huge difference.

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Forgot to mention the author Ben Thompson used to work for apple and he used to work for Microsoft before he became an analyst himself.
 

poofyhairguy

Lifer
Nov 20, 2005
14,612
318
126
I hate to say that Microsoft failed because "it's wasn't Apple" when Android is basically "Windows 2.0 with harder to update devices and spyware built in!"

Microsoft failed for not executing the vision they did have, not because they weren't organized like Apple.
 

Commodus

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2004
9,215
6,818
136
I hate to say that Microsoft failed because "it's wasn't Apple" when Android is basically "Windows 2.0 with harder to update devices and spyware built in!"

Microsoft failed for not executing the vision they did have, not because they weren't organized like Apple.

I'm not sure I'd agree.

Initially, Ballmer was convinced the iPhone would fail because it was expensive, wasn't business-friendly (at first) and didn't have a hardware keyboard. That, to me, suggests that he fundamentally misunderstood where the market needed to go. The iPhone succeeded precisely because it was aimed at normal people, not corporate customers willing to put up with an awkward interface in order to run their inventory tracking app. It was designed for the internet at a time when Windows Mobile was basically an Office client that occasionally got online and made phone calls.

When Windows Phone 7 showed up? Well, Microsoft had a better idea than before, but a lot of the problems stem from trying to imitate either the wrong parts of Apple or only making half-hearted steps. Hey, we have a closed ecosystem too... wait, what do you mean that's not the part of Apple's philosophy that you wanted? And we'll feign Apple's tight integration between hardware and software, but our desire to have multiple hardware partners will mean that we'll still end up supporting the lowest common denominator in terms of features.

And let's not forget, Microsoft always treated mobile as a sideshow to the main event, the PC. It was never willing to commit the amount of development effort needed to catch up quickly, so whatever advantages it had were more than offset by features that lagged Android and iOS by a year or more. That's a failure of strategy, not execution. If it were serious, it would have gone on a massive hiring spree and treated Windows Phone as more of a central project than a supplement to Windows on PCs.
 
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