Originally posted by: Craig234
Rather than a lengthy disagreement, I'll summarily deny the position in my opinion, and say I think that my usage of word ideological id distinct from the rational approach.
I agree, I actually had this thought as I read your first sentence in this post. You're using "ideological" as synonymous with "emotional", whereas I'm using it in a more clinical sense. We've been talking at cross purposes.
Originally posted by: Craig234
I don't think you were neutral, as much as you might think so.
To describe it in general terms:
You took two sides of an issue where the public is heavily weighted towards one side, and you then linked to the two sides of the issue under discussion to that other issue, saying one side of the current issue is like the very popular side of the analogous issue, and that the other side of the current issue is like the very unpopular side of the analogous issue.
The implied argument there is that the first side of the current issue is right the same way as the popular side of the analgous issue is right, and vice versa.
Popularity is irrelevant in a strictly rational view of the subject. From a purely rational standpoint, the analogy stands. The argument in favor of gun control is the argument that it's better to prevent crime than to avoid infringing on lawful use. The argument against is that it's better to avoid infringing on lawful use than it is to prevent crime.
The view that "It's better for guilty men to go free than for innocent men to be punished" contains within it the assumption that those guilty men going free will continue to cause problems for society. Logically, that cannot be avoided. In terms of what is better, net, for society as a whole is arguably for innocent men to go to prison in order to ensure that more guilty men go to prison as well.
Originally posted by: Craig234
This created a heavy burden on you to defend the analogy is fair and accurate - a burden I don't think you met; instead you seem to be calling the assigning of one side of the current issue to the very unpoopular side of the analogous issue "neutral". And I think the analogy can be challenged quite clearly on the accuracy, which I laid out in some detail previously and deleted from this post.
Again, popularity is irrelevant. It's not a logical consideration. If you want to pin everything on rationality, you lose the ability to argue based on popularity. As I said, rationally, the analogy stands. The question is whether it's more important to prevent unlawful use than to protect lawful use, or if the inverse is true.
Originally posted by: Craig234
You argue here about the 'absolute numbers of people affected', but someone 'affected' by not getting to have a handgun might not be equal to someone 'affected' by getting shot.
(Although some pro gun people seem to view not getting a handgun as not much better than getting shot.)
To weigh them more clearly, you go back to what I said about estimating the net effects of a gun ban on violence.
This is a digression, but I cannot resist it. Stats are from the Kleck study and from the CDC.
Of the over 2,000,000 instances where a gun is used to prevent crime over 190,000 are cases of women defending themselves against sexual abuse.
Total homicides by firearm run at approximately 12,000 per year, excluding suicides. Statistically, the availability of firearms has no net effect on the total number of suicides. Of the homicides by firearm, the vast majority occur during the commission of a crime (i.e. one criminal shoots another criminal), and that number also includes criminals killed in self-defense as well as criminals shot by police. Overall, fewer than 4,000 non-criminals are involuntarily killed by firearms each year.
I'd venture to guess that those 190,000+ women who are able to keep themselves from being raped are pretty damn "affected". A person is also 4 times more likely to be injured by a criminal by not resisting at all than if he or she resists with a gun.
In terms of injuries from firearms, they don't even make the top 10. Firearm injuries each year are fewer than 55,000.
For every firearm homicide, 16 women fend off a rapist with a firearm. For every innocent killed with a firearm, 38 women fend off a rapist.
For every firearm homicide, 167 people prevent a crime by using a firearm. For every innocent killed with a firearms, 400 people prevent a crime using a firearm.
That's all the "net effect" I need to know.
Originally posted by: Craig234
And I largely agree with your point. Your prefatory comments suggested you might launch into the 'freedom radical' position, but instead you said what I agree with on choices.
Most gun discussion is two sides yelling past one another on different parts of the issue, each looking for that catchy slogan to really slam the other guys.
"You are a gun nut who blindly advocates thousands of innocents being shot!"
"You are a gun pansy who would trash our freedoms because you are paranoid and underweigh the uses of guns for defense!"
Well, that's sure productive.
So, I'm discussing how to get the two sides discussing apples and apples for there to be some progress...
And I think getting past the polarized assumptins that a gun ban would either be very helpful or very harmful, to some reasonably accurate estimates of the effect, is important.
I completely agree that the debate too often becomes an emotional one, and that refers to people on both sides.
ZV