Why the Dollar Bubble is about to Burst

Ryan

Lifer
Oct 31, 2000
27,519
2
81
I was listenning to Coast-to -Coast AM a few weeks ago, and this was brought up by an Iranian expert.
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,415
14,307
136
The US got it all for free! Well, maybe for a forest or two
US dollars are printed on paper made from recycled cotton fiber, not wood pulp.
 

z42

Senior member
Apr 22, 2006
465
0
0
paints a pretty bleak picture. I would have to question some of it, since it has some tin foil hat stuff in there with no corroboration or links, but the substance of the article is probably close to the mark.
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,415
14,307
136
That page has many glaring flaws and is mostly "tin foil hat stuff." First, the US has not gotten anything for free. All this dollar exporting has caused considerable inflation at home. The page's assertion to the contrary is ludicrous. Second, the page admits that most of the world's assets are in dollars, and that countries know that for them to dump the dollar (and dollar assets) would be disastrous to the global economy (and thus themselves), and yet the page comes to the conclusion that these countries are eager to commit exactly this form of economic suicide. Why? Because the page is typical double-thinking socialist bullsh!t, in which the opposite of reality is presented as reality. The fact is that Chavez and all the other oil-producing countries absolutely LOVE the current US dollar foreign policy, as it is making them fabulously wealthy. Exxon's current record profits are spit in a barrel compared to what the oil-producing countries are seeing.
 

acemcmac

Lifer
Mar 31, 2003
13,712
1
0
This is complete nonsense. Having a formal education in economics, I think I'm qualified to make that judgement.
 

acemcmac

Lifer
Mar 31, 2003
13,712
1
0
Originally posted by: Vic
That page has many glaring flaws and is mostly "tin foil hat stuff." First, the US has not gotten anything for free. All this dollar exporting has caused considerable inflation at home. The page's assertion to the contrary is ludicrous. Second, the page admits that most of the world's assets are in dollars, and that countries know that for them to dump the dollar (and dollar assets) would be disastrous to the global economy (and thus themselves), and yet the page comes to the conclusion that these countries are eager to commit exactly this form of economic suicide. Why? Because the page is typical double-thinking socialist bullsh!t, in which the opposite of reality is presented as reality. The fact is that Chavez and all the other oil-producing countries absolutely LOVE the current US dollar foreign policy, as it is making them fabulously wealthy. Exxon's current record profits are spit in a barrel compared to what the oil-producing countries are seeing.

Don't even bother. This is just as bad as the people who think that the Federal Reserve just exists as a "big evil corperate run black hole" for taxpayer's money :roll:
 

ponyo

Lifer
Feb 14, 2002
19,689
2,811
126
People I know who are bearish on the dollar.

George Soros
Warren Buffett
Bill Gates
Bill Gross

You're talking about some rich, powerful, and smart people who are very bearish on the dollar. Bill Gross of Pimco who runs the world's largest bond fund is very bearish on the dollar as is George Soros. Both have placed big bets against the dollar.

I would not bet against these men.
 

OS

Lifer
Oct 11, 1999
15,581
1
76
Originally posted by: Vic
That page has many glaring flaws and is mostly "tin foil hat stuff." First, the US has not gotten anything for free. All this dollar exporting has caused considerable inflation at home. The page's assertion to the contrary is ludicrous. Second, the page admits that most of the world's assets are in dollars, and that countries know that for them to dump the dollar (and dollar assets) would be disastrous to the global economy (and thus themselves), and yet the page comes to the conclusion that these countries are eager to commit exactly this form of economic suicide. Why? Because the page is typical double-thinking socialist bullsh!t, in which the opposite of reality is presented as reality. The fact is that Chavez and all the other oil-producing countries absolutely LOVE the current US dollar foreign policy, as it is making them fabulously wealthy. Exxon's current record profits are spit in a barrel compared to what the oil-producing countries are seeing.

althought the article is largely full of this, i think the fundamental point is if the US lost world reserve currency due to a new oil market denominated in other currencies, the US dollar would fall substantially. It's an idea i haven't seen cleanly refuted yet.
 

msparish

Senior member
Aug 27, 2003
655
0
0
Originally posted by: Naustica
People I know who are bearish on the dollar.

George Soros
Warren Buffett
Bill Gates
Bill Gross

You're talking about some rich, powerful, and smart people who are very bearish on the dollar. Bill Gross of Pimco who runs the world's largest bond fund is very bearish on the dollar as is George Soros. Both have placed big bets against the dollar.

I would not bet against these men.

Being bearish on the dollar is totally different than expecting it to collapse. If the dollar loses value, imports will be more expensive, but it will slow or reverse offshoring. There are positives and negatives to both a weak and strong dollar.
 

RichardE

Banned
Dec 31, 2005
10,246
2
0
Originally posted by: Vic
That page has many glaring flaws and is mostly "tin foil hat stuff." First, the US has not gotten anything for free. All this dollar exporting has caused considerable inflation at home. The page's assertion to the contrary is ludicrous. Second, the page admits that most of the world's assets are in dollars, and that countries know that for them to dump the dollar (and dollar assets) would be disastrous to the global economy (and thus themselves), and yet the page comes to the conclusion that these countries are eager to commit exactly this form of economic suicide. Why? Because the page is typical double-thinking socialist bullsh!t, in which the opposite of reality is presented as reality. The fact is that Chavez and all the other oil-producing countries absolutely LOVE the current US dollar foreign policy, as it is making them fabulously wealthy. Exxon's current record profits are spit in a barrel compared to what the oil-producing countries are seeing.


While I agree this particular author screwed up this whole subject with what he wrote, there are many very well written articles on this subject.

Regarding your point on when he mentioned the conomic suicide of nations, while it is true, that would only happen if it suddenly happened. If it was through a slow process of dumping US dollars for the Euro than it would not be as painfull as a sudden just pure dump.

Ignoring it is a typical right winger dream in which if they close there eyes, the problems might disapere though. This author just did not present the issue very well.
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,415
14,307
136
Originally posted by: Naustica
People I know who are bearish on the dollar.

George Soros
Warren Buffett
Bill Gates
Bill Gross

You're talking about some rich, powerful, and smart people who are very bearish on the dollar. Bill Gross of Pimco who runs the world's largest bond fund is very bearish on the dollar as is George Soros. Both have placed big bets against the dollar.

I would not bet against these men.
Bill Gross has a vested interest. Pimco manages substantial assets of US Treasury bonds, which have taken an unholy beating in the last 9 months.
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,415
14,307
136
Originally posted by: OS
althought the article is largely full of this, i think the fundamental point is if the US lost world reserve currency due to a new oil market denominated in other currencies, the US dollar would fall substantially. It's an idea i haven't seen cleanly refuted yet.
Those oil-producing countries are just extorting the Fed to keep raising interest rates in order to prop up their US currency investments. Plus they wouldn't mind getting a bigger piece of the Euro action.
 

JS80

Lifer
Oct 24, 2005
26,271
7
81
Originally posted by: quasarsky
Why the Dollar Bubble is about to Burst

WARNING: kind of long

Why he's wrong: US government is #1 real estate holder. Has the #1 military. Has the #1 economy. #1 consumers & producers. World depends on US; US failure = world failure.

As dollar devalues, US assets become more attractive. It's a cycle. It's called globalization.

/thread
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,415
14,307
136
Originally posted by: RichardE
While I agree this particular author screwed up this whole subject with what he wrote, there are many very well written articles on this subject.

Regarding your point on when he mentioned the conomic suicide of nations, while it is true, that would only happen if it suddenly happened. If it was through a slow process of dumping US dollars for the Euro than it would not be as painfull as a sudden just pure dump.

Ignoring it is a typical right winger dream in which if they close there eyes, the problems might disapere though. This author just did not present the issue very well.
Blah blah blah anyone who isn't a socialist is an evil right-winger blah blah blah

:roll:

Real world don't work that way, so get a clue. Socialism is the twin brother of fascism, as both are schemes of a state-controlled economy, while capitalism is more or less the opposite of both.

FYI: there are always problems. The world is always on the precipice of disaster if you choose to look at it that way. Funny it hasn't ended yet.
 

RichardE

Banned
Dec 31, 2005
10,246
2
0
Originally posted by: Vic
Originally posted by: RichardE
While I agree this particular author screwed up this whole subject with what he wrote, there are many very well written articles on this subject.

Regarding your point on when he mentioned the conomic suicide of nations, while it is true, that would only happen if it suddenly happened. If it was through a slow process of dumping US dollars for the Euro than it would not be as painfull as a sudden just pure dump.

Ignoring it is a typical right winger dream in which if they close there eyes, the problems might disapere though. This author just did not present the issue very well.
Blah blah blah anyone who isn't a socialist is an evil right-winger blah blah blah

:roll:

Real world don't work that way, so get a clue. Socialism is the twin brother of fascism, as both are schemes of a state-controlled economy, while capitalism is more or less the opposite of both.

FYI: there are always problems. The world is always on the precipice of disaster if you choose to look at it that way. Funny it hasn't ended yet.

Anyone who doesn't follow a right wing line is a double thinking socialist

:roll:

Real world is alot more complicated than you like it to, if it is not black and white it is a conspiracy. Of course, the government has never done anything scandalous, in its history, so we could never imagine that happening.
 

JS80

Lifer
Oct 24, 2005
26,271
7
81
Originally posted by: Vic
Originally posted by: RichardE
While I agree this particular author screwed up this whole subject with what he wrote, there are many very well written articles on this subject.

Regarding your point on when he mentioned the conomic suicide of nations, while it is true, that would only happen if it suddenly happened. If it was through a slow process of dumping US dollars for the Euro than it would not be as painfull as a sudden just pure dump.

Ignoring it is a typical right winger dream in which if they close there eyes, the problems might disapere though. This author just did not present the issue very well.
Blah blah blah anyone who isn't a socialist is an evil right-winger blah blah blah

:roll:

Real world don't work that way, so get a clue. Socialism is the twin brother of fascism, as both are schemes of a state-controlled economy, while capitalism is more or less the opposite of both.

FYI: there are always problems. The world is always on the precipice of disaster if you choose to look at it that way. Funny it hasn't ended yet.

2000+ stock market crash + 9/11
1990s - gulf war 1
1980s - star wars/berlin wall
1970s - opec/iran revolution
Post WW2 - Cold War nuclear destruction
WW2
WW1
The Depression
Civil War
American Revolution
European Wars
Black Plague
Ghengis Kahn...

I put my money on human advancement.
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,415
14,307
136
Originally posted by: RichardE
Anyone who doesn't follow a right wing line is a double thinking socialist

:roll:

Real world is alot more complicated than you like it to, if it is not black and white it is a conspiracy. Of course, the government has never done anything scandalous, in its history, so we could never imagine that happening.
Excuse me, you were the one who went black and white, not I. Nor am I a right-winger. I am a liberal capitalist with a solid real-world background in economics and finance. Your socialist BS makes for a pretty utopian fantasy but in reality it's just a bunch of fearmongering OMG-the-world-is-coming-to-an-end totalitarianism.
 

JS80

Lifer
Oct 24, 2005
26,271
7
81
Originally posted by: Vic
Originally posted by: RichardE
Anyone who doesn't follow a right wing line is a double thinking socialist

:roll:

Real world is alot more complicated than you like it to, if it is not black and white it is a conspiracy. Of course, the government has never done anything scandalous, in its history, so we could never imagine that happening.
Excuse me, you were the one who went black and white, not I. Nor am I a right-winger. I am a liberal capitalist with a solid real-world background in economics and finance. Your socialist BS makes for a pretty utopian fantasy but in reality it's just a bunch of fearmongering OMG-the-world-is-coming-to-an-end totalitarianism.

How did you even comprehend what that guy's tring to say to give a valid response?
 

RichardE

Banned
Dec 31, 2005
10,246
2
0
Originally posted by: Vic
Originally posted by: RichardE
Anyone who doesn't follow a right wing line is a double thinking socialist

:roll:

Real world is alot more complicated than you like it to, if it is not black and white it is a conspiracy. Of course, the government has never done anything scandalous, in its history, so we could never imagine that happening.
Excuse me, you were the one who went black and white, not I. Nor am I a right-winger. I am a liberal capitalist with a solid real-world background in economics and finance. Your socialist BS makes for a pretty utopian fantasy but in reality it's just a bunch of fearmongering OMG-the-world-is-coming-to-an-end totalitarianism.

I am more of a Stalin type of Socialism, I think Stunt called me borderline facist, but your little "if everything is not printed clearly on a government issues paper it must be a tin foil conspiracy" BS whinning is pathetic and pretty ignorant of the fact things happen that is not all made nice and clear for everyone.
 

JS80

Lifer
Oct 24, 2005
26,271
7
81
Originally posted by: RichardE
Originally posted by: Vic
Originally posted by: RichardE
Anyone who doesn't follow a right wing line is a double thinking socialist

:roll:

Real world is alot more complicated than you like it to, if it is not black and white it is a conspiracy. Of course, the government has never done anything scandalous, in its history, so we could never imagine that happening.
Excuse me, you were the one who went black and white, not I. Nor am I a right-winger. I am a liberal capitalist with a solid real-world background in economics and finance. Your socialist BS makes for a pretty utopian fantasy but in reality it's just a bunch of fearmongering OMG-the-world-is-coming-to-an-end totalitarianism.

I am more of a Stalin type of Socialism, I think Stunt called me borderline facist, but your little "if everything is not printed clearly on a government issues paper it must be a tin foil conspiracy" BS whinning is pathetic and pretty ignorant of the fact things happen that is not all made nice and clear for everyone.

And look where Stalin's Socialism led to......
 
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