Will Democrats Learn Or Are We Doomed to Keep Repeating Partisan Tradeoff Elections?

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Fenixgoon

Lifer
Jun 30, 2003
31,824
10,362
136
Yeah, what the fuck do people need houses for anyway. Are there no prisons? Are there no workhouses?
I think it's more of people buying houses they couldn't afford and over-leveraging themselves based on their income.

The rough debt-to-income ratio I seen thrown around is 3:1. I personally think that's too aggressive. 2.5:1 or less is better IMO, but that also means cheap housing needs to be available.
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,415
14,307
136
You've said absolutely nothing that disproves what I said - it's pretty evident that you're being peer pressured to insinuate that any part of the blame for the great recession lies with middle-class Americans - which is of course hilarious.

You're smarter than this I hope.

You said that 100% of the blame for lending defaults lies with the lender, which I explained is impossible because the final responsibility for repayment lies with the borrower. Lenders can only write loans with high probabilities of repayment, not 100% probability.
As for your latest statement, it doesn't take peer pressure to see that participants in an event likely bear some portion of the blame. Granted, there were many innocent victims, people who bought a home in good faith only to lose it through the unfortunate consequences of a bad economy. While most middle class Americans just toughed it out and kept making their mortgage payments. But there were numerous middle-class Americans who tried to take advantage of the housing market and loose lending standards in hopes of getting rich (which some did), and then just stopped making their payments when that didn't happen. And numerous more who just used the market situation as an excuse to stay in their homes for years without paying. And yes, those people do bear a part of the blame.
 

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
22,039
20,254
136
Nobody is talking about how these high risk loans were then bundled into securities and other new fangled financial instruments that made them tasty on the secondary market. In many cases the banks wouldn't have made those loans if the couldn't just flip them for a quick buck
 
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nickqt

Diamond Member
Jan 15, 2015
7,596
7,854
136
You've said absolutely nothing that disproves what I said - it's pretty evident that you're being peer pressured to insinuate that any part of the blame for the great recession lies with middle-class Americans - which is of course hilarious.

You're smarter than this I hope.
You're right about one thing. The middle class had zero to do with the great recession. As every recession and downturn, it was totally created by the upper class, who benefit during the bubble and bust cycle.
 

brandonbull

Diamond Member
May 3, 2005
6,330
1,203
126
there, edited for actual reality, and the one truth that really did bring us to this point.
You do understand that Biden was projected as a massive winner and the Democrats were positioned to make huge gains through all levels of government? The bottomless campaign spending by Democrats resulted in mostly failure. You do understand that, right? I guess we get to hear the true governor of Georgia tell is how Trump should concede even though she did the exact opposite in her failed campaign.
 

Blackjack200

Lifer
May 28, 2007
15,995
1,685
126
I think it's more of people buying houses they couldn't afford and over-leveraging themselves based on their income.

The rough debt-to-income ratio I seen thrown around is 3:1. I personally think that's too aggressive. 2.5:1 or less is better IMO, but that also means cheap housing needs to be available.

ding-ding-ding. The cost of housing, healthcare, and college have grown enormously in the last 40 odd years, while incomes have not.

Nice strawman.

No, it's shitty to blame people for wanting to live in a house. Do you live in a house?

Nobody is talking about how these high risk loans were then bundled into securities and other new fangled financial instruments that made them tasty on the secondary market. In many cases the banks wouldn't have made those loans if the couldn't just flip them for a quick buck

It was a factor, one of the mechanisms that allowed it to happen, but I wouldn't say it was the primary cause.
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,415
14,307
136
You do understand that Biden was projected as a massive winner and the Democrats were positioned to make huge gains through all levels of government? The bottomless campaign spending by Democrats resulted in mostly failure. You do understand that, right? I guess we get to hear the true governor of Georgia tell is how Trump should concede even though she did the exact opposite in her failed campaign.

Trump still lost. Hopefully you'll get it over it someday.
 

mect

Platinum Member
Jan 5, 2004
2,424
1,636
136
My emphasis on collateral was to explain the circumstances that led to the housing bust.

Putting 100% of the blame on the lender just seems silly and, quite frankly, like you know jack shit about lending.
First, loan documents are actually not that complex or beyond a typical consumer's comprehension. That's condescending IMO. A borrower should be able to look at the LE, CD, note, and DOT and know how much they're borrowing and what the monthly payment will be, as those things are clearly spelt out. So are interest rate and fees. The rest of that mountain of legal docs is mostly standard for every borrower. And while lenders can and should say no to a borrower whose DTI is excessive, it's still up to the borrower to decide if they're comfortable with that payment. Just because they can be approved for a particular payment doesn't mean they should accept it.
Second, lenders don't and can't control the borrower's choices. Lenders don't pick the collateral, for example, they only obtain title and appraisal to determine that it's acceptable collateral. But those things won't tell us if, for example, the HVAC is going to go out 10 months later, hitting the borrower with a huge bill that will affect their ability to repay. And no amount of documentation and analysis is going to mitigate the potential risk that a borrower might get laid off, or divorced, or transferred or whatever.
And finally, people are responsible for their own actions. So of course, lenders should not make loans that they know have low probabilities of repayment. Or engage in lending practices that might lead to market bubbles. But at the same time, there is no such thing as a loan with a 100% certain probability of repayment, if only because inevitability the choice to repay belongs with the individual borrower.
Lending, at the individual loan level, is not a science. It just isn't. It can't be.
I agree, for someone with a college education, a loan isn't that complex. However, are you aware of the percent of Americans that can't complete middle school level math? These people don't understand interest rates. While I agree the lenders weren't solely responsible, there is no doubt that there was a lot of predatory lending going on. A lot of the regulations put in place to protect borrowers from predatory lending had been stripped away, making the loan process even less understandable to underinformed borrowers.

Lenders may not be able to control a borrower's choices, but they can mislead them and manipulate them. Car dealerships are particularly notorious for this. They intentionally try to manipulate the buyer from paying attention to the interest rate and total amount paid, and instead try to get the buyer to focus exclusively on the monthly payment. In the housing market, there were a lot of lenders pushing buyers, trying (and succeeding) at convincing people that they could afford a bigger loan than the borrower really could, using variable interest rates to try to pull buyers in, telling them the house was an investment that the buyer could make easy money off of because it would appreciate at an unsustainable rate forever.

People are responsible for their own actions to the extent that they actually understand what is going on and have been given the tools to responsibly engage in the arena. Otherwise, its taking advantage of people and then blaming the victim. This is why we have regulations protecting individuals from predatory practices.
 
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blackangst1

Lifer
Feb 23, 2005
22,914
2,359
126
I think it's more of people buying houses they couldn't afford and over-leveraging themselves based on their income.

The rough debt-to-income ratio I seen thrown around is 3:1. I personally think that's too aggressive. 2.5:1 or less is better IMO, but that also means cheap housing needs to be available.

Which the government cannot control.
 
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MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
22,039
20,254
136
You do understand that Biden was projected as a massive winner and the Democrats were positioned to make huge gains through all levels of government? The bottomless campaign spending by Democrats resulted in mostly failure. You do understand that, right? I guess we get to hear the true governor of Georgia tell is how Trump should concede even though she did the exact opposite in her failed campaign.
It is sad that Biden didn't do better, bit I know you discount a 6-7 million person popular vote win is not much of a margin. That's a lot of bad hombres better. Not to mention, a 304 electoral vote win is a landslide to your cult leader, so 306 must be an even bigger landslide.

For a brief moment decency has won, but don't worry, unfortunately we have all the faith in the world that the dumb ignorant garbage that makes up most of Trump's base is not going anywhere. Starting with the useless evangelical cult and the racists.
 

mect

Platinum Member
Jan 5, 2004
2,424
1,636
136
Which the government cannot control.
Maybe not control, but they can do quite a bit. They can zone appropriately to increase supply. They can provide resources for affordable housing development. They can also streamline the permit process and make that more affordable. Something America really needs to take some lessons from European nations on.
 
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MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
22,039
20,254
136
Maybe not control, but they can do quite a bit. They can zone appropriately to increase supply. They can provide resources for affordable housing development. They can also streamline the permit process and make that more affordable. Something America really needs to take some lessons from European nations on.

Don't want those dirty minorities getting into that affordable housing and invading the burbs now do ya?
 
Reactions: Meghan54

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,415
14,307
136
I agree, for someone with a college education, a loan isn't that complex. However, are you aware of the percent of Americans that can't complete middle school level math? These people don't understand interest rates. While I agree the lenders weren't solely responsible, there is no doubt that there was a lot of predatory lending going on. A lot of the regulations put in place to protect borrowers from predatory lending had been stripped away, making the loan process even less understandable to underinformed borrowers.

Lenders may not be able to control a borrower's choices, but they can mislead them and manipulate them. Car dealerships are particularly notorious for this. They intentionally try to manipulate the buyer from paying attention to the interest rate and total amount paid, and instead try to get the buyer to focus exclusively on the monthly payment. In the housing market, there were a lot of lenders pushing buyers, trying (and succeeding) at convincing people that they could afford a bigger loan than the borrower really could, using variable interest rates to try to pull buyers in, telling them the house was an investment that the buyer could make easy money off of because it would appreciate at an unsustainable rate forever.

People are responsible for their own actions to the extent that they actually understand what is going on and have been given the tools to responsibly engage in the arena. Otherwise, its taking advantage of people and then blaming the victim. This is why we have regulations protecting individuals from predatory practices.

I agree with all this, and actually see a reasonable amount of regulation as beneficial to the industry, protecting it from bad actors and the tragedy of the commons scenario that played a large role in the housing bubble.
My argument was against Someone's claim that lenders were 100% at fault, which simply isn't true. Just look at all the banks and lenders that collapsed when the bubble burst. Hundreds of thousands of people lost their jobs (myself included at the time). People like to hate on the banks as some kind of evil tool of the wealthy to oppress the middle class, but the reality is that the banking industry employs millions of middle class Americans.
 
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MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
22,039
20,254
136
It was a factor, one of the mechanisms that allowed it to happen, but I wouldn't say it was the primary cause.

It was a significant cause. The wealthy financial wizards found a way to monetize the biggest debt most people take on in their lives in a way never seen before on a scale never seen before, and if it weren't for that, they wouldn't have ran it as far or as hard as they did. If there was more risk involved it would never have gotten that bad. But they found financial toys to play with, a playground without a supervisor, and ran for the hills.

You think all of a sudden banks were like oh shit, let's just lend to anyone and keep doing the same thing we've been doing with these mortgages?
 

ch33zw1z

Lifer
Nov 4, 2004
38,004
18,352
146
ding-ding-ding. The cost of housing, healthcare, and college have grown enormously in the last 40 odd years, while incomes have not.



No, it's shitty to blame people for wanting to live in a house. Do you live in a house?



It was a factor, one of the mechanisms that allowed it to happen, but I wouldn't say it was the primary cause.

WRT housing: I agree with you guys.

1. People want to live in a house
2. Many people don't know how money math works, or can't be bothered to care
3. Subpar lending drove the housing crisis
4. People thought, and I quote from a person in my immediate circle: "the bank wouldn't loan me more than I could afford, right?"

This, in massive subpart lending, tanked the economy, but it was 10+ years in the making.

My own anecdote: 2008 start applying for mortgage loans. My bank approved me for a huge amount more that I could afford on paper, and ONLY with an adjustable rate. Knowing how math works, I balked at the offer. And all the loan officer could say is "you don't have to spend it all". Ok, like people really think like that.
 

SMOGZINN

Lifer
Jun 17, 2005
14,218
4,446
136
Why are we going over all this again? We clearly didn't learn anything from it. We voted Republican again, and predictably they deregulated the markets, and the bubbles are once again growing. Does it matter why it happened last time when we have no intention of preventing it from happening again?
 

ch33zw1z

Lifer
Nov 4, 2004
38,004
18,352
146
Why are we going over all this again? We clearly didn't learn anything from it. We voted Republican again, and predictably they deregulated the markets, and the bubbles are once again growing. Does it matter why it happened last time when we have no intention of preventing it from happening again?

Yea, I agree. I just saw some peeps going back and forth and thought "it's fuggin both". You're totally right, the ruling class is into another bubble+bailout, it's been a cycle for a while. People are literally arguing over how to deal with it when it inevitably happens again.
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,415
14,307
136
As off-topic as the OP derailed his own thread, I think we should circle back to @sao123's comments and discuss that only a conservative here claimed that their identity gives them the 'right' to rule this country over the will of the majority and by force if necessary. A situation we are currently watching play out on the national stage. But liberals and their identity politics, amirite @s0me0nesmind1 ?
 
Last edited:

sao123

Lifer
May 27, 2002
12,648
201
106
As off-topic as the OP derailed his own thread, I think we should circle back to @sao123's comments and discuss that only a conservative here claimed that their identity gives them the 'right' to rule this country over the will of the majority and by force if necessary. A situation we are currently watching play out on the national stage. But liberals and their identity politics, amirite @s0me0nesmind1 ?

Sure, lets circle back... I havent seen 1 person legitimately debate a single item the the D agenda list I posted. You all are saying thats not the D platform... But every time the D's open their mouths those are the only things that come out.

Abortion this, gays and trans that. We oppose religion at every chance we get.

just today: Omar said gave more Anti Israel remarks, especially how she gets a "calm" feeling every time she thinks about the holocaust.

There is the proposed Breathe Act (also promoted by the little bar tender who could, AOC - who should just go back to bartending, her real calling in life), which is a 5 year plan to abolish not only police departments, but also the entire prison/incrassation structure, create a commission to grant slavery reparations, and other great evils to our society.

Every day AOC opens her mouth, is Green New deal, blah blah blah.


find me something in the list Dems actually oppose instead of endorse?
Please?

I've been saying for 10 year, there is going to be civil war in this country due to escalation. I do not wish for it, but it is going to happen. I would prefer we split the country in two so that red can rule red and blue can rule blue.

But mark my words... Red will not be ruled from afar in the blue ivory towers against their wills.

51% to 49% doesnt make the majority right... the only thing that make something right is the Word of God.
 
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