Originally posted by: SexyKBottom line, some people are going to believe whatever AMD says, no matter what, some people will believe what Intel says no matter what, and a small percentage will actaully look at things objectively and say, in this case, thus far, Athlon 64 is an unmitigated disaster (fact: its a year late, fact: its 20% below target frequence with B0 silicon, fact: it's getting blown out by the Athlon XP in many tests, fact: its going to have much stiffer competition from Intel by the time it's released)
I'm not sure I agree with all of your 'facts'.
You state definitively that the Athlon64 is 20% below target clockspeed at B0 stepping, but provide no absolute proof that AMD is unable to yield beyond
1.6GHz. The tested Athlon64 was clocked at 1.6GHz, I see no reason why that necessarily means that AMD is not yielding in reasonable volume at higher clockspeeds.
We know only that one individual processor is clocked at such a speed, we have no information on what general yields are like.
It's a year late is certainly true.. or at least it will be by launch.
But then, the Itanium was a good 5+ years late and is managing to do passibly well.
Yes it is getting blown away by the AXP 2800+ in many tests, but AMD has not officially announced that the final Athlon64 2800+ will be clocked at 1.6GHz, and it seems foolish to believe absolutely nothing can change between now and official launch.
I can well remember a certain AMD Athlon 500MHz that was being outperformed by the Pentium 2 400MHz 4 months before launch... when said processor was officially released many were comparing it to the Pentium 3 Katmai 600MHz. Quite a dramatic performance difference, despite the clockspeed did not change.
Yes it will see tougher competition from Intel by launch, but then Intel will see tougher competition from AMD as the 2800+/1.6GHz is almost certainly not going to be the highest clocked Athlon64 to be released.
When all is said and done I find the results distinctly underwhelming in most respects. It falls marginally below my expectations and well below my hopes.
I find the main memory bandwidth adequate as I don't believe the Athlon64 will need considerably more then 3.2GB/ in most cases, and the extremely low latency is obviously appreciated.
Early impressions lead me to believe it will be no more then barely competitive with the fastest Prescott however... which is what I was expecting, but I'd hoped for more.
Clockspeed/PR rating could change dramatically....and the old Athlon 500MHz debacle has certainly shown me that the present results at 500MHz don't necessarily correlate well to final launch performance.
64bit capabilities mean precious little IMHO, lack of OS support and very few supported applications should effectively ensure that X86-64 is not a major factor on the desktop.
An unfortunate reality as I personally am already seeing benefits to 1.5GB RAM in some applications... X86-32 isnt exactly very effective beond 2GB, and a 4G system wide maximum leaves much to be desired already and I'll need more then 4GB long before 64bit looks to be widely accepted on the desktop. PAE definitely isnt a desireable solution.
I do believe AMD should be served well by the Opteron at least, as I strongly suspect it may scale remarkably well with additional processors compared to it's primary competition in the Xeon/Xeon MP, and should scale well enough in clockspeed to be more then capable of competing in said market.