YAHT (Hurricane) Ike

[finite automaton]

What really pisses me off is people are going to likely risk their lives to try and save the fucking morons who would not evacuate. Fuck that.

 

[JohnCU]

^^^^^^^^^

Originally posted by: FoBoT
http://www.kdbc.com/Global/sto...000118&nav=menu608_2_3

Instructions to write their name and Social Security number on their forearm in case of "something bad" were enough to finally persuade at least one couple to get out ahead of Hurricane Ike.

 

[finite automaton]

Originally posted by: JohnCU

^^^^^^^^^

Originally posted by: FoBoT
http://www.kdbc.com/Global/sto...000118&nav=menu608_2_3

Instructions to write their name and Social Security number on their forearm in case of "something bad" were enough to finally persuade at least one couple to get out ahead of Hurricane Ike.

Holy shit.

..and..


Meanwhile, in Houston, residents have been streaming in and out of stores, stocking up on water, batteries, food and other emergency supplies. One man who had cut short a California vacation says he got home a bit late to board up the windows. He says he'll use tape to hopefully "keep things from flying around" and "hunker down."

SHARPIE. SOCIAL SECURITY NUMBER. ARM. NOW.

 

[ElFenix]

lights just flickered.

11 was reporting power outage in bellaire

 

[Atomic Playboy]

Originally posted by: ElFenix
lights just flickered.

11 was reporting power outage in bellaire

I take it you're hunkering down and waiting it out? Good luck man, hope everything turns out OK for you.

 

[Wreckem]

Originally posted by: Atomic Playboy

Originally posted by: ElFenix
lights just flickered.

11 was reporting power outage in bellaire

I take it you're hunkering down and waiting it out? Good luck man, hope everything turns out OK for you.

People in Houston proper dont have that much to worry about. Yeah sure strong winds and flooding, but thats nothing like the coast is suffering.

 

[hdeck]

over 200,000 already without power and the edge of the hurricane has barely crossed onto the mainland.

 

[Wreckem]

Originally posted by: finite automaton

Originally posted by: JohnCU

^^^^^^^^^

Originally posted by: FoBoT
http://www.kdbc.com/Global/sto...000118&nav=menu608_2_3

Instructions to write their name and Social Security number on their forearm in case of "something bad" were enough to finally persuade at least one couple to get out ahead of Hurricane Ike.

Holy shit.

..and..


Meanwhile, in Houston, residents have been streaming in and out of stores, stocking up on water, batteries, food and other emergency supplies. One man who had cut short a California vacation says he got home a bit late to board up the windows. He says he'll use tape to hopefully "keep things from flying around" and "hunker down."

SHARPIE. SOCIAL SECURITY NUMBER. ARM. NOW.

No one is really worried about Houston proper. Its fairly well inland. Its places like Clearlake, Texas City, and other low lying or coastal areas. Houston proper will suffer from wind and rain, but the wind and rain part of this hurrican arent that bad(its a Cat 2), its the storm surge which is the problem. Ike has a storm surge of a strong cat 4. And Ike is HUGE.

 

[ElFenix]

250,000 customers without electricity


forecasting up to 1 million without electricity. glad i have 4 UPSes and two batteries for my computer

 

[Eli]

Originally posted by: ElFenix
250,000 customers without electricity


forecasting up to 1 million without electricity. glad i have 4 UPSes and two batteries for my computer

Switch to a laptop if you can.

Also, throttle down your core clock. It helps power consumption a lot.

Put your router and cable modem on a UPS. You may get lucky and still be able to get the internet. I have lost power several times, but still been able to get online with this setup.

 

[ElFenix]

abc affiliate isn't on the web anymore, wonder if i can tune them



that affiliate is near teh bellaire neighborhood that was out of power



haven't lost power here, when i do i'll have to stop playing games. or at least switch to DS

 

[Mill]

Coldest cloud tops of the day more or less. Eye is tightening up. Pressure down to 949mb. People on Galveston Island are screwed.

 

[OCGuy]

Originally posted by: Mill
Coldest cloud tops of the day more or less. Eye is tightening up. Pressure down to 949mb. People on Galveston Island are screwed.

A am really hoping only the people stupid enough to want to stay behind get hurt. If children are involved......i wouldnt know what to say.

 

[Chaotic42]

Pic

 

[Eli]

Originally posted by: Mill
Coldest cloud tops of the day more or less. Eye is tightening up. Pressure down to 949mb. People on Galveston Island are screwed.

I can't believe anybody stayed.. What on Earth are they thinking????

 

[IronWing]

Possible cancellations in LA.

 

[ghost recon88]

Anyone who stays behind when there's a storm of this magnitude deserves everything that's coming to them, especially with all the forewarning they received.

 

[Eli]

Originally posted by: ghost recon88
Anyone who stays behind when there's a storm of this magnitude deserves everything that's coming to them, especially with all the forewarning they received.

I think that is part of the problem.

People are probably going "Meh, it's only a cat2".

This is the problem with basing the intensity scale on wind speed alone. It doesn't tell the whole story.

 

[imported_weadjust]

Directv subscribers can watch Houston KHOU on channel 361. Directv carried a New Oleans station nationwide for 3 days during Gustav.

 

[Anubis]

Originally posted by: Eli

Originally posted by: Mill
Coldest cloud tops of the day more or less. Eye is tightening up. Pressure down to 949mb. People on Galveston Island are screwed.

I can't believe anybody stayed.. What on Earth are they thinking????

they wernt thinking thats the issue

im pretty sure when i get up tomorrow Galveston island is no longer going to exist

 

[Mill]

Latest recon pressure is 953. New discussion should be coming out within minutes.

 

[Mill]

Here it is:

000
WTNT44 KNHC 130259
TCDAT4
HURRICANE IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 12 2008

A PLETHORA OF DATA FROM NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS...NOAA AND AIR
FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...AND SATELLITE IMAGERY ALL INDICATE
THAT THE STRUCTURE OF IKE HAS IMPROVED MARKEDLY OVER THE PAST 6
HOURS...AND A 40 NMI DIAMETER EYE HAS BECOME PROMINENT. THE LOWEST
PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECON HAS BEEN 952 MB. DOPPLER RADAR
VELOCITIES IN THE NORTHERN EYEWALL AT 6500 FT HAVE BEEN AS HIGH AS
114 KT...AND A DROPSONDE IN THAT SAME AREA MEASURED A PEAK WIND
VALUE OF 116 KT. MAXIMUM FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS AT 700 MB HAVE RANGED
FROM 103-105 KT...AND A RELIABLE SFMR SURFACE WIND SPEED OF 90 KT
WAS MEASURED IN THE SOUTHERN EYEWALL AROUND 0140Z. ALL OF THIS
INFORMATION CORRESPONDS TO A MAXIMUM SURFACE WIND SPEED ESTIMATE OF
95 KT.

THE LARGE EYE OF IKE HAS BEEN WOBBLING CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 6
HOURS...BUT A GENERAL MOTION OF 315/10 SEEMS TO HAVE BEEN THE
PREFERRED DIRECTION OF TRAVEL. SHORT TERM EXTRAPOLATION WOULD PLACE
THE CENTER OF IKE ALONG GALVESTON ISLAND AND/OR THE UPPER-TEXAS
COAST SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE SATURDAY MORNING. AFTER LANDFALL...IKE
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SITUATED EAST-WEST ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
AND TURN NORTHWARD IN ABOUT 12-18 HOURS...AND THEN RECURVE RAPIDLY
TO THE NORTHEAST BY 24 HOURS AHEAD OF A FAST APPROACHING FRONTAL
SYSTEM. BY 36-48 HOURS...IKE MAY BECOME ABSORBED BY THE FRONTAL
SYSTEM OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS
ESSENTIALLY JUST AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK...AND IS DOWN THE
MIDDLE OF THE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED NHC MODEL GUIDANCE.

IKE STILL HAS ABOUT A 6-HOUR WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY TO STRENGTHEN
INTO A 100-KT MAJOR HURRICANE. EQUALLY IMPORTANT...HOWEVER...IS THE
EFFECT THAT STRONGER WINDS ALOFT WILL HAVE ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.
WIND DATA FROM LAND-BASED DOPPLER RADARS AND AIRCRAFT DROPSONDES
INDICATE THAT WINDS NEAR CATEGORY 4 STRENGTH...115 KT OR 130 MPH
...EXIST JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE. THERE COULD BE A
REPEAT OF DAMAGE TO WINDOWS IN HIGH RISE STRUCTURES SIMILAR TO WHAT
OCCURRED DURING HURRICANE ALICIA IN 1983. THE PEAK WIND SPEED AND
VARIOUS WIND RADII WERE HELD HIGHER THAN OUR INLAND WIND DECAY
MODELS ARE PREDICTING DUE TO THE MUCH LARGER SIZE OF IKE.

ONE SHOULD EMPHASIZE THAT IKE IS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE AND
REGARDLESS OF WHERE THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE MAKES LANDFALL...THE
EFFECTS WILL BE FELT AT LARGE DISTANCES FROM THE CENTER. IN
ADDITION...THE LARGEST STORM SURGE WILL OCCUR WITHIN THE ONSHORE
FLOW NEAR OR JUST AFTER LANDFALL. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY RISEN
MORE THAN 9 TO 12 FEET ACROSS A LARGE AREA OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO...INCLUDING GALVESTON ISLAND.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 13/0300Z 28.6N 94.4W 95 KT
12HR VT 13/1200Z 30.3N 95.4W 70 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 14/0000Z 33.2N 95.3W 35 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 14/1200Z 36.6N 92.3W 30 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 15/0000Z 40.5N 86.0W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
72HR VT 16/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL ZONE

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/BLAKE/BERG

 

[Capt Caveman]

LMAO. Just watched some new clips about how some folks are hunkering down and stocking-up on supplies. The Supplies? Several cases of beer.

 

[Eli]

Originally posted by: Mill
Here it is:

000
WTNT44 KNHC 130259
TCDAT4
HURRICANE IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 12 2008
<snip>

Wow.

It is going to be an interesting next 12-24 hours.

 

[hdeck]

a lot of the people that are staying based their decision on the disaster that was the hurricane rita evacuation process. yes, it's a very flawed way of looking at this storm, but that is what they remember.