Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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itsmydamnation

Platinum Member
Feb 6, 2011
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This all makes sense but makes me wonder.. why keep SMT then? If there’s a meager 15% uplift from SMT, is it really worth the trade offs at that point? Getting rid of it reduces a lot of security and validation hurdles.
why does IBM run SMT 8 , there are always reasons , as soon as your data flow/workload needs to go distance SMT is all win. An example would be Database's.
 
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H433x0n

Golden Member
Mar 15, 2023
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Without smt intel projects a <10% ipc uplift. Is it worth it though?
That’s not IPC, that’s 1T performance. We don’t know what LNC will bring in IPC gains. Considering it’s probably going to lose ~800mhz of frequency and appears to be on a less than optimal node it’s got to have a decent IPC bump just to hit 5% 1T performance increase.
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
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You were wrong.





And for Zen 4 they mention that they use a customised process, we can eventually expect the same for Zen 5 :


The process was tweaked or optimized between the initial Zen 2 release and Zen 3, but it was extremely minor. They used the same tweaked process for the "XT" Zen 2 skus and they gained very little from it (~2-3% higher performance at iso power if memory serves). The vast majority of Zen 3's improvement was from architecture and a more optimized layout.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,163
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The process was tweaked or optimized between the initial Zen 2 release and Zen 3, but it was extremely minor. They used the same tweaked process for the "XT" Zen 2 skus and they gained very little from it (~2-3% higher performance at iso power if memory serves). The vast majority of Zen 3's improvement was from architecture and a more optimized layout.

I could agree that uarch got them some efficency improvements, but one has to admit that the set of measured improvement is quite a lot for just an overhauled uarch, i posted the numbers from computerbase, 3% higher MT frequency, 15% higher throughput and still 9W less in MT with 20°C lower temp.

According to TSMC s numbers N7P provided 10% lower power at same frequency, not a spectacular number but still sizeable enough.

At isoprocess and same uarch 3% higher frequency would add 8% higher power and 12% higher throughput (at isofrequency) would get the number to 20% more power, obviously half of the improvement at least was process related.

Edit : On the same token we can expect AMD to use the most refined 4nm for Zen 5 as if MLID s slides are legit there s no way that such a monster could be as efficient as Zen 4 at isoprocess and isofrequency.
 
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H433x0n

Golden Member
Mar 15, 2023
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Edit : On the same token we can expect AMD to use the most refined 4nm for Zen 5 as if MLID s slides are legit there s no way that such a monster could be as efficient as Zen 4 at isoprocess and isofrequency.
I don’t see how N5P->N4P will be enough to get Zen 5 the same efficiency as Zen 4 isofrequency. It could have same or better perf/watt but it almost certainly won’t be at isofrequency.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,163
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I don’t see how N5P->N4P will be enough to get Zen 5 the same efficiency as Zen 4 isofrequency. It could have same or better perf/watt but it almost certainly won’t be at isofrequency.

From TSMC s number s N4P should compensate for the lower efficency, in other words they shoud match Zen 4 at isofrequency when it comes to efficiency.

There s numbers that were published in an AT article.
 

Geddagod

Golden Member
Dec 28, 2021
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You were wrong.





And for Zen 4 they mention that they use a customised process, we can eventually expect the same for Zen 5 :

This is what the article says
In order to avoid confusion, AMD is dropping the ‘+’ from its roadmaps. In speaking with AMD, the company confirmed that its next generations of 7nm products are likely to use process enhancements and the best high-performance libraries for the target market, however it is not explicity stating whether this would be N7P or N7+, just that it will be ‘better’ than the base N7 used in its first 7nm line.
Also, why did AMD say they will use the best "high performance" libraries for the target market? Standard cell for literally every core since Zen 2 (or even further back) is HD for logic, and Zen 3 moved to HD in SRAM as well for lower leakage.
I would take the words of the literal engineering slides from ISSCC presentation on Zen 3 in an actual technical conference over AMD marketing material lol.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,163
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This is what the article says

Also, why did AMD say they will use the best "high performance" libraries for the target market? Standard cell for literally every core since Zen 2 (or even further back) is HD for logic, and Zen 3 moved to HD in SRAM as well for lower leakage.
I would take the words of the literal engineering slides from ISSCC presentation on Zen 3 in an actual technical conference over AMD marketing material lol.

Take what you want, the slide they released stated that they would use a better process for Zen 3 than for Zen 2, libraries could have been improved with the enhanced process, you are just guessing and doing wild speculations because you were contradicted by said slide..

MLID would've given an equally wide range but it would still turn out to be wrong

Guess that as time goes by he will get to the right numbers like those mathematical sums suites with alternating signs factors...
 

eek2121

Diamond Member
Aug 2, 2005
3,043
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Also seems like mlid has friends on this forum (or his own accounts) promoting his videos.
I agree. There are an abnormal amount of users defending him. I did not bring it up because I know what it is like to be singled out, but really...
The motherboard vendors probably want a new model name. If they do, I can't see AMD not supporting their partners with one.

The reason is that Zen4 can currently support much higher memory clocks than it could at launch. Memory clock speed is a selling point printed in large type on MB packaging, and most current models only have 6400+, which was what it was possible to test when the motherboards were released. So MB vendors want to refresh their lineups, and when they do that, they usually want to have a new chipset name.

It's entirely possible that the chipset in question is literally PROM21, just rebranded.
They can create new models all they want. Half the X670/X670E boards have been discontinued. There is still some time before a Zen 5 launch.

I don't know whether we'll see new chipsets. To NOT see new chipsets is an unlikely thing. Board partners always want something new. Nevermind the fact they screwed up the last 'new' thing. However, they control the playing field at the end of the day. If AMD dropped Zen 5 tomorrow and nobody responded with updates, AMD would be in trouble.
Rarely isn't the same as never. Especially when a company focuses on agility, many things can be left of the table. Zen4c is a poster child for that. And as an engineer, you know there is such a thing as a free lunch--they just happen to be extremely rare.

But I don't think your categorization is correct.

Anything to do with cache and memory can increase IPC while reducing power consumption. That's a category you can pretty much always do something with.

And anything to do with layout can increase IPC (timings) while reducing power consumption (distances, voltages). That's a category that is never 100% optimal in this day of billions of transistors.

For the former, the most significant example I can think of is Maxwell memory compression: Huge increase to IPC with a massive decrease in power.

For the later, as an extreme example, take an Epyc processor (or even desktop Zen) and make it monolithic (or stacked).



It shows a mix, mostly because Zen3 runs at a higher frequency but has better voltage scaling. Taken as a whole, running clock-for-clock, volt-for-volt, Zen3 probably runs a bit hotter, but that's taking into account the aggregate changes. Unified L3 likely does both increase IPC and reduce power consumption, and there are most likely smaller optimizations that have some positive effect on both, documented or not. If you count changes that less directly improve power consumption by facilitating lower voltage, there are probably others of that kind also.
This is the silicon world, not the software world. Once your designs are released, you can't iterate (for hardware changes) without launching a new product. There are no takebacks. Period. Oh and did I mentioned it costs several million dollars, EXCLUDING development (or marketing, or anything else) costs, to launch new hardware?

The reason so few companies get into the hardware game for ANY platform is that hardware is super capital intensive. If I wanted to launch a new RISC-V chip, I'm looking at close to 9 figures to develop and manufact
If they actually had a new chipset, it could significantly better. The links from the CPU are all PCIE 5.0, a better chipset could provide twice the throughput.

But what Ajay and I are proposing is that the reason is just literally marketing. New x770 motherboards will seem fancier than last-gen x670 ones. Even if it's the same chip. There are reasons why vendors do rebrands.
No, it won't, and AMD isn't changing lane configs. Such a change would require at minimum a new IO die, and more likely a socket change.
Its a only a few AM5 motherboards that can run 8000MT/s stable in 2:1 mode, pretty much only two 1DPC from Asus and Gigabyte atm...

A new generation motherboards could improve improve memory layout/traces for the 2DPC boards.
At the moment they cap out at ~7400-7600MT/s if you want stability every reboot. (kinda behave like tuning memory on raptor lake, stability changes each reboot)

Below i did on my 1DPC GENE
View attachment 86626
Still strutting your stuff eh?

On a more serious note, the number of boards is > 2. However, the number of RAM/CPU combinations is a bit more limited. There are at least 4 boards that I know of, including 1 2DPC board (with only 1DPC installed, of course), that can hit DDR5-8000.
You were wrong.





And for Zen 4 they mention that they use a customised process, we can eventually expect the same for Zen 5 :

That looks like a prerelease slide. It is inaccurate. Zen 3 was 7nm DUV with no process changes. Yes. They did that. It is impressive. 7nm+ is 6nm btw, and the 5xxx series did not use it. Later Zen 3 iterations, however, did.
Intel already has with Arrow Lake.

I suspect one of the reasons Zen 5 kept SMT is because Turin customers wouldn’t be happy with half the threads.
The Arrow Lake thing is just an unsubstantiated rumor at this point, however, SMT is going away EVERYWHERE. When it goes away is another question, The REASON it is going away is security. SMT opens up a ton of side channel attacks.
The process was tweaked or optimized between the initial Zen 2 release and Zen 3, but it was extremely minor. They used the same tweaked process for the "XT" Zen 2 skus and they gained very little from it (~2-3% higher performance at iso power if memory serves). The vast majority of Zen 3's improvement was from architecture and a more optimized layout.
No, it was not, and the XT chips also weren't 'tweaked'. They were binned chips.
 

Goop_reformed

Senior member
Sep 23, 2023
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That’s not IPC, that’s 1T performance. We don’t know what LNC will bring in IPC gains. Considering it’s probably going to lose ~800mhz of frequency and appears to be on a less than optimal node it’s got to have a decent IPC bump just to hit 5% 1T performance increase.
How do you know lnc will have a 800mhz clock deficit? As far as I know,, the intel projection slides only showed <10% is ST at 250W.
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
5,581
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No, it was not, and the XT chips also weren't 'tweaked'. They were binned chips.

AMD specifically called out process refinements for increased boost clocks on the XT chips. When Zen 3 launched, they specifically called out they were using the same optimized process as the XT chips versus the original Zen 2 release.





 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,163
3,859
136
AMD specifically called out process refinements for increased boost clocks on the XT chips. When Zen 3 launched, they specifically called out they were using the same optimized process as the XT chips versus the original Zen 2 release.



View attachment 86642


Agree on this point, that s stated at wikichips that Zen 2 refresh used 7nm+, but there s some obscure reason as to why the XT version didnt have significantly better perf/watt because here what is said at wiki :

N7+ is also said to deliver 10% higher performance at iso-power or, alternatively, up to 15% lower power at iso-performance. On paper, N7+ appears to be marginally better than N7P, albeit that comes at the cost of re-implementing the design.

Obviously that s a tremendous improvement for a same node, yet only Zen 3 seemed to benefit from those numbers, unless of course that Zen 2 at the start used N7P.

Or possibly that AMD kept the same voltage/frequency curve for the XT to simplify things even if 7nm+ allowed a lower voltage at same frequency.
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
5,581
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Agree on this point, that s stated at wikichips that Zen 2 refresh used 7nm+, but there s some obscure reason as to why the XT version didnt have significantly better perf/watt because here what is said at wiki :



Obviously that s a tremendous improvement for a same node, yet only Zen 3 seemed to benefit from those numbers, unless of course that Zen 2 at the start used N7P.

Or possibly that AMD kept the same voltage/frequency curve for the XT to simplify things even if 7nm+ allowed a lower voltage at same frequency.

That's a mistake on wikichips part due to AMD originally listing Zen3 on their roadmaps as 7nm+ which they later recanted (or clarified) that they didn't mean to say that they were using the actual 7nm+ process, merely that it would be an enhanced process over the 7nm used on the original Zen2. Again, the process enhancement was minor, leading to a small (2 - 4%) increase in boost clocks as seen in the XT processors. Zen3 increased upon this with an improved architecture and complete rework of the layout.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,163
3,859
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That's a mistake on wikichips part due to AMD originally listing Zen3 on their roadmaps as 7nm+ which they later recanted (or clarified) that they didn't mean to say that they were using the actual 7nm+ process, merely that it would be an enhanced process over the 7nm used on the original Zen2. Again, the process enhancement was minor, leading to a small (2 - 4%) increase in boost clocks as seen in the XT processors. Zen3 increased upon this with an improved architecture and complete rework of the layout.

Quite possible, there s an article at Computerbase and they state that perf improvement wasnt what AMD announced since they expected close to double digit growth perf in some unspecified MT loads for the XT but it didnt materialize in the final silicon.

Possibly that they got some issues and that they didnt bother trying to sort out the thing prefering to just grab the little frequency uplift and abandon efficency for the sake of time to market.


Anyway whatever the reason Zen 3 was close enough that it was better to put efforts on the next chip.
 
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