Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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LightningZ71

Golden Member
Mar 10, 2017
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Perf uplift would not be good enough. PS5 has 36 CUs.
I don't expect StxH to be in the PS6. The drop on memory bandwidth will be too significant. I do think that the CPU side of StxH will be vastly better than 8 Zen2 cores in a pair of CCXs. 40CUs of RDNA3.5 should be notably better than 36CUs from 90% of RDNA2. There should be at least twice the L3 cache. There may be an iGPU cache. It'll support PCIe 5 for better SSD performance.


It could easily be a Ps5 + of some sort.
 
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S'renne

Member
Oct 30, 2022
136
99
61
So far the MT uplift doesn't look good for the desktop part, and it becomes clearer what the rumors about “prioritized ST performance” meant )
Everyone else at the moment seems to have tunnel vision into the ST ES results when there isn't a MT performance ES result yet
 

LightningZ71

Golden Member
Mar 10, 2017
1,661
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The problem is that Strix Halo is more expensive, so this Valve Steam Box will have to cost a lot more than the current consoles, which are already heavily subsidized.

Would there be a big enough market for such a console?
Look at what lenovo and asus are getting for their steamdeck competitors. The top end versions are pushing $800+. Take away the screen, the battery, and relax the minaturization while throwing out the controllers and you can easily get below the bill of materials for a generic console with an APU that costs over twice what the Z1 extreme costs.
 

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
2,333
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Current LPDDR5 specs are getting better at 9600 MT/s even without the full benefit of full fat DDR5 latencies.

Combined with the benefits of CAMM for future smol systems it should be enough to do OK with 40 CUs, especially if SH also has a little ♾ cache too.

Agreed. But socket AM5 does not have the pins for 4 LPDDR5 channels. Which is why there is not going to be a socket AM5 Strix Halo.

As you mention, LPDDR5 is moving on from 8533 to 9600 speeds, leaving regular DDR far behind. The whole idea of buying your own DRAM is slowly becoming meaningless.

The only reason to have a socket will be down to being able to pair your pick of motherboard and CPU, and perhaps upgrade in the future.

My guess is that sometime after the release of Strix Halo, AMD is going to define a new socket that will have memory internally to it (making it larger than AM5), and it will probably ditch local DIMM memory alltogether.

The downside might be a spam of SKUs (as @adroc_thurston keeps reminding us) but probably a better ecosystem. With cheaper motherboards and faster memories.
 
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TESKATLIPOKA

Platinum Member
May 1, 2020
2,429
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Look at what lenovo and asus are getting for their steamdeck competitors. The top end versions are pushing $800+. Take away the screen, the battery, and relax the minaturization while throwing out the controllers and you can easily get below the bill of materials for a generic console with an APU that costs over twice what the Z1 extreme costs.
I wasn't comparing It to handhelds but consoles.

You can take away the screen, battery and relax the miniaturization, but you still need a controller, 32BG RAM, 1-2TB SSD and a lot stronger cooling solution.
On top of that, I don't think Z1 extreme is sold so cheaply to OEMs. I think at least they ask $150 for It. So I don't think you can end up with lower BOM than Legion Go or Asus Ally.

40CUs of RDNA3.5 should be notably better than 36CUs from 90% of RDNA2.
It all depends on what clock can RDNA3.5 reach compared to RDNA3.

PS5: 36CU at 2.23GHz boost. Let's say 2GHz is the average clockspeed.
StrixH: 40CU at 2.5GHz boost. Let's say 2.3GHz is the average clockspeed.
~30-35% better.
 
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TESKATLIPOKA

Platinum Member
May 1, 2020
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Except in the vid that table says 2K and not 2400 for 8950HS (35W). 2400 is supposed 8950x.

Its still curious anyway. So 4 Zen5 + 8 Zen5c cores (thus not even 12 full fat Zen5 cores) provide performance equal to 83 percent of 16 full fat Zen5 cores in CB24 MT. I mean, you would expect 12 full cores to provide 3/4 of that performance. This is not even that and still performs better.
Even 2000 points would mean 41% better score than desktop 12C R9 7900, still very high, but at least more believable score.
If that Strix Point was <=55W, then I am also very skeptical about It being true, because It would mean almost 2x better efficiency(+92% perf/W)!

If 2400 is for Halo, then the difference would be only 20%, despite Halo having 33% more cores.
If they were tested at pretty similar power limits, then I can understand the small difference.
 
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DisEnchantment

Golden Member
Mar 3, 2017
1,687
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Massive increase of IPC (Information per Clock) from RGT is the main surprise here.
Normally RGT IPC is pretty poor, 10 seconds of useful info in 10 mins video.

Unlike CPUs however, RGT IPC is susceptible to much more branch mispredicts, "not final BIOS", "last minute design changes", "I have been told", "I could be wrong", etc
 

TESKATLIPOKA

Platinum Member
May 1, 2020
2,429
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To me It looks like Strix Halo's biggest competition will be actually Strix Point.

I expect that we will see Strix Point paired with dGPUs and this pairing could be a big problem for Strix Halo, If It's not correctly priced.
Not surprising considering Strix Halo is a very niche product, but for 14-inch laptops It could be an interesting option, although even there you can get a RTX 4090(Ada103).
 
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poke01

Golden Member
Mar 8, 2022
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Massive increase of IPC (Information per Clock) from RGT is the main surprise here.
Normally RGT IPC is pretty poor, 10 seconds of useful info in 10 mins video.

Unlike CPUs however, RGT IPC is susceptible to much more branch mispredicts, "not final BIOS", "last minute design changes", "I have been told", "I could be wrong", etc
Beliving RGT is like thinking Fox news is good
 

Goop_reformed

Senior member
Sep 23, 2023
248
308
96
Beliving RGT is like thinking Fox news is good
Well I don't know if you're living in the US or not but fox is much better than the rest of the msm. They actually invite leftists on to debate while the left is actively censoring news an constantly pushing their own fake news. Can' even call a man a man and a woman a woman with them.

Anyway

Massive increase of IPC (Information per Clock) from RGT is the main surprise here.
Normally RGT IPC is pretty poor, 10 seconds of useful info in 10 mins video.

Unlike CPUs however, RGT IPC is susceptible to much more branch mispredicts, "not final BIOS", "last minute design changes", "I have been told", "I could be wrong", etc

How is this massive ipc increase? Imo late ES sample clock's about the same as retail and it only shows 20% uplift. That's a hair above zen 3 over zen 2. Moreover, as we already know zen 5 is focused on ST, this leaks shows a complete opposite with f-huge increase in MT. How is this even possible, am I dreaming?
 

Timmah!

Golden Member
Jul 24, 2010
1,463
729
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Even 2000 points would mean 41% better score than desktop 12C R9 7900, still very high, but at least more believable score.
If that Strix Point was <=55W, then I am also very skeptical about It being true, because It would mean almost 2x better efficiency(+92% perf/W)!

If 2400 is for Halo, then the difference would be only 20%, despite Halo having 33% more cores.
If they were tested at pretty similar power limits, then I can understand the small difference.
they claim its result at 35w, dont they? so it does score 41 percent better than previous gen 65w cpu, while not even having 12 of those new full fat cores like that one did? could zen5c cores be significantly more performant than regular zen4 ones?

i guess i hope its true. This could actually mean that supposed 2400 score for the 16c is some bogus and its way more, cause no way could both of these be true.

at 40 percent more MT performance, it would be actually interesting proposition.

btw that 2185 score thats being refered for 7950x in cb24 - would love to know how they achieved that. I got 2120 on mine, and i tuned the cpu to run at 5,212 avg all core, which is about 150 mhz more than it was at default out of the box, and cooling it with arctic 420, so pretty much the best non-custom possible solution. i mean, 65 more points, thats beyond that usual result fluctuation.
 

yuri69

Senior member
Jul 16, 2013
438
719
136
RTG/MLID/Adored/???/Twitter "leaked" info must be filtered first.

Random 2 sentence Tweets or DIY bullet points slides have close to zero value. Since anybody can fabricate them in 2mins.

The same applies to super-simple schematics done in MS Paint.

On the other hand, creating elaborate slides featuring a dozen of items and rather detailed info graphics require time and deeper knowledge. Of course, there were cases of faked slides/photos but still.
 
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inf64

Diamond Member
Mar 11, 2011
3,764
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I see your point, albeit a bit off the mark 3400 vs 3500. Still according to rgt this is late ES B0 silicon, would you agree that is as close as it get to retail?
The score difference is a measly 3% between the two, so I think that Fmax for a desktop Zen 4 (top SKU) is likely 5.35Ghz. So yep, my guess is that the max clock we might see is around 5.35 to 5.4Ghz for AM5 top SKU. That is round 5-6% clock deficit versus Zen 4, not bad at all.
 

biostud

Lifer
Feb 27, 2003
18,402
4,965
136
Agreed. But socket AM5 does not have the pins for 4 LPDDR5 channels. Which is why there is not going to be a socket AM5 Strix Halo.

As you mention, LPDDR5 is moving on from 8533 to 9600 speeds, leaving regular DDR far behind. The whole idea of buying your own DRAM is slowly becoming meaningless.

The only reason to have a socket will be down to being able to pair your pick of motherboard and CPU, and perhaps upgrade in the future.

My guess is that sometime after the release of Strix Halo, AMD is going to define a new socket that will have memory internally to it (making it larger than AM5), and it will probably ditch local DIMM memory alltogether.

The downside might be a spam of SKUs (as @adroc_thurston keeps reminding us) but probably a better ecosystem. With cheaper motherboards and faster memories.
At bit of topic, but how come that LPDRAM can get these high speeds and the memory controllers can handle them, while standard DDR cannot? I guess they have a lot higher latency but besides that?
 

eek2121

Diamond Member
Aug 2, 2005
3,051
4,276
136
Halo was never monolithic. Strix halo is not coming to desktop ever, unless AMD caves in to the demand of all 10 people who'd actually pay premium price for this chip on AM5.
If by desktop you mean DIY, sure, but SFFPCs are insanely popular and nearly all of AMD’s mobile offerings have appeared in one. Strix Halo won’t be an exception.
Perf uplift would not be good enough. PS5 has 36 CUs.
RDNA 3.x vs RDNA 2 does have an uplift. Also, faster memory/IO will help.
Its 35W ES of 4 Zen5+8 Zen5C with 16 CU design.

35W ES, supposedly.

IF this is true its running circles around Zen 4 in terms of perf/watt.
To be fair, AMD pushed Zen 4 well past its sweet spot. Take a 7950X/X3D and limit it to 65/88W and it will sing.
Seriously?



4*Zen5+8*Zen5c 8950HS(>>35W) ES: 130/2400 pts
12*Zen4 R9 7900(65/88W): 107/1419 pts
Result: 21.5% better ST and 69% better MT.
I can still accept ST gain, but that MT is impossible considering It has the same amount of cores.
Not addressing the video I didn’t watch, but as to your claim that much higher scores for nT workloads “is impossible “, that is not true.

Multicore workloads in Intel/AMD chips are almost always power limited. Reducing power consumption can lead to healthy performance gains IF the scalability is there and there are no bottlenecks.

I am not saying this is the case here, but it is a possibility.
 

Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,106
136
Unlike CPUs however, RGT IPC is susceptible to much more branch mispredicts, "not final BIOS", "last minute design changes", "I have been told", "I could be wrong", etc
I love the 'last minute design changes' caveat. So like before a year ago - when the design was complete (whatever it is these days). You just found out something changed over a year ago - and you are pretending it just happened.
 
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