Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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Fjodor2001

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Feb 6, 2010
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Who's gonna pay for all that Si area on N2p?
That’s one of the benefits with the C cores, i.e. more compact and less Si area. So they are cheaper and you can have more of them at same cost compared to non-C cores.

Also, with node shrinks you need less die area per transistor, so price per transistor still goes down over time even if price per die area goes up. More transistors mean more cores are possible at same cost.
 
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Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
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Most markets are too poor for all-Z5.
But you say the Zen5+Zen5c laptops are going to be expensive, above $999? :

It's not the full stack, Zen5 starts in >$999 laptops.

Also, if you think cost is the reason that Zen5c cores are used, then why does both Apple, Qualcomm, and Intel use b.L in their expensive flagship models on mobile/laptop? Surely not due to cost (alone), so it must be e.g. better perf/watt, better max MT perf within TDP, etc too.

Finally, if you still stick to that cost is the issue, then most markets should also be too poor on DT for only Zen5, so Zen5c will be needed there as well.
 
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Philste

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Oct 13, 2023
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so price per transistor still goes down over time even if price per die area goes up.
Sadly not true anymore starting with N3. Cost per transistor is stalling or even going up.
Also, if you think cost is the reason that Zen5c cores are used, then why does both Apple, Qualcomm, and Intel use b.L in their expensive flagship models on mobile/laptop?
I thought we all agree that AMDs c-Cores aren't like Competitors little Cores?! It's the same Cores packed tighter, which usually results in worse efficiency at higher clockspeeds. ZEN4c maxes out at 3.7GHz and gets worse efficiencystarting below 3GHz, Pheonix got higher Base Clocks than 3.7GHz at 35W. So we can already tell 8500G will be quite a bit slower than 8600G when they run at their default 65W TDP. It's also likely Strix would have been better/more efficient with a 8+4 design or even 12 normal ZEN5 Cores. AMD is just cutting on Die area because Microsoft is forcing everyone to integrated huge NPUs.
 

Fjodor2001

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Feb 6, 2010
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I thought we all agree that AMDs c-Cores aren't like Competitors little Cores?! It's the same Cores packed tighter, which usually results in worse efficiency at higher clockspeeds.
The point is to clock the C-cores lower, so they stay within the range where they have better perf/watt. So you get lower cost, better perf/watt, and better max MT perf within TDP. Essentially same goals as with b.L. design, even if the ”solution” for the C-core design differs compared to Little cores.

Also, Zen5c will be a redesign compared to Zen4c. So we don’t know how it’ll perform w.r.t clocks etc. And it might be that the design will be closer to other company’s Little cores.

AMD is just cutting on Die area because Microsoft is forcing everyone to integrated huge NPUs.
Then we should see the same happening on DT, for both Intel and AMD CPUs.
 

Fjodor2001

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Feb 6, 2010
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Sadly not true anymore starting with N3. Cost per transistor is stalling or even going up.
But AMD does not usually not use the bleeding edge node. During the lifetime that Zen5 will be on the market, we can expect that the price of N3 will drop (and thus also price per transistor), as Apple et al move on to 2nm chips in 2025.
 

Philste

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Oct 13, 2023
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The point is to clock the C-cores lower, so they stay within the range where they have better perf/watt. So you get lower cost, better perf/watt, and better max MT perf within TDP.
Which isn't that easy because, like I wrote earlier, that point is below 3GHz. So ZEN4c will run out of this sweetspot in nearly all Consumer chips. It's good for servers in terms of power efficiency, in consumer markets you will mostly have the area saving effect, because these these 3GHz are relaxed at like 15W, and 90% of Devices tend to run their CPUs above that.
Then we should see the same happening on DT, for both Intel and AMD CPUs.
Looks like ZEN5 Desktop has no AI Engine at all and Intel seems to get their TOPS from iGPU XMX Engines at least with Arrow Lake. So 2024 Desktop Products should be safe. After that, I don't know what happens. I read that Panther Lake also makes sacrifices for the ×2 NPU compared to Lunar Lake.
During the lifetime that Zen5 will be on the market, we can expect that the price of N3 will drop (and thus also price per transistor)
But the older Nodes where AMD is on before drop in price also. Sure N3 is cheaper in 2026 than now but N4/N5 also is, so the jump should remain the same. There is no way around the cost per transistor stall/regression.
 

branch_suggestion

Senior member
Aug 4, 2023
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Corespam bad (eg. Bulldozer).
Moore's law is dead, so more cores don't come for free anymore.
All Intel/AMD would do from trying to bump core counts beyond 16c equiv on desktop is make a bigger bar on a powerpoint, the market is so small that they wouldn't bother selling it when most people wanting that nT perf will buy a true workstation.
But AMD does not usually not use the bleeding edge node. During the lifetime that Zen5 will be on the market, we can expect that the price of N3 will drop (and thus also price per transistor), as Apple et al move on to 2nm chips in 2025.
Z5c is the lead N3E product, been sampling along vanilla Z5 for a long time.
 

eek2121

Diamond Member
Aug 2, 2005
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The point is to clock the C-cores lower, so they stay within the range where they have better perf/watt.
No that is just a symptom/result of cutting dark silicon, using higher density libraries, etc. The chips can’t clock that high.

The “c” cores density optimized, just like Intel’s “p” cores. It has nothing to do with perf/watt. Better perf/watt is simply a byproduct.

I do agree an 8 + 16 part would be amazing, but I have seen no evidence this will ever happen and with some major changes to desktop chips happening in the next few years, it won’t happen in the future either.

Besides, more cores are only one way of skinning the cat. A big fat IPC increase would uplift performance just as much.

I expect AMD to eventually move to a single Zen “c” based CCD for server, and laptop/desktop/SFF will use a different die.
 

Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
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Which isn't that easy because, like I wrote earlier, that point is below 3GHz. So ZEN4c will run out of this sweetspot in nearly all Consumer chips.
But that was for Zen4c, and 3 GHz is not that low for a C/Efficiency-core on laptop.

Now regarding Zen5c, we don’t know how it will perform. But AMD has decided to use it for laptop CPUs, so I assume it will perform well.
 

Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
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I do agree an 8 + 16 part would be amazing, but I have seen no evidence this will ever happen and with some major changes to desktop chips happening in the next few years, it won’t happen in the future either.
Intel already has such CPUs (i.e. b.L style) on the market, both on DT and laptop. Apple has it on mobile, laptop, and DT. Qualcomm and Mediatek also has such CPUs.

AMD will soon have it on laptop too.

So basically it’s used ”everywhere” (mobile, laptop, DT), by more or less all major players. The only segment left is AMD based DT CPUs. So I think it would be more strange if that segment does not also move over to b.L. eventually.
 
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Tigerick

Senior member
Apr 1, 2022
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First news about upcoming Nova Lake-S with 16P+32E to utilise high speed DDR5 will be manufactured by TSMC's N2 process. AMD definitely will have Zen7 with 32-core ready at the same time with N2 process as well...

Yes, N2 wafer will be quite expensive, rumored about $25,000. But please go check what benefits of more advanced process, the die will not be that big compared to current 2 X CCD. From Zen5 (N4P x 2, 16-core) to Zen6 (N3P, 16-core) then Zen7 (N2, 32-core). AMD is moving to monolithics design in order to cut die size and power consumption...
 
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adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
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First news about upcoming Nova Lake-S with 16P+32E to utilise DDR6 will be manufactured by TSMC's N2 process. AMD definitely will have Zen7 with 32-core ready at the same time with N2 process as well...

Yes, N2 wafer will be quite expensive, rumored about $25,000. But please go check what benefits of more advanced process, the die will not be that big compared to current 2 X CCD. From Zen5 (N4P x 2, 16-core) to Zen6 (N3P, 16-core) then Zen7 (N2, 32-core). AMD is moving to monolithics design in order to cut die size and power consumption...
are you really quoting wccftech
 

coercitiv

Diamond Member
Jan 24, 2014
6,364
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AMD is moving to monolithics design in order to cut die size and power consumption...
AMD moved to chiplets because nodes were expensive enough to make even a 2-chiplet SKU cheaper than the monolithic counterpart. Now that nodes are getting even more expensive, you expect them to go back to monolithic?

I can understand a number of monolithic dies to cover mobile and some of the desktop space, but that would only be the continuation of what they are already doing in this space, not an actual move to monolithic.

So Intel copies AMD and moves from monolitic to tiles/chiplets on DT, then AMD does the opposite. 🤣
Jebaited!
 

Tigerick

Senior member
Apr 1, 2022
686
576
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So Intel copies AMD and moves from monolitic to tiles/chiplets on DT, then AMD does the opposite. 🤣
Guess you haven't noticed Intel is moving from 4-tile SoC down to 2-tile. AMD is moving to combine more CPU cores into one die.

In the future, both Intel and AMD will use 2 chiplets for desktop and notebook platform (AMD Sarlak currently employ 3 chiplets)

The difference is Intel is opted to integrate IOD into tCPU. That's mean upcoming Nova Lake will have bigger die size compare to AMD's 32-core Zen7.
 
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