Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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dr1337

Senior member
May 25, 2020
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Only problem is the main site is basically on life support. So one day it'll be like Beyond3D and the forums will be a fight for survival, whether to shut it down or not since no money is coming from the main site. So put up with the AI written content or ignore them.
It makes more sense that competing sites would run chatbots on the forums 24/7 that constantly inflate threads, derail, post flame bait, and generally try to quietly DDOS the place.

Look at how much the forum chugs lately, if anyone is pushing AI posts on this site its definitely not the same people paying for its servers and bandwidth.

Some posts could be AI but also lately, people who seem very real have been getting these forums into the news, so it kinda makes sense all sorts of interesting characters keep popping up while the presses are hot.
 
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Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
2,331
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There's some whisper that V-cache variant of Zen5 has higher Fmax than previous Zen4/Zen3.

It's 3rd generation. What are the odds that 3rd generation brings nothing to the table?

IIRC, Zen 4 V-Cache increased bandwidth to V-Cache. It would be strange if AMD does not manage to evolve V-Cache, because if AMD does not deliver any improvements, the chances are Intel will catch up or lap AMD by the time Zen 6 is released.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,167
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It s likely that the all core frequency in the 9950X is about 4-5% higher than the 7950X since 16% IPC uplift cant exhaust the 28% better perf/watt of N4P vs N5, unless of course that Zen 5 has 10% lower uarchitectural efficency than Zen 4, but assuming comparable such efficency if they used N4X the margin for frequency uplift would be even greater.
 

DavidC1

Senior member
Dec 29, 2023
387
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I'm seeing 3mm2 for Zen 5c and 4.2mm2 for Zen 5, is that right? I'm getting 3mm2 for the Lion Cove core.

There isn't a big area difference between AMD and Intel P cores anymore. Sure, it's on a 50% larger process, but it means they are now in the ballpark, unlike previous generation where Golden Cove was substantially larger.
 

CouncilorIrissa

Senior member
Jul 28, 2023
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1,048
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Quite an easy task to make the IPC 20% for Marketing. Even I can do it. Just add these below

ycruncher
Dolphin
Blender
Moar games
wPrime

GB 5.4 , two online results already show 21%, that too with a nerfed AES XTS score which incidentally was cited as +35% in the Computex info share

Z5 sees weaker uplift in int, the FP is a very solid uplift, similarly front end bound will see solid uplift
That would make sense. If you look at the slides, you'll see that AMD only doubled the L1 -> FP PRF throughput (presumably to accommodate the chonker FP execution units).

From my POV, one of the following is true. Either Z5 is an irredeemable dumpster fire of RDOA3 proportions, or it's a jack of all trades, but a master of none, judging by how stingy AMD is wrt/ area. It low power it will be outclassed by LNL, on desktop it will have a hard time against juiced ARL-S.

Its largest improvements will be in FP workloads and in maintaining higher boost clocks in multicore workloads compared to its predecessor (hence good in moderately power-constrained environments => good performance in 25-45W laptop configs and server) at the same power. Lower base clocks are probably explained by necessity to accommodate the situation where AVX-512 is heavily used. And they were also unable to go past 5.7 GHz with a wider core, hence low ST gains.

That's best guess that I can come up with what we currently know.
 

CouncilorIrissa

Senior member
Jul 28, 2023
301
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I'm seeing 3mm2 for Zen 5c and 4.2mm2 for Zen 5, is that right? I'm getting 3mm2 for the Lion Cove core.

There isn't a big area difference between AMD and Intel P cores anymore. Sure, it's on a 50% larger process, but it means they are now in the ballpark, unlike previous generation where Golden Cove was substantially larger.
Zen 5 vanilla is 3.47mm^2. 4.2 would be a disaster.
I don't believe there's public info on Z5C.
 

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
2,331
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There is also no frequency gain because I supposed they would have gone for efficiency/density instead of clock speed.

Seems that way just from the official power envelopes of Zen 5, but it will be interesting to see actual numbers in benchmarks.

What is odd is that the Z5c really has no significant size change. Looks like a Z5c is 75% of a Z5 (without L3).
I don't get the point of a compact core which only relies on physical optimization and cut down of things like L3 instead of an architecturally distinct design. They could have kept the FP width at 256, like mentioned in the leaked MLID slides.
Seems like a low effort attempt to me.

In one of the videos, MLID mentioned that the number of versions of Zen 6 will proliferate.

We may actually see a preview already in Strix Halo, if it indeed has some LP cores, what types of cores these will be.
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,005
6,449
136
My headcanon is still that Mike Clark assumed 3nm, and maybe was counting on something on the order of 22% instead of 16% in that presentation. That would have been received a lot more positively.

I'm not sure how much a node change would affect IPC. Outside of timing issues and having to possibly run a few parts of the chip slower than they would have liked, the IPC is largely a matter of architecture. If you took an ancient x86 CPU like the original Pentium and ported the design to a modern node it wouldn't magically gain IPC, it would just run faster or at lower power for the same original clock speeds.

If the original targets were actually higher I'd lean more into the notion that discovery of security vulnerabilities was more responsible than using a different node than was originally planned for.
 

leoneazzurro

Golden Member
Jul 26, 2016
1,007
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A node shrink does not affect IPC but by using a more performing node you can both increase the transistor budget and/or use the power and performance increase of the new node. Both may allow higher performance at the same power budget. So while the architecture could have been basically the same, other improvements could have been implemented, like Zen4 is an improvement on Zen3.
 

Hail The Brain Slug

Diamond Member
Oct 10, 2005
3,243
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I'm not sure how much a node change would affect IPC. Outside of timing issues and having to possibly run a few parts of the chip slower than they would have liked, the IPC is largely a matter of architecture. If you took an ancient x86 CPU like the original Pentium and ported the design to a modern node it wouldn't magically gain IPC, it would just run faster or at lower power for the same original clock speeds.

If the original targets were actually higher I'd lean more into the notion that discovery of security vulnerabilities was more responsible than using a different node than was originally planned for.
I was under the impression that the implication was that due to the node change, certain parts of the "big redesign" were shelved to save die area since they no longer had the luxury of the big shrink.

I don't know of the actual viability of that scenario.
 

CouncilorIrissa

Senior member
Jul 28, 2023
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I was under the impression that the implication was that due to the node change, certain parts of the "big redesign" were shelved to save die area since they no longer had the luxury of the big shrink.

I don't know of the actual viability of that scenario.
It was never a thing.
Look up old slides (yeah, those leaked by MLID), the thing always targeted 10-15% gain compared to Persephone.
 
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Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,005
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I was under the impression that the implication was that due to the node change, certain parts of the "big redesign" were shelved to save die area since they no longer had the luxury of the big shrink.

I don't know of the actual viability of that scenario.

Considering how much they added, and how much larger the core grew, I'm not really sure what they would have left out or deemed infeasible.

I really don't see them cutting some magic component (or group of them) that delivers another 8% (or more) IPC on top of what they achieved.
 

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
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Can someone elaborate why some here think, that the benches are mysterious?! To me it sounds like massive copium. AMD presented 16% IPC increase so that's that. Do you really think they play 4d chess and suddenly present 25% in july or what?! Sounds silly to me.

It's really not clear how Zen 5 9700x will perform vs. Zen 4 7800x3d, which is why people want to wait for benchmarks.

Because, among Zen 4 sales, 7800x3d outsells all the other Zen 4 CPUs combined (at Amazon).
 
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gdansk

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2011
2,489
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It's really not clear how Zen 5 9700x will perform vs. Zen 4 7800x3d, which is why people want to wait for benchmarks.

Because, among Zen 4 sales, 7800x3d outsells all the other Zen 4 CPUs combined (at Amazon).
I don't think it will sell that well even if it is better (and it is not clear that it will be). It'll probably be more expensive at first. And secondly people will hold off because they expect a 9800X3D.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,167
3,862
136
Considering how much they added, and how much larger the core grew, I'm not really sure what they would have left out or deemed infeasible.

I really don't see them cutting some magic component (or group of them) that delivers another 8% (or more) IPC on top of what they achieved.

8% is a lot but Zen+ has 5% better IPC than Zen while using the same design and even layout, so it s not impossible that they could improve the thoughput by a few %, although they ll likely wait for Zen 6 to implement the eventual improvements.
 

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
2,331
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I don't think it will sell that well even if it is better (and it is not clear that it will be). It'll probably be more expensive at first. And secondly people will hold off because they expect a 9800X3D.

Seems that way. 9600x and 9950x may get some sales as buyers of those may shift from Zen 4, of which only 7600x has some volume.

I think the pressure will be on AMD to release V-Cache models before Christmas.
 

DisEnchantment

Golden Member
Mar 3, 2017
1,687
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If Zen 5 availability is end of July, the reviews might drop ~ July 15.
July 15 is also the availability of some Strix Point models at Best Buy
I am fairly sure AMD and Intel already reserved some PR event to coincide with SDX availability.
The technical manuals and the arch details are not available even after announcement, which means AMD is withholding a lot of information to preempt any SDX publicity.
 
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