Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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Elfear

Diamond Member
May 30, 2004
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I would argue Phoronix has the most useful benchmark suite of them all, since it's based almost entirely on real world workloads. It is also open! The only drawback is that it is Linux based. I'm sure you could probably run it on Windows with some effort, but I haven't looked at it in quite a while.

Unless Intel has decided to completely mislead, The "E" cores are about as fast as Zen 4 +-10%.

I think X3D chips will be the champs of gaming. I don't see Intel overcoming that. I think Intel will probably win this gen overall (minus gaming) unless AMD does something uncharacteristic with X3D, which is a very real possibility.

If intel is right, the E Cores are faster than Zen 5 at the same power envelope (20% faster than Raptor Cove at low power). Discounting AVX512 workloads of course.

Edit: in lunar lake will be a bit weaker due to no l3, so maybe faster than zen5c and close to zen5.

We seem to be throwing IPC and performance around synonymously which is causing confusion. If Intel slides turn out to be correct, then Skymont should be more or less on par with Zen4 IPC-wise (which is still fairly astounding and a great accomplishment by Intel). However, there is still a sizeable gap in clock speed with Zen4 DT and Skymont so I wouldn't expect the performance to be close.
 

Doug S

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2020
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Law of large numbers is not the right term here, indeed. I'd describe it more in terms of diminishing returns. A more interesting point is what you say about relative vs. absolute value increase. I think we will have to adjust in the future to use absolute improvements more. Expecting consitent improvements in percentages is clearly not realistic as it assumes that the rate of improvement goes up with time. E.g. 10% growth per year means that the performance from year 10 to year 11 has to increase by 2.5x as much as from year 1 to year 2. These are effects we see in economy and biological systems, but I am not sure that they are equally applicable to CPU technology. For a long while we where in a growth region where linear gains could be approximated by multiplicative constants, but we have now reached a level of complexity and diminishing returns where this is no longer feasible.

Diminishing returns is a separate thing. When you're looking to increase IPC you're going to take the "low hanging fruit" - techniques that give a larger IPC boost than others and are achievable. Since Apple has a higher IPC, they've already taken some fruit that's higher than Intel/AMD have. The higher the fruit, the less of an impact it has or the more difficult it is to implement. The easiest to reach fruit were things like pipelining, superscalar and register renaming, that gave a huge IPC boost. Now we're into territory where you replace a branch predictor with one that's 1% better, you add a 6th integer unit that is only useful for the 0.5% of the time you can issue 6 integer instructions in the same cycle, so you're scratching for things that add fractions of a percent, and hope to do enough of them to add up to a meaningful gain.
 

adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
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We seem to be throwing IPC and performance around synonymously which is causing confusion. If Intel slides turn out to be correct, then Skymont should be more or less on par with Zen4 IPC-wise (which is still fairly astounding and a great accomplishment by Intel). However, there is still a sizeable gap in clock speed with Zen4 DT and Skymont so I wouldn't expect the performance to be close.
SKT seems to be Z4c without the SIMD goodies at ? area.
 

PJVol

Senior member
May 25, 2020
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That was the reply to the clock speed. 9600x production CPU has higher boost clock speed than 5.1 GHz.
And yet, videocardz says that this result is from stock 9600X. Something doesn't add up in their leaks.
 
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Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
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And yet, videocardz says that this result is from stock 9600X. Something doesn't add up in their leaks.

Yeah, strange. And there is still the FMax mystery.
 
Jun 4, 2024
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We seem to be throwing IPC and performance around synonymously which is causing confusion. If Intel slides turn out to be correct, then Skymont should be more or less on par with Zen4 IPC-wise (which is still fairly astounding and a great accomplishment by Intel). However, there is still a sizeable gap in clock speed with Zen4 DT and Skymont so I wouldn't expect the performance to be close.
Skymont/Raptor Cove IPC is Zen-4 like. But Skymont is 20%-80% faster than Lion Cove in its power range, which means it is very likely faster than Zen 5 in that power range, unless Zen 5 is vastly more efficient in that regime, which may be, but I don’t see evidence of that.
 
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Det0x

Golden Member
Sep 11, 2014
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And yet, videocardz says that this result is from stock 9600X. Something doesn't add up in their leaks.
In this case WCCFTECH have better reporting than videocardz



775,9 points / 5050mhz * 5700mhz = 875 points

Earlier result from the same ES was ran at 5050mhz, not stock 9600X 5300mhz clockspeeds like videocardz claims
(this was even shown in the video posted like 5-10 pages back)
 
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adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
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20-80% over lion cove has nothing to do with die shrink

dawg they compare against RPC. please.
Since it is +/- 10%, it could be Zen 3 to Zen4c territory, with 1 or 2 node advantage, 1-3 year behind Zen 3 / Zen 4c
Intel numbers are usually accurate enough, that footnote is just-in-case stuff.
 
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adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
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Ah, they compared to both. I’m talking about the lion cove comparison:

View attachment 100929

You said you have Zen 5 power scaling performance data, so I don’t know if 20-80% isn’t enough to keep up, but I think it may be close. I doubt Zen 5 is more than 20-80% efficient than lion cove.
That's not remotely iso comparison since LNC requires lighting the ring on fire.
LP crestmonts also have way lower power floor than RWC.

RPC comparison is very much iso fabric aka Atoms hang off the ring.
 
Jun 4, 2024
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You can always compare PHX2 versus RPL-U 282; not that hard.
Yeah I just did. Best comparison I’ve found so far is AMD’s claim of something like 80% better PPW compared to 155h (vs 8840u), though that surely includes some less than favorable circumstances. Stacking another 20% on that… that does seem hard to beat. We’ll see.
 

adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
3,319
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Yeah I just did. Best comparison I’ve found so far is AMD’s claim of something like 80% better PPW compared to 155h (vs 8840u), though that surely includes some less than favorable circumstances. Stacking another 20% on that… that does seem hard to beat. We’ll see.
Can you read?
I've said RPL-U and PHX2.
That's the most apples to apples stuff out there, 2+8 versus 2+4, both backed by an on-ring LLC and both do it well at 15W.
 
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