Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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deasd

Senior member
Dec 31, 2013
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View attachment 101012
15% faster in CB2024 at 45watts than M3 Pro 12 core (6P+6E).

This is surprising as half the of cores in the M3 Pro are LITTLE cores.

I wonder what the Zen5c cores are clocked at?
Yet you don't need to figure out what clock Zen5C is.

I have gave up normalizing these Zen5/C cores and comparing to Zen4 Phoenix. I could only say the clock must be darn low when they're under stress load while TDP is limited.

Computerbase already did MT efficiency test.

Cinebench R20 MT:
Ryzen 9 7950X (45 W)6544
Ryzen 9 7900X (45 W)6026
Ryzen 5 7600X (45 W)4985

As you can see 7900x being 2x core count compare to 7600x, but under 45w it's only 1.2x faster, clock would be ~40% slower than 7600x or something. It would not be so different when comes to other platform like Strixpoint.
 
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Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
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Yet you don't need to figure out what clock Zen5C is.

I have gave up normalizing these Zen5/C cores and comparing to Zen4 Phoenix. I could only say the clock must be darn low when they're under stress load while TDP is limited.

Computerbase already did MT efficiency test.

Cinebench R20 MT:
Ryzen 9 7950X (45 W)6544
Ryzen 9 7900X (45 W)6026
Ryzen 5 7600X (45 W)4985

As you can see 7900x being 2x core count compare to 7600x, but under 45w it's only 1.2x faster, clock would be ~40% slower than 7600x or something. It would not be so different when comes to other platform like Strixpoint.

That s not a good comparison since the IOD take a lot of power out of these 45W, and more in the 2 CCD SKUs than in the single CCD ones, prove is that the 7700X@45W match the 7900X@45W.

Strix Point has no such disadvantage since it s monolithic, from 8 to 12C it would gain 18-20% at same power.
 

blackangus

Member
Aug 5, 2022
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Don't worry my people will be in touch with yours.

Its smallish

Alot of people are one track minded gamers and don't see outside of that narrow lane. The industry is much bigger than just PC games.
Great! Just a few will let me retire well!

If your point was simply games is just a small part of the market Zen 5 needs to address then I will 100% agree!
 
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CakeMonster

Golden Member
Nov 22, 2012
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I'm mostly a gamer, at least in the cases where I push my CPU (AI and encoding is just a hobby), but vanilla is preferable to me because of not having to deal with thread priorities. And I get it sooner and cheaper.
 

biostud

Lifer
Feb 27, 2003
18,392
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It would have been nice if Zen 5 client was fabbed on N3E. Finflex is amazing. Then the clocks would have increased as well + 16% IPC would have been very nice.

Is this the first time AMD had no change in max clocks gen on gen?
zen2 to zen3 had 200Mhz bump which is also quite small.
 

tsamolotoff

Member
May 19, 2019
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What was the reason for that?
N7 process improvements, i guess, late Zen2 cpus (which were later separated into the XT SKUs) clocked much higher than the earlier Zen2 samples (my CPU that was bought at release date could barely sustain 4.5ghz/4.3 ghz OC with custom loop, while XTs could easily do 4.5 ghz all-core at much more modest voltages). This same frequency improvement didn't happen with Zen3 (on the contrary, my december 2020 5900xt had both good chiplets and could do 4.8 ghz all core at very low voltage which not that many 5900x have beaten later) or Zen4 (release-time x3ds seem to have two top-notch chiplets while the next batch CCD1 was dogshit (mine can't even do anything above 5.75 ghz for ST boost, insta reboot etc).
 

DisEnchantment

Golden Member
Mar 3, 2017
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Zen 6 having a ~10% IPC gain in 2026 would be a continuation of that trend.
One thing though, they would have going for Z6 is increased clocks & efficiency, of course assuming they would go for N3P, in 2026.
An optimistic clock bump of +8% from N3P (i.e. 1/3rd of TSMCs claims going from N4, aka N5 v1.2, to N3P, 1.05x * 1.18x =~1.24x ) and 10% of IPC would put it back in Z5 territory of perf gain.
Assuming AMD can extract the perf of course, but if they can't they should focus on keeping clocks same and get down power drastically.
 
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Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
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For 8C AMD 9700X, TDP is at only 65W. Upcoming X3D variants may push it lower.

AM5 platform TDP is 170W.

What do we think AMD will use the remaining TDP headroom for? Will wasting additional TDP on higher frequency be futile, since it's already on optimal position on the V/f curve, so consuming remaining TDP by increasing frequency will not gain much performance anyway?
 

StefanR5R

Elite Member
Dec 10, 2016
5,684
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Gaming "close" to X3D gains, [...]
They took almost 2 years from Z4 for these gains is the problem.
If Z6 takes 2 years for 10% then someone's lunch is going to get slowly shared with everyone
Let me estimate two figures for the year 2026:
  • number of CPU makers who cater to the PC gaming market: 2 (two)
  • number of CPU makers to whom "gaming IPC" increases of >10%/2y are a mission-critical design goal: 0 (null)
(Same as in 2024.)
 

desrever

Member
Nov 6, 2021
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302
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Let me estimate two figures for the year 2026:
  • number of CPU makers who cater to the PC gaming market: 2 (two)
  • number of CPU makers to whom "gaming IPC" increases of >10%/2y are a mission-critical design goal: 0 (null)
(Same as in 2024.)
AMD does >10% when they launch X3D versions. Intel does about +10% per gen generally as well.

Its pretty obvious that gamers should just wait for X3D version for zen 5 or zen 6.
 

Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
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number of CPU makers to whom "gaming IPC" increases of >10%/2y are a mission-critical design goal: 0 (null)
Great. So we're back to the dark ages, like when Intel were feeding us 6% CPU perf increase per year? If so, who should save us?

But is it really that bad? Even if we'll only get 16% IPC increase with Zen5, it's better than what you mentioned.
 

StefanR5R

Elite Member
Dec 10, 2016
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AM5 platform TDP is 170W.
or in more clear terms, PPT is 230 W (default of the top Zen 4 SKU; let's see about Zen 5). Which is insane, as a ~32c/64t quadchannel workstation CPU would be a better fit into such a power envelope, IMO.

I don't recall about Zen 1, but in Zen 2…4, the so-called ECO mode has been the sane mode all along.

What do we think AMD will use the remaining TDP headroom for?
Vector throughput will easily make good use of this power budget obviously,¹ but this doesn't seem so important for most desktop usage scenarios. Non-vectorized multithreaded loads should see quite high sustained clocks with this much power available…

¹) edit: unless they are memory bandwidth bottlenecked, which certain easily vectorized workloads actually tend to be.
________

[stall at +10% "gaming IPC" every other year?]
But is it really that bad? Even if we'll only get 16% IPC increase with Zen5, it's better than what you mentioned.
Doing the outlook to 2026, I went with the 10% (and prepended a ">") from @DisEnchantment's reference to Zen 6, which presumably will have "leveraged" cores, IOW will supposedly be a "tick".
 
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Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
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or in more clear terms, PPT is 230 W (default of the top Zen 4 SKU; let's see about Zen 5). Which is insane, as a ~32c/64t quadchannel workstation CPU would be a better fit into such a power envelope, IMO.
Agreed. Which is why I’m still hoping for a moar cores mid-life kicker, despite that the gaming crowd in this thread does not care about such CPU variants.
 

blackangus

Member
Aug 5, 2022
115
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Great. So we're back to the dark ages, like when Intel were feeding us 6% CPU perf increase per year? If so, who should save us?

But is it really that bad? Even if we'll only get 16% IPC increase with Zen5, it's better than what you mentioned.

Well when intel was producing crap perf/new process gen foundry processes were giving us better returns. So they had no excuses it was just lack of competition (and greed).
Then Zen came along and kicked butt because of easy core gains and processes were not quite as bad as today. (And Lisa "the execution machine" as well as Kellers help)
Today new processes give less returns and are far more expensive.
So 16% IPC seems pretty ok (not astounding, but certainly not bad)
Because of silicon cost designers need to get the max PPA because other wise the chips will cost us more than most of us are really willing to spend.
Lots of people would like more nT performance (me included) but not alot of people want to pay Threadripper/Xeon costs (me included)
So that is the way of the world until we get photonics, or something comes along to change our computing paradigm.
 
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