Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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techjunkie123

Member
May 1, 2024
51
109
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Well... if they catch it before launch they're about 640 days ahead of the x64 competition.

But I wonder what they weren't testing previously.
Pure speculation, but from the statement, and what we've seen from ES samples, and the fact that the top SKUs are affected more, I would guess hitting spec clock speeds (5.7/5.6 GHz for 9950X/9900X). Maybe some of the retail units only hit 5.5 GHz or so.
 

biostud

Lifer
Feb 27, 2003
18,628
5,310
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My decision to get the 7700x is looking increasingly better every day. What a cluster fudge of a launch.
Do you remember the launch problems of Zen 4 and burned burned sockets? Maybe AMD simply prefer a launch without bugs, as in September no one will remember if it was a late July or early August launch. They will however remember if their CPU is not working.
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
6,058
10,403
136
They said that it was about what could be obtained at stock but the chip was under LN2 when they got this number.

Looking at the 55046 pts score at 6.375Ghz then those 42k were performed at 4.86GHz, beside the alleged 7 Zip 214,113 score is only 3.83% better than the 7950X, wich lead me to think that those numbers are not what we ll see in reviews.

The 7950X 7 Zip score can be found here, it s 206,214 :


It's still stock, just a non-thermally limited one (and slightly more efficient operating condition).
 

Philste

Senior member
Oct 13, 2023
251
444
96
My best guess is that the Yields just aren't there. 5.4 and 5.5GHz kinda works, so the 2 small SKUs can Release on 8th, but the number of 5.6 and 5.7GHz CCDs is so low that it would've been a paper launch. That's the only reason I could imagine where this launch window makes sense.

However, this whole launch already has been a mess. Official Presentation without proper launch Date ("July") and price. Then they drop the Date (last day of July lol) 2 weeks before. It's a wednesday too, usually AMD does Thursday launches, the new dates are thursdays too, what a coincidence. There's a 90% chance in my eyes, that 31st already was a delayed date and they took the last day of the month and hoped they would somehow get them out by then. We also still don't know Official prices. You can tell me what you want, these CPUs were/are far from ready to launch. There's so many red flags during these last 2 months.
 

gdansk

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2011
2,843
4,240
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My best guess is that the Yields just aren't there. 5.4 and 5.5GHz kinda works, so the 2 small SKUs can Release on 8th, but the number of 5.6 and 5.7GHz CCDs is so low that it would've been a paper launch. That's the only reason I could imagine where this launch window makes sense.
I doubt that. Having out of stock products for a few months has never been an issue before.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,517
4,303
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It's still stock, just a non-thermally limited one (and slightly more efficient operating condition).

That s not a more efficient condition, rather the contrary since mosfets are slower at very low temps, the higher the temp the more the transconductance up to a given temp, generaly in the 100-120°C range, at wich the conduction and speed at a given voltage start to decline, it s just that under LN2 you wont overheat the chip with a hugely over specced TDP.

Actually at -100°C you need to pump higher voltage to reach the same frequencies than at 50°C, and as already said i dont believe that the 9950X has only 3.85% better 7 Zip perf than the 7950X, this very number just doesnt make sense.

Edit : Methink that in reviews the CBR23 score will be up to 10% higher and the 7 Zip one 15-20% higher, AMD stated perf improvement over the 7950X is 22%.



 
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poke01

Platinum Member
Mar 8, 2022
2,007
2,546
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No, CPU design and manufacturing is just complicated.
These companies are packed with talented and highly professional people, yet things go wrong from time to time. This (Zen 4/RPC) gen should be very indicative of that.
True. I am not denying that. It’s just AMD needs to have better communication. On July 15th they said it’s launching by 31st of June. So in just one week they found out that testing wasn’t done properly.

This should have been identified months ago not weeks before launch.
 
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Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
6,058
10,403
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That s not a more efficient condition, rather the contrary since mosfets are slower at very low temps, the higher the temp the more the transconductance up to a given temp, generaly in the 100-120°C range, at wich the conduction and speed at a given voltage start to decline, it s just that under LN2 you wont overheat the chip with a hugely over specced TDP.

Actually at -100°C you need to pump higher voltage to reach the same frequencies than at 50°C, and as already said i dont believe that the 9950X has only 3.85% better 7 Zip perf than the 7950X, this very number just doesnt make sense.

Edit : Methink that in reviews the CBR23 score will be up to 10% higher and the 7 Zip one 15-20% higher, AMD stated perf improvement over the 7950X is 22%.




Temperature decrease reduces all of the conductor and channel resistances as well as decreases the static power consumption of the FETs. So your RC delay goes down and your static power goes down. In turn, the CPU will consume less power as the temperature is decreased, all else being equal, and will lead to more efficient performance by the CPU.

Without CB testing a 9950x, you shouldn't compare their 7zip results with AMD's as evidence that AMD's stock test is under performing. Too many variables come into play.
 

Josh128

Senior member
Oct 14, 2022
295
408
96
That s not a more efficient condition, rather the contrary since mosfets are slower at very low temps, the higher the temp the more the transconductance up to a given temp, generaly in the 100-120°C range, at wich the conduction and speed at a given voltage start to decline, it s just that under LN2 you wont overheat the chip with a hugely over specced TDP.

Actually at -100°C you need to pump higher voltage to reach the same frequencies than at 50°C, and as already said i dont believe that the 9950X has only 3.85% better 7 Zip perf than the 7950X, this very number just doesnt make sense.

Edit : Methink that in reviews the CBR23 score will be up to 10% higher and the 7 Zip one 15-20% higher, AMD stated perf improvement over the 7950X is 22%.



22% is for Blender, not CB R23. They gave a specific 17% IPC uplift for R23. That will not change. At least for ST, all you need to do is extrapolate the score vs 7950X and you will have the score for 9950X. 2050*1.17= ~2398
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,517
4,303
136
Temperature decrease reduces all of the conductor and channel resistances as well as decreases the static power consumption of the FETs. So your RC delay goes down and your static power goes down. In turn, the CPU will consume less power as the temperature is decreased, all else being equal, and will lead to more efficient performance by the CPU.
Static power is reduced because the lower transconducatnce imply lower leakage but that also mean lower speed at a given voltage.

Beside the conductors resistance shouldnt be significant at currents required to hit 5GHz, the RC delay getting lower wont automaticaly compensate for the lower transconductance that will increase the time required to charge the parasitic capciatances of all kind (wich are left unchanged by the low temp).


Without CB testing a 9950x, you shouldn't compare their 7zip results with AMD's as evidence that AMD's stock test is under performing. Too many variables come into play.

We can argue at length but guess that s the only thing left to have a reasonable clue, so far there wasnt a single Cinebench score in normal conditions, perhaps that the italian guy will spill the beans, in the meantime we re trying to locate a cat in some obscure black room.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,517
4,303
136
22% is for Blender, not CB R23. They gave a specific 17% IPC uplift for R23. That will not change. At least for ST, all you need to do is extrapolate the score vs 7950X and you will have the score for 9950X. 2050*1.17= ~2398
The 22% in the slide i linked is a global number comprising an average of several benches, that s in AMD s footnotes.
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
6,058
10,403
136
Static power is reduced because the lower transconducatnce imply lower leakage but that also mean lower speed at a given voltage.

Beside the conductors resistance shouldnt be significant at currents required to hit 5GHz, the RC delay getting lower wont automaticaly compensate for the lower transconductance that will increase the time required to charge the parasitic capciatances of all kind (wich are left unchanged by the low temp).

Conductor resistance is a big deal on advanced nodes and channel mobility increases with lower temperature, it's not just the conductors.

I mean, we have direct tests of power use vs. temperature and decades of practical overclocking experience to tell us that your theory is not correct. I honestly thought this was just established knowledge at this point, at least in overclocking communities.
 
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