Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

Page 83 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
3,313
4,780
96
Reactions: Tlh97 and soresu

TESKATLIPOKA

Platinum Member
May 1, 2020
2,420
2,910
136
No.

That's the easy part.
STX-halo is inherently niche.

AMD is intentionally undershipping the channel and will only stop doing so in Q3 (which is this quarter).
STX-Halo is a niche part, true, but Strix Point is not. How many design wins will It see compared to Zen4? There are not many laptops with Zen4.
It could happen, that the cheapest and available Strix Point will be Asus ROG Ally 2 now called ASUS ROG STRIX.

So they will supposedly start shipping Zen4 this quarter? Isn't Meteor Lake also supposed to launch this quarter with possibly available laptops next quarter or so?
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,166
3,861
136
Fortunately the thread has been brought back on track, it s no more about RDNA, 2 or 3, but rather about DNA...
STX-Halo is a niche part, true, but Strix Point is not. How many design wins will It see compared to Zen4? There are not many laptops with Zen4.
It could happen, that the cheapest and available Strix Point will be Asus ROG Ally 2 now called ASUS ROG STRIX.

So they will supposedly start shipping Zen4 this quarter? Isn't Meteor Lake also supposed to launch this quarter with possibly available laptops next quarter or so?

Handhelds device seems to eat a big part of the supply, there s yet another one that was released theses eeks with a 10.1" screen, otherwise there s laptops with prices as low as 899€ with a 8C in Germany...


 
Reactions: lightmanek

TESKATLIPOKA

Platinum Member
May 1, 2020
2,420
2,910
136
Handhelds device seems to eat a big part of the supply, there s yet another one that was released theses eeks with a 10.1" screen, otherwise there s laptops with prices as low as 899€ with a 8C in Germany...


Yes, but in total It's not that much in my opinion. The problem is still the amount produced in my opinion.

Strix Point will be interesting from CPU perspective. 12 cores will make sure you have more than enough performance, not so sure about IGP. Yes, 16CU will be an improvement, but most likely nothing significant unless they improve perf/W.
I wonder If we will see Strix Point in handhelds. 12 Cores would be a serious overkill.
 
Last edited:

DisEnchantment

Golden Member
Mar 3, 2017
1,684
6,227
136
Strix Point will be interesting from CPU perspective. 12 cores will make sure you have more than enough performance, not so sure about IGP. Yes, 16CU will be an improvement, but most likely nothing earth shattering.
Without enough BW would be pointless to add more CUs. Unless they add some SLC as well.
Given how thrifty AMD seems to be with their silicon real estate and how much GM they want, it is a difficult proposition.
The only way they will do so is when their competition do something similar.
The other likely scenario they would do also would be when N5 wafer prices starts coming down which should be happening if we look from historical perspective.
N3 going into production, there is underutilization of N5 and amortization of N5 production assets already happening since 2020.
But looks like it is taking longer than usual after companies got used to the fat Covid margins.
 
Last edited:

TESKATLIPOKA

Platinum Member
May 1, 2020
2,420
2,910
136
Without enough BW would be pointless to add more CUs. Unless they add some SLC as well.
Given how thrifty AMD seems to be with their silicon real estate and how much GM they want, it is a difficult proposition.
The only way they will do so is when their competition do something similar.
The other likely scenario they would do also would be when N5 wafer starts coming down which should be happening if we look from historical perspective.
N3 going into production, there is underutilization of N5 and amortization of N5 production assets already happening since 2020.
But looks like it is taking longer than usual after companies got used to the fat Covid margins.
I don't think they would add more CUs at the expense of noticeably lower clocks, so higher BW would be needed or It would be pointless as you said.
How will they have enough BW?
I don't think we will see any SLC in Strix Point.
8.5gbps is 32% faster than 6.4gbps so It would be enough, but that won't be cheap.
I don't know about any other solution.
 
Last edited:

A///

Diamond Member
Feb 24, 2017
4,352
3,155
136
😱 I feel like this emoji doesn't convey the ewww from reading that 😅
my point was that even your example is used as a soft guideline of what happens in industry. it's not like being in hospital in a comedy film with every thing going tits up. too many become hyper focused on rumors even from the good and reliable leakers online. accuracy to accuracy it's always a surprise in the end. I say unchain yourself from the shackles of rumors kick your feet up and enjoy the show.
 

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
2,323
2,929
106
It will depend on supply.
If AMD can't make enough of them, then you can forget about wide adoption, only a few models.
Look at how many Zen4 models are available, don't think It will be any different with Zen5.
It is good to keep in mind that, for example, in Q1 2023, AMD client revenue was down 66%. Which means AMD was capable of producing 3x of what was sold (if we take dollars as a good proxy for units).

The bottleneck is Intel's grip on the OEMs and sales channels. Where an equivalent or inferior Intel part can outsell AMD part 3:1.
 

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
2,323
2,929
106
Without enough BW would be pointless to add more CUs. Unless they add some SLC as well.
Given how thrifty AMD seems to be with their silicon real estate and how much GM they want, it is a difficult proposition.

I think SLC is a possibility. Mi300 is doing it on the CDNA APU end and AMD is making a big architectural change in an APU with RDNA.

Good opportunity to make a change to SLC is when making a big architectural change. Couple of reasons:
- Having an N6 die and die area at the disposal, which has no capacity constraints and low cost impediment in having SRAM area on it
- The bottleneck or a cap on GPU performance can be alleviated to a great extend by cache - as various AMD simulations charts have shown.
- Navi 31 and 32 already delegated how (greater) bandwidth can be obtained to memory controllers on a separate dies, rather than micro-managing the IC content on its own die.

A reason against is that AMD is already doubling the bandwidth by doubling number of memory channels for LPDDR5, so the immediate bandwidth concern may be less pressing at this time.

The only way they will do so is when their competition do something similar.

That has been a problem with AMD client division. They seem to explicitly wait for Intel validation of a concept. As if Apple validating the concept is not enough.

The other likely scenario they would do also would be when N5 wafer prices starts coming down which should be happening if we look from historical perspective.
N3 going into production, there is underutilization of N5 and amortization of N5 production assets already happening since 2020.
But looks like it is taking longer than usual after companies got used to the fat Covid margins.

Strix Halo will be chiplet based, so there is an opportunity to shift functions that don't scale, including SRAM there. So as far as SLC, it is more likely that if it appears on the Strix generation, it will only be on the Strix Halo.
 

adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
3,313
4,780
96

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
2,323
2,929
106
No.
AMD was pretty clear about undershipping the consumption.

Well, I was talking about the "consumption" part. Intel's grip on OEM and sales channels is what is capping AMD "consumption".

No, they always do their own thing.

It is amazing how little has changed on the APU front from the time of Hector Ruiz taunting it as the next big thing. But AMD never took it to the next level.

Even Apple's muscular APU did not change anything at AMD.

But the second Intel validates the concept, with some more powerful APUs coming in form of MTL and ARL, suddenly, gears at AMD start turning.

It's a very simple FOWLP part overall.
Still cool.

Yeah, that's pretty much what I was expecting as far as how the chiplets would be connected. Which would allow for sufficient bandwidth, if AMD decided to have a SLC on the N6 chiplet.
 

adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
3,313
4,780
96
Well, I was talking about the "consumption" part
No.
Intel's grip on OEM and sales channels is what is capping AMD "consumption".
Not really, no.
Intel just accepted lower client GM.
if AMD decided to have a SLC on the N6 chiplet.
STX-halo has no N6 chiplets...
But the second Intel validates the concept, with some more powerful APUs coming in form of MTL and ARL, suddenly, gears at AMD start turning.
The what?
Those are baby toys.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,166
3,861
136
Not really, no.
Intel just accepted lower client GM.

He s right, when you see in a WalMart like store that laptops are laying on supports with the Intel brand you know that an Intel salesmen got there, offered them those support as well as to pay for part of their PCs advertisings if they display Intel equipped CPUs.

They get that low in the retail business to keep their competitor from accessing the market, and that s here in France as well as in many other europeans countries.
 

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
2,323
2,929
106
STX-halo has no N6 chiplets...

I see, my fault, I was just assuming something.

Looking at the image from MLID, it does look like 2 separate dies, both likely on N4. Also, given this, probably unlikely to expect SLC from this.



The what?
Those are baby toys.

MTL and ARL will likely narrow the gap, or even exceed performance of AMD's monolithic APUs, which, it seems, is what finally prompted AMD to finally pay serious attention. But it almost seems like reacting, not leading...
 

adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
3,313
4,780
96
He s right, when you see in a WalMart like store that laptops are laying on supports with the Intel brand you know that an Intel salesmen got there, offered them those support as well as to pay for part of their PCs advertisings if they display Intel equipped CPUs.
Again, that is irrelevant, the bulk of AMD laptop sales is e-tail and commercial.
No one buys stuff in brick'n'mortar chains.
Looking at the image from MLID, it does look like 2 separate dies, both likely on N4.
GFX tile is N3e.
MTL and ARL will likely narrow the gap, or even exceed performance of AMD's monolithic APUs
That's because RDNA3 did an opposite wrt perf/power.
is what finally prompted AMD to finally pay serious attention.
AMD doesn't care about what Intel does.
Lunar-M is a thing and AMD has no direct competitor for it and won't for a long while.
 
Reactions: Tlh97 and Joe NYC

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,166
3,861
136
Again, that is irrelevant, the bulk of AMD laptop sales is e-tail and commercial.
No one buys stuff in brick'n'mortar chains.

You are wrong, there s Ryzen based laptops in thoses big stores, and they are quite common in any PC stores, it s just that it s not easy to find the latest APU.

I know a few people who bought such Ryzen laptops for their office and all told me that they didnt regret their choice, and that s people who have not the slightest technical knowledge but they got the device recommended by a relative in the know.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,166
3,861
136
Again, brick'n'mortar sales are whatever.
Well, there s a lot of people unwilling to buy a device that they see as critical in case something goes wrong, try getting an exchange or a warranty applied with a e-tailer, that s climbing the Everest, i bet that here in Europe, or at least in France, most laptops are bought in whatever stores but not by internet.
 
Reactions: Joe NYC

Timmah!

Golden Member
Jul 24, 2010
1,457
720
136
RedGamingTech leaking today 16C Zen5 to score 49000 in CB23 MT and mid to high 2000 ST. Know he is not very trustworthy and may have just guessed this, extrapolated from previous jumps between generations.
Still, if true, interesting. I said i wont be buying Zen5, if it wont add more cores (which seems to be not happening), but this actually sounds like decent jump and consideration for purchase, if the CPU will be available for about the same price as 7950x. Could we see 5,8GHz all core clocks?
 
Reactions: Tlh97 and Joe NYC
sale-70-410-exam    | Exam-200-125-pdf    | we-sale-70-410-exam    | hot-sale-70-410-exam    | Latest-exam-700-603-Dumps    | Dumps-98-363-exams-date    | Certs-200-125-date    | Dumps-300-075-exams-date    | hot-sale-book-C8010-726-book    | Hot-Sale-200-310-Exam    | Exam-Description-200-310-dumps?    | hot-sale-book-200-125-book    | Latest-Updated-300-209-Exam    | Dumps-210-260-exams-date    | Download-200-125-Exam-PDF    | Exam-Description-300-101-dumps    | Certs-300-101-date    | Hot-Sale-300-075-Exam    | Latest-exam-200-125-Dumps    | Exam-Description-200-125-dumps    | Latest-Updated-300-075-Exam    | hot-sale-book-210-260-book    | Dumps-200-901-exams-date    | Certs-200-901-date    | Latest-exam-1Z0-062-Dumps    | Hot-Sale-1Z0-062-Exam    | Certs-CSSLP-date    | 100%-Pass-70-383-Exams    | Latest-JN0-360-real-exam-questions    | 100%-Pass-4A0-100-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-300-135-exams-date    | Passed-200-105-Tech-Exams    | Latest-Updated-200-310-Exam    | Download-300-070-Exam-PDF    | Hot-Sale-JN0-360-Exam    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Exams    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-JN0-360-exams-date    | Exam-Description-1Z0-876-dumps    | Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps    | Dumps-HPE0-Y53-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-HPE0-Y53-Exam    | 100%-Pass-HPE0-Y53-Real-Exam-Questions    | Pass-4A0-100-Exam    | Latest-4A0-100-Questions    | Dumps-98-365-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-98-365-Exam    | 100%-Pass-VCS-254-Exams    | 2017-Latest-VCS-273-Exam    | Dumps-200-355-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-300-320-Exam    | Pass-300-101-Exam    | 100%-Pass-300-115-Exams    |
http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    | http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    |