Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,161
3,858
136
Are you sure about that?

I m talking of Zen 5.

Assuming the 230W PPT is exhausted that makes for about 105W/chiplet.

If that s a upper limit then the 8C is running at say 90W for the chiplet and 15W or so for the IOD.

That being said it s possible that the lower cores parts are frequency limited on purpose.
 

Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,075
8,103
136
So this means its just your own conjecture, but there is otherwise no source to support that?
What he is referring to is common knowledge. Zen5, if what we know so far, is moving to a wider front end, soft of like Apple's SoCs. This will boost IPC, but also limit the Zen5 designers who want to keep power in check and not create excessive hot spots. Obviously, AMD is going for a net gain in performance. All those new xtors will draw more power and AMD will need to keep clocks (really voltage) down to hit the Power per Watt metrics that they set for themselves. There isn't a big process change here, so there will be no 'free' power savings that could be translated into faster clocks. It's always tradeoffs between architecture, implementation and process limitations - that why large IPC jumps aren't free. This isn't the best explanation, but i hope it helps.
 

Saylick

Diamond Member
Sep 10, 2012
3,372
7,106
136
What he is referring to is common knowledge. Zen5, if what we know so far, is moving to a wider front end, soft of like Apple's SoCs. This will boost IPC, but also limit the Zen5 designers who want to keep power in check and not create excessive hot spots. Obviously, AMD is going for a net gain in performance. All those new xtors will draw more power and AMD will need to keep clocks (really voltage) down to hit the Power per Watt metrics that they set for themselves. There isn't a big process change here, so there will be no 'free' power savings that could be translated into faster clocks. It's always tradeoffs between architecture, implementation and process limitations - that why large IPC jumps aren't free. This isn't the best explanation, but i hope it helps.
Yeah, based on what I've read in this thread, along with other posts on Twitter, it looks like Zen 5 is shaping up to be a ST beast by sporting a >30% IPC boost and massively improved front end, but it is held back in MT due to IF bandwidth limitations via re-use of the IOD from Zen 4. Allegedly, Zen 6 ameliorates the MT issue with what I presume is a new IOD, but still on the AM5 socket. Given that there's little to no process gain for desktop Zen 5 (N5 to N4P), the perf/W and max clock increase has been hinted at being relatively non-existent over DT Zen 4. Lastly, Zen 5 is supposed to support wider AVX and more AI instructions.

If we take the above to be mostly true, the only thing left to know is the relative core area and how it stacks up against Intel's P cores.
 

Saylick

Diamond Member
Sep 10, 2012
3,372
7,106
136
Atta.
It's a very very different approach to system design.
Plus it's on N3p which means more nT perf as is.
You must be alluding to that whole discussion about a future Zen core being there for ST purposes only (e.g. no SMT) and having Zen 5c or Zen 6c cores to provide the MT performance.
 

Anhiel

Member
May 12, 2022
69
27
61
Should we take your previsions for ARL 8 + 16 in the post you linked as an exemple of your accuracy for Zen 5 as well.?.

Because ARL numbers recently leaked say that you are off by 2.4X for TDP and "only" by a 200% factor for perfs improvements.
Did you actually read my post? Because I clearly listed Arrow Lake, Zen 5 and Luna Lake.
Also are you sure about your numbers? I assume you refer here to Igor's Lab's leaks.

First you are not citing TDP but PL1 and PL2. If you look at the listing for example for Raptor Lake seen here:
You will notice that for RPL TDP 125W it got PL1=188W; PL2=238W

As for the 200% number it's referred to the iGPU not the CPU. Other articles referring to Igor's even say that like this one:
I only did some simple iGPU projection here but since Intel cut things and changed actual Xe type things could be off by 2x due to different group size arrangement.

I don't see anything wrong with my numbers yet.
And correction it appears I did post something for an Zen5 8c here:
 

dr1337

Senior member
May 25, 2020
384
636
136
It's always tradeoffs between architecture, implementation and process limitations - that why large IPC jumps aren't free.
Historically speaking this isn't true at all for AMD. There has been non-stop clock increases with every Zen iteration. Not saying it isn't logical or isn't possible that Zen 5 breaks the cycle, but some random conjecture isn't much compared to history.
I mean, yea.
One never rats people out just because.
Or you're making things up just because its fun to you. You made it a point to specifically diss other 'leakers' yesterday so surely you understand why people are skeptical of your very confidently made statements. Other leakers that you probably wouldn't label as "idiots" won't speak with so much ego unless their name is Charlie Demerjian. Maybe you really are under NDA but all I sense is LARP.
 
Reactions: Tlh97

adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
3,298
4,730
96
Or you're making things up just because its fun to you
I don't want to summon my usual crew to verify anything (but they lurk here too).
You made it a point to specifically diss other 'leakers' yesterday so surely you understand why people are skeptical of your very confidently made statements
youtube e-beggars aren't leakers.
Mysterymeat weibo accounts tend to be a lot more credible than them, and that's a long stretch anyway.
 

Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,075
8,103
136
Historically speaking this isn't true at all for AMD. There has been non-stop clock increases with every Zen iteration. Not saying it isn't logical or isn't possible that Zen 5 breaks the cycle, but some random conjecture isn't much compared to history.
So what, 6 years of AMD history is sufficient for you, as opposed to the past 30 years of CPU history. Or 20. Or 10 (when AMD was in the dumpster). Come on man, your view is just too short sighted.
 
Reactions: Tlh97

adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
3,298
4,730
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Are you part of the team of Neanderthals that Userbenchmark accuses of leading a gorilla campaign all over the internet to promote AMD products?
I hope so, always wanted to be a manifestation of someone's schizophrenia.
So what, 6 years of AMD history is sufficient for you, as opposed to the past 30 years of CPU history. Or 20. Or 10 (when AMD was in the dumpster). Come on man, your view is just too short sighted.
Yea clock juice ran out.
We're in max IPC dark Si spam lands now.
 
Reactions: krawcmac and Tlh97

dr1337

Senior member
May 25, 2020
384
636
136
Come on man, your view is just too short sighted.
Is it really? Isnt intel also pushing 12th, 13th and 14th gen to higher clocks than ever before? And doesn't alder lake technically have a wider architecture? AMD lost clocks with Zen 1 compared to bulldozer but its just a fact that an architecture can clock better or worse than another. Hence why its even arguable at all.

Haven't clocks also just gone up in general? Looking back at every intel generation there was a clock speed increase along with IPC at least since sandy bridge. Even cellphone chips have gone directly up in IPC and clocks over the years.

You're calling me short sighted but it would only appear you two are ignorant here. It will be interesting if adroc's speculation pans out, but historically there is nothing physically preventing a 20% ipc boost and 100-200mhz more clocks with a revised arch and a mild node jump.
 
Reactions: Tlh97

adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
3,298
4,730
96
Haven't clocks also just gone up in general?
With shrinks, yes.
N5 was the last major one for speed until like the CFET era.
You're calling me short sighted but it would only appear you two are ignorant here.
It's a very wide core, high clock isn't the target there.
but historically there is nothing physically preventing a 20% ipc boost and 100-200mhz more clocks with a revised arch and a mild node jump.
20% IPC is what Zen3 benched, and that was a tiny machine that got its key feature pulled into Zen2.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,161
3,858
136
Did you actually read my post? Because I clearly listed Arrow Lake, Zen 5 and Luna Lake.
Also are you sure about your numbers? I assume you refer here to Igor's Lab's leaks.

First you are not citing TDP but PL1 and PL2. If you look at the listing for example for Raptor Lake seen here:
You will notice that for RPL TDP 125W it got PL1=188W; PL2=238W

I my talking of real TDP, not of the fake TDP advertised by Intel, the 13900K is advertised as 125W but we all know that it stick to 250W when loaded by whatever multithreaded load.


As for the 200% number it's referred to the iGPU not the CPU. Other articles referring to Igor's even say that like this one:

You stated a 51000 Cinebench score for ARL that is roughly 35% higher than the 13900K, Igors lab say that it s someething like 10-15% in MT, so you stated 2.3-3.5x the leaked improvement.

Since you said 48000 for Zen 5 it s obvious that you are feeding yourself with hopes that it well perform lower than ARL 8 + 16, unfortunately for you that wont be the case.


Yeah we knew that already, it's just a question of double the 256bit pipes or double width of existing pipes

Possibly that they added a 2 x 256b unit, otherwise what would be the use to increase L1 size by 25%..?

This would allow to execute either a second 512b instruction, or 2 x 256b/128b/64b instructions, not economical to use a 256b unit to process a 64b instruction, but since it s there it s better than to add a separate 64b unit.
 
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